My wife is an educator (public 1st grade teacher in California). We just had the discussion that next year will likely be her last year in that profession. The stress is too high, support too low, kid's behavior issues are skyrocketing, parents are getting downright violent/threatening to the staff...it's just a fuckin mess. Many of her colleagues are leaving the profession. I expect there to be a growing deficit of teachers in the coming years.
We're hoping we can get her working on education materials/maybe tutoring as a side business during her sabbatical (maybe retirement)?
I bring this up because what I've been thinking about lately, is that with the recent explosion of Large Language Models and their inevitable rapid evolution, that to me it's pretty clear education needs to go down the path of AI-based, automatically customized and tuned and guided, computer based education for primary students. We're right around the corner from AI automatically generating highly interactive learning courses for children, that will fundamentally reshape the notion of classroom-based education.
The path to adoption will probably be a mess because of the bureaucracy in education in general, but maybe that means more people will explore private/home-based education paths combined with outlets for social interaction for their kids (maybe there will be a boom in youth sports?)
Random Saturday morning daydreaming here, curious what others think.