Founder intuition is often just survivor's bias. We won't hear the stories of founders who have failed that often, considering that most fail.
As they say: overnight success after 30 years (it often takes years of hard work, trying, and dedication to achieve seemingly "overnight" success).
The success of a company is highly tied to the intuition of the founder, thet are usually the only people that are critical to the company still improving. But the opposite is true, they are the only ones that are critical to bankrupt the company. But they take decisions taking into account the success of the whole company, something that team don't do as much
I agree with your overall argument but not this premise -- without survival bias you still get all the successful first-time companies who, through more dumb luck than anything else, happen to luck their way into a perfect situation without any past company experiences to bias them, survival or not
Maybe I'm just romantic, it seems to me that the perfect storm of having the person with good product intuition also in the founder spot with decision making power, accountability and historical context/institutional memory is pretty powerful...