Sam Altman didn’t take any equity in OpenAI, report says
cnbc.com
cnbc.com
> Altman also made an unusual decision for a tech boss: He would take no equity in the new for-profit entity, according to people familiar with the matter. Altman was already extremely wealthy, investing in several wildly successful tech startups, and didn’t need the money.
> He also believed the company needed to become a business to continue its work, but he told people the project was not designed to make money. Eschewing any ownership interest would help him stay aligned with the original mission.
https://www.semafor.com/article/03/24/2023/the-secret-histor...
> For Altman, it’s not about money, either. One of the most surprising things in all of this is that he does not own even a tiny piece of OpenAI, which highlights the unusual nature of this company and the entire AI industry.
Even if he doesn’t, he might in one of OpenAI, LPs, business partners / investors that is benefitting from the work, like Microsoft. Which would provide just the right distance for plausible deniability of a personal profit motive while very much having a personal profit motive.
Elon Musk has donated $100M USD, and does not look happy about the developments, based on his tweets.
Bit of a mouthful
I expect someone will eventually sue OpenAI for the shenanigans, and that a competitor (Meta?) or Elon Musk will fund the lawsuit. The goal won't be to actually win the case, but instead to motivate US regulatory action to undercuts OpenAI's perceived advantage.
He is not happy because he could have invested in OpenAI instead of Twitter.
Sour grapes?
A few years ago, he wasn’t happy with his investment in the company because they were behind Google.
So he proposed becoming the CEO, and got snubbed by Altman and the rest (presumably from fear of how it played out for the original Tesla founders, at the time).
One possibility is - that he is genuinely concerned, and his vision of AI included some hardcoded rules - such as Asimov’s rules for robots. Can’t dismiss it completely, as this was his original purpose for starting OpenAI.
Perhaps it’s a bit of both.
Is this a nice acknowledgement that the capitalist drive for profit can produce bad outcomes, which Altman wanted to avoid?
Initial equity.
Doesn't say anything about whether he has an agreement in place to receive future equity.
Does he have any options or warrants?
Is he a member of, or LP in, any organization that invested?
Did the reporter not ask any follow up questions?
Or was this careful phrasing ("initial equity") intentional?
It's not in the cropped bit, but the original Semafor article this clips from closes with that
At that point as CEO he will have equity and benefit.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1639142924985278466?s=46...
Which makes Microsoft the majority shareholder. Which means that for all intents and purposes, we can consider OpenAI as a Microsoft venture now.
It's definitely a terrifyingly powerful company, but "future of society" seems a little strong.
I think it's the future for spam, writing rote emails/documents/code, disinformation, plagiarism, lying, cheating, and impersonation, but those are subsets of society -- not all of society.
The answer was useless btw. Just a coarse, high-level, unactionable summary of what we had already talked about. Dressed up in a few nicely-worded paragraphs.
I wonder if this is gonna be a new pain in my ass. Wait until managers start using it to disagree with my estimates - I might blow my top lol.
1. Answer student questions and effectively act as a tutor. Duolingo is already using it like this, and ChatGPT can of course do it directly as well.
2. Make natural language interfaces to APIs easily. Look at the ChatGPT plugins announced yesterday for examples.
3. Provide basic customer support. Ideally, it could answer most common and basic questions and possibly even fix common problems via a plugin. Then the actual human customer support could step in for more complex problems.
There are endless positive examples like these.
Ask 10 different people "smart" people (define smart however you want), you'll get 10 different answers to these questions. These are all questions an LLM could answer amazingly. Probably a lot better than most humans.
If you don't ask it what 2+2 is or who came to in America in 1875 then you get useful things.
Asking a LLM deterministic questions right now is like asking a calculator what the meaning of life is. If you use the tool for something it's not good at you get unusable answers.
Further, 10 different smart people will give 10 different answers because they have coherent worldviews and biases and proclivities, so by accounting for those, you can work out what the right answer is. Even if ChatGPT was anywhere close to a human expert when it comes to accuracy (what's the error rate in a peer reviewed journal article?) it would still have no coherent worldview or bias to contextualize its statements.
HN seems to want to hand over the keys to the kingdom to basically a string generator. The string generator believes nothing, understands nothing, knows nothing but here we are.
Any intelligence that gpt4 shows is an emergent property. Humans are the ones reading GPT’s output and imputing meaning to it.
Reminds me of astrology and mass hysteria - people convincing each other to give this new oracle a chance because they personally have seen value in its ramblings.
What is your error rate? What is my error rate? All of this stuff is unknown because we don't have counter factuals and we don't think of the world in this way (Did you order the correct food at dinner? Did you wash your clothes at the optimal time?)
To me you're thinking of it as a classical deterministic (binary) computer rather than a probabilistic thing. It's not an oracle, or a miracle, or anything other than some thing that gives useful information some percentage of the time. If something has to be right 100% of the time for it to be useful, or even 60% of the time, then the world is missing out on a lot of value.
Investors are right ~51% of the time, startup founders in the aggregate are right ~10% of the time, a great batting average is ~30%, etc.
One big area where it does poorly right now is math. But they just announced a ChatGPT plugin for Wolfram, which I expect will make it very good at math. Wolfram also has a large database of curated information to draw on.
Technology improves over time. GPT is still new and improving quickly. What it does now isn’t perfect, but it is still incredible.
My guess is stuff like math, where you can fairly easilly verify the factuality of ChatGPT's answers, is an area where you could certainly see progress. More general stuff like history, where it's important to have a really firm grasp of facts, inutition, and nuance, ChatGPT will likely be hard to improve, and worse, much harder to verify. Worse, these things can be insiduous: if you've learned something straightforwardly wrong, it corrupts future conclusions drawn from that erroneous premise.
Need to do math? Use the Wolfram plugin.
Need to have hard facts from reliable and citable sources? Use a plugin that queries databases like Arxiv. The LLM could give you links to sources and provide quotes from those sources to support its reasoning.
Clearly Microsoft has a large stake as well. It sounds like equity was distributed to employees, but according to Fortune some was sold: "OpenAI’s other investors include Hoffman’s charitable foundation and Khosla Ventures. Last year, Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global Management, Bedrock Capital, and Andreessen Horowitz reportedly purchased shares from preexisting shareholders in a sale valuing the company at around $20 billion, according to The Information."
https://fortune.com/2023/01/10/microsoft-investment-10-billi...
OpenAI has been selling themselves as a do-gooder kind of project. I think that they're being disingenuous in doing so. They're building just a regular old SV money-spinner.
Every interaction with the public and these AIs I see screams "this was not ready for general consumption"
There are certainly huge positives, but do you really feel something like Facebook is a net positive? Facebook, which intentionally stoke(d/s) genocide? Genocides have existed before Facebook, yes, but so did communication and racist relatives.
[1] https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/09/myanmar-faceb...
Code for America [https://codeforamerica.org/]
SFTech4Good [https://www.sftech4good.com] - a newsletter and monthly meetup in SF for orgs/people interested in technology and social impact
There are also social-cause startups (which obviously have to be monetized by some funding source, typically govt, grant or ESG).
Also, Yahoo (RIP) was by reputation as community-minded and pro-open-source as a for-profit business citizen can get.
As someone who went through Yahoo acquisition and total bungling of tumblr, where community feedback fell on deaf ears, that's news to me. (Granted, the next owners were the ones who immediately managed to drop the userbase by like 80%, so maybe you're not totally wrong)
(IIRC Yahoo culture had the reputation for being very friendly to employees open-sourcing their code, and not aggressively pursuing BS patent suits; this was different to most of MAANG + telecomms.)
Avoid:
- Thiel and Tiger (Coleman III) - Political meddlers
- Khosla - beach-hoarder and waster of taxpayer dollars
- Social Discovery Group - Russia
/-s
https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/810...
I guess the name was still fine?
Because he is already at the more-money-than-god level and it’s more valuable for him to just leverage the “altruism”.
I heard Sam Altman gets to be in the room when the AGI hatches so that it imprints on him. He took that in lieu of equity.
Technically? Probably yes.
But where is your startup going to find millions of users for extra training data?
The (big) community. There are existing decentralized approaches to accomplish this. And I am not mentioning the data that could be consumed beyond DMCAs.
> The company then distributed equity to its employees and partnered with Microsoft, announcing an investment package of $1 billion into the company. OpenAI also announced its intention to commercially license its technologies. OpenAI plans to spend the $1 billion "within five years, and possibly much faster". Altman has stated that even a billion dollars may turn out to be insufficient, and that the lab may ultimately need "more capital than any non-profit has ever raised" to achieve artificial general intelligence.
Otherwise it sounds like Greg Brockman is the main guy of the for profit business?
So does Musk still have equity with his $100 million investment or did he also pull out of that?
>I donated the first $100M to OpenAI when it was a non-profit, but have no ownership or control
Spoiler tag on that last sentence please.
and/or
'Until we find out it's not.'
You don't get to his level of wealth without having an innate desire for more of money. Everything always comes back to that.
I don't believe for a second that he essentially donated billions of dollars in equity on purpose.
So anyway, Sam Altman is working on creating and aligning this super-duper artificial intelligence that, if it works out, makes all of human labour and economic value to date pale in comparison.
SBF was going to benefit from FTX running a ponzi and not being caught and being rich.
Altman will not benefit monetarily if OpenAI becomes incredibly valuable. Decoupling the monetary incentives is a very good thing here.
Didn't seem to help.
With what?
And perhaps that's exactly why he didn't take shares.
He's already worth more than a person can reasonably spend - why risk becoming Bill or Elon?
Let me point out the negatives of Elon
i) He is a bull-shitter. He has no clue about a lot of things, yet he has plenty of hubris.
ii) He is mis-trusting of people (this always comes from upbringing and environment. If people constantly misplace your trust growing up, your default is to mistrust people). I can understand why you wouldn't want to work under Elon. That's a perfectly valid reason
What makes Elon different, and which a lot of people don't get about him (including his fanbois)?
i) He is a true Engineer in the sense, even if he starts with bullshit and hubris, he is a quick learner. He breaks things to learn from first principles (Things he has repeatedly demonstrated everywhere). Media/HN focus on him breaking things, but that's what how everyone learns about complex systems.
People don't appreciate how quickly he went from from 'Alien Dreadnought' to 'Tent in a backyard' and then back to AI Automation at Tesla.
ii) Bias for action with the right amount of risks. Some people have bias for action, some people take risks and some are constant learners. But, I have never seen anyone combine all three like Elon. He is successful not because of his knowledge, but his willingness to take risks despite massive adversity and guaranteed mock by media.
iii) He is narcisstic, but not like Trump. He has several times shown self-deprecating humor and acknowledged his mistakes (and quickly learns from them).
But my dislike for both of them has nothing to do with politics or their wealth.
Musk is very much the same in his destruction of things that stand in the way of him and more money. His attitude isn't the ruthless businessman but rather the unrepentant troll - but his approaches to prevent the funding of things that stand in his way of Tesla ascendant (you get things like https://jalopnik.com/did-musk-propose-hyperloop-to-stop-cali... ).
Gates is largely over his quest for money and now more concerned with legacy, but that doesn't erase his history. Musk is still very much enmeshed in his quest for money.
I believe that Sam Altman doesn't want to have that be part of his goals and with the resources that he already has can fairly comfortably work on what he feels is meaningful now rather than waiting 30 years until he retires.
Greg Brockman Ilya Sutskever Sam Altman Adam D'Angelo Will Hurd Tasha McCauley Helen Toner Shivon Zilis
Shares are not the important part here. Board memberships are controlling OpenAI Inc.
If Sam Altman really wants to show that he's not doing it for money / power, he should give up his board membership.
Why would he want to show anything? Maybe he likes the work.
SBF showed how dangerous virtue signaling can be, as he earned a lot of trust from people for something fake, which translated to billions of dollars stolen from people who trusted him.
Right now the stake is something much more powerful, and the Microsoft deal showed clearly how much he wanted to stay in control.
> Altman didn’t take an equity stake in the company when it added the for-profit OpenAI LP entity in 2019, Semafor reported Friday.