>>sentience is just high-order analysis of lower-order processes with the ability to impact the lower-order processes....we will see it within the next 10 years.
Definitely plausible timeline, but we're not there yet.
I think it'll take a good number more layers with equal or greater sophistication, between and on top of each other.
The current text and graphic tools make only associations, they have zero conceptual knowledge. Enough associations make it look good, but they don't make an abstract concept. E.g., shown enough pics of an astronaut, it draws a good astronaut. But, it can also generate pics of a bikini-clad woman with both her bum and her torso & face facing us (literally putting the bottom half on backwards). Or, if asked for a pic of a specific person, responding with the same picture, background and all, when there were not high numbers of examples input. It isn't figuring out what is the person's image, and how body parts go together, and how the subject is different from the background the way even children do when drawing.
Same for text, where we can ask it "Mike's mom has three kids named Alice, Bob, and Chris; what is the name of her fourth child?" it says "Not enough info". When told that the answer is in the question, it doubles down on explaining how there's insufficient info. It posts entirely fabricated references.
These are not even close to intelligences; they're only fancy statistics which are a fantastic parlor trick and sometimes useful.
Add another one that understands the 4D physical world, then combine it's understanding of billions of 2D photos, and trillions of words, and MAYBE it'll be able to properly abstract the concept of a person, with the right number of limbs, in the right relationship with each other, and the right relationship with the chair, and the right relationship with the skin, hair, eyes, clothing, and background etc., and an appropriate understanding of the input text to reliably generate an original output that actually makes sense in the world. Add several layers on top of that, and maybe we're approaching sentience...?