Covid Killed the Raspberry Pi
businessof.technology
businessof.technology
Not a bad outcome, but I hope I don’t have to wait a year and change for my next Pi order! (:
I also discovered that CanaKit’s advertised “contact us” phone numbers had been disconnected. I’m guessing they were pretty ravaged by the supply chain disruption and laid off support staff. :(
Hope the industry can get back on its feet!
I recall that a core piece of RPi's strategy was to use excess capacity to create an awesomely capable and super inexpensive product family. That core piece of thinking was instrumental to RPi's success.
Semiconductor production capacity was already getting tighter before Covid, but Covid fully shifted the space from capacity excess to capacity drought.
The same leverage that super charged RPi's growth is what is now snuffing it out.
I really want to see RPi come back. It seems that will only happen if...
1) Some dramatic shift in global dynamics returns the semi conductor industry to the capacity excess state.
or
2) RPi manages to extract itself from the business/leverage model it used to power its growth and find a new way to do its thing.
Both seem pretty unlikely in the foreseeable future.
BTW, the Beaglebone has a completely different mission, purpose, and philosophy. It's a pretty excellent piece of hardware as well, and seems much more likely to stick around in the current environment.
I feel like there's a pretty untold story here, that while yes chips are hard to get & there is limited capacity to a degree, there's also been an enormous amount of buy-outs across the industry & a lot less competition. Not a lot of folk are signing up to try & compete with an rpi like product or main chip, and I think the market's disinterest in serving the low end, in striving to keep going upmarket, is a macro trend that can't last forever.
As I recall back then they said it would be at least 3 years before they'd be releasing another upgrade to that and we're pretty close to that now. If the supply chain ever does get back up to speed we may see that soon after.
If you need a home automation/print server? Get a $40 used Xeon workstation on eBay.
Last time a looked (which was a long time ago), most other SoC's led you down hyper-version-specific patchy nonsense to Linux to run on them. Good to see the field is improving :)
Oh yeah, and you can't actually buy the part alone. So you're stuck buying their board to stick in your project.
At the end of day, it's embedded Linux. All those wonderful tutorials and source repos can and will work on many other parts. There's nothing magical about the RPi core, and seriously really nothing magical about the hardware. Once you boot off of eMMC you'll never want to go back.