It's simple: Election forecasting is often used as a form of voter manipulation, if not outright suppression.
People should vote for the candidate that they want to win, not the candidate that the tv says has a better chance of winning.
People should vote for the candidate that they want to win, not the candidate that the tv says has a better chance of winning.
huh, who told you that, the people forecasting the election?
The last time someone that was not a member of the Conservative party, Liberal Democrat party, or one of the direct predecessors of these parties was 1857. If you count the Whigs as a predecessor of the Liberal party, that goes back to 1830, which is the earliest election listed on Wikipedia.
It is safe to say that Bath will not be represented by someone who is not a member of one of those two parties any time soon, regardless of what forecasts may or may not say.
I don’t have any deep thoughts about how these predictions serve democracy, but if people are interested in that line of inquiry, they should go ahead and pursue it.