- Stephan Shahinian
> The Oracle — Best in the World @ Financial Markets, Macro-Economics, Identifying Geniuses, Forecasting Future
Taken as a list of biases, the article is useful. It never hurts to be reminded about all the different ways we can be led astray. But the problem is, the list of 'mitigations' boils down to become an investigative journalist who researches _everything_ using multiple viewpoints from primary sources, surrounds themselves with people who disagree with them and engages them in lively dialogue, and remains open minded and neutral about everything until the end of time
Ain't nobody got time for that
We have a limited about of time and energy and need to decide where to spend it. Sometimes it might be more efficient to take received wisdom and run with it rather than launch a research project twenty times a day
But now we've got new questions. The objective facts on at least some of them are not yet well known, because the questions are too new.
> So I always viewed my writings as a gift to humanity and the future generations, to introduce some new perspectives into the world.
https://stephan-shahinian.medium.com/why-i-stopped-writing-4...
If you have limited time span on this Earth, sounds like a prudent default strategy to avoid wasting time with BS - at the cost of a few false negatives...
A flaming egomaniacal narcissist? Usually, yes, I disregard them. Maybe this is a flaw in me, but I don't have the patience to sift through that particular flavor of garbage to try to see if there are any gems in there.
> I never viewed myself as a typical writer, who is writing for a large audience or the general public.
> Instead, I wanted to introduce some new, unconventional or contrarian ideas into the world that most people would not fully understand or be able to follow (at least not currently).
> Maybe in several decades once humanity evolves and thought progresses they will understand my ideas and their complexity.
What a joke.