Metcalfe to Unveil 'New Ethernet'

lightreading.com

17 pointsdavidkhess3 comments

Finally, something to help us rebuild after the great Internet collapse of 1996!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Metcalfe#Incorrect_predi...

(I am in fact a fan of Metcalfe's writing, and he did literally 'eat his words' after that wrong prediction, but this deserves mentionining in the context of a 'new Ethernet'.)

I see no information on the basis of his prediction. Does anyone know if he gave any reasons for a supposed collapse, or if it was mere conjecture?

http://web.archive.org/web/19991023010820/http://www.infowor...

This was around the time Internet traffic doubled in 100 days, a rate that outstripped any possible capacity buildout. Fortunately for the Internet, that rate of demand growth did not continue. http://firstmonday.org/htbin/cgiwrap/bin/ojs/index.php/fm/ar...

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