Comment by coldtea | Hacker News Reader

Comment by coldtea | Hacker News Reader

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>If you are a software engineer, this will output your productivity ten fold on the upcoming years. Now you don’t need to hire junior devs and can just build the product of your dreams with very limited capital.

This 10x productivity absense of a 10x expansion of programming industry (which is very unlikely) translates to less developers in general, including senior ones. Even more so in an economy like this...

>It means competition between companies will increase but it isn’t necessarily bad for existing software engineers, especially solo founders.

"Solo founders" is what? 1/10,000 of working programmers? And they're absolutely not the ones people worry about regarding GPT replacements...

> This 10x productivity absense of a 10x expansion of programming industry (which is very unlikely)

I think I disagree. If software then becomes 10x cheaper, a lot of use cases that used to be too expensive to build now becomes affordable. At my own job, I think we could easily do 10x the business, because our customers need tons of tooling (for example for energy transition) but we don't have the people (among other problems).

What if those use-cases disappear also because they were made for humans? Will there really be a need for spreadsheets and spreadsheet plugins when all that works is done by an AI with a little help of some headless tool or scripting language?

if we look at the last 30 years: yes. The IT industry doesn't seem to be developing towards anything that resembles efficiency or minimization of work. For every useless technology, a caste of users and a caste of experts are created in order to be able to absorb the information that can be generated.

The information society is a machine maximizing information exchange, something that only incidentally implies increasing profit or increasing productivity.

The world have moved beyond zero sum economy a long time ago.

You'd be surprised...

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