I recently took an interest into a phishing campaign because the guy was using Amazon SES and kept using new email templates and it kept landing in my inbox. He was an amateur and it was easy to find juice things on his server, and it looked like he was engaging in all kinds of different scams, like phishing for bank logins, defrauding online-shops, identity theft etc. With law enforcement options, I'm pretty confident I could've nailed him with a few hours invested. Get him for one crime, you stop 10 others.
But the last time I talked to a police officer locally, he didn't know what Netflix was so I won't even try to explain phishing to them and how I got this information on the perp.
Ten fully skilled security experts deputized @ 200K/yr. Fifteen assistants at $75K/yr. All personnel grossed up to 140% for fully loaded cost. Hardware, infrastructure, software, hosting services, $200K/yr. Total (((20010)+(7515))*1.4)+200 = $4,575,000/year.
You don't think that such a team could stop $50 million in crime in a year? I'd expect that $500 million would be a slow year and stopping $5billion would be more like it. There is so much of it and such low-hanging fruit...
I know of large corporation divisions where $5 million per quarter was literally their rounding error threshold three decades ago (likely more like $15 million now).
The payoff is so great it is astonishing that some large tech companies don't do it just for the general reputation of the industry. Or the banks for the same reason (e.g., I wont' touch Zelle, both because when I first checked it out it was horribly clunky, my bank wanted $20/month just to use it, and all the persistent scams).
Or, just for lulz. This is rounding-error pocket-change for these corps. If it got going, I could see a rivalry between MS, Oracle, & Alphabet execs for who could dunk the most scam dollars, and jail the most perps...
By "stop", do you mean "prevent from happening", "successfully prosecute", or "identify the perpetrators"?
My answers, respectively, are "no", "maybe, depending on the sample set", and "yes".
Definitely agree that successfully prosecute is harder than ID perps...
But you don't think there's enough scammers based in the US/Canada/EU to chase? Back to the Zelle scams as we started with, and an awful lot of scams that require cash mules, seem pretty trackable if someone puts in the effort, especially when people can drop the evidence at their doorstep.
What’s left would be cases like “I bought this iPhone off eBay and got mailed a brick”. If it was taking your team any longer than literally 10 minutes per successful recovery on average, you’d be better off just using that taxpayer money to reimburse victims directly. It just doesn’t make sense to throw 250/hr labor at a $500 problem.
1. most of them are probably outside the the jurisdiction of the hypothesized team mentioned above
2. that's a lot less than $50 million
3. this could be addressed with regular police work
The phrase "could be" is doing a lot of work there. Yes, all of these crimes could be — and I would argue SHOULD be — addressed by regular (presuming local or state) police work. Sadly, it is not.
Similar to rampant bicycle theft. It definitely could and should be addressed by local cops, but is largely ignored, and ignored even when people bring them real-time tracking of the bicycle. And you're not supposed to go vigilante and get it yourself (partly due to risk to you).
For #2, $50 million, that seems like a lot of crime. But let's take the mailing a brick for an iPhone example. Each one is roughly $1000. So we need 50,000 bricks per year. That's 137 per day. Way too much for one criminal. But with 250 criminals, they only need to send a brick every couple of days. And our cop team needs to average only a single capture per day to stop $50million of crime in a year.
Jurisdiction, yeah, they'd probably need national jurisdiction, since there are probably few crimes where the criminal and crime are in the same town (other than the FB market/Craigslist criminals). So, deputized by the FBI is probably best.
So, not unreasonable to search for a solution that actually works.
I agree that it is not. I am saying that you don't need a team of 10 cybersecurity expertise to show that someone mailed bricks or stole their cousins venmo money. Ten traditional detectives would be cheaper and a better fit.
Any technically sophisticated scams that would require a team of cybersecurity experts are likely already at the scale and scope that the FBI already does address them.
The intersection -- a technically sophisticated scam that is a small dollar amount -- isn't a problem that exists.
The reason that large cities don't spend much time on small dollar crimes is because they have bigger stuff to worry about. Yes, there's definitely people selling stolen phones on my local Craigslist, but there's also people stealing checks out of mailboxes and washing them to steal $50,000+. It makes sense to address the latter first.
Actually, chatting about it, it seems like the ordinary L1/L2/L3 service teams approach could work well. Ordinary up-trained detectives on most cases, when they hit something more complicated, call in the L2 guys/gals, and when it goes over their skillset/toolset, call in the L3 team, etc...
However it gets done, it certainly seems that we need something more than we've got.
You'll still have scammers from India, but you'll also have a lot that are running more elaborate scams and do a lot of damage by defrauding the government and companies.