> Humans can be consistent if we try.
That's a bold statement. Do you have evidence for this?
That's a bold statement. Do you have evidence for this?
According to NHTSA [0] there are about 2.1 accidents per million miles driven. This includes fatality, injury-only and property-damage-only accidents. That is the equivalent of over 99.999% of miles driven without an accident. Over 5 nines of reliably consistent behavior.
[0] https://cdan.nhtsa.gov/tsftables/National%20Statistics.pdf
That being said, GPT4 can just open its virtual mouth spew forth without reflection and still produce consistent text is clearly superhuman.
A human neural net is constantly bombarded with inputs from many different senses, which firstly, gets prioritized based on prior usefulness. That usefulness is updated all the time, constantly, and that's what any current AI implementation lacks.
1 - The continuous integration of data from all "senses". This one should be self-evident, as obviously, all our senses are constantly barraging our brain with data and it learns to handle that over time, in whichever way your genetic makeup + learned internal cognitive processes dictate it be handled.
2 - The network that decides which data requires which amount of attention, and whether to store it in short or long term memory. This is obviously tied in quite closely to 1, as you need massive amounts of data to understand underlying patterns, and which data is just spam, versus what's really valuable.
3 - And with these two things together come the emergence of improving of approximation of consistency. Which means, this itself is a metric which the agent running the other agents needs to be aware of. Its silly to think the human brain is a single agent. It makes way more sense to see it as various interacting agents that equate to a greater sum than its parts.
Now, that being said, I'm not an expert on AI or Data Science, but this is more or less how my understanding of computational theory of mind meets with biological computing and neural networks. My theory is that, the first actually intelligent AI will be one that is composed of a network that makes decisions on how to spend a unit of iteration. One iteration becomes "an instant" to the AI. Aka, the AI decides to spend one iteration thinking, or spawns a sub-agent (which it is aware will consume resources that other processes might also need access to, but it needs to be able to decide which action to pursue).
So in all honesty, its amazing to me that LLM's on their own have been able to achieve this level of "personhood" despite their being only a tiny subset of the whole that makes up a "conscious" entity.
Edit: Misunderstood parent's point.
You're arguing that recent AI developments are a big deal and I'm not arguing against that. But what anyone stating that needs to answer is why we should think that big deal is a good thing - since humans are using the technology and will control whom it benefits. We don't have a good track record there, historically, which is another are in which we are, sadly, consistent.
How does the financial industry work? How are people comfortable executing transactions?
Do you generally rely on your bank account to not randomly fluctuate in its balance without cause?
Do you work in the tech industry? Do you rely on computers and algorithms and software to do things humans promised they would do?
All of this requires a very high level of consistency either in humans or in tools they have created.
Because there are serious checks and balances? Because of double entry bookkeeping, reconciliation, audits and, ultimately, prisons? Systems of governance put into place with the explicit goal of ameliorating the vagueness of individual humans?
Maybe the ambiguity in this discussion is how to distinguish consistency from conformism?