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Comment by qwerty3344 | Hacker News Reader

There are entire sectors of the economy that LLMs can't touch - hospitality, manufacturing, caregivers, religious sectors, live-action entertainment, etc. Sure some of these will be replaced by robots but there will always be new jobs too.

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No, there are not. Everything in the economy is connected and you can't have a vibrant industry without customers. The customers of hospitality/entertainment/healthcare/etc businesses are largely the middle class who will be put out of work by LLMs. So the person who today makes $200/night in tips waiting tables at a nice restaurant.... who will be buying those meals?

Someone who uses an LLM as a tool to perform a useful service

That would be another LLM or a robot then

I think the material point is that there will be far fewer of those people if everything goes well. You should need fewer people to do any arbitrary task when you are leveraging LLMs.

My own opinion is that people are going to have to become creators. And quickly. You can still create digital products, but you'll need to be a lot more quiet about what you're doing. And you'll need to have a facility for abstract thought to come up with ideas that no one else has yet.

With a few exceptions, using an LLM to perform a useful service is something that almost anyone will be able to do. Therefore these jobs will be not pay well.

There is huge variation in how well people can prompt LLMs, prompt-engineering has many tricks that aren't obvious, that's why there's prompt engineers,

That seems kind of like saying "using Excel to add numbers is something that almost anyone will be able to do" -- true, but the difficult part is (obviously a vast simplification) determining which numbers to add, under what conditions, and to decide what to do based on the result.

white collar workers detest these jobs

the only reason they studied, went to university etc was to avoid doing manual labour. this has been happening for decades, a century. they ll be depressed

Just give them the same lecture they like to trot out about supply and demand and how automation simply creates new opportunities. And then have an AI compose a dirge to play on the world's smallest violin for them.

it's not even their fault. societies, cities have been built to produce this kind of people

It isn't anyone's fault but the capitalist class. Still, real life holds no sympathy for people who consider any work beneath their dignity.

They'll be depressed? Tough shit, we're all depressed.

I'm not depressed:)

Software dev. If computer steal my computer job, I have plenty of other physical skills.

Specialisation is for insects.

> the only reason they studied

I was just curios.

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