You need a tax professional (or even a semi-pro); in the interim, I'd suggest solely relying on what you read on the IRS website.
Generally speaking, by default you are likely cash-basis -- but yeah, this income & especially with "high variance", get with a professional. If nothing else, figure out whether you actually need a loan or not before applying/asking for one...
IANAL/IANA-tax-pro -- but you almost surely do not need a loan.
A payment recieved at the end of a quarter would be included in the ETP due 2 weeks later.
Generally in the US individuals are taxed on income when actually received.
Note to other reply: estimated tax payments are made during the year. While you can net out expenses, if income is distributed unequally during the year this can result in penalties/interest if you underpay in one quarter based on the liability as calculated after the year ends (to complicate things, there are multiple ways to estimate tax payments during the year to account for these situations).