Ericsson to lay off 8,500 employees
reuters.com
reuters.com
> Oh no. Since a large part of many medium-large sized tech companies' management style seems to consist of "copy what Amazon and Google are doing", I am scared of what silly decisions in other companies this might inspire.
I feel that my model of Ericssons upper management has been validated with one more data point, which is one reason why I would not be all that bummed if it turns out to hit me.
I also don't see any companies outside tech doing massive layoffs.
Source? Most of the layoffs I've seen have been poorly planned and hastily implemented.
Layoffs in response to an economic uncertainty/slowdown were not invented by Amazon/Google/Meta/Musk. They're as old as economy is.
That logic is flawed. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you see big slowdown coming, isn't it better to prepare for it early? Do you have to wait till you're losing money?
The stock market tanked thanks to the Fed rate hikes. It's believed shareholders will respond positively to cost optimizations. So they'll try to hold the line on growth while boosting margins re cost centers.
It's quite straight-forward thinking as it pertains to getting a positive reaction from shareholders.
The question for that context is: are your cost centers well optimized, or can you trim staff (real-estate holdings, inventory, whatever)? That's a very common question that would be pushed at public companies by large institutional shareholders.
Big tech is extraordinarily bloated with labor. They frequently grow at almost comical rates in terms of adding unnecessary employees (they do it just because they can afford to hoover up the talent to keep it from their competition; one common path forward in the hierarchy for managers is to grow their staff count and expand their footprint), and pretty much everyone knows it. It happens with every fast growth era in tech.
Are there any papers regarding the labor bloat specific to tech? Everyone believing in something doesn't make it true so I would love to read more about that beyond the usual memes of "girls on tiktok posting about their day in tech".
Actually, this idea that it's done because of bloat signals something interesting. The reply above claims these layoffs happen because of the future potentially showing massive slowdown - however, why are we trusting what these companies feel about the future when they got their pandemic move completely wrong? They thoroughly believed (apparently, so they say in their layoff emails...) that this growth was going to continue, so obviously they don't have the best grasp on how to make decisions for the future. Entirely negating the above reply that this is due to impending slowdown.
Sure, they can't achieve those record profits for four years in a row, but none are losing money soon.
The companies that actually grew responsibly (aka not FAANG) are generally doing less/smaller layoffs/none at all.
This new economy was one of extremely low interest rates.
Americans don't know how bad they have it and don't remember the mass layoffs of the 1980's and 1990's. A time when jobs became scarce because nearly every company was following suit and REAL unemployment, including those who stopped looking for jobs, rose considerably. The REAL labor participation rate in the US is more like 55% rather than 62% due to the rosy and flawed methodology used to count U-1 through U-6. There are millions fewer middle-aged workers now than there were historically. Ageism, discrimination, and other factors discourage workers from seeking to reenter the workforce. Low skill workers have it worst, cannot always move great distances, and cannot always retrain into magical hypothetical jobs that don't exist. Many underemployed people become Uber and Lyft drivers, where there is the perception of freedom but there is net underpayment and abuse (no help with capitalization, depreciation, and maintenance of a vehicle make their effective pay well below that of taxi drivers).
The global situation is the US Fed's fault for giving out free money for years and then suddenly being a Grinch because they don't like "excess consumption" when there have been shortages and supply chain disruptions. US trucking is still a mess.
And raising the retirement age.. and more austerity too?
* For anyone unfamiliar with the term: think corporate "Liberal" (conservative lite) inspired by the American Clinton dynasty including Obama and Biden who are pro-neocolonialism, anti-union, anti-worker, and "tough on crime". Macron's type is sometimes seen as a "palatable compromise" compared to the regressive fascist nationalists like Le Pen.
a lot of us are pretty aware... just powerless to change things en masse.
As a global perspective: American employees tend to lack testicular fortitude because they lack hope, knowledge, and self-worth.
During the bull market they were fighting with each other to hire more, which is the opposite signal.
Sure the bear market allows them to layoff, but I don’t think they wanted to lay anyone off up until 6 months ago.
For this tech received very special treatment, colossal P/E, a shower of investment, all in an attempt to grab a slice of this wildly growing pie.
But almost every exponent in reality is a bottom part of an S-curve. The growth was indeterminate, not infinite. As growth stalled or reversed, the special treatment did not exactly stop, but its extent contracted severely. Questions about actual profitability started to arise, for instance.
And seeing the support we got in several times via the union fellows in the European countries I have worked on, is also a reason why I am quite supportive of them.
Telecom equipment sales is often very cyclic.
To note further, Ericsson, Nokia et al, shouldn't be thought of as IT companies in the same vein as Google, Apple and Facebook. They exist in a very different parallel universe.
This prompted me to think, is Nokia still around? Then I looked it up and:
> In 2020, Nokia employed approximately 92,000 people[6] across over 100 countries, did business in more than 130 countries, and reported annual revenues of around €23 billion.[4]
Ok, that was surprising.
If you mean they're not as prevalent as they were, sure I suppose. But they sold the business unit off again to HMD Global, who still make Nokia phones, such as the '3.4', the Android One (which is what led me to it - reasonably stock and years of updates - I previously had a Motorola for the same reason) device I'm typing this comment from.
They sold/licensed the brand. Apart from the name, there's nothing in common with the old Nokia.
Does that make a difference? The brand was clearly the thing that most people cared about, hence why it's stuck around.
Nokia was already floundering in the consumer space; at least this way the name is still out there.
Even if you, as I do, buy decent traditionally marketed clothes made from natural fibers - the company selling them, unless it's an actual tailor you can literally take some cloth to, is nothing more than a brand on top of an Indian (say, probably - at least in my market) wholesale operation.
https://medium.com/@harrikiljander/operation-elop-6f2b043f52...
Note - full book on medium - it makes my Firefox on Android cry...
> This page hosts various alternative formats of the Medium book Operation Elop which is an English translation of the original Finnish book Operaatio Elop. You can read the story of this translation project over at Nokia People, a forum for ex-Nokians. The English translation is made available for free, with the permission of the original authors, under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) license.
As a startup trying to get going with Sync.Us, rebranding to https://www.sync.com really helped us take off.
Thanks to whomever auctioned that off :-)
While Ericsson did not disclose which geography would be most affected, analysts had predicted that North America would likely be most affected and growing markets such as India the least.
The cost cutting will continue until profits improve.
It’s more anti-non-NATO rather than anti-foreign.
But if Ericsson drops all its US staff, I could see them getting lumped in with the likes of Huawei anyway.
March 2022: 55.06B
June 2022: 62.46B
Sept. 2022: 68.04B
Dec. 2022: 85.98B
Dec. 2022: 7% profit margin, 11.36B operating income, 1.6B net change in cash on hand, 50.32B cost of revenue
Beat revenue in four consecutive quarters, all while dealing with IPR agreements and DOJ provisions. Sales up YoY and full year.
"A dividend for 2022 of SEK 2.70 (2.50) per share will be proposed to the AGM by the Board of Directors."
https://www.ericsson.com/en/press-releases/2023/1/ericsson-r...
A year ago they had 17.3% profit margin, that’s a massive drop that I imagine spurred this decision.
https://www.ericsson.com/en/press-releases/2022/1/ericsson-r...
Absolutely bananas thinking.
Edit: I was talking about the comment above me conflating wanting higher margins with belief in infinite economic growth. I wasn't making a statement about the morality of Ericsson layoffs nor do I have any insight on their financials. I was simply observing that margins seem to be a thing that investors care quite a bit about.
Isn’t the layoff them showing they are doing something about their margin compression?
I truly don’t mean my comments to come across harsh. That’s not my intent and realize families will be harmed by jobless. But there’s not much a company can do to cut costs quickly to boost margins other than layoffs.
There may come a time when we hit some kind of steady state, but we're definitely not close now.
If they took that hit and missed significantly on revenue, a layoff wouldn't be as unexpected. To take that hit and then beat on revenue, both quarterly and YoY, and then kick off an 8% layoff, is just corporations being corporations for the sake of it.
Revenues don’t mean anything though.
I could generate huge revenues by selling $100 gift cards for 80 bucks. But I’ll have no profit to show for it.
If their profitability was cut in 1/2 in just 1-years time, it's actually irresponsible for management to not take actions to get costs/margins under control.
I mean, they don't need VC money. Why be in SF.
https://companiesmarketcap.com/largest-companies-by-number-o...
Regarding the lay-offs - telecom industry is essentially a sinewave. The "good" period (e.g. from 5G prototype to complete network migration to 5G) lasts approximately 5 years. The way contracts are signed means that you sell X number of network nodes (base stations, core nodes, etc) and some kind of support contract to go with it. After that, there is nothing. Very different from public cloud providers where you pay as you go. Ericsson and most telecom vendors still haven't figured out how to monetize this.
>"The company faces mounting competition from China’s Huawei and Finland’s Nokia as well as weak emerging markets and falling spending by telecoms operators with demand for next-generation 5G technology still years away."
The layoffs are attributed to three things:
1. Competition
2. A slump in investment in emerging markets.
3. Falling spending(it's not clear from the press relase if that was just spending for Ericsson's gear.)
Additionally there was no global Telecom industry slump in 2016. Just in the US alone it was something of a boom year with lots of activity. See:
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/strong-growth-potential-for-...
Erlang was created, at Ericsson, for a telephony switch.
It's shuttered the consumer side entirely (Sony Ericsson was a joint venture, not a group), it's one of the lead developers in mobile telephony, as well as the lead IP holder in the domain.
In Europe also a large player in the broadcast space, though Red Bee Media (formerly Ericsson Broadcast and Media Services): BBC, Channel 4, ITV, Canal+, as well as Channel 4 and Channel 5's VOD. RBM is also a huge provider of closed captioning, signing, and audio description worldwide, by far the largest in europe for more than 15 years (after they acquired Mundovisión and Titelbild).
Ericsson has a dedicated team that maintains and actively improves Erlang with new features and capabilities.
Not sure how much of it ended up happening, after all the layoffs in Germany a couple of years ago.
No, nm, they didn't. They are doing it just because.
It's getting pretty comical by now if there weren't people involved.
In 2021, Ericsson held the largest % market share in radio access network equipment and software [1] (that's what your mobile phone speaks to over the air)
That means that you likely do know of companies that have purchased significant volumes of products from Ericsson, although the statistical probability of this fact deviates depending on what country you live in.
[1] https://telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/ericsson-b...
Many of my coworkers and peers are millennials, and I personally also know large swaths of gen Z folks who are extremely technical, more and more people are pushed into tech as a career choice these days - much more than they were in past generations. Statistically it seems likely we're going to see more technically proficient people in younger generations due to more numbers of people in that generation having greater exposure to tech.
Companies like Ericsson could have an issue with their tech not being the same tech that younger generations are learning, but I doubt that'll be a major problem in practice as people are eager to learn and rewrite things with newer exciting tech.
It'd be a mistake to think baby boomers are irreplaceable by younger generations though (what OP suggested.) I believe we will see more technically proficient people in younger generations statistically due to more people in that group being exposed to tech. Not that they will be better necessarily.
Not many of my peers in school were learning tech, for example, but a good majority of those I talk to now say their kids are learning to go into tech. This is in Arizona, with random people, Uber drivers, etc. so not exactly a tech hub where it'd be very expected.
More people are going into tech as technology eats the world and people see that there are opportunities here. It is also becoming a required skill for a lot of trades such as working on cars, home automation systems, security systems, HVAC, appliance repair etc..
While more experienced people may be able to bring more value in many cases, often management does not see that and does the penny-wise, pound foolish thing. I have seen that happen a lot. Be it good, bad or indifferent, company owners are looking to make our skills more fungible so that they can drive those costs down. Also, hiring younger workers often translates into lower salaries. This is why no matter how irreplaceable people may feel they are, they are often not as irreplacable as they think they are.
If you're talking electrical and mechanical tech, I'm not so sure. If you're talking software, then yeah, the software industry has exploded over the past 20 years.
But I think that could be a problem rather than a boon: part of me wonders if non-software-engineering engineering is going to face huge problems in the future. Software salaries have really sucked the air out of the other industries, and software doesn't matter without amazing hardware to back it up.
(in my message above, "tech" refers to software tech, it's an overloaded term so I normally refer to electrical/mechanical engineering just as that)
Math? While gen Z is larger in absolute numbers, baby boomers were a much larger overall percentage of the population at the time they were born. Thus, there is still a large bump in the population pyramid that is retiring en mass.
> Statistically it seems likely we're going to see more technically proficient people in younger generations due to more numbers of people in that generation having greater exposure to tech.
While I don't know what official statistics say, "being able to use an iPad" does not make one technically proficient. There have been a bunch of articles recently (some on the front page of HN) about how much of gen Z is completely unprepared for the technical workforce because they don't know how anything works under the covers. They don't know how to find files on a filesystem, they don't know how to debug computer issues, they don't know how to use spreadsheets, etc. They can of course learn to do this stuff, but the trend of dumbing down technology so it's a black box makes people less able to succeed technologically, not more.
I may have bitched as a kid to no end to figure out how to edit config.sys or autoexec.bat to run some game, but it did teach me skills about how to dig deeper when I hit a roadblock.
But then we’re on HN, where Backend and DevOps is probably what are considered technical pinnacles.
Some of us old-timers are very happy digging around in the basement levels while the web stack grows ever upward.
>definetely hardworking and motivated.
Disagree. My experience, generally speaking, has been that they do not pay attention to detail, and are not that smart. Even though they might be motivated to keep the job, and they do make great corporate drones, but they do not come anywhere near what it takes to make successful product.