Which city builds skyscrapers the fastest?
constructionphysics.substack.com
constructionphysics.substack.com
https://www.dezeen.com/2021/09/07/911-anniversary-skyscraper...
Skyscrapers also have a footprint that might no be immediately obvious - it's their energy, water and food demand. Assuming they're inhabited by humans, what's the amount of agricultural land needed to provide for those humans? What's the energy demand, how many modular 100 MW nuclear power plants or hectares of solar PV panels (plus associated 24/7 storage/distribution centers) are needed to keep the elevator, lights, pumps, ventilation and heating/AC functioning? How much water do they consume daily?
That's the kind of 'skyscraper footprint analysis' that architects should be asked to submit for any building design.
If we want to go larger, then imagine multiple installations like this, perhaps specializing in different production capabilities, and trading among one another. Sort of a Factorio gameplay scenario.
Basically, would skyscrapers (or underground versions) be the best way to colonize Mars (you'd still need the large agricultural zones)? See also Mad Max: Fury Road for the dystopian version (BulletFarm, GasTown, and Hydroponics/Milk IIRC).
Back on Earth, the issue would be that if you doubled the population density of a city by building a lot of skyscrapers without also doubling the regional agricultural zone size, you'd end up dependent on import of foodstuffs from remote regions, which could become a problem.
Thinking with the perspective of, how do we service this land for growth/people changes one's perspective.
People often think...look at all this empty land, it can hold so many people... but, where will they get their power (which can relatively easily be transmitted long distances). Water and sewage are another challenge. Water of a sufficient quality and quantity needs to come from somewhere and be treated, sewage needs to be conveyed to a treatment plant, treated, and discharged to, generally, a river or lake. So much infrastructure is needed for modern society, especially density, that is often not thought about by most.
For example, I was at a gas station on a highway where there are no cities nearby and another customer asked if there were any car washes. I thought about it for a minute and realized that there's no sewage treatment around so there's nowhere to send car wash water. They could store it and truck it but that would be quite expensive.
Thanks for coming to my shower thoughts TEDx talk.
All of these problems are easier with higher density, not harder. Would you rather run and maintain a few giant sewer lines for a million people, or thousands of small sewer lines over hundreds of miles? Sewage treatment plants benefit enormously from economies of scale. Economies of scale and lower transportation costs make higher-density living more economical in nearly every way.
But that's not really the problem faced with construction, except when building on previously undeveloped land. Significant increase in density imposes commentate additional demand on existing infrastructure, which is much harder to expand than to operate and quite probably vastly harder to expand than it would've been to build initially to that expanded state before there was a dense city on top of it.
It's hard to understand somehow that the trade-off is between ruin a giant area or totally ruin (even that's subjective) a much, much smaller area.
Reindeer herders in Siberia, for example, are probably more in tune with their environment than any vegan cultivator in that zone could be.
A building materials professor I knew years ago talked often about how robust Canadian skyscrapers were, and how many pre-9/11 U.S. designs never would have been approved there. I suspect differences in local building robustness code play a role in how much square footage makes it into skyscrapers in a locality, and how quickly.
Yes, that is a footprint, and it's almost universally much lower than any other form of housing. Modern construction is very efficient, and it's much more environmentally friendly to consolidate these concerns than to spread it out.
> That's the kind of 'skyscraper footprint analysis' that architects should be asked to submit for any building design.
What you're proposing is really just another way to block construction, NIMBY-style. Nobody asks for these proposals when building tract housing. Why should it be any different for shared housing? It's not like the amount of food and water people need varies based on where they live.
Of course they do. In my area we require any proposed development to include a detailed independent analysis (not a few pages, it's an inch thick book) of all the infrastructure requirements to support that development as well as the predictable downstream effects, and so on.
Maybe that's not universal. Maybe it's why my suburban area hasn't experienced any of the infrastructure failure predicted by places like strong towns despite well over 100 years and counting. But I expect that it is more common than not.
If you're only talking about "how much food land somewhere in the world do we need to support X people here or somewhere else" then sure, I guess nobody probably does that. Regardless of housing style. It's not very useful, unless we're planning some dystopian population controls and are looking for justification.
Yes, that's what I'm talking about.
Environmental analysis of the other form is commonplace, but varies by locality. In some places, the environmental review process is already weaponized in order to block construction with absurd claims, purely for self-serving purposes.
To be honest, I was more thinking about how to build cities on Mars than that issue. High-density skyscrapers surrounded by dedicated agricultural production might be the best issue, although I suppose people will still fight each other over who gets to live on the top floor with the best views...
I'm certainly not saying skyscrapers are 'bad', but a lot of people don't seem to understand that one human needs about a hectare or four (depending on dietary choices) of productive agricultural land just to sustain basic life necessities (food, cotton, wool, wood, etc.).
I struggle to think of a scenario in which a developer would build a high rise in a city that didn’t already have the demand for that much new housing.
Beyond that, cities do already plan for infrastructure capacity. (As an example, certain new construction in Seattle has to pay a fee for some time to help cover the cost of capacity expansion.)
Of course what you’re saying is right in that a new skyscraper will increase load on existing infrastructure. But I struggle to think of cities that aren’t handling that already… and then building skyscrapers that start causing brownouts and water shortages. That just doesn’t typically happen. (In other words, why would we need an extra permitting/design step when it’s already being done to some extent.)
Beyond that, skyscrapers are built in places with existing population density, so it’s not like we’re doubling population density in the city.
Not to mention parking minimums, which are very common. And developers love to capitalize on parking. (Most new high rises in Seattle have several below-ground floors of private parking, and it ain’t cheap!)
We should either require this for all buildings or for none. People are gonna have to live and work somewhere. Typically the foot print of lower-density solutions in all ways you describe will be even bigger.
If we think a sustainability assessment on all new construction will help, that can be a reasonable argument. I caution though that all the friction in getting new construction approved is a big factor in our growing housing cost. So let's make sure any regulation truly carries it's weight.
You do understand that "requiring this for all buildings" has a name: urban planning. This sort of analysis is basically what engineers do when assessing the environmental impact.
All of that is much more efficient in high-rise buildings than anywhere else.
The same with cities vs. rural/suburban areas. The former is much more energy efficient and has a smaller carbon footprint.
Obviously true.
> Carbon footprint [does not depend on] population density.
Patently false. Carbon footprint can depend on more than one variable, and indeed does. Transportation of goods and people is a huge source of carbon, all of which goes way down in cities.
> it doesn't matter whether they live in isolated households or in one skyscraper.
It's much easier to heat every room in a skyscraper than isolated households due to volume vs. surface-area scaling, even if you hold square footage equal. But square footage is not equal; people occupy less space in skyscrapers, because of redundancy in amenities (shared garages, laundry, recreational areas) and other reasons.
You're not grasping the argument, I don't know why.
You may only need to build up a little to fix most of it, but sprawl uses much much more of everything than building up.
If we have a thought experiment of a donut of mid rise 5 story apartments powered by its own footprint with a central park a couple km across and possibly commercial activity and outlying farms vs one colossal skyscraper in the middle.
The donut has less transmission infrastructure (most of the energy travels under 100m).
The food is less centralised, people could even go and get it from where it is packed on foot with no transport step if you wanted to go to the extreme.
Each floor of the apartments is holding up on average 2.5 floors above it so doesn't need to be as strong. It takes less material.
The center of the donut is free for other uses rather than needing to be entirely transport infrastructure to get people in and out.
The donut has a better exposed surface area to volume ratio (unless the majority in the skyscraper have no windows or is made from impossible materials and doesn't taper) so needs less heating/cooling. The donut has more thermal mass available for heating/cooling loops so doesn't need some higher tech thermal store.
Less energy is needed for water and sewerage per person.
Maybe 10 or 20 stories is optimal, maybe it's 3, but the peak isn't at the as big as possible skyscraper end.
I am not sure I understand. Wouldn't all these statistics amount to roughly equal or lower consumption as compared to options that house a similar number of people ?
Skyscraper resource consumption = domestic resource consumption per capita + overhead
The domestic resource consumption is constant. The overhead is actually lower. Centralized heating is cheaper than individual heating. Lighting a bunch of corridors is cheaper than lighting an entire street of single family housing. Water consumption is also lower when the green spaces are communal (green rooftop) vs individual yards.Neom's The Line should easily top the charts if (BIG IF!) it gets realized in the next few decades. 170kmx200m area of skyscraper quickly adds up sq ft...
Not really an if. This will never get built.
While a bit unclear I take that to mean it's presenting the construction speed of individual skyscrapers and giving the measurements in square feet per year then averaging those rates by presented location. In this measurement a 200x200 square foot floor building with 20 stories would be 800k square feet, if it took 4 years to complete that would factor in as 200k/square feet per year in the city average, not as +200k/square feet per year to the bar.
Looking at the graphs it seems a building with 4,000,000 square feet doesn't take much longer than a building with 400,000 square feet: https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_pr... and there are a lot more smaller ones to weigh down the speed.
1) Vast, with large roads, and lots of vendors competing to sell building materials.
2) Expensive to rent. Hurry the hell up and finish. Gotta rent it out now.
He clarifies that it's probably due to a low sample size. But still... LA?
It seems like the "surprising" success of the US might be due to skyscrapers being largely built by the private sector, which is pretty good in the US, while American public sector construction is, unfortunately, something of a running joke.
Good on him for recognizing the mistake (autocorrelation) in a previous article.
"Boring of the tunnel with the 57.5-foot (17.5 m) diameter "Bertha," at the time the world's largest-diameter tunnel-boring machine, began on July 30, 2013,[69][70] and at the time was expected to be completed in 14 months" [1]
We also have the lightrail projects with total funding of over $54 billion. Pretty large in scope with variability in success and budget[2]
[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_Route_99_tunnel [2]https://www.constructiondive.com/news/seattle-area-light-rai...
Sound Transit would have better luck if they weren't forced to work under so many constraints.
Because money trickles in slowly, and because funding has to come from different cities in a predetermined way, they are stuck with speculators buying up property before Sound Transit is allowed to, and then selling it to ST for inflated prices.
Cities that need mass transit right now are not allowed to pay for transit to be built faster in their area.
And of course everyone loves to sue them, costing even more $.
I still have not figured out why the holy hell there isn't commercial real estate built along with all sound transit stations. We have these large expensive stations that are devoid of any commercial activity, meanwhile Japan sticks Michelin Star restaurants in their transit stations.
The Roosevelt station is a notable example of this, huge station, takes up lots of the block, and it is tall, why aren't there at least 2 or even 3 levels of retail space in it?
In general, the opposite complaint has been raised: US station platforms are too large!
I don't know how they do it in Japan, but the train station in Rome has all of the services above ground in a normal building, away from the tracks, while when I've seen coffeeshops and the like at subways in the US, they're often on the platform or at least underground. DC has some truly cavernous stations full of a lot of signs and stale air (and not much else).
So it seems like part of the problem is that the subway authority is confined to an unreasonably tight definition of where they can operate, and then they try to cram a camel through the eye of the needle.
https://slate.com/business/2023/02/subway-costs-us-europe-pu...
Public agencies don't have enough in-house expertise, so they spend more on contractors and consultants than in peer nations (particularly vs. non-Anglosphere).
So I'm sorry if it was confusing when I said "public sector", because the problem occurs with public infrastructure projects directed by the government, and the privatization downstream has minimal effect.
They just said it will be replaced any day now
When a new tower requires metro station access, complex/new electrical work, etc. the US lags because those things take a lot of civic interaction.
Meanwhile, LA's midrise towers have almost no new infrastructure requirements and can just start rising.
??
https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/22534714/rail-roads-infrast...
As I detail in a cousin comment, privatizing the construction process itself does not help (and might make matters worse), but it surprised both the author (of TFA) and me to see that the US is competitive when the whole project is privatized — possibly implying that the government is making mistakes in administration particularly.
- Eurasian private sector, works
- Anglosphere private sector, works (except in Canada)
- Eurasian public sector, works
- Anglosphere public sector, confounded by cost overruns
If it's a simple result of scope, it remains to be explained why similar projects are harder in the English-speaking world than in Italy, China, Japan or Mexico (yes, even Mexico has substantially lower costs!). My other comments in this thread offer more details.
Maybe "pace of construction"? I'm not sure. The thing to understand is that in all the large cities all over the world, there are multiple construction crews working concurrently on individual projects. "Construction speed" feels like it would be describing a single crew working on a single project.
In addition, there are plenty of internet communities where people track construction projects, and if you read through those you'll see that there are a lot of variables that influence how quickly a skyscraper can be built. The soil plays a large role - how stable, what material, how close is bedrock, etc. The foundation of a skyscraper is extremely complicated and expensive, and the time it takes to construct is hyper-specific to the location. Just one example.
A city that takes a month to build a skyscraper will be ranked lower than one that takes three months to build one if the former has one build going up at any time, completing 12 in a year, and the latter always builds 4 in parallel, completing 16 in a year. A hypothetical city that builds a complete skyscraper in a day and doesn’t build any the remainder of the year would score way lower than either.
If we assume a global market for building crews (which, I think but correct me if I’m wrong, is somewhat true. Specialists are willing to move around to get to work on big projects) and little shortage in tooling or materials, those numbers reflect demand, not at which rate they can build.
For example, how is the start defined? Maybe that's a technicality, depending on local permitting laws. Maybe post-construction legal or regulatory issues are involved. Maybe it's tied to weather or the ground. I'm just making up possilities - the point is, I have no idea myself.
It’s not how quickly you can get a tower up
It’s average speed of square feet built per year
Which is not really speed. Just how “much” you’re building, on average per year
Right?
The thing that it tries to capture vs "linear time to build a single building" is parallelization capacity. Having one expert contractor who built a tower fast, but no capability to build 20 towers at the same time, won't get it done.
The analysis should probably require more samples or data cleanup though. Just from quick inspection of the city at the top of the list: "The fastest city out of any examined is, somehow, Los Angeles, though random variation may be the cause (it only has five skyscrapers in the database)." - doesn't fit with the article's own criteria of "every skyscraper completed between 2000-2020 that was taller than 100 meters, had a start and completion date, and had a gross floor area" because https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_tallest_buildings_in_L... this list shows many more than 5.
I guess it could be that alot of Toronto's buildings don't hit the sky scraper designation?
FYI - in high-rise construction, the foundation is designed to have a space for the construction crane. It is anchored to the foundation at the beginning of the project and removed at the end. IE, for the duration of the project the crane is part of the building. Shorter buildings will have a "portable" crane, even if it is on-site for a long period of time.
My understanding is Canada and America have very similar building codes and construction plans. Indeed, many of these construction companies are multinational.
Humans need space both inside and outside, and they need sun exposure and some contact with nature to feel well.
Living only between concrete, steel and glass takes its toll on the well-being.
You're right that light and sky visibility are finite resources that require more land. 100+ story buildings can feel oppressive to people. The question to ask then is why we allocate so little land to mid-rise development and force it all into Manhattan and small downtowns. That's the biggest reason we have such tall buildings there.
Do you have citations? Arguably, skyscrapers don't mean a dense city but a mega dense city.
So how is your life better if you live in a 20 million city VS a 2 million city?
While certainly skyscrapers are an engineering feat, I don't want to live in a city dominated by skyscrapers. I want to live in a city built for humans.