UK ‘barking up wrong tree’ trying to get over-50s back to work
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
Startups need young workers that will grind out lots of hours and pivot at the drip of a hat because the problem space is so large; there is no clear ‘right path’ forward.
But established companies with clear product lines etc. need people to keep the machine going. And there is a lot of skill in the over 50 crowd. The best programmers I know are in their early 50s.
From my personal anecdotal experience the ageism in tech may be better described as generationalism. It appears that companies don't mind hiring "older" people, but that there's a generational gap that companies are less likely to cross. As time moves on that generational gap also ages up.
Health issues are a spectrum; depending on how little I like my job, I might make a different decision about whether a particular health issue rises above the threshold of "I don't want to do this any more".
Love that imagery. Although I work for a tech consulting firm rather than having a real/useful job like those you describe, I would apply the same sentiment. The difference is that while public services are being worn away at an accelerated rate due to a lack of maintenance, tech is like The Bus That Couldn't Slow Down - hurtling along with bits (and people) flying off in all directions, desperate to avoid going below that critical speed.
When there is only one interested party and goal it is much less stressful - when everyone wants a piece of the pie it becomes much more complicated (and late, always late)
The UK has a life time pension allowance once you reach it there is a huge tax penalty.
NHS workers have a defined benefit scheme on which you can easily reach the LTA within a few decades especially as a doctor.
Once you do that you are stuck with a massive tax penalty that makes it utterly pointless to work because your take home can be literal pennies as the tax liability after reaching the LTA is 60% which in a DB pension would be added to your annual tax bill unlike a defined contribution pension which will simply be raided by the HMRC when you retire.
Also previously HMRC has raided pension funds firstly by introducing the LTA then by shrinking it the LTA now is circa £1.2M the LTA of those who retired a decade ago it was £2.5M…
So if you can afford to retire early you also are incentivized to do so because it locks down your pension and secures it from any future raids by the government.
I can’t stress how terrible and backwards the tax system in the UK is.
It forces a tiny minority to pay for most of the tax burden whilst providing them for absolutely no benefits in return since nearly every benefit in the UK is means tested and the bastards know how to pay the least so they conveniently chose which benefits are means tested based on the highest earner in each household.
So if your partner works whelp no unemployment or housing benefit for your most likely… someone in your household earns over £50K? Well no child allowance…
At £100K you also lose 30 hours of free childcare per week and tax free childcare I known people that took a pay cut and turned down bonus payments because those benefits can easily be worth £20-30K of salary at 40% marginal tax rate in London.
It turns out that government ministers dont have the faintest idea of what they are talking about, except what their base wants to think so they can virtue signalling the correct message - which seems somewhat dangerous when they are setting the policy.
If you want more "growth" getting a young person into (meaningful) work would generate more short term growth and vastly more long term growth.
Relatively high income people can cope with increasing bills, rent, and food, but that means they aren't spending money at the pub or whatever, reducing economic activity. Those with lower incomes can't even afford food.
From 2010 to 2023
Minimum wage has risen 76%
House prices have risen 76%
State Pension is up 52%
Median earnings is up 45%
CPIH inflation is up 41%
NHS Band 7 salaries (41-47k) are up 37%
It's the economical equivalent of "beer got me into this mess, so it can damn well get me out of it"
Neither rent control, for all its long term issues, nor utility bill limits were something I remember being brought up.
Council tax in particular, I think isn't done by central government? Although it probably should be, given how messed up local council funding seems to be.
It's sort of based on house values, but that's values in 1990 so very little relevance to today, and its certainly not proportional -- someone in a £5m house pays just 3 times the amount someone in a £80k flat.
That's not likely to get many extra people into the pub, because there aren't that many people earning >£150k.
Those earning 55k a year used to, now they can't afford it.
(Marginal tax at 55k for a parent with 2 kids and a student loan is 69%, for someone on 150k who's probably paid off their loan it's 47%)
So, this is a bit of an odd case where they're kind of _blaming_ their base; it is hard to think of a demographic in England more likely to be a Tory voter than an early retired person.
Of course, they're doing this because telling early retired people to go back to work, while highly unlikely to be at all effective, is at least quite cheap, whereas dealing with chronic illness would involve fixing the NHS, which would be terrifyingly expensive.
Also, if you're the Tories, the very last thing you want to do is to draw people's attention to the state of the NHS. They've been in government for _13 years_; it's very much on them.
Messaging that the kidz and the early retired (aka someone else) need to do their bit for the country will make the 99% of people in the audience that are employed and working hard feel like the true patriots trying to save the country from the forces of evil that they are.
Doubling university places for medicine would be a very sensible move - but it'll take ~7 years before all the new medics are ready to practice. That's two elections in the future.
On the other hand, if you can tempt a retired doctor back into practice? They'll be treating people before the next election starts.
Of course, I doubt it'll work - wasn't the retired-doctors silver bullet already fired, during the pandemic?
The other thing is junior doctors can't progress forward in their training and career as there is limited training slots for specialization. So they end up logjammed being in the low rung doing scutwork at little pay.
Also doctors pay has not kept up with inflation for the last decade. Right now what they really want is full pay restoration but the government isn't budging.
There is a Reddit subreddit where UK jr doctors chat about this stuff and its very enlightening.
I thought this was basic governance. Even at the most ruthlessly utilitarian, healthy workers pay taxes.
Basically, the system is thrashing: you can add RAM, make processes more efficient, oomkill "unimportant" things, or live with a virtually paralysed system.
> ration care to prioritise workers
Who make up a good portion of voters. In an aging society that has promised its people healthcare, it becomes a fight between old and young as there are more limited resources to go around (absent sufficient automation).
The people recieving this priority are not likely to be voters for the current government. Those who would be deprioritised, Tory voters.
https://files-uk-prod.cms.commerce.dynamics.com/cms/api/dkst...
If I'm reading it right, long term sick is self reported and comes with benefits. Not sure if the same applies in the UK, but in the US as welfare benefits were cut there was a large rise in those on disability because that was the only way to get government benefits.
Since 2000 house prices (when buy-to-let started to boom and many people now in their 50s and 60s bought in) have increased 283%. Average wages have increased 106%, and rents are far higher as a portion of wages than in 2000.
British population is up by just under 10 million this century, that's a lot of new houses, and population density in houses is falling - its a far cry from the working class slum conditions of the 19th century, even in London these days.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_U...
Edit: 4th by seats, not by percentage of the votes, given FPTP.
https://www.facebook.com/inmynewsfeed/videos/stupid-voters-s...