Beyond CRISPR babies: How human genome editing is moving on after scandal
nature.com
nature.com
My point is that in cases where consent is impossible like for unborn children, the bar is much higher on what kind of experiment could be considered ethical. There must be a clear potential benefit for the child and an acceptable risk compared to that benefit. This experiment fails on both.
(wiki at least also disagrees with you and said the mothers were HIV negative, so plain old in vitro fertilization would have been all that was actually needed)
1. What are some examples of off-target effects?
2. Are there any examples of them causing adverse effects in organisms?
Imagine in bacteria, if I guide the CRISPR components to a gene that metabolizes an exotic sugar and the cell just inexplicably dies—whereas targeting that very gene in a different spot does what you expected.
In eukaryotes, off-target effects likely occur more often (more genes) but we just don’t see them, because the off-target effect wasn’t immediately fatal. Instead, maybe a tumor suppressor gene got rearranged? It might take decades to see the physiological effect.
It may aslo become really cheap to do this in the future.
OTOH, selection of embryos, by it's nature, will always be expensive.
However, the game will be to select the "best" embryo. This becomes a game of numbers where, on average, the quality of the embryo will be a function of the size the pool of embryos and this will be a function of how much the future parents spend.
Most people complain since they like to complain.
Many people complain about the distributional effects. What they fail to see if that the alternative technology: selection of embryos has a far greater distributional impact in the limit.
... but they like to complain.
Can you ELI5?
Do you want a one in ten baby, a one in a thousand baby, or a one in a million?
The price will be proportional to the number of embryos sampled, on average. Since this is a competitive process, no matter how low the price per unit decreases the amount of spend, as a percentage of income/wealth will stay constant.
I can think of few worlds more dystopian than one where there’s a causal, quantifiable relationship between wealth and biological superiority.
If gene editing can make a human smarter & better looking, then you're dooming your own children to a lifetime of inferiority if you have them naturally. Unlike tech or drug enhanced people, there is no way to detect a genetically enhanced person. So they'd be in your midst, better than you in every way, while you'd be stuck with the realization that there is nothing you can do in this life to change your inferiority to these neo-humans.
"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable" - 1962, John F. Kennedy
Pandora's box is already unlocked, we just won't let anyone open it. At the same time, technology is inevitable, and it's probably better to set up legal pathways to access this technology than let the grey market go wild.I get where you’re coming from, but whether the barrier is 20 meters or infinitely high doesn’t matter in practice, because I can’t jump neither…
The sentence that really stood out to me was: > In the years since He’s revelations, researchers have uncovered further concerns about the use of CRISPR–Cas9 in embryos, including that it can shuffle large segments of chromosomes.
There are a number of horrible genetic diseases, including Huntington's Disease, that do not present until later in life; for Huntington's Disease it typically presents when someone is in their 30s or 40s. We don't know what shuffling chromosomes might do. There's a very real possibility that if there was widespread adoption of CRISPR to make children smarter and more beautiful, it would could with the side effect of condemning their bodies and/or minds to fall apart in their teens, 20s, or 30s.
Animal models won't tell us this. We'll only learn the true consequences over time. This is one of those situations where "move fast and break things" is just wrong.
The dawn of infinite power was heralded in with the annihilation of 2 cities in Japan, and the death of many innocents exposed to open radiation in the development process. The industrial revolution began with pollution that worsened the lifespan on the 'winners' for decades before we figured out how to make these spaces safer. Modern medicine started off with bloodletting & modern psychiatry started off with lobotomies.
The first few generations that adopt a revolutionary technology see their lives get worse before they get better.
Problem is, AI, Medicine & Automation are all likely to produce revolutions that are bigger and faster spreading than anything we've seen before. I do not wish to be a 'growing child' in an era of increasing adoption of this tech. Growing up with just the internet was confusing enough as is.
More than all of these, the scariest is a technology that I've started hearing whispers of. We might 'solve aging' in this century. I hope I get to die before the advent of perpetual life seems to be on the horizon.
I take what you're saying to mean that you don't think we should cure aging?
Do you believe that we should cure cancer?
Do you believe that we should not have cured smallpox?
Why or why not?
I don’t think that would stop people from foolishly altering their germ line to chase trends. But the reduction of entropy / diversity in the gene pool caused by that would represent an existential threat to humanity.
My guess is that the germ lines of people who tried to outsmart evolution would get weeded out pretty fast.
Having said this, CRISPR, for all the good it promises, is the wrong technology. There is little to no reason to change the genes, the hardware: we need to find a way to access the software, the inter-cells communication protocols [1].
[1] Michael Levin | Cell Intelligence in Physiological and Morphological Spaces, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jLiHLDrOTW8 (The Anatomical Compiler at 17:55: "birth defects, traumatic injury, cancer, aging are problems of information processing")
Small genetic modifications cause awful, devastating illnesses. Artificial genome modifications can be done pretty reliably, but we know it's not foolproof. We also have no way to check our work or debug potential genetic issues. We're flying entirely blind, and our hubris can (and in all likelihood, will) result in terrible suffering and death until we get FAR better at doing this.
It's where the edges are that matter here, not just the basic idea.
And when people say "that just couldn't happen" given the last half decade of societal weirdness, is no longer a really acceptable response anymore for many.
On the other hand, no word about the status of the crispr-kids
Soldiers are by social role, servants of government. Super scientists, engineers, salesman, and politicians all present different threats and competition to government. Useful to a civilization yes, but government isn't a civilization, it's people who are clinging onto a bucking-bronco for power and safety.
And also every other country in the world has to opt to engage in the same conspiracy, otherwise all the benefits accrue to other countries that are willing to allow the technology to be exposed to civil society (e.g. when the average Chinese university graduate has the benefit of CRISPR super brain, it's going to add much more value than if Fort Hood has a bunch of Captain Americas sitting around).
In total this seems to involve a massive and sprawling worldwide conspiracy involving the coordination of opposing actors who have reasons not to coordinate in service of unclear benefits that don't seem to stand up to much scrutiny.
Most editing needs to happen during development, which means you’d need to recruit parents. Maybe some overly-moto idiots would agree but anyone who would seems like dubious stock for a super-human! Even if they did, there’s an 18 year lag before the kid maybe enlists. Then you’ve got to covertly move them to whatever speciality can use their new abilities.
The whole process seems slow, low-yield, and involves so many people [0] that it could not possibly remain secret if someone were trying this. And, of course, that’s all glossing over the fact that we don’t understand or know how to manipulate polygenetic or plieotropic traits…which is all the strategically interesting ones!
[0] For example, the school nurse flags something. Now what?
Looking at the economics, super soldiers are nearly pure loss. Nearly nothing they could ever do would be net positive on the balance sheet. They're even more lossy than just draftees, what with all the R&D, training, whatever sci-fi stuff they do to their spleen, etc. Maybe they could win a war faster? But the integral is likely to be more expensive all the same.
A 'super-X' would be best fitted for economic generators, not even economic savers. A super-garbageman isn't as good as a super-scientist, year over year.
The problems with “super” whatever is that (1) we really don’t understand biology or genetics all that well, (2) we can’t even agree on what traits like “intelligence” are, (3) we are too shortsighted to know what to optimize for on the timescale of multiple generations.