Things created with GPT-4
twitter.com
twitter.com
It's a shame because the technology itself is probably reasonably useful. It's really hard to tell though with all the bullshit surrounding it.
Marketers learned to sell shovels. Understanding their business model is important.
Once the novelty wears off, no one wants to play your [terrible] autogenerated asteroid clone. There are a lot of startups that are two LLMs in a trench coat, and they will not be able to improve faster than people's expectations increase.
There's already more good content than I could possibly consume in my lifetime, and all this automatically generated stuff is just going to make it harder to find.
I've never read a better explanation for why "we will never have AGI." As the objective quality of AI output increases, we simply value it less.
Can Midjourney copy DeviantArt/ArtStation to levels far beyond mine? Yes.
Does the market value DeviantArt/Artstation output to any level? No.
On the other hand, raising the temperature should allow unlikely sequences to be output, provided the model is trained on enough unlikely sequences as input. Also, most creative work does not require much creativity, so just a little human guidance may go a long way.
On the other hand, if you act as the creative mind and use GPT to accelerate your output, it becomes more useful.
Personally it seems to me that if you feed a statistical model of a ton of input it's going to feed back the average of that input, leading to uninspiring phrases. Regarding game creation, we'd need to tell it about game mechanics, and I have no idea how it'd determine what's interesting or how it would innovate.
You can dial up the temperature, but this quickly pushes the output from "bland" to "totally unhinged."
Those imagined computers now look more like upgrades to current technology.
Imagine an AI model 10x, 100x, 1000x larger than GPT4.
That feels... surreal to me.
I still don't get that argument.
You can train a parrot for a week and he'll talk a few words, training it for a year won't make him become Shakespeare, LLMs will never ever automagically evolve into these AGI tier computers, not even their creators argue that, no one besides techbros argue that in fact.
People say "it's just parroting what it's heard"! But did GPT4's training data really include a sonnet about Minecraft creepers?
So they're not parroting. They're parroting PLUS something else. Plus some kind of analysis and transformation.
Your claim is that this transformation is superficial and won't become deeper as the neural networks become deeper.
We'll see.
It's wrong > 50% of the time for anything semi complex and semi niche, that's not AGI, no one in the field of AI argue it's AGI, only people on twitter and reddit with absolutely no background in tech and/or AI argue it's AGI
It's a very very very good chatbot, built with very very impressive technology and amount of data, which is already quite impressive and definitely a big milestone, it's not AGI, not even close
It's like saying the leather auger of my swiss army knife is a step towards an aerospace grade titanium cutting CNC machine
In the past year we've got models that can draw, write poetry and code better than a significant percentage of people, and now the goal posts are moving so fast they're even hard to see.
I'd probably agree that we're still a few breakthroughs away from something that could pass as AGI, but the current models are already better than just "parroting". And even if progress stales for the next 10 or 15 years like it has happened frequently with AI, everything that it has learned to do in the last couple years can be fine-tuned and made a lot more efficient, which I expect will have a big impact already.
You must have a really convoluted definition of AGI to come to the conclusion gpt is AGI when it proves times and times again it quite literally have no understanding of what it writes
But at the same time, I won't call what chatgpt is doing parroting. It's not just repeating input data as-is, at least it's capable of applying some transformations on that data. Most of the time the transformation is useful, occasionally it's pretty borked. Parroting to me would be just repeating the training data without much transformation.
> it quite literally have no understanding of what it writes
Even though I DON'T think gpt AGI, I don't consider that a deciding factor. Humans can also show no understanding of what we write or read, and I consider us "GI".
https://sports.yahoo.com/24-most-hilariously-bad-spelling-19...
The entire internet is one hell of a large knowledge base.
It does surely look like it's doing some transformation. But I don't know how to get certainty on this.
Yes, their creators take the far more defensible and scientific position of saying "we don't know".
Same Altman (openAI ceo) :
> The GPT-4 rumor mill is a ridiculous thing. I don’t know where it all comes from, people are begging to be disappointed and they will be. The hype is just like... We don’t have an actual AGI
[1] https://twitter.com/andrewsteinwold/status/15948895625260277...
> including the possible need for pursuing a new paradigm that moves beyond next-word prediction.
So all in all "it's not AGI and we might need a paradigm shift to achieve it"
A paradigm shift being: "a fundamental change in approach or underlying assumptions."
I don't get how people, especially here of all places, fall for such things
Replacing parts until you get a space shuttle is exactly how systems are evolved.
On the other hand, almost everything shown here either generic or crap (or both).
I'm happy that chatgpt writes boilerplate code for me so that I don't have to but I'm not seeing the revolution yet.
I'm really concerned that Copilot and similar stuff will make boilerplate-heavy code even more popular than it is now.
- Customer support chatbot. Convert knowledge base and other materials to q&a form with gpt4. Ada2 embeddings, search for questions in repository with faiss, ask gpt4 to answer. Works a lot better than standard "search with embeddings in KnowledgeBase". - Parsing out and standardizing insurance descriptions, Excels, schedules of values - Parsing out and standardizing documents like building permits, claims
For industries that have a lot of text format and can deal with some degree of statistical error as long as averages are better it's massive
Here are some cool apps people have built with it:
read aloud a wikipedia article: https://backend-pico.onrender.com/northeast-architect matrix animation: https://backend-pico.onrender.com/chair-northeast face distorter: https://backend-pico.onrender.com/drench-virtual simple excel: https://backend-pico.onrender.com/amidst-assurance image to meme generator: https://backend-pico.onrender.com/wagon-woot
I'm doing something similar but for backend.
Is picoapps frontend-only for now or do you generate both the front and enough of a backend to eg save what the user creates?
Would love to try/test your backend thing.
To avoid spam, regarding the comment above - it all felt "surreal" to me until I realized how wrong ChatGPT is most of the time. Not only that, but I am writing in Python now (a language I don't use) and realize that while ChatGPT can give hints, it's definitely nowhere near replacing mid devs, let alone seniors and architects and I can't use it unless I know exactly what I am asking for. I bet all of the examples in the parent are highly, highly nitpicked and have 1000s of similar apps to copy. E.g. the movie app is my go to practice assignment for new devs to learn basic UI and APIs.
More of my ranting on AI failures here (and it's basic programming tasks in one lang): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34640699
ChatGPT Plus is also using GPT-4 as its backend
I still use it, it’s faster and I can’t use the plus version that my company pays for for personal stuff.
Ideally tell it one step at a time you need done, I've found that it struggles with multiple overlapping steps for some things but not others. It can make tic-tac-toe in one prompt in HTML5 and Javascript. But maybe if you ask it to make it rain in the background or something like that in the same prompt it might mess everything up.
I've also found it's good at common problems and sometimes spotting the cause for syntax errors, but less common problems it might not know.
Hope that helps.
But like you, I agree, that's cool. That's like a pretty good start if you wanted to make an actual game. You have movement, physics, and collision detection. There's clearly something to build off of.