Not unless they're aligned well.
There are all sorts of horrible use cases that these could be used for.
Not unless they're aligned well.
There are all sorts of horrible use cases that these could be used for.
While humans are not perfectly aligned, especially if you just look at individuals, we are collectively aligned enough that many people can live together in communities of various scales. That imperfect alignment has been good enough that we have scaled from small tribal groups to an international network of nations. We need AI alignment to be good enough if we hope to continue advancing.
Now, if Iran created an AGI that poorly aligned with the global community before other nations had similar AGI, then then I suspect that would result in a future world I wouldn't be happy with. But it could be much better than a world with AGI that is unaligned with any human values, regardless of who created it.
My best case scenario could be AGI being created by a broad international coalition that is able agree with some combination of capabilities and alignment. I'm not very confident that this is our future, though. If anyone is going to do it, I think it is more likely that the USA would be the first to create a culturally aligned AGI. Which of course would still be considered a disaster for incongruent cultures.
Main positive point for open models is that we will start seeing the abuse sooner and at smaller scales. That might give us more time to build an immune system up against exploits by encouraging us to prioritize development of comprehensive AI safety practices.