A.I. imagery may destroy history as we know it
petapixel.com
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One thing that stands out in my memory is multiple different teachers always drilling into us: "never trust photos" (you don't always know who took them, for what reason, and if they were real or staged or whatever)
If 12 year old kids are being taught this, I don't think future historians will be fooled by a pretty photo. It is not like people have been unable to generate imagery of non-true stuff before - CGI in films (and also games for that matter) have been pretty close to 100% realistic for some time ... no one is complaining that future historians are going to confuse the scenes from The Matrix about what really happened in the 1990s. The barrier to entry is lower now of course, but I don't think that changes the position: you cant trust a photo.
I completely support this. Science prior to college was basically a waste. History was full of bias and axes to grind.
Don't get me wrong, teach these subjects, the scientific method is great. However, the value is low compared to the tools given in Math and English.
Like, I’m very happy that I got to learn probability theory, but all the differential equations that broke my mind seem entirely pointless now.
And than natural sciences in general (climate, space) also have applications there.
Subjects that feel useful post graduation, if they are being taught in high school early college the time gap makes it less useful. HS and early college classes fundamentals are needed for the specialized curriculum that needed for higher college and post graduate education.
My public school biology class involved sequencing and editing DNA to make bacteria change color.
I would not call it a waste.
In fact I wish I would've had more science in school, I managed to go until college until I took my first Physics class, and physics is really useful.
So one year you'd learn about the Roman empire's withdrawal from Britain, the next it was the Russian revolution, the year after it was the Wars of the Roses or whatever.
Exam questions were always always always in the form of "The Roman withdrawal from Britain was inevitable. Discuss" or "The Industrial revolution led to the fall of the British Empire. Discuss". I.e. long-form essay answers, perhaps 2 or 3 essays within a single 2 or 3 hour exam. You never had to just recall naked facts on their own - you needed to know some to answer the essays of course, but you never just recited.
So pros and cons - I have no idea about what order the Prime Ministers were in or Kings and Queens or if the Edwardian Era came before or after the victorian era etc. I lack historic knowledge, but I guess the skills learnt were useful?
I have no idea what it is like now - my experience is a couple of decades out of date.
edit: looks like things are more or less the same still. Example paper with questions specifically asking you to critique historic sources (page 3): https://cdn.savemyexams.co.uk/uploads/2023/01/1hia-11-que-20.... Moar: https://www.savemyexams.co.uk/gcse/history/edexcel/-/pages/p...
If you're a retired lawyer, it's likely that you're teaching just keep yourself entertained, or maybe just some supplemental income [1]. When you do things for fun, instead of out of necessity, it gives you the distinct advantage of allowing yourself to focus only on things that are actually interesting to you.
It's possible that my high school history teachers started teaching history specifically because they felt like they might have a unique take on it.
[1] I know that teachers are traditionally underpaid; however if it's just supplemental income, "underpaid" is still often better than "zero income". $36,000 a year isn't a ton of money, but if you're already largely retired, it might be the difference between "taking a trip this summer" or not.
Agree that we've had plenty of ability to fake photos and documents before. I mean, some of the most famous historical photos of the Soviet Union are famous because of who was removed from them!
If you've not seen it, do yourself and ANZAC Day treat and watch it this evening. It's from just before all this AI stuff went off.
Jackson (of LoTR fame) is a huge WWI buff and was approached by the Imperial War Museum and the BBC for this film. He takes old archival footage and then uses a lot of computer massaging and hard work to 'update' the old footage. It really gives a good feeling of the life of a Brittish solider in the first war.
He puts the camera speed at modern fps, he colorizes the black and white, he puts sound in, de-jitters it, etc.
I managed to see it in theaters, and the moment when it goes from black and white to color is just amazing. The whole audience just gasped. Really. These boys jumping around, walking like penguins, grainy and burned, silent, on the old archives, they become people, real people again.
I'm not watching a 'historical' thingy in school anymore, I'm watching a real boy march along in the toxic sludge of Passchendaele, staring at this new fangled camera thing.
That feeling, that moment, anchored to the horrible reality of the footage, but made better and somehow more real, that is what AI can give us on a mass scale for all this old evidence.
Jackson's hard work paved the way to treat this new genre of lovingly updated historical footage. AI will take it all the way.
Really, this ANZAC Day, go watch it [1]. You will not regret it.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/They_Shall_Not_Grow_Old
[1] https://www.amazon.com/They-Shall-Not-Grow-Old/dp/B07PMNNGVH
The stuff in Ukraine on head mounted cameras is something that has surpassed all.
One thing that surprised me was that they did the transition from original to enhanced footage so abruptly; I'd expected a smooth transition over a couple of minutes where you don't even realize it happened until after the fact. The abrupt transition didn't get a crowd reaction when I saw it, but maybe that collective gasp was the goal and it just didn't work out in this showing.
AI-generated content at scale (especially if it has marketing dollars behind it trying to influence future models) may well cause a resurgence of curated / authenticated information services.
We stopped trusting “authenticated sources” because they constantly lie to fit whatever agenda is being pushed.
I can say with certainty that genie is not going back in the bottle no matter how much censoring websites past their prime implement.
I read the economist on a weekly basis and can confidently say that that form of curated professional journalism is much better than random partisans on twitter loudly shouting about everything
I think this is what is going to cause me to delete twitter.
Curiously prescient: it was the hands of the robots in the original film, Westworld (1973), that were a tell-tale sign that they were not living.
I think the distortions are always there. We are just not in a state of mind where details matters when dreaming.
Some examples are not being able to turn a light on or off (because lighting in a dream is often fixed) .. or trying to focus on text (often in dreams you will read words or numbers, but it's your brain telling you what something says .. if you actually try and focus on text it often is just squiggles)
Once you start to apply these techniques in dreams, the real trick is not waking yourself up once you realize you're dreaming.
What it will do is continue to provide fuel for confirmation bias. What we, as humans, will have to figure out from here on out is how define and deal with constructed information. Currently, the chaos being generated is too valuable to small, but significant, group of political activists; however, I suspect Gen Z will eventually have the power to require restrictions (a la food labels) and penalties for using unsubstantiated information.
The days of using the Internet as a general information source is coming to an end. There will be value in curated data sets again, like we used to have with Encyclopedias.
The problem being, we destroyed all the infrastructure around this and it will be hard to rebuild, lacking any underlying economy in the first place.
Destroying history wasn't unique to the 20th century either. From burning the library at Alexandria to the Church's destruction of mesoamerican culture, it's a common tactic of dominion. The march of that ideology through Russia and Asia was designed to erase the history and identity of those people as a means to subjugate them as well, so while AI is a powerful technology, this is nobody's first rodeo.
The antidote to the AI/simulation/mental prison problem is the same as it ever was. Perhaps even with higher quality reasoning now that we can see the sophistication of something that is just a material language model. It is a material artifact, not alive or conscious, and whose products are simulacra. Even with access to all our data, what can an AI know of the experience of a being that created it, and what would it mean for our own ontology if we incorporated this knowledge as an analogy for our own experience?
That said, after I read some philosophy and religion, and some of this AI safety and simulation hypothesis stuff, I almost became a vegetarian because it wasn't so much the cruelty of eating veal I could no longer bear, but the irony.
Did you call the police when the AI researchers broke into your studio and stole your camera? No? Well, the cost must not have been that enormous, then.
Really getting tired of all the whining from the "artists" among us. Whining is boring. Come up with something new. You're an artist; that's your job.
I don't argue that it will be impossible in the long term. Right now, though, AI doesn't seem to be able to solve fundamental new problems - only to see patterns that humans can't yet see. I don't know if it is yet expected for AI to do fundamental new research on algorithms.
I also don't think the person above you suggested it's not possible - but their point stands, AI is going to really fuck society up if there is literally no way to communicate further than seeing/hearing distance between humans without knowing if the message is genuine. We'll have solved cancer and reverted to the 1700s.
I'm reminded of Facebook's progression over the past 5-6 years, where, in its established markets at least, most of the good stuff happens in private Facebook groups or private WhatsApp chats, not on the 'public' newsfeed/wall.
Why would any kind of camera photo signing algorithm fare better?
You probably wouldn't even have to bother. If you want to fake history, just launder your images: setup rig where an SLR camera can telecine the images off a high resolution screen. With some optics you could probably also adjust the other camera parameters (like focus, f-stop) to make it more convincing.
Both those things can be faked. IIRC, they make chambers right now that simulate GPS signals for testing receivers. If you can fake GPS, you can fake the time, too.
Reporters attesting to their newsroom the authenticity of a photo, libraries and museums having stronger chain of custody and documentation of the state of their collections, etc.
As far as hardware signing, perhaps PKI and per-camera keys could be issued. HDCP was encryption with global symmetric keys, no? This would be a different case.
I'm really looking forward to the great humbling that AI will bring artists who for some reason feel their craft is sacred and thereby should be gatekept and protected.
Don't get me wrong, I love art and think it's important. But so is medicine and plumbing.
This annoys lower-tier boomer musicians, for whom Being In A Band was a big deal. That died when there were several million bands listed on Myspace.
And nothing else happened for the most part. Just another new technique for "hyper retouching" and fake reality generating.
Authentication and stuff won't help because it's a mass "unique product" for mass consumption, no matter how strange it sounds.
People are smart enough to know it but nobody wants to admit it, so every time an article like this pops up somewhere, you can see how much people are in denial because everybody tries to minimize the impacts of AI
Surely you’re not going to be fooled by a photograph of Julius Caesar.
Printing press had destroyed history, religion, culture, literature, and etc.
Radio had destroyed music industry.
Cassette player had destroyed music industry the second time.
Internet had destroyed music industry the third time.
...
People used to have different customs and culture in different towns and regions. What are today's nation states used to be a rich conglomerate of different people. But countless oral traditions and stories were lost forever, or altered permanently as monotheistic culture gobbled them up.
When radio later came about, mass media became a tool of total control, and almost instantly the world was thrown into war and upheavals, as those who mastered the new medium could play the masses.
The same with TV as a propaganda tool. Those nation states that destroyed the tribes and took in them are now themselves getting quickly destroyed by a global monoculture.
Sure, there will be some traces left of the old, but a lot is lost every day.
And let's not forget the last time a technology came around that could "fool history"; how many people still believe the moon landing was shot on a sound stage?
The notion that historians only care about images, without caring about their provenance, is absurd.
I get how this could be a problem, but it seems to me that it would only be marginally effective instead of exponentially as some assume. The reason I think this is because we already have this kind of thing going on without AI [1]. And while it does work, it's not clear to me if making the fake more realistic actually does anything for the kind of people who get worked up about this. If you want to claim Seattle is burning and it's not, just grab a picture of another place burning, and you're good. Narrative achieved.
If you can pass as authentic a photo from a different place taken at a different time, then what does it matter if you can generate a new one? Are you going to trick more people? Maybe. But I have a feeling the people who are most likely to get tricked, would have been tricked by far more mundane fraud.
[1] https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/fox-news...
When you generate “photos” of Big Ben burning and throw it on Twitter, you will grab the attention of many more Londoners than you could with a random image of a burning house or whatever, many of which would at least take the time to verify. Just look at the Balenciaga Pope images.
By grabbing the attention of those you are essentially stepping into the realms of “historical alternations”.
Maybe so, but up until now forging photographs was far, far more expensive than creating real ones.
It won't be too long now until someone will be able to generate in a weekend a convincing self-consistent alternate-history series of Wikipedia articles about the second term of the Trump presidency... and stuff like that's going to fill up the historical databank of the colony ship that the last humans use to flee the dying Earth.
Is ‘unalterably altered’ not a contradiction? Or does it just mean there’s no way back?
Photos have been staged / forged for a long time. The big difference is the ability for AI to create fake photos in seconds which could inundate future historians unless there was an equally quick way to spot a fake photo.
It will forever be impossible to see these, but these would be a chance to make historical moments feel real. Its too easy to forget there were real people living through them.
For an example of on-phone manipulation, search for the Samsung moon incident.
If a digital signature would stay valid after retouching, there's no value in having it in the first place. If the picture would be re-signed on editing, what's the purpose of that signature...?
A digital signature would basically be an EXIF that doesn't survive editing. If every photo shot in the past decade would have a certificate added by the camera, still none of the photos you see today would be signed, as they were either modified after the shot or are anyway older than a decade...
Second, use your time machine to go back to 1800 and ensure all historical photographs are taken with such a camera.
Then when you see something that purports to be a historical photograph, you simply validate the signature and timestamp.
Cameras can digitally sign photos to authenticate provenance. You can add timestamps and GPS coordinates to the signature, though you may be able to subvert those with enough effort. You still need to trust that whoever held the camera when it took the photo was pointing it at an actual event, not at a screen.
Yet we see examples of informational and societal manipulation all over now. Kojima might have been about out there on the details, but on the general thesis, he was dead on.
> Herbert Ascherman (b. 1947) is Cleveland, Ohio’s, most prominent portrait photographer. (…) Herb has a library of 2,385 books on photography. (…) Throughout his career, Herb has lectured to more than 350 organizations internationally. He has exhibited in more than 150 venues throughout the US, Europe, India, Australia and Japan.
They may not be from your domain, but they are experts in what the article is about.
At least try to have some nuance here.
I am tired of reading shitty, low effort comments complaining about people thinking about the implications of "AI."
This article isn't click bait, unless you're under the mistaken impression that everything topical is click bait.
So? Your comment does even less than that, and yet you still posted for us to read.
If you find my comments on the matter also low information, I can live with that.
They that control the narrative control the future.
If you believe you are right and you can do no wrong, you are going to have a much different interface with reality then a person that realizes they've made mistakes in the past. The best way to prevent making a mistake in the future is learning from ones past. Of course that past has to be real to correctly learn from it.
PS: I'm pretty sure, at least Shane Balkowitsch, as someone producing in the ancient process of wet plates, is quite aware of the aspects of the image as a produced image, produced by certain processes, under certain circumstances of production, as an opus operatum bearing all the marks – and what goes with this. What does it mean to extend this lineage to modern captures, to incorporate modern imagery into this ancestry? Surely, there's an intend and some understanding. What does it mean, if the image isn't anymore an opus operatum in the traditional sense, but just a generated one, generated by an imperative prompt, if its depiction isn't the trace of a real subject (as in likeness), but extracted from a compressed semantic field built from a biased aspect of assorted imagery and controlled by a REL instance trained to select pleasing images? What does this mean to us, when the photo loses its quality as an index? Or, worse, if we still pretend that there should be such an index, just because we're accustomed to this – and the texture feels like it?
It didn't happen.
> It didn't happen.
I actually don't. My recollection is quality photoshops were always a rarity.
But that's going to change, and quantity has a quality all of its own.
Say what now?
With that said this is about completely fabricated facts/evidence. Pretty different. Imagine a future where AI generated fake moon landing photos outnumber genuine photos and large swathes of the internet population believe with certainty the moon landing was faked as a result.
If we get too good at automating jobs there should be a social safety net so we can all enjoy the fruits of AI.
I absolutely agree the system is in dire need of some attention. I think a lot of the reaction you see around this new iteration of technology comes from people who worry that that attention will not be given. People who suddenly feel as insecure as all the other people in history left behind by growing automation. It's less pride, and more fear. And I don't feel like it's unjustified fear, given our track record.
Society must adapt to allow AI technologies to flourish and relieve humans of mundane tasks. We should identify tasks that only humans should manage, differentiate between human-made art and AI-generated art without banning generative processes, and find a way for everything to work together. AI can even help in building a new society based on these principles, possibly leading us towards a resource-based economy where money becomes less important.
I think your logic is impeccable here, and yet we frequently see businesses making decisions that do exactly that. The growing wealth gap seems to be indication enough. I can posit all sorts of explanations for why that might be but I'm much more curious as to what you imagine a fix for it might look like, from your model. Or do you think it will simply fix itself once things "bottom out" as it were (and not to present a false dichotomy).
> relieve humans of mundane tasks
In the economy/system we currently have, mundane tasks are entire classes of jobs. Jobs not frequently pursued out of passion, but necessity since it is very difficult to survive without a source of income, and a baseline of health insurance. And even more difficult to grow. So while I love the vision of that future, I'm much more interested in what the bridge to getting there looks like. Because traditionally we haven't built those bridges, we've just hoped enough survivors will learn how to swim.
> resource-based economy where money becomes less important
In the current society/economic system, money is a proxy for the abstract concept of resource. Do you mean a more direct resource foundation, like a barter system? An economy that moves without the lubrication of a finance industry using the abstraction of money to provide liquidity? Something different?
Yeah, people. Let go of your pride, come to terms with your newfound uselessness, and accept your newfound poverty like a man. It's called progress. You should be happy that AI helped capital (i.e. everyone that matters) save the money it used to have to pay to feed you.
Some people may always be useful, but that doesn't mean you will be useful.
Every change looks good if you insist on looking at it through the eyes of the winners, however small that group may be.
> Many jobs will go away, but new ones will appear.
Maybe there will be new opportunities for prostitution, for people desperate enough.
> The key is to work with AI, not against it. Everyone must start working together with AI to find their place in the future world.
A sanguine platitude, but what if your place in the future world is at the bottom, in poverty? The arc of the most recent waves of automation have included increasing inequality that has caused a lot of bitterness and loss.