Do they? Personally I can't rule out that of LLM model was trained on all of the language a single human heard/read and produced it wouldn't be able to create next utterance that might be indistinguishable from what that human says.
Do they? Personally I can't rule out that of LLM model was trained on all of the language a single human heard/read and produced it wouldn't be able to create next utterance that might be indistinguishable from what that human says.
but those interactions are infinitely complex and contain an enormous amount of data
Humans take in 10 million bits[1] from their eyes every second. 10,000,000 bits/sec * 60 secs/min * 60 mins/hour * 24 hours/day * 1000 days = 108 terabytes. ChatGPT only used 570 GB of training data, so 2 orders of magnitude less data, and that's only counting the visual data.
edit: And that would be for a 3 year old, so comparing ChatGPT's intelligence to a 3 year old shows that ChatGPT comes out favourably.
[1]https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/07/060726180933.h....
This is the core problem with this schematised (and i think, pseudoscientific) computer science approach to intelligence. Output isnt intelligent.
So, for any given output, it could have been created by system A or system B, whose properties could be radically different.
It matters why, eg., we get "I hate the rain!" as output. If system-A says it because it: cares, hates, muses, imagines, prefers, intends... then that's radically different than if B does so because, "it's combining a weather API with some internet chat history".
It starts to remind me of "Yes! But it doesn't have a soul!"
Science doesn't deal with the "indistinguishable". We cannot, on earth, simply distinguish between whether we go around the sun, or the sun goes around the earth.
Does the solar system have a soul?
The world exists, and it has properties, and those are independent of how dumb apes happen to be and what we are in a position to "distinguish" or otherwise.
A system generating text is acting as-if its having its intelligence measured. Each sentence we take to be a symptom of its: having a theory of the enviornment, having something to say about it, having some intention, etc.
When I say, "I don't like what you're wearing!" that sentence itself isnt somehow "intelligent". It is only a valid measure of my caring, preferring, speaking, intending, thinking... because that is why i said it.
A shredder which happened to assemble those words is likewise not intelligent.
This is basic science: measurements arent objects; and measurements have validity criteria which is, at least, the causal properties of the system give rise to those measures.
In the case of ChatGPT no relevant properties give rise to its ouptut. Its sentences are not caused by any intelligence, and aren't valid measures of it.
There is no boiling water. Your digital thermometer is broken.
As I understand, this was one initially of the main issues with the new model proposed by Copernicus - it was not more accurate initially.
If a "shadow prompt" told chatGPT that it writes at a 3rd grade level, we wouldn't argue as much over how smart the bot is.
If it omitted the friendly/helpful/deferential assistant stuff, we'd also argue about it less. Bing's initial defensiveness and aggression made it seem even stupider than the mistakes it was making.
They're honing in on better prompts and other configuration that will make the bot seem smarter. It seems smarter to say "I can't answer that question" than to confidently say something untruthful.
But the underlying computational program (GPT trained on the internet) is the same. If we judge the program's intelligence based on its output, it isn't well defined. The same thing looks intelligent or hilariously unintelligent based on the tokens you (an intelligent person) provide it with.
Or in other words... Suppose we collect all of the system's "intelligent" outputs and disregard the rest. We throw away a lot, the majority of responses, and the resulting set looks impressively smart.
The system appears to demonstrate advanced machine intelligence when restricted to (some?) preimages of this set, even though it acts like a total idiot over other parts of the domain. And it's clear that it takes real knowledge and understanding to solve this boundary problem, so that the calculated image has an "intelligent" shape.
I agree this is true, and that it will be a breakthrough for AI, but it's entirely unclear how far away it is in the time dimension.
One of the things humans do is forget a lot of unimportant crap so we're not constantly rewriting our brains. Of course there is a the issue of how do we make sure we're training our AI how to learn multiplication and not feeding it a diet of junk food information/fake news too.