If your only point is that “the modality of ChatGPT is that it responds to prompts, therefore it’s a next token predictor”, then sure. You’re not
wrong, but it’s an
extremely oversimplified explanation of what GPT is. It’s basically the most boring argument you could make about GPT.
Yes, GPT is code that only runs when you, erm… run it. It’s not an autonomous being that’s cut loose on the internet and given free reign to use as much compute resources as it wants, a la skynet, replying to random forum posts. But nobody’s really saying that it is, so it seems a strange argument to say “it’s just a next token predictor”, if by that you really mean “it only runs when you give it a prompt.”
The modality of GPT is that it responds to prompts, but the interesting question is “are the responses given a sign of intelligence?”. Saying “no, it’s just a next token predictor” is IMO a sign of a motte-and-bailey fallacy. Your motte is that it only works in response to prompts (trivially true and uninteresting), and your bailey is that it has no intelligence (very debatable and IMO false.)