‘America does so much more to subsidise affluence than alleviate poverty’
ft.com
ft.com
A much more efficient way to help people is just to give them money directly, and then people can spend it on whatever they think they need.
Running those programs is of course non trivial so the capitalist naturally offer to run them for the government at a modest fee.
I don’t think I’ve ever heard a conservative say that life is fair. It’s more common to hear talk about “life isn’t fair” and how people shouldn’t expect every unfair thing to be corrected for them by someone else.
That often leads to the idea that if you’re poorer than me, you’re probably not working as hard as I am. And giving you handouts is unfair and offensive, because you just need to work for it
America is objectively and statistically one of the better places to succeed in this way, despite the shortcomings. If you believe that nobody or very few people think the “American Dream” is real, you’re probably in a bubble. This kind of out of touch cynicism is only really rampant on social media.
Which, in the case of immigrants coming to the United States, is often exactly what happens, proving that it is still mostly true.
Americans don't appreciate how good they have it.
But any which way you look at it, and even if not perfect, giving money is the best way to help of the available options.
That’s nearly an 8.8% increase from the current 45,487 units total (including all houses) https://scag.ca.gov/sites/main/files/file-attachments/santa-...
It remains to be seen whether that will reduce housing costs.
If your goal is a paid off place to live, SM isn’t the best choice unless you are either high income already or are set to receive a windfall somehow.
A two bedroom hovel in my city nets about $1200 section 8 voucher. A two bedroom in a nice development in the burbs is about $1300, and includes parking, pool and gym.
Landlords are like oil people, it’s all about extractive value. You want to pump the most cash possible with the minimum overhead possible. Building housing gets attractive only when the government subsidizes construction through low rates and rapid tax depreciation. A relative was the lead on development of a $18M hotel. He probably has $750k in. Most of the money is made with accelerated depreciation. The hotel itself is an afterthought, you couldn’t build it without the backend tax subsidy.
I can't think of many examples where the government does a better job producing things than the private sector. Even in countries with, for example, socialized medicine, and assuming you think that works well, the services (I think) are still provided by private companies. Maybe the VA Hospitals in the US - though I'm not sure that's an example of the government doing better or not.
Existing property capital owners have a vested interest in not building more housing. Building more housing will negatively impact their profits. Existing property capital owners also have far more power than the petty bourgeoise investors seeking to "build more." This conflict of "NIMBYs vs YIMBYs" exemplifies a core contradiction of capitalism that Karl Marx articulated 150 years ago, except "NIMBYs" are not individual homeowners; they are rather the idols of the petty bourgeoise "YIMBYs." See: contradiction.
Objectively, the working class has no place in this conflict and will not profit from building more housing. Of course we should build more and better housing for working people, but that is not what the petty bourgeoise investors actually want; they want to build more housing for profit. Big difference.
yeah, by extension, it is a problem with any action you take under that property regime. but don't let that prevent you from talking about what the solutions to problems must be.
Hasn't productivity been on the rise the past X years? Shouldn't we have a little slack by this point?
That being said, there are also claimed and real second-order effects of policies whose first-order economic effect is deadweight-loss. The entirety of government fits this description! To use the most trite and least controversial example, confiscating resources to build roads is redistribution from heavier taxpayers to heavier road users (incl downstream beneficiaries), but the second-order effects of a functional transportation are enough that we don't consider it to "make the country as a whole poorer"
I do support UBI because it will probably prevent some number of deaths of despair, but capitalists will never let UBI happen for this reason. The reserve army of labor must be trimmed and maintained to prevent a worker uprising, which is the primary function of the opioid crisis.
Greed, seemingly fundamental human nature, causes corruption and suffering. I don't think we've yet developed a society or tool that is immune from such issues, though competition among providers does seem to help.
I’ve had more than one conversation with my wife about just keeping the house empty instead while we’re gone, but I still think I have a moral obligation to rent to someone if I can.
It's interesting that I said government self inflicted a lot of this in the rent space by over-regulating and you seem to think this is an example of the free market not working rather than the government breaking the market.
Yeah, and feathers fall at the same speed as baseballs if you mitigate friction.
MLK having expressed a favorable opinion about it makes UBI less susceptible to "that's evil, naive communism"-style attacks.
Can't think of a single reason.
Cost of living expenses after UBI = x + UBI.
The price of goods will always rise to what the market will bear.
If you inject money into a market with schemes like UBI, all you do is creating a forcing function for inflation.
Fundamentally, money represents a debt that society owes based on creation/consumption of goods and services.
If you create money (debt symbols) without the corresponding good or service, you devalue the debt. So, an apple that was worth $1 now becomes worth $2 because your symbols that represent debt have been artificially modified.
Then, first order thinking drives yet another "UBI+" solution to give more money, and the cycle continues until an apple is "one billion dollars". World history has many examples of this, but you don't really need to look harder than covid related inflation.
The best solution to human poverty and suffering that we've ever created is economic opportunity. When given the chance, humans will thrive and succeed.
The best way to create economic opportunity is to reduce barriers to success (like onerous income taxation, and excessive regulation) and to invest in infrastructure that enhances and supports economic activity.
Command economies have never worked in history, though lots of folks have tried [1].
It's good to learn from past mistakes.
It's also sort of a fun thought experiment. When you grant this power to the government, the sorts of things they can do. There's lot of obvious things like "make eggs cheaper!!", but the more fun thought experiment is with something esoteric like the sex industry.
Let's conceive of the correct pricing for a lap dance.
That's a bit complex, it's certainly not fair to charge the same amount for everyone - an attractive, skilled dancer would be forced to charge the same as someone who is unattractive and disinterested. We're going to need a rate table.
Hygiene, attractiveness, skill, friendliness. What else? Age? The body politic has decided that you're not allowed to factor age into a lap dance or to discriminate on what dancer you chose based on age. So we can exclude that from our rate table.
Going to need to create a bureaucracy to develop fair standards for all of those things.
Also, as a footnote, let's create another agency to advertise exotic dancing to the elderly as an excellent career opportunity.
Of course, we'd need to add more regulation that would require the dancers to register their weight and attractiveness with a government agency, and we'd need inspectors to verify that. We'd also probably need to watchers to watch the watchers because the inspectors may be tempted by some "extra services" to inflate their scoring, allowing a dancer to charge more. Probably also going to need to add some undercover officers to make sure that unenlightened customers aren't expressing an opinion on what age of dancer they receive.
Of course, all lap dances aren't created equal - so rates may vary based on how many people are involved, whether the patron is allowed to touch the dancer, and if so the minimum necessary security involved. We'll probably need some secret shoppers to go out and verify that the rates are being charged properly and in-line with dictates.
This would all be pretty costly though, so we'll have to increase taxes on the dancers to pay for it all. But we can't allow them to raise their rates, that would defeat the purpose.
Now we'll need a way to confront the unpatriotic, unwilling masses who have for completely selfish reasons decided that a non-lucrative career in exotic dancing doesn't seem very fun.
Regulation is the answer! Like the Soviet Union, let's decide what profession folks would go into at a young age. Perfect!
Hmm, quality is suffering. Strangely, forcing folks into a profession to meet the needs of our dictated economic constraints resulted in a sub-par experience. There aren't any customers anymore. Fine, mark the whole thing as a loss and outlaw it, certainly can't have an underground economy operating on market forces undermining what our enlightened leaders have decided for us.
(Psst. there's a reason why command economies fail, and freedom matters. Even China understands this.)
[1] https://helpfulprofessor.com/command-economy-examples/
(edited to try to make it more funny)
The economically desirable things that UBI or any other handout are spent on, should fall into two categories. Things the government pays for itself because it's going to be the only buyer or a major buyer. Things the government has limited debit card systems for (E.G. food stamps) because there's already a market and they won't be a major buyer.
Reducing taxes will not meaningfully increase economic opportunity for people in poverty, because they are not the causes of most people's poverty. Reducing regulation may help, but only because "regulation" is broad and includes things like onerous means-testing that makes it harder for people in need to get resources. Jobs help, and AFAIK there's not much regulation making it harder to get a job.
Those are the same thing.
Increasing taxes = raised prices.
Raised prices = inflationary pressure.
Inflationary pressure = higher UBI.
Rinse, repeat.
Bloat an already obese government by cranking taxes up to 100%, society collapses.
Put the government on the fasting cure, starve the beast, and most folks end up with more in their pocket and happier.
How about I add $100 tax to each apple sale? What happens to apple prices? I'd be forced to finally develop a taste for cherry pie.
How much and who to tax have been arm wrestled over since humans figured out that houses are nicer than caves.
Cities need both taxes and sewers to survive, but too much of either will stink enough to drive off anyone who can.
Take a peek at That Which is Seen and That Which is Not Seen [1]. Bastiat had his head screwed on straight for a Frenchman, and had it figured out in 1850.
Other notable things: America's historic tax rates (pre-Reagan), social democratic leaning countries. Higher happiness, somehow. Top marginal rate doesn't affect the vast majority of people, should go without saying.
But you changed the subject. We were discussing what relative tax changes may or may not do to inflation, not your libertarian dreams.
2. UBI can (and should imo) be funded through redistribution (taxation)
You seem to believe in markets. UBI allows us to have most of the benefits of a dynamic market system whilst avoiding the worst aspects - crushing poverty for those whose market value of labour is extremely low.
That isn't how negative income taxes work at all. Come on educate yourself on the topic before writing a comment like that. In a negative income tax system a break even point is set where you pay exactly as much as you are getting. For the average person this means nothing changes for them. It is only at the high end where people pay significantly more in than they get and at the bottom end where people get out more than they pay in.
The funding problem for UBI has been solved a long time ago. There is no inflation problem. Yes, the UBI will be small but who exactly expects a large UBI? It's not like you get generous welfare payments today.
Surely you're not just waving out the supply chain issues and reduced productive capacity of the whole world due to lockdowns.
Was inflation in the USA higher than inflation in countries that didn't do direct deposits to people? As far as I know, it wasn't. That seems like a more fair starting point on studying effects of direct deposits.
Clearly giving people two $500 checks over the span of two years is the problem
This is the central logical fallacy in your argument: you're equating UBI with inflation. UBI is different because it's funded through taxation, which holds the money supply constant.
The best solution to human poverty and suffering that we've ever created is economic opportunity. When given the chance, humans will thrive and succeed.
This is the central emotional fallacy in your argument: that a person's fate is decided by their actions. You're applying your own belief system, rather than using systems-level thinking to do the work of root cause analysis, meta analysis, epidemiological analysis around the psychological effects of wealth inequality, etc. That's why you feel very strongly about your solution, without having evidence to support it, and why people like me who have a different life experience don't subscribe to it.
If we study history, we see that technology was available after the Green Revolution, post WWII, to feed everyone in the world by the late 1960s. We see that so many measures of poverty like infant mortality are unnecessary symptoms, because modern medicine made birth control pills available and pregnancy safe, again by the late 60s. Same with basic measures of equality like the percentage of the workforce who are women, which was rising substantially by the 60s, but close to parity in the western world by the 1980s.
What's really going on is that a luddite backlash occurs every time that humankind overcomes adversity. For example, Nixon started the War on Drugs as a pretense to put US leftists in prison, by making the plant medicines they use to expand consciousness illegal. The Vietnam War, Oil Embargo, trickle-down economics, loss of unions, Savings and Loan Scandal, first Gulf War, Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act, Dot Com Bubble popping, 9/11, Second Gulf War, Who Killed the Electric Car, outsourcing, Housing Bubble popping, 2016 election, 30% tariff on imported solar panels, and even the COVID-19 pandemic (I could go on forever) are a direct result of that fear-mongering and othering dividing us along ideological lines. Which all stemmed from Nixon's and Goldwater's Southern Strategy to enforce segregation.
Reports like this begin to make sense when one understands the sabotage and corruption that create wealth inequality:
https://www.cbpp.org/research/poverty-and-inequality/a-guide...
And we see that if we cut taxes on the wealthy further, then wealth inequality increases. One person's definition of opportunity becomes another's definition of subjugation. If we continue on the path we're on, then the National Debt will succeed in finally taking away all self-determination and agency from US workers, forcing them to stay underemployed to survive. Taking away the very opportunity and choice which you so advocate.
With the arrival of AI and sustainable solutions to preserve the environment, we're again at one of these crossroads. We can embrace solutions like UBI and free humanity from forced labor, or we can double down on the failed solutions of the past century and move further into dystopia.
I hope that some of these breadcrumbs help you on your journey of discovery. If your first instinct is to outright reject what I'm suggesting, then I hope you take some time to think upon the events in your life which obfuscated the things I've said. I'll do the same, because your truth is valid to me and if we would listen more, I think that we could solve these longstanding problems and transition to a 21st century economy which works for everyone.
"First order thinking" is not a euphemism for "I'm right because I said so".
Society needs that sometimes. It can be paralyzed by Nth order thinking to the point where gross injustice is allowed to survive for much too long.
A response like "just add more regulation and price caps" as a solution to dealing with runaway inflation is definitely first order thinking, as is (in my opinion) "the solution to poverty is to just give people money (UBI)".
Capital tends to accrete capital. If you aren't actively hostile to passive capital accretion, eventually you'll end up with a handful of people making most of the capital allocation decisions.
Unfortunately "making the most" sometimes (usually) means manufacturing fidget spinners for direct landfill deposit, instead of allocating resources for housing, healthcare, food, and education.
See the bloody scooter rental people, printer companies trying to funnel people to ink by subscription, Keurig/Juicero. Practically every fintech ever.
It’s very likely the quality of service is heavily affected by the same general forces.
In addition to that, any effort which greatly increases access to services to a broader spectrum of people will usually lead to a short term reduction of quality as the supply catches up with the new demand. A logical solution to this would be to phase in the demand, but unfortunately it’s not politically viable at all (politicians of all stripes want to be credited for the changes they make, and phasing it in over a period of time means the costs impact the budget almost immediately, but the benefits take time to filter through, which will likely be a political disaster).
This is the majority of spending on poverty, and it's literally direct transfers.
So I'm really confused by this comment.
The reason we spend money on special programs is because things like job training and drug addiction would never be taken care of by just handing out free money.
Based on the criticism I read about it, I think these clearing up these misconceptions is important if the USA is going to have a working welfare system.
I spent several years working on social services IT. The biggest welfare beneficiaries are companies like IBM, CSC, Accenture, Unisys, Northrup Grumman, etc and their employees.
That’s why some politicians were so terrified of the COVID relief programs. The government efficiently provided direct cash aid to millions of people with minimal fraud while the complex controlled systems like unemployment insurance were just raided by fraudsters. We made people’s lives measurably better, saved the economy from collapse, etc, and then took it all away.
https://www.fastcompany.com/90713747/workers-800-billion-ppp...
You’re going to have to be more specific or offer some evidence, because a cursory search suggests there was massive fraud.
To take the least sensationalized source: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-takes-acti...
They’re estimating more than half a billion dollars and are just getting started.
UI, which I specifically mentioned, was a fraud carnival.
$247 billion in improper payments in fiscal 2022
"At least" $35 billion in pandemic relief money - $29 billion was in the Pandemic Protection Program - $6.9 billion was in the Economic Injury Disaster Loan program
IRS has 975 tax and money laundering cases related to pandemic fraud with a total of $3.2 billion in alleged fraud. 236 already sentenced for avg. 37 months in prison. ~100% conviction rate.
From: https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-23-105523.pdf "the lower bound of this fraud rate (7.6 percent) extrapolated to total spending across all Unemployment Insurance (UI) programs ... suggest over $60 billion in fraudulent UI payments." - Cases of Proven Fraud: "currently $4.3 billion dollars of fraud based on formal determinations"
From: https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-22-104397 and https://www.asas.org/taking-stock/blog-post/taking-stock/202... - Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP) provided producers $31.0 billion for various commodities ... half of the producers that GAO reviewed did not provide full support for their payments. The payments are therefore potentially improper. - USDA’s Business Center 2021 payment integrity review for CFAP estimated that CFAP had a significant improper payment rate for the fiscal year 2020 ... estimated that that $450M were improper.
I see people stop working because they'd rather not deal with others when they already have their needs met - I have no problem with this.
I see people who continuously pop more kids to keep the gravy train running - this is an issue.
I have seen people sell the products (a lot of it is food) they get for free and people who sell the vouchers because they already have too much; this to me is an issue too.
I see people who lie all of the time to get benefits they wouldn't qualify for otherwise; literally millionaires lying to get free stuff from the government.
I don't have a big social circle but it seems everyone I come into contact with is on the take and sucking hard on the government teat.
I think the approach needs to be more holistic and consider all of the different programs people qualify for - between WIC/TANF most people will get more food than they can consume. I think they should be nontransferable (maybe it already is, I don't understand how people end up selling them) and I don't think they should be progressive. Means-testing should be ended and everybody should qualify for these programs.
The idea that people are getting by for years and years based on these as sources of income is a myth.
While some folks do get benefits when they could be working many more are denied anything despite obviously being disabled and the money that is paid is a relative pittance that few would choose given any alternative.
> I see people who continuously pop more kids to keep the gravy train running - this is an issue.
This is basically a myth. There are TANF in most states has a lifetime limit of 5 years or less and we are talking about $283 per month for a single parent single child household and it doesn't scale linearly. The next child nets you an additional $44 for instance. Exact figures vary by state.
People effectively sell vouchers or food benefits because they are desperately poor and need other things. As the refrain goes "food stamps don't buy diapers". In the case of WIC the vouchers may be for things that they literally don't need can't eat which will expire and thereby be lost.
This is an example of the inefficiency of buying things for people instead of letting them buy their own things.
It's a miserable living experience for their children. Welfare queens do exist even if they don't look like the media portrays them.
As I stated, I'm not against social programs, but I think there's substantial waste and program goals need to be realigned. It needs to be reimagined, and not from ivory towers like the techno-elite that gathers here on HN.
People might scam the system because they can't afford the kids they have, but nobody is having more kids just to scam the system.
Absolutely utterly false. Witnessed it personally.
I absolutely know both the financial details as well as personal motivations. Others in that sphere I do not have as much intimate knowledge of but they follow the same pattern and social circles.
This topic is something HN (or rather the demographics that tend to post on HN) simply has a giant blind spot on.
It's not so much that each kid is a net benefit. It's that having kids are a requirement to access many government programs in my state. Single folks simply don't get help. I still know people in my past life who have never worked a single day and have had all expenses paid for by the state using such programs. Add some child support in and it's a way to live, even if a pretty crappy one. There is also very little planning for when the benefits end as the kids age out.
I really think every young adult should have to spend a year living in a section 8 complex as an assistant super. It may open many eyes to the state of the US and our social condition.
As stated, I have personally witnessed this exact behavior. The common belief in certain circles seems to be this is unheard of and uncommon but I absolutely do not believe the mainstream statistics on the matter.
It's not just kids. It's a whole way of life. Usually SSDI is involved among other such shenanigans as well. It goes deep - to the point of ensuring your teenage kids show up to school exactly the minimum number of days to not get dinged on benefits.
" not just kids. It's a whole way of life. Usually SSDI is involved among other such shenanigans as well. It goes deep - to the point of ensuring your teenage kids show up to school exactly the minimum number of days to not get dinged on benefits."
Adding details isn't making this more plausible. Nobody is denying YOUR life experience just your third hand misunderstanding of other people's.
Now you have them living on child support, fraudulent disability, and neglecting their kids.
Have you considered that maybe you have skeevy family and this is not normal.
Because you can't imagine it or haven't seen it that doesn't mean it's a myth. I have known women who continuously have more kids from different fathers. I think many people ignore the fact that people can also qualify for getting their rent paid, free healthcare for the kids, etc. I have seen it in several different states, lived in the same apartments as them and now know about them from their family members who are my acquaintances.
But I agree with you on inefficiency. As I said, I think we need a holistic approach that looks at the overall needs and gets rid of some of the programs and just hands out cash as you said maybe.
It's very interesting to me that so many people these days are telling me what I've personally witnessed is not real.
Amazing how my personal bubble growing up apparently are the only ones committing such acts and literally no one else if you go by the stats.
Notable virtually no cash money which is basically required to live and work requirements for other benefits.
Welfare is what poor people rely on in addition to working not what they do instead of working.
This is why virtually everyone on food stamps is either temporarily between jobs, working, retired, disabled.
You can't just keep having kids and actually live indoors because the government will give you more food stamps but not more money.
What part of tanif being a few hundred a month and having a lifetime maximum of 5 years isn't getting through?
More kids = more poverty. The only angle to work is child support not welfare which is obviously the disconnect here.
The people I have seen who really milk the system work for cash, live with their boyfriend/SO and remain unmarried to keep the benefits coming (and just lie saying that the father isn't in the picture). So the burden of healthcare/food/rent is on the state and all of the income is fun money. Trucks/SUVs, jewelry, trips, rental houses, etc. follow. The kids only benefit as far as not starving, but they get free food at school/day care most of the year anyway so most stamps get sold. There's some who do very well and just stop caring about TANF anyway because it's overall pretty low value.
Another I've seen is just lying on the application so they get their benefits (I imagine similar to the others they say their husband/SO isn't in the picture) while they have a steady income stream from renting out their house.
Promoting affluence and the individual pursuit of happiness are two essential core values of the USA.
Well, then we better get rid of our entire banking, payments, and public debt financing system.
It was a bit of a mind bender to learn that Treasury auctions cannot fail. The Primary Dealers have to make a market, the the Fed has to provide them with whatever additional reserves they require to do so.
That also puts the lie to the nonsense about what happens if China stops buying our debt. Directly of course the answer is absolutely nothing. The Primary Dealers will continue to make a market. We would however notice if China embargoed us. And that’s something a lot of people somehow miss by focusing on the financial shenanigans. At some point economic activity has to be about real production.
And that’s the best argument for UBI. Postulate that the productive side of our economy is running considerably below capacity and then increasing demand via monthly helicopter drops isn’t crazy. I have my doubts about the truth of that postulate though in the real economy.
Much better would be to give everybody $1000 (or pick your number) per month directly, when they attend a private school. Regardless of how much that school costs. This preserves everybody’s full agency, as well as healthy competition.
From my perspective, the issue is that a lot of politicians operate as goal-oriented rather than systems-oriented problem solvers.
Many government programs generally operate as "give a man food" rather than "teach that man to fish".
It's no wonder that many problems are far further from being solved despite decades of cash pumped into them.
PS: If you're feeling butt-hurt about a comment, I welcome constructive feedback. Downvotes are fine, but do nothing to enhance mutual understanding. Tell me why goals are better than systems: I'd love to understand what the issue is.
It's totally systemic. America has socialism for the rich and rugged individualism for everyone else.
Over, the last 50 years, the government spent more than $16 trillion to fight poverty.
Yet today, 15 percent of Americans still live in poverty. That’s scarcely better than the 19 percent living in poverty at the time of Johnson’s speech. Nearly 22 percent of children live in poverty today. In 1964, it was 23 percent.
https://www.cato.org/commentary/war-poverty-50-despite-trill...
You see this with homeless services, high speed rail, etc. The ability to write big checks is seen as a win, and the jobs it produces gets pointed to.
The fact that so many remain unhoused and high speed rail remains unbuilt doesn't ring the alarm bells that it should.
In NYC for example we've gone through some recent periods of spending $300/night to house homeless, migrants, hurricane victims, longterm in hotels. I am talking months to years.
It's unfathomable to me that the feds/state/city are spending $100k/year run rate to house people temporarily where the end state is they get kicked out or moved somewhere worse. All this while other homeless live in communal shelters that are filled with violence and crime.
For that price we could be paying 3 years of rent on a decent apartment anywhere outside Manhattan. We could be putting a down payment on a house for them & then employ them in some sort of works program at $20/hour. These are things that could actually allow them to start building their life back up.
I'm not sure there is any incentive to solve the problem. And there is no accountability for anyone in government it seems, on either side of the aisle, at any level of government.
It’s also profoundly inefficient and stupid. Credit card companies can approve you in 15 seconds, there is no reason the government couldn’t
Additionally, most of the poverty programs I am familiar with are not a subjective decision process. You either meet the requirements or you don't. If you don't, they tell you why and you either agree or you have to appeal and get whatever incorrect information they have on file corrected.
Take the intensive case management for instance. If you are severely disabled and in need of assistance, the state will pay for a case manager to help you with life.
Case managers are paid $7 an hour when alone, $14 with a client. When they are with a client, they are instructed to do mostly paperwork. The goal here is to not actually help people, but to fill out paperwork in proximity to them to collect state funds, while paying social workers peanuts without benefits. So the case manager helping the impoverished is herself, financially insecure.
So where is all the money going?
A company manages the case managers, and they pocket the bulk of state funds. The management, board, and directors all live in very large houses and drive very expensive cars. Case managers drive 2002 Honda Accords without AC or a radio. Clients live in squalor, just happy to have someone doing their paperwork nearby. This is the American caste system.
So I think you can see, even when we fund social services, the money still ends up in the hands of the wealthy. It’s just what capitalism is designed to do.
I think more than capitalism v. socialism here the problem is that we are governed by filth who are looting public treasuries for themselves and their buddies.
Hence the conservative ideal of smaller government with limited powers, so that there is both less to loot from as well as a lesser ability for those in power to direct those treasures to themselves.
To get any kind of local tax raised, the local authority has to go through the oligarch-controlled legislature in Montgomery, where it would be shot down. And like that you end up with county roads on a 70-year replacement schedule.
We can imagine this enterprise organized another way which actually helps people. Fewer Ferrari dealerships would make sales, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make.
Capitalism is simply allowing private citizens to own, in part or full, the means of production such as farms and businesses. I'm not sure that capitalism is responsible for a decision about dispersing government money to create terrible jobs resulting in mismanagement and horrible customer service.
> money still ends up in the hands of the wealthy
I think the definition of wealthy requires money end up in someone's hands.
To me this is just free enterprise and private property rights.
Capitalism is more like when the strength of the capital itself gives it a significant or outsized influence compared to the fundamental enterprise and private ownership interest.
Usually when Other People's Money is involved in ways where a chain of resources & debt is built that can influence enterprise and ownership in ways that might not take place otherwise.
Both positive and negative outcomes can be leveraged or exaggerated, for instance in the case of a benevolent capitalist compared to a greedy one.
Edit: not my downvote, bump back up from me
Capitalism is just a system which allows private citizens to own the means of production.
Everything else is just people trying to overload a word to create a savior or boogey man.
Thank you for the vote correction.
That's because that bureaucracy isn't there to serve its clients. Its there to serve itself. Those are politically popular jobs that flourish on backs of the underserved and impoverished. There's no incentive to reduce the friction when for the most part poverty is seen as a personal moral failing. It's not the system. It's "them". And the system perpetuates itself and that belief.
[1] https://edd.ca.gov/siteassets/files/unemployment/pdf/fraud-i...
Lumping all social programs together and pointing out the one with the biggest fraud issue is disengenious —- e.g. the SSA reports that our disability programs have a fraud rate of less than 1%.
Seems a tad steep.
They are not money spent to help anyone, they are money spend to prevent access to existing programs.
However, the systems actually are gatekeeping on the basis of desert or merit. That's a more debatable virtue but the only viable alternative is to instead push out aid through local, flexible, discretionary face-to-face interactions between people who know one another well...... like when you helped a personal friend......
You're indirectly assuming it all gets passed down. If I were to guess I'd say only 70% does.
Reason being is because the rich siphon it all off for themselves.
See: https://www.justice.gov/archive/opa/pr/2003/June/03_civ_386....
Note the CEO of Columbia/HCA who committed the largest medicare fraud in history is now US Senator Rick Scott of Florida who just so happened to have plead the fifth 75 times during his questioning.
Please make your actual point and not hid behind a libertarian think tank.
https://www.thebalancemoney.com/fy-2012-u-s-federal-budget-a...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_S._Clark%27s_and_Robe...
Your statement is reminiscent of the prophet Ezekiel and his "Defiled Bread" (Ez 4:12-17), as that passage is called. Instead of human feces, Ezekiel got to use cowpats, but unlike you, the prophet still found it disgusting.
I have always interpreted the passage literally, as a reenactment of what the citizens of Jerusalem would have to endure while under siege by the forces of King Nebukadnezar.
The same cowpat is also used for to burn the offerings in the temples.
"Even if you're stuck in the bottom 5% of the US income distribution your standard of living is about equal to that of the top 5% of Indians. Even if you're in the bottom 10% your standard of living is about the same as that of the bottom 10% in other rich countries (which, so we are told, care so much more and do so much more) like Sweden and Finland. And when we sweep everything together into some sort of quality of life measure the American poor are better off than the French or German poor."
https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2013/06/01/astonish...
The Poorest 20% of Americans Are Richer on Average Than Most European Nations
https://fee.org/articles/the-poorest-20-of-americans-are-ric...
"A groundbreaking study by Just Facts has discovered that after accounting for all income, charity, and non-cash welfare benefits like subsidized housing and food stamps, the poorest 20 percent of Americans consume more goods and services than the national averages for all people in most affluent countries. This includes the majority of countries in the prestigious Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), including its European members. In other words, if the US “poor” were a nation, it would be one of the world’s richest."
Also, official data on US poverty may overestimate the problem.
"US low-income households greatly underreport both their income and non-cash benefits"
"There has been “a sharp rise” in the underreporting of government benefits received by low-income households in the United States. This “understatement of incomes” masks “the poverty-reducing effects of government programs” and leads to “an overstatement of poverty and inequality.”"
But once you pick through the details you realize they are looking at expenditure , not outcomes.
Considering this, and given the gross corruption and inefficiency of US welfare, most notably healthcare, it might be more accurate to say that "The poorest 20% of USA residents have as much money wasted on a farcical attempt to support them ..."
It's the Poverty Industrial Complex.
That aside, with regards to the data / statistics you've sited, my understanding is, many experts believe the income levels set by the government to define the poverty line are artificially low. If the line was more realistic the poverty rate would be much higher.
If this is even a slight bit true, then the government's "war on poverty" is another lost war.
It's clear as night and day that the reason why wealth inequality and poverty has been skyrocketing over the last 50 years is due to plummeting tax rates on the wealthy.
You can certainly draw connections - wealth inequality leading to housing inequality leading to homelessness, but that’s a bit more complicated.
I’ve been poor. I deal with chronic pain and, for a long while, it rendered me unable to work.
First: $1717 is a very low amount of money to live on.
I covered my costs in about $1200/mo while I received from room and board from family. It was extremely difficult to get my spending down to that, I had to default on loans and I expect it will take the better part of a decade to build credit again.
Second: how does one obtain this $20,610? I was denied virtually every social program I tried to sign up for. I was only able to cover my costs thanks to the charity of others.
It is misleading cato complains about general poverty but not look into where the money is going.
I also think there are many (perhaps most) who are reluctant/unwilling to extend those same benefits to those are merely unwilling to work.
So, we use bureaucrats and courts to confirm that a given situation is the former and not the latter.
This is pretty much where I left off with social security. Luckily for me, not long after my rejection I found a treatment option that helped me get back to work. The timeline for my first appeal before a judge would’ve been a year or more.
Just look at the difference in outrage between when there's some story of someone on public assistance buying something like smartphone, vs the reaction when we found out about all of the businesses abusing the PPP loan system. Or the fact that many of the PPP loans were forgiven.
It's like as a country we're fine with wealthy people abusing the system. But then we turn around and would rather let 100 deserving people struggle just so maybe one person can't get a free ride.
On public assistance and buying a smartphone? “That’s irresponsible and abusing the system!”
Wealthy and taking PPP loans or dodging taxes? “That’s smart and opportunistic thinking!”
In other words, the rationalizations exist to justify beliefs that were conceived long before these examples were discussed: namely, the wealthy are inherently more virtuous and better people all around.
We are unable to think differently on this because digging into it too much risks tearing down most people’s fragile motivational structures around their own striving.
I don't think that was a mis-use of the system, but rather the intended use of it. (We can argue whether it was a good or bad idea, but it plainly seems within the bounds of the program as designed/intended.)
https://www.urban.org/research/publication/2021-poverty-proj...
So a minor investment in making people’s lives suck a little less has improved the rate by almost a third.
I agree with the Cato Institute that we should invest more in the safety net.
https://theweek.com/articles/479867/federal-reserves-breatht...
>The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) is a program of the United States government to purchase toxic assets and equity from financial institutions to strengthen its financial sector [...]
>Through the Treasury, the US Government actually booked $15.3 billion in profit, as it earned $441.7 billion on the $426.4 billion invested
Turning $426B in 2009 into $445B in 2014 comes out to an 0.76% ROI, so not exactly a good deal for anyone but the shareholders who didn't lose their shirts.
Clearly not, considering they were able to sell it for a profit later.
>Turning $426B in 2009 into $445B in 2014 comes out to an 0.76% ROI, so not exactly a good deal for anyone but the shareholders who didn't lose their shirts.
I'm not claiming that it's a $0 bailout either. I'm only pointing out that $1 spent on anti‐poverty programs isn't comparable to $1 of TARP spending, so trying to directly compare the two like the parent poster was doing is misleading.
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_...
As a random example of subsidy of the wealthy, every year, the government loses at least $70B to just the mortgage interest deduction, which is allowed for the first $750K of the value of up to two homes. That is $2,160 for every poor person in America, or $6,480 per poor family of three.
edit:
> Little of the deduction’s benefits go to households that have difficulty affording a home. Data from the Census Bureau’s American Housing Survey show that in 2011, 10.5 million homeowners faced what HUD calls “severe housing cost burdens,” meaning they paid more than half of their income for housing. Some 90 percent of those homeowners (and about 40 percent of all homeowners) had incomes below $50,000, yet JCT estimates for 2012 show that homeowners with incomes below that level received only 3 percent of the benefits from the mortgage interest deduction.
At the same time, 77 percent of the benefits from the mortgage interest deduction went to homeowners with incomes above $100,000, almost none of whom face severe housing cost burdens. Some 35 percent of the benefits went to homeowners with incomes above $200,000; taxpayers in this income group who claimed the deduction received an average subsidy of about $5,000.
https://www.cbpp.org/research/mortgage-interest-deduction-is...
> "other than your main or second home"
2 homes are deductible.
“ Mortgage interest. Many U.S. homeowners can deduct what they paid in mortgage interest when they file their taxes each year. (The rule is that you can deduct a home mortgage's interest on the first $750,000 of debt, or $375,000 if you're married and filing separately.”
"Qualified residence" is itself defined at 26 USC §163(h)(4)(A)(i) as the taxpayer's "principal residence" and "1 other residence of the taxpayer."
This isn't really a benefit though, as the administrative overhead costs a lot less than the alternative of giving everyone money.
Here's Tanner's paper where he lists the programs he includes: https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/american-w...
I'll include a few here: Pell grants, SSI, and Medicaid. Including healthcare is the only way to reach that number, since it's the source of the vast majority of that total.
Why should healthcare spending be excluded from "anti-poverty" spending? The fact of the matter is that in the US, healthcare is privatized and people have to pay for it directly or indirectly (ie. by their employer). Therefore if the government is helping to pay for it, it's an anti-poverty program. It's not any different than food stamps counting as anti poverty spending.
Classifying healthcare spending as "anti-poverty" spending may lead to an inaccurate assessment of the effectiveness of these programs. Including healthcare spending in the evaluation of anti-poverty initiatives, it could potentially mask the true impact of more targeted interventions, such as food stamps, housing assistance, and cash transfers. This could, in turn, hinder the development of more effective policies and programs aimed at reducing poverty.
I don't buy this. If you want to figure out what the most effective policies/programs are, you'd need to run analysis on each program separately. If you did that, you would be able to separate out which parts had the greatest ROI. Dropping the most expensive component on the basis that it's ineffective is basically cherrypicking, especially when the claim that's being analyzed is whether government anti-poverty programs as a whole are effective or not.
This is simply not true or at best, misleading. The 2012 expenditure was $3.6 trillion, and 70% of that was defense, social security, medicare, and interest expense. You're saying more than half of the remaining spending for the entire government was anti-poverty? That makes zero sense.
I assume what you meant was 'authorized', and it was an amount spent over a long period of time. $20k per person, great. What percent actually gets to them? Maybe half at best? Great, so $10k. Over how many years? 5? Ok, so $2k a year at best estimates. Realistically it was less and over a longer period.
Cool, poverty is solved.
Maybe even more perplexing is that wealth inequality is geographic of all things: https://itep.org/the-geographic-distribution-of-extreme-weal... This is in part due to the fact that we continue to tax income rather than wealth, and those of vying for scraps are among the first to champion such policies. That all ties back to the first thing I said, which is that economic fluidity is a long ladder now.
Consider San Francisco, for instance. As a city with predominantly liberal and Democratic values, it is surprising that public schools have been closed throughout the year. And we all know how that had significant negative impact on underserved and economically disadvantaged children.
While some fortunate children have responsible and hardworking parents that just take kids with them leave them in the car while they clean houses (first hand experience), this is not the case for the majority: not supervision at all.
Addressing this issue is far from straightforward. When attempted to raise concerns, I was may labeled as anti-science and trumpy. I also mentioned that private schools have managed to remain open, their effor was to close them rather than finding solutions to support public education.
I really do not know and I think nobody who is not poor cares. Regardless what they say.
The poor then had much more thing poverty than we see today. Probably biggest change is more drug abuse now though.
money in ==> gov't processing ==> agencies providing service ==> service
(the "agencies providing service" would be NGOs or local organizations.)
You can look at your figures as "money in." The relevant figure is "service."
It's a lot harder to get that number.
How much of that is spent on administering the programs and paying those administrators? May be more effective to simply consolidate it into a negative income tax.
The government is also a societal structure that arises in society to manage contradictions between classes on behalf of the ruling class. In the US the laws and enforcement benefit the ruling class.
Until a different ruling class takes over, America will continue to subsidize affluence rather than alleviate poverty.
[0]: https://naacp.org/find-resources/history-explained/origins-m...
This seems poorly supported, even by the cited article - it just says there was a group A doing X, then A doing Y, then later the police did Y too.
And, what about:
- police forces outside the South?
- influence from policing around the world, especially England?
Slavery existed outside the South.
>influence from policing around the world, especially England?
English policing had very different standards that were derived from Peelian Principles [0], at least until the very recent push for militarization.
That there might exist other influences behind modern day policing than just slave patrols doesn't free the institution from that stain.
Policing as an institution should be recognized as what it is - one social class being given tremendous resources to support the casual and regular enactment of violence upon other social classes.
I, personally, don't rely on violence, or threats of violence, in my day to day, and don't support anyone else doing the same, even if they think they really really really need violence in their lives.
Sure you do. You might not have to actually make the threats, but the implicit threat protects you and your property.
Their threats don't protect me any more than I protect myself with threats against others. Which I don't. I'm big on consent.
Do not say something so nakedly condescending and dismissive of my stated views.
Do you do this to others?
'i don't consent to [...]'
'sure you do. [...]'
For your sake and those you interact with, I hope the answer is 'no'.
You can't absolve yourself of that by simply denying it. You'd need to make it clear that anything you temporarily possess is free for the taking and that people are free to assault or kill you without police response (and somehow convince the police to honor your wishes).
Police don't protect people from people.
People don't not assault and kill others because of police.
There's abundant counterfactuals I could list that demonstrate that people generally don't avoid unethical behavior because of the police.
And, police are often the originators of unethical behavior.
I humbly propose that you grow your mental model of policing in America to a more sophisticated level.
Marketing is not reality.
What books on policing have you read? What credibility do you bring to disregard the assertion?
And yes, the association between deputized slave patrols and Chicago and la police departments is sufficient to explain the harm these institutions cause.
Policing, as an institution, should be eliminated. Stop the paychecks, eliminate the categorical exception they get for doing violence to others.
What would you do about murderers?
The police as an institution should be eliminated.
Was I unclear?
Because I don't think you meant that you would simply eliminate the police and allow murderers to roam free. Or allow private security forces, gangs, and warlords to take over.
So after you eliminate the police, how would you arrange your ideal society?
The existence of police dramatically harms the possibility of an ideal society, because they do so much violence with such immunity.
You seem to think that I believe that the status quo is somehow acceptable or tolerable.
This is like saying 'if the US military didn't initiate war against another country, how would it ensure compliance of that population with the wishes of the United States?'
Obviously the answer is to not go to war, and not concern oneself with whether or not another population is sufficiently compliant.
The full and detailed answer to your question is outlined in a book titled 'The problem of political authority: and examination on the right to coerce and the duty to obey'
And in your ideal society, to whom could people turn for protection from the private security groups?
Your question also assumes the point that police are useful for dealing with murderers, which is not a point I'll cede uncontested.
Policing, because it's founded on the initiation of violence, is immoral.
Mature people can solve problems without resorting to violence. We can solve the problem of others being willing to do violence to us, more easily without a police agency, than with a police agency.
If you or I wanted the freedom to do harm to others, the best route for both of us would be to go join a local police force because they have immunity for the crimes that they commit against citizens.
And the problem isn't how to solve disputes between people who can solve problems without resorting to violence. The problem is how to deal with people who can't, or don't want to.
Someone has to use violence to resist violence. If you can think of a better way to govern that group, great, but just proposing to eliminate them entirely is a child's dream.
Even the book you mentioned acknowledges that. In the chapter Individual Security in a Stateless Society, it says:
> The inhabitants of the anarchic society would most likely wish to develop systematic institutions ... [that] serve the function that police serve in governmental systems.
People may not understand this, but simply restating a premise without further evidence makes the assertion weaker, not stronger. If there was evidence, it would have been presented.
So the last sentence acknowledges the greater risk of renting in poorer areas. Now if you have even a basic economic understanding, you realize that higher risk investments need to offer higher returns. If renting in rich areas offered the same return as investing in poor areas with lower risk, you would have a lot fewer rentals in poor areas.
I.e. if 10% of renters will wreck their house but rents are higher by 30% on the whole, then a large landlord should be able to shrink that gap (i.e. principle of insurance - they can eat the loss) - versus a small landlord who would want extra padding to account for the risk.
if landlords earn double over a long period of time then the risk isn't as high as they claim.
https://www.prb.org/resources/how-poverty-in-the-united-stat...
Plus, the poor can't afford to lobby.
> In other words, if poverty is the result of individual decisions, it is largely decisions by the rich. Desmond wants the wealthy to “take less” in exchange for a safer, fairer, less anxious society. Are they ready to listen?
In graphs across many dimensions, America is an outlier and not an exceptional one. First we have to actually want to fix it. Then we need to figure out a mechanism.
The mechanisms are the easy part.
There is true, desperate poverty in the U.S. I don't mean to dismiss that. But much of what people in the U.S. consider to be poverty today passed as middle-class America 40 years ago. In a sense, the difference between alleviating poverty and subsidizing affluence can often be a state of mind. When a family with a house and a car and three televisions tries to improve their situation so the single parent isn't working three jobs while the 12-year old kid fixes Ramen for the siblings, that's an effort to rise out of poverty. But that family is still a 10-percenter globally.
I'm reminded of a situation I witnessed fairly close up a while back. A family in our community lost everything when their house burned down. They weren't poor before the fire, but I don't think they or anybody else in the community considered them to be rich. Before dinnertime on the day their house burned down, each of their children had a place to sleep, clothes to get by for the next week, and a lot of hope that their circumstances were temporary. Within months, a lot of hard work from the parents, neighbors, and extended community put the family back in their rebuilt home. It probably took years to really replace everything. But today the family is well situated.
I have seen others who have received similar levels of assistance who are much less well situated. The biggest difference I can perceive is a state of mind. One story can be characterized as a case of subsidized affluence. Some others have been efforts to keep their heads above water. But the level of assistance was very similar.
I am not saying that poor people are poor because they choose to be poor. But I can't escape the thought that a poverty rescue program and a wealth management program could cost the same amount of money and target the exact same people and have different outcomes. A casserole delivered to a family in need might do less good than a neighborhood block party that feeds the same family. Granted, a block party might not be appropriate for a family recovering from a funeral. But it illustrates the different mindset.
Systemically, we do have policies that lead to some guaranteed level of poverty - our economic system requires that there be some optimal level of unemployment, the minimum wage basically determines the minimum standard of living for a fully employed person, and policies like how much SSI/disability pay directly impact the recipients’ standard of living. And then of course there are contributors like cyclical/generational poverty in ghettoes and certain rural areas, the war on drugs (the associated gang/criminal activity, imprisonment affecting careers, children growing up without a parent), an often poorly performing public educational system.
On an individual level you can say “well, if you made XYZ choices maybe you wouldn’t be poor” in a lot of cases, but in aggregate it’s basically guaranteed some people will experience poverty, and that is also a factor for most of those individuals. Some people will always get imprisoned or grow up in unstable households, or not have skills/opportunities for more than minimum wage jobs, or be disabled to the point of not being able to work. There will always be people without savings or who get “broken” by adversity rather than rising above it. If you give people money unconditionally I guarantee you it will always help some people stabilize and lift them up to the point of not needing it, but there will always be at least some people that just spend it all on extra consumption.
That’s what makes poverty a real challenge. Some poverty spending on individuals will be wasted, which no taxpayer wants, but in preventing that we introduce other kinds of waste like bureaucracy and welfare cliffs, and introduce low limits on how much you can receive which then limits how much poverty programs can assist people. And no matter how much we spend, there will be some people who remain “poor” in the sense of being completely reliant on the spending with nothing to fall back on.
Some will call my thinking Polyannish, but it really helps to think this way. My neighbor needs a car for 30 minutes and I don't need to use mine at the moment. Here's the keys. Maybe they kick me $5 for gas and $10 for insurance and $2 for wear and tear. Or maybe they just let me borrow their lawn mower a few times. Or maybe they teach my kid how to play guitar. Maybe we don't keep score. We just know that together we got through the last flood.
If we start getting jealous of each other because she's got a bigger house or I stacked fewer sandbags, we become weaker as a whole. Of course I can't sit around and just mouch. And she can't either. And I'm not trying to justify the rich who exploit the poor. But we can do a lot at the neighbor to neighbor human level that makes life better for us all without government intervention. When it happens in poor neighborhoods we can call it poverty prevention; when it happens in rich neighborhoods we can call it an affluence subsidy. I wish we could just do it a lot more between and across all neighborhoods and call it normal.
We should build enough normal houses in areas people want to live such that 90%+ can afford them, make owning and operating a car affordable, and make raising a family affordable.
I don't think any of this is about spending money. It's more about defining the problem. As I see it the problem is that a ton of people are in a super precarious position, renting their lives with no real stability.
That hasn’t really worked anywhere: popular places attract so many people that you literally can’t put supply into synch with demand. San Francisco is already a dense city, would it be as cheap as Manhattan if it had Manhattan like density? Maybe, but Manhattan isn’t cheap.
It might be better to focus more on better intercity and intracity transport like they do in Japan, or allow for smaller cheaper places to live like they do in Tokyo (incidentally, aggressively deprecating the value of structures like they do in Japan might help as well).
The vast majority of residential there is single family homes. Why do you think this?
https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/sf-map-single-family-...
> 38% of the city’s land is zoned for single-family homes, which is almost two-thirds of all the land zoned for residential purposes.
You can’t say building density doesn’t work when it hasn’t even been tried in the last 30 years.
> You can’t say building density doesn’t work when it hasn’t even been tried in the last 30 years.
What do you mean? I lived in Beijing for 9 years, and it was plenty dense, and plenty expensive to rent for locals.
Is that supposed to mean something? Most housing there doesn’t look like a The Painted Ladies anyways, and being denser amongst the most middling cohort possible isn’t an accomplishment.
> I lived in Beijing for 9 years, and it was plenty dense
What’s plenty? Why do you think it’s enough? And idk if you’ve noticed, but China has had an insane urbanization rush for the last 20+ years, so high housing costs in their cities isn’t surprising.
Row house are dense housing. No yards, they don’t take up much space on the ground. If you are comparing it to people who live in apartments sure, not as dense, but the SFHs you think exist in SF don’t really, the neighborhoods are all fairly dense given the land costs involved.
> And idk if you’ve noticed, but China has had an insane urbanization rush for the last 20+ years, so high housing costs in their cities isn’t surprising.
How is that different from “The popular place everyone wants to live should build enough housing to support that affordably”? Consider:
IDK if you’ve noticed, but a lot of people want to live in Seattle in the last 20+ years, so high housing costs in Seattle isn’t surprising.
Are you just using another standard for China, or do you mean the situation is truly different?
The vast majority of people don't want that. It's a sticking plaster.
People want normal lives. Not pokey flats with no car and eating vegetables. That's a 1, maybe 5% bizarro world coastal thing.
Let's take home values, for example. Homeowners are typically against changes that can decrease their property value because of how important home ownership is for generational wealth here. We've made the assumption that house prices will increase YoY forever, which just isn't feasible - especially considering homes will age and encounter more and more issues as they age.
Naturally, you have NIMBYs who don't want their home values to decrease – honestly, I can't blame them. I think making housing affordable for everyone (or at least _most_ of everyone) will require a significant shift about how we think about home ownership.
There's also the hidden cost of suburban developments to cities[0] which results in chronic underfunding of city services, not to mention the added cost of car ownership typically required to live in a single-family home. I drive rather little, but typically spend ~$150/mo on insurance and gas alone in a given month.
It's a hard problem that will require many people smarter than me to figure out how to get us out of this web. But I think that it can happen if we acknowledge that our cities have problems and actually invest time and money into fixing it.
[0]: https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2018/5/7/the-more-we-bui...
In reality, the sheer number of middle/upper middle/upper income and the tax revenue needed for a EU style social welfare would require an increase across a much broader tax base.
So tax the billionaires more too, but we aren't getting a lot more government service from that alone.
$60k American income person pays marginal income tax of 12% or 22% depending on single or married. And sales tax probably 7%. Even if they live in a high tax state, add another 6% income tax maybe.
USA has some similar advantages in resources and arable land which Europe lacks. So comparing like for like tax rates makes no sense.
Or things like conscription, for example, allows the Government the power to spend arbitrarily, since they can set whatever wage they want for the conscripted citizens, in theory (thereby controlling their own cost). This may not show up in nominal numbers (since they're reporting a cost that they themselves set) - for example, see USSR in WWII. If reported in nominal income, the cost of the war would have been 3x as large as normally reported.
This is billionaire propaganda[1] to get the middle class to fight thier class war - it is a class war against the poor and middle class . The tax rate of the ultra-rich are at an all time low
1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPKKQnijnsM shows the gap between people (like you) think the wealth distribution is vs the reality. It was made 10 years ago and has gotten further skewed since then. Start from to 2:40 if you're in a hurry.
The US has one of the most progressive tax systems. What Buffet is pointing out that at the .1 level it plateaus out (even falls in some cases) when it should still be going up.
> If you drive a Civic or a Ferrari, you still arrive to your destination in about the same amount of time
We're on the same page on the diminishing marginal utility of wealth[1].
> If you can't afford a car and have to take a bus it takes you 2-4x as long.
Perhaps if we taxes the billionaires at the same rate we tax those earning $240k, we could afford to improve bus services so it only takes 2x as long.
1. Incidentally, I hold that to be a strong an argument for higher-than-average tax rates for the ultra wealthy - but that's an argument for another day
In my opinion, anything that tries to simplify the interests of billions of actors is a form of populist propaganda. It allows bad actors to prove that they're on the "people's side" just because they virtue signal against the "evil side" in order to advance their own interests: for example, crypto-scammers complaining about banks or Hitler complaining about rich Jewish bankers.
> The tax rate of the ultra-rich are at an all time low
Right. The problem is that the taxing the ultra-rich is difficult to do because they have the resources to avoid these taxes, and they don't actually raise that much money. So what happens is that the left always ends up raising taxes on the professional class like California. I personally wouldn't have an issue with this, if were better spent, like in the Nordic countries, but they clearly aren't in the US.
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPKKQnijnsM
This video just shows that most Americans are bad at math. Even if literally everyone made the exact same amount of income, the wealth distribution would look closest to the last one because older people would have more time to accumulate more wealth.
There are plenty of other countries with old people.
I disagree with what I read as your core argument, which is "It's going to happen anyway, so lets not fight it"
And literally all of them have a wealth distribution that looks like that last one. Say you lived in a place where everyone saved $10k a year and worked for 50 years. Then the bottom 10% would have an average of $25k saved, and the top 10% would have $475k saved. If you add a modest 3% rate of return on investment, that brings the top 10% to ~$1 million. Visually this looks closest to the last wealth distribution. Wow much inequality! Time to eat the rich!
> "It's going to happen anyway, so lets not fight it"
This is such a disingenuous interpretation of my comment. Telling you not to volunteer to be a footsoldier of a class crusade isn't saying that we should do nothing. If you have a good argument for why should increase the capital gains tax rate, and why the fears of it disincentivizing investment are overblown, I'm all for it.
Oh, really?! In spite the "high" taxes elsewhere (read Europe)? So why not rescind the billionaire tax-cuts in the US then and beef up the threadbare social safety-nets? Seeing taxes won't impede the "job creators" from accumulating disproportionate wealth.
My afar observation is that most Americans that supposedly support an European-style welfare state are not ready to pay the required taxes to fund it. For some reason, they want a strong welfare state with their current tax burden, ala, hypocrisy.
Note: This does not mean the ultra-rich won’t pay high taxes too, but taxing them alone won’t fund a strong welfare state.
How about a “first, do no harm” discussion about the ways government actively benefits the rich, through the Cantillon effect and regulatory capture, instead of always focusing on confiscatory redistribution.
— Rev. M.L. King
But the opposite seems true.
I can't remember the exact number, but here in California, the top 1% pays around 40% of the taxes.
When will we have a discussion on government waste?
Much of California's problems lie in regulatory capture. Housing can't be built because homeowners have experienced great wealth gain and don't want it to be touched (at the detriment of livability for all generations after -- or folks attempting to climb to socioeconomic ladder).
Then you could make a similar argument for social spending on homelessness, which at least from the Bay Area seems wasteful in that it doesn't attack root problems (drug rehab and housing).
I would agree with that last comment. Currently, social spending on homelessness IS wasteful. LA's Prop HHH is a joke, it's only led to the rise of the homelessness industrial complex. It's not the equity built but the red tape...
Many people here support a strong central government. However, I do not.
Not to say governments are particularly good at it either, but there's at least the opportunity for better alignment of incentives and transparency there, unlike with corporations.
If government money must be spent on poverty alleviation, the money should go directly to poor people's bank accounts with as few hops as possible.
The top 1% of earners (doctors, lawyers, dentists) usually get shafted with income taxes while the top 1% rentiers get taxed very little - especially in California (which has very low property taxes).
The rentiers usually try to rhetorically conflate the two - primarily because the 1% of earners are taxed a lot and there is an obvious societal downside to taxing (e.g. dentists) more (we need their skills) but especially because the only societal downside to taxing a rentier more is by incorrectly identifying/taxing rentier behavior.
In most states there are annual property taxes based on it's value. Those go to schools, roads, and whatnot.
Here in California we have statewide rent control, in LA there is a seemingly never ending eviction moratorium...
Hell, I sold my house a couple of years ago to RENT in a better area because it's cheaper and easier! Let the evil landlord deal with all of the headaches. It's a pain in the neck I don't need.
Rentiers are taking on great risk and responsibility, especially in socialist states like California. They deserve the reward. Often, rentiers that own large complexes like those discussed in the article are groups. Not single individuals. It's a stressful business. Have you personally dealt with code enforcement actions?
What good is wealth if it's just on paper?
Still, I think he misses the mark a bit. He says that he “ wants the wealthy to ‘take less’ in exchange for a safer, fairer, less anxious society.” I think it’s a bad pitch. It is safer, but not for the wealthy; they mostly don’t interact with the poor, since they live in secluded upscale neighborhoods. It is fairer, except from the perspective of the people who are paying to make it more fair, while others benefit. Society is less anxious, but not the people who are financing the operation, since they have less money. It’s a net benefit to society, but I don’t believe it’s a benefit to everyone.
There’s also a substantial obstacle to ideas like these: mostly, the rich make the rules, and they are unlikely to make rules that go against their self-interest.
In my opinion, rather than finding ways to redistribute income, we should be looking for ways to predistribute income. Programs and policies like welfare and progressive taxes are, in my opinion, bandaids attempting to cover up that the game is rigged; rather than addressing that some folks are able to amass far more wealth, or earn a far higher income, they attempt to correct for the fact that it happened afterward. I think that’s backwards, and society should make policies that make it harder to have inequality in the first place.
One example would be taxing share buybacks at the same rate as dividends, since they are fundamentally the same mechanism for returning capital to shareholders, except one receives favorable tax treatment. Another example (and my guess is this is the largest) is having reasonable interest rates. Net worths of upper middle class Americans have skyrocketed over the last twenty years (and more) because of very low interest rates which have created asset bubbles in real estate and equities. This has also been a huge boon to the ultra-rich. These increased asset prices also have the effect of depressing returns for all, and raising the cost of housing for all. It also fuels the income gap between rich and poor because folks in high growth industries are able to earn disproportionately more than in low growth ones.
The way forward is to level the playing field, rather than acknowledging or complaining the playing field is not level and then attempting to correct for that after the fact.
If you make it hard to be rich, the rich will just go somewhere else, not abide by your rules.
The wealth redistribution narrative is as dumb as the plot of the "The Purge" franchise. If there's going to be a purge you just travel to a country without purge.
I view that as a net win considering wealth doesn't actually "trickle down" from the wealthy: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tax-cuts-rich-50-years-no-trick...
The presence or absence of a billionaire in a given jurisdiction won't be the deciding factor for those industries as evidenced by every other city without tech billionaires that has a thriving restaurant and service industry.
Do you remember when SF passed a dumb tax law and Stripe had to move their office out of town? Then all the office workers had to go too (or go remote), then the completely obvious effect described above happened?
I remember. My friends in the restaurant industry remember.
This is not financial advice and I am not a financial advisor.
Yes and no. Rich people don't want to live in California simply because of their tax treatment. Rich people don't want to live in London because of the privileges given to bankers. People don't want to live in Vancouver simply because of the real estate market. Rich people want to live in these places because these places are great places in which to live. Weather, politics, safe streets, your wealthy kids not being kidnapped for ransom money, access to ambulance services, clear air/water, not having legions of poor people at your gate every morning, being able to go for a morning jog without bodyguards, not having to bribe the cops every other day ... Rich people care about things beyond lower taxes. Those things are basically the same as everyone else.
Rich people want their bank account to live in offshore tax havens. They don't want to raise children in such places. There is a reason why every Chinese billionaire has property in Vancouver, why every mega celebrity has an apartment in New York and a house in London.
If it's too new or too abstract to be illegal, you will find a California company for it.
The race for technological advancement is not to make the world a better place, it's a race against legislation to find things that are not yet regulated and profit for them for as long as possible.
1. Enter unregulated market
2. Profit as much as possible
3. Use lobby to keep regulation away
4. Once it's so regulated that it's hard to make money from it, find another unregulated thing to do
Examples: Google's Doubleclick fiasco, Uber, Airbnb, Coinbase, etc.
Several Tories decided that not paying taxes was better than sitting in Parliament and so they quit as a result of this.
Did I endorse such system, or simply described reality?
If I tell you right now "your tax rate is now 90%". What will you do?
For people that work for minimum wage, you are ultrarich.
I'll tell you what you'll do: leave the country. And even if you don't, everyone else will.
But governments now are a bit smarter than that. Instead of raising your tax rate they will simply devaluate your money through inflation.