On quitting, failing, and, “I find a lot of people who should quit don't”
herbertlui.net
herbertlui.net
Derek was describing Trent Resnor of Nine Inch Nails who, as a musician, played in multiple bands of different styles. Rock, Jazz, Industrial, Dance, etc.
After some time, Nine Inch Nails (Industrial genre according to Sivers), was the one that got the most attention, and so Resnor focused on that one.
This is somewhat similar to starting a start-up. Don't get married to your idea, or potentially even market. Make a few small bets if you can, and see what people are attracted to, and then put more effort into that.
Resnor "quit" the bands that weren't successful, and put the effort into the one that had the best opportunity.
If your goals are different (and I'd argue more principled) then you may not want to just capitulate and try and optimzie for a known audience or market. This probably has a lower change of success, but that doesn't mean it's wrong. To use the startup founder example, if all you're doing is optimizing for VC funding and putting your own vision and ambitions on the back seat, you could also just consider getting a job.
Also, average strategy generates average rewards. The path people choose really depends on their risk tolerance. I don't think it's right to say one is better than another.
Trent Resnor is an interesting example. If his strategy was as you described, I'd be very curious to know what his motivation was - I'd guess it's more complex than just wanting to be in a successful band. I kind of wish I could visit an alternate universe where his dance music career was the one that took off
Let's take the example of a friend of mine who is a stone mason. He started out doing all kinds of different stone works. From driveways, stone walls, fireplaces, etc etc.
Any job that needed doing, he could do.
But then he did a bathroom which ended up in a bunch of architecture magazines, and that led to another bathroom, which led to a spa.
He now only does high-end bathrooms and spas. That's what the market told him they valued.
He still works in stone, just like Trent works in music. Still loves the craft. If the market had said "we love the walls you make", he probably would have focused on that.
On the journey to find the primary source (https://sive.rs/2008-08-tim-ferriss), I came across this fact that Reznor started NIN in 1998 and was the only permanent member of NIN until 2016.
Projects like the Foo Fighters (Dave Grohl), Bon Iver (Justin Vernon), and Tame Impala (Kevin Parker), all started as one person bands, too! (I write more about one-person restaurants, one-person plays, etc., here: https://herbertlui.net/the-simple-truth-behind-successful-cr...)
It reminds me of Diagram is doing (https://diagram.com/) with Magician, Genius, Prototyper, etc.
While I don't think they should have dropped out right away, however if I were in their place, I would have certainly dropped out but maybe that's just me.
The thing about math and science is that you need to show up, you need to put effort in, you need to keep trying until you get the correct answer. And then you need to keep doing that. In my experience, nobody keeps trying if they think they can't do it. I have come to believe that pretty much everybody is capable of doing the calculations. But not everybody is willing to subject themselves to the grindstone.
I've seen novelists, songwriters, musicians, painters, etc say the same. The lesson I take from this is not that people need to learn when to quit, they need to learn to stop half-assing it with the expectation that things will eventually get easy.
After dropping out a couple of times I found college was a lot easier as an adult. Not because I had grown, I don't think. But possibly because I had learned elsewhere, which made the courses easier, and definitely because I stopped caring as much.
Often it’s someone who has learned some painful lessons in the process of mastering their medium and learning to navigate the associated commercial reality.
I was considering posting to the original thread, and sensitive to it looking too self-promotional. I'm glad you saw this, it'd be great to hear if you had anything to add.
Makes perfect sense to me. The process reveals the motives.
Contrast that with how much more common it is for people to suffer for their art because of their pretensions.
Perhaps I'd suggest it's your effort to make the work shine, not just in the actual creation of the work, but in the contextualization of it as well. (This is connected to your point on narrowness—if your vision is narrow, you can't contextualize.)
The most literal example that comes to mind is Virgil Abloh feeling the need to prove what he was making was art, and relying on his research and the work of his inspirations as evidence or "proofs." He discusses further here: https://youtu.be/zKYp1t0-xYw?t=1313