Ask HN: Who the heck isnt gonna be prompting any time soon?
I mean significantly not, not like a replacement of googlem. I go first: nurses.
Related to that, deafblind and deaf interpretation.
They'll eventually become obsolete in a century or so (maybe a few decades based on how fast things move?), but it won't be prompts and computer learning that replace them. It'll be significant advances in robotics and general purpose AI (scenario 1), or a major rethink of how the affected systems are structured (scenario 2).
1. Engineers (building tech)
2. Technicians (running the tech and troubleshooting, providing a human interface)
3. Capital Owner/Manager
Nursing will be the 2nd job and it will be devalued, they will prompt an AI for things like diagnoses and they will supply it with data.
Edit: if i understand correctly, engineers will build tech with their new computer: GPT.
They need to arbitrate the sometimes conflicting orders from various doctors, and actually deliver care to the patients. It’s a job that if anything will be more in demand and is fungible. As a nurse you’re not trapped in a geographical area or employer, and have a wide variety of career paths.
Engineering is a feast and famine business. Once growth slows, engineers get devalued. If AI is a thing, most of the full stack engineers, front end people and SREs will experience an implosion in demand and salary. No more massages and $500k compensation. See the early 90s movie “Falling Down”.
If nursing is an interest and you’re starting out, it’s a much better career in 2023 than software stuff.
The issue is growth. Individual prosperity is tied to growth - that’s why engineers are so well paid; they are productive employees priced based on future value. Once growth slows, value crashes.
The big “if” is whether AI is as big of a deal. Personally, i think it’s a field with a lot of hype historically. But nursing is still a great career path, if for no reason other than not being stuck in particular geographical areas.