I assume this is one of those things that changes dramatically based on where you live—for me (western US), this statement seems almost comically exaggerated.
Longer if I have to think of one that went off and wasn't some form of 'oh shit oh shit oh shit, wrong button' reaction from the person trying who accidentally turned it on.
I think this is what makes it such a scam. The amount of false positive alarms makes more people desensitized to them.
Many insurance companies offer lower premiums if you install a car alarm. So I guess they work at least a little, otherwise they wouldn't lower their premiums.
It may not actually stop a thief, but it may get a thief to chose a car that doesn't have an alarm, or maybe it is just a correlation, but there is at least something.
Still, I think they should be made illegal, they are a nuisance, there are already laws against making excessive noise and car alarms should be included. And if they create an arms race, by getting thieves to prefer cars without alarms, that's even more reason to ban them.
I can think of another reason.
They run their computations- and say the insurance can be priced at $100. But hey what if we just increase to $105, and then offer a $5 discount to people who have car alarms? We get extra money (average of >100) and people think they are saving money. Who knows, might even be getting some type of kick back from the car alarm industry for promoting them.
Maybe I'm making shit up- but I've grown to hate insurance companies so much that it also makes perfect sense.
Insurance: $105, with alarm: $100
‘And here is a discount code for use with company X’.
And every referral get a kickback. Profit.
There was one particularly annoying car alarm that was popular in the 1990's that had a sequence of "police/ambulance siren" sounds.
Bieww Bieww Bieww Bieww, oooo eeee oooo eeee, rrr rrr rrr rrr, ee oo ee oo, booooooooup booooooooup booooooooup booooooooup, oooooooo eeeeeeee oooooooo eeeeeeee <repeat>
Or something like that.
And I imagine if I triggered a car alarm, I would back off.
That said, this makes them near-useless in most public settings.