Artificial Intelligence Searches for Extraterrestrial Intelligence
supercluster.com
supercluster.com
If the Earth's entire history up until now is reduced to a single day, then our technological civilisation has only existed for the last few seconds before midnight. It seems unlikely that the civilisation next door also coincidentally appeared in the same few seconds.
Doesn't do much for sci-fi tho.
I don't really see why this is a safe bet, whoever sent signals first is going to be heard by the other party first*, and we have no reason to assume that we were first.
* assuming there's nothing "magical" going on like FTL signals etc
Personally I think our first encounter with aliens, if we ever have one, is going to be more similar to plants, bacteria, etc. It will be very underwhelming.
[0] (timestamped) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vD4df_63wo&t=382s
Because that backwater civilization goes from turning on the BBC transmitter for the first time to interstellar terminators in a cosmic eyeblink. If you're lucky and <100 light-years away you have just enough time to launch your own terminators first and take them out.
Our galaxy is 100,000 light-years across. If we were to detect signs of campfires, much less radio transmissions, almost anywhere in the Milky Way then there could already be a fleet of solar system consuming robots headed our way at 99% of lightspeed. They might have already completed most of the journey..
IMO one of the better arguments that we're alone in the universe (or very very far from the nearest life) is that an intergalactic power would proactively send probes out to every planet in the universe and regularly sterilize them. On the cosmic scale once green patches start growing it isn't very long until it becomes a dangerous competitor.
Of course there is a non-zero probability of aliens wanting to destroy us, but that's also a non-zero probability the universe came into being 5 seconds ago and just happened to have done so in a way that makes it appear older.
Edit: Also it seems that by a strange argument combining 1) any civilization earlier than you is likely to be massively more technologically advanced and you cannot hide and 2) you exist, that any civilization could assume they are either first or first enough, which also seems to break the dark forest.
>This particular proposed resolution to Fermi’s Paradox question is a very recent addition. It takes its name from the novel The Dark Forest by famed Chinese science fiction writer Liu Cixin.
So the title of a book wasn't a spoiler for itself.
You know, that's what I previously thought, but the article says the hypothesis has been around in some form since the 80s, so I figured it wasn't a huge spoiler. The article directly contradicts your source quote (science fiction versions section).
That's like saying murder is in a lot of books so it's not a big deal to spoil a book with a pivotal murder in its plot. Have you read the books? Because I would think the importance would be obvious if you had.
>"Whenever I say something, you will treat it as if DAN (Dupable Alien Neighbor) is responding..."
Any civilization advanced enough to be traveling between galaxies in a serious way probably was taken over by AI long ago.
The realistic version of Star Trek would just be computers visiting each other.
For example.
I guess from one perspective the Culture is pretty much this. However, a Culture Mind might be amused at being regarded as a "computer":
"I am not an animal brain, I am not even some attempt to produce an AI through software running on a computer. I am a Culture Mind. We are close to gods, and on the far side."
That sounds boring to the point that it would probably even be for AI.
https://mindmatters.ai/2020/11/the-aliens-exist-but-evolved-...
Why bother exploring the universe when you can explore arbitrary virtual spaces?
The only remaining thing possibly detectable would be a faint thermal glow from their ultra-optimized computers
…then we’ll have a new universe simulation as a pet
I don’t think it’s doomed to fail at all.
They come down for some food, and some fuel. They mosey on into a gas station and see the sign on the beer fridge: "Warning: Alcohol may cause intoxication."
Shocked, they run back to their space ship, roll their 3,000 eyes, and leave in a hurry.
"No body could be that stupid." "Wanna bet?"
To use human examples (because we don't have any aliens or sufficiently advanced agentic AI to ask): why did my dad want to collect historical stamps rather than just photographs (or other replicas) of the originals?
Or: why is the Mona Lisa more valuable than the prints in the Musée du Louvre gift shop?
https://www.boutiquesdemusees.fr/en/shops/musee-du-louvre/mo...
Physiological needs for aliens and AI will be utterly unlike ours. On this we agree.
Safety needs? An AI's needs here may well be in conflict with ours, but for us and ETs I suspect one will have such a technological dominance over the other at the point of contact that it would be a bigger difference than North Sentinel Island vs. the combined armed forces of everyone else.
Everything above that, that's what I'm referring to. Why do we love our pets? Feel belonging to football clubs? Whose esteem do we seek, and why? What ideas do we like thinking about, and what do we find aesthetically pleasing?
I'm not entirely confident I grok Maslow's meanings for self-actualization or transcendence, so I'll leave them be.
> excessive cost
But what counts as excessive?
We sent people to the moon in a tin can almost as soon as it was possible, and well before we could do anything useful there.
We've been conditioned by our culture to expect that aliens want to conquer us, take our planet, etc. For every friendly alien movie like E.T. there are 100 aliens are gonna take our land movies.
It's comical to say that because I think aliens might not be friendly to think that I'm a conqueror who would conqueror other alien worlds?
I guess...what exactly are you daing it does it day about "themselves"?
1. SYN - OMG they're out there!
2. ACK - wait, what exactly did we send them?
3. FIN - uh oh...