Yes, runs can kill any bank, but insolvency killed SVB first.
Yes, runs can kill any bank, but insolvency killed SVB first.
The depositor withdrawals forced them to admit that they had taken a massive loss because of insufficient hedging against interest rate hikes, but they didn't really seem to have a path to unwinding their underwater positions in any realistic timeframe. HTM was an accounting misdirection to try to hide the hole in their ship while they bailed water, but it was a massive hole and they had a tiny bucket.
Apparently they had $48B in withdrawals in a one-day period. Trying to imagine any bank that wouldn't need to take losses (to the point of being potentially insolvent) in order to deal with that. Yes, obviously SVB was still very poorly hedged given current interest rates, but they probably could've unwound their position in a much, much more favorable way without the run, to the point where it's possible they could've done so without ever being "insolvent".
One is balance sheet insolvency, the other is cash flow insolvency.
But it’s two forms of the same thing! Cash flow insolvency is usually a result of holding illiquid assets that can’t be turned into cash. In this case the assets were perfectly liquid though, so it wasn’t just a cash flow insolvency.
The bank was reporting the future value of the bonds, the problem was the present value was much lower.