Just like all previous AI bubbles, this is a bubble. We'll soon realize that unless you're writing a book, GPT is pretty much useless, and the hype will die down like it always has in the past.
To think that AI who's only capability is to generate text can have any significant impact on anything is simply ridiculous.
I use copilot, it definitely saves me time. At the moment just minor things, but there's no arguing, there's simply no doubt.
ChatGPT will transform forum comments. Soon human written messages like this one will be swamped by machine-assisted argue-bots. And sales-bots.
Other LLMs are doing images, which will be much the same. You can illustrate your book automatically, pretty much now. You can generate marketing images, now.
Everything creative will be affected. Music, books, movies.
sure, it will illustrate a book, many presentations, all sorts of stuff, but it will not create novel things as a human does. Sure, it can produce a smattering of what it was trained on, it will not produce new original well thought out masterpieces.
think about how it works for a moment, sure, its great, very nice, simple chores can be done with some reasonable effectiveness. but people are clearly expecting things that an LLM simply isnt meant or capable of doing
So it'll be fine replacing most of Hollywood, videogames, and pop music then...
What is true creativity? What is a novel thing?
If we establish that it isn't merely a mix of existing things, what is it?
I don't have an answer other than actually maybe these things it makes actually are novel.
If you have another take on it I'd be interested to hear why nothing it makes is novel, and nothing from the LLM family of algos can ever make something that qualifies?
It's an autocomplete, hardly transformative.
> ChatGPT will transform forum comments. Soon human written messages like this one will be swamped by machine-assisted argue-bots. And sales-bots.
You really think people that like to argue online will deprive themselves from the joy of writing the message on their own?
And bots that write marketing comments are hardly new.
Again, hardly transformative.
> Other LLMs are doing images, which will be much the same. You can illustrate your book automatically, pretty much now. You can generate marketing images, now.
None of this is transformative either, it's just the same as the code autocomplete example.
You really think any of the things you have cited will deeply affect society? Please.
Marketing and especially political comments are about to swamp every digital space. Soon you will not know what is real and what is a puppet. This is without a doubt transformative. Look at the relatively small wave caused by the Cambridge Analytica thing. This thing will create a tsunami of BS sweeping us all away. I'll admit it hasn't happened yet, what we have now is just the beginnings.
Happy to say LLMs are a big deal.
Current AI is not good enough to replace software developers but in 10-20 years maybe will be good enough to replace just every second one == 50% of devs
We are all just text here. So far as I know, by your metric, you never have significant impact on anything.
Neither mistake by the journo would be possible if they had any substantive experience programming.