Tech layoffs hurt Gen Z job prospects, could backfire for big tech
businessinsider.com
businessinsider.com
Some folks are in a bad spot at a bad time, and it’s a good reminder too that others are in a good spot at a good time and their “success” may have been more luck than skill. Over the long term these things tend to sort themselves out but in the short term yeah sometimes stuff is not “fair.” The “up” market in tech went on for so long that many forgot what a down market is and many have never experienced one.
Can confirm. I was putting myself through school and when my programming job went away it was a complete life reset. I didn't get back on track with my peers until about a decade later. It's also had the added effect that I'm very risk conscious and save aggressively. I am always looking for the next down market.
> Some folks are in a bad spot at a bad time, and it’s a good reminder too that others are in a good spot at a good time and their “success” may have been more luck than skill
After saying all that, I'm not a fan of this saying at all. There is something to being in the right place at the right time, but it's very difficult to luck yourself into top tech jobs. You do need to work very hard both for interviews and on-going work. You'll inevitably do some soul sacrificing whether you realize it or not.
All that to say, it's a bit of luck and a lot of hard work, but the luck isn't to be forgotten.
I have been very lucky at two particular points in my career where I really needed a new job and I found one both times with one email (including one in 2001!). Which was very lucky. But the emails were also to people I had worked with in the past and had a good relationship with.
Not true. There are many avenues to it. The most important is deliberate training to be a top engineer. I know several who got into top tech jobs. All of them were no-brainers to hire, because of their track records.
The other meaning is it isn't luck to get a top tech job.
yeah, and then that was the start of the huge mobile, cloud, app boom that followed. So many people got hugely rich with ESOs from the bull market that followed, or with IPOs or other exits. A small setback in 2022 does not change the long-term picture of FANMG tech jobs having among the best prospects of probably any job or sector. A lot of people on reddit have retired 'FIRE style' with 7 figures with such jobs.
One changed 3 jobs in his whole career of 20 years and was genuinely interested in what he does, for whom he does it, which tools he uses and how to understand better the technology that's needed to achieve the goal. He is great to talk to, listens and never tries to interrupt with "but what about <technology X>, why didn't you use <latest serverless thingy>, who the f* is the ID-10-T that made you learn <language that does the job and people know it>", just in order to give himself credibility. Doesn't use popular social media.
The other one always talked at people, knew all the buzzwords and changed 1 job every 8 - 12 months in the span of his 10 year long career, and never failed to mention it in social gatherings as if it's something to be proud of. His Twitter, LinkedIn, StackOverflow (with low score of answers and badly written questions that are borderline insulting when told to provide sufficient info), Facebook and TikTok are regularly updated multiple times in a day, mostly with phrases such as "In order to grow, you can only do so with an awesome team like <array of names from LinkedIn with similar social presence>" or other motivational phrases. He never skips the chance to mention that there exists choice of tech that does the job better and it's the one he happens to use, being the latest and shiniest in the toolbox of frameworks, SaaS or similar tools. Interactions with him are multiplayer monologue and most his social circle is similar - people who talk about themselves and how great they are, backed up with obscure, witty, wannabe-nerd words used for frameworks/libs/SaaS in their toolbox.
One of these two lost the job and blames the world and big tech. The other one kept it. And will keep it for forseeable future.
There is work to be done and there are people to do it.
One of these two is a rare find in world of engineering, the other is common occurrence. One of these two is economically viable while the other incurs loss.
As unpopular my comment will get, I'll let the downvoter (or upvoter) guess who kept the job and which person sounds as a more pleasant co-worker.
OK.
The second person sounds insufferable, but you're also indirectly preaching the praises of corporate loyalty that have been outdated and out of touch for over 50 years.
Look, I've been creating software for 40 years now in a wide variety of industries and many, many tech stacks. The people passionate about doing good work simply do good work. That other guy? He's all bluster. They eventually wash out. Nowadays their strategy is to get hired at a FAANG and have earned enough to retire by the time they wash out. It's really pathetic and frankly I say good riddance to those people. I've seen many of them come and go over the years and the team is almost as better off after they leave.
Meanwhile, if you're solving real problems real people are having and they're willing to pay for them to be solved then you'll remain employed.
This.
I noticed many people talking about corporate loyalty, but you sir made my day, this was precisely my point :)
I wrote a wall of text trying to explain what you explained in that one simple sentence, your experience is visible. Thank you and have a great day!
I've worked at too many companies where hack job losers stuck around 5, 10, 15 years, insulating themselves with low enough pay and job security by not sticking out, keeping their head down, and creating an environment that breeds passive leeches.
These lifers would create enough mess that would eventually be cleaned up by people who could read a man page instead of a Medium article and who eventually left for greener pastures because they too were interested in creating good work.
You can be technically excellent and have enough brains to pay attention to the CPI-W. Records profits from corporates aren't for you and me, they're for the businesses themselves.
I've never understood those people either.
I didn't preach that, I purposely left out where the first one works and what the industry is. In all honesty, you have to admit you filled out that part yourself so you can have something to argue about :)
No, it's not about corporate loyalty at all but I don't have any means to dissuade you so you'll just have to trust me on this (or don't).
You purposely skipped the part where one person is honest and good at what they do while the other is the opposite.
> the nice guy you're talking about had job pay increases exceeding inflation at each 3 jobs over 20 years
The smart guy did not rely only on pay increases, you're thinking too small about financial compensation. Salary is not the only source of compensation. There are other, better financial models to keep the expert employee and to grow alongside said expert and to keep every party happy. Win for engineer, win for employer and win for customer _is_ a possible scenario.
No, you did. You shouldn't be proud of sticking around at a company you have no plans of being a leader at or having meaningful equity. It makes you sound like an idiot. Who can't multiply 2% inflation by the number of years someone has been at a company and do a little math?
For as insufferable as this person sounds, they should be proud of not letting businesses screw them over.
Don't tell me I'm thinking "too small about financial compensation" when people literally cannot afford homes.
This boomer stuff has to go. You think these gen Z kids care? They're even smarter than millennials. They learned "FYPM" from the get go.
Sadly, you didn't read what I wrote but I'm still grateful for being called an idiot, and since I value your opinion I am gravely hurt.
I called out your comment because it too is rude. You think you're making a statement about character and moral building, but then you slip in some archaic statements about work ethic and job tenure and seem to expect that the false dichotomy you're building is universally applicable to all distributions of laborers.
It's the weird regurgitation of concepts that managers and leaders say in order to prey on people.
Look it up.
You're worked up and are taking it out on me because you created the narrative in which it appears I'm sending some kind of subliminal messages about corporate loyalty. You've been told multiple times it's not the case but you refused to accept it. The same way you can imagine you're a billionaire and refuse to accept the reality of that you aren't.
The story you made up has nothing to do with mine, but you refuse to read so that's where our multiplayer monologue ends.
There was no mention on compensation.
There was no mention of the revenue model of the 1st person.
You came up with a narrative and argued with me based on story and arguments you made up.
It's just silly and not remotely professional, especially coming from a grown up person.
Here's the story of the first dev: his compensation model depends directly on how much his employer (partner) helps their customers achieve higher revenue. Their software is related to subset of financial industry.
You are right, he didn't make near the market rate for most of his career. He made so much he never has to work any more. But he still works because it's what he finds fulfilling.
Your attitude is dangerously misleading. You assumed too much in order to paint someone sociopath.
It'd be a lie if I said "I wonder what prompted you to behave like this", except I can tell you recognized yourself in the story I wrote and felt the need to discredit the narrator. Think about it, it's for your sake.
I think the reason you're pissing people off is because we were all like the hero of your little story. Except instead of being rewarded handsomely, we all got fucking screwed over by faceless megacorps' middle management. Now it pisses us off when we see people spewing misleading bullshit.
> because I'm a pessimist
Shoot for the worst, hope for the best type? :)
The whole thing seems like a false dichotomy. Most people I know (including myself) fit into neither category. Some job hops, with stretches of stability. Keeping up with the latest tech/trends, but mostly realistic about applicability to their day to day problems. And someone being annoying at parties is hardly relevant. You'll find those people everywhere.
First one never worked for FAANG, the other one aimed only for that level.
One lost the job, the other kept it.
There is a deeper meaning to the story, it's not for no reason that the first one managed to get through 2 economic crises, pandemic and yet again - round of layoffs.
Take what you will from the story, but maybe it's not as shallow story as it seems.
I don't think loyalty or trust are needed in an environment where all parties adhere to agreement(s) and have the process that lets everyone win.
IMO: more people should consult or work for themselves. You learn a lot in a short amount of time and get a good understanding for the pros and cons of salaried employment.
Extroverts are good at selling themselves, they enjoy that activity. Introverts are interested in how to do good work, not in selling themselves. They don't like to go to job interviews, because that to them is not solving the interesting problems they are working on.
If you started your career 2012, for the last 10 years, Tech has always been going up and up, (compensation, job opportunities), etc.... this is the first time many have seen a true tech downturn.
And this is a serious one. It is starting to look a bit worse than 2008-2009 slowdown, and getting closer to the 2001 one. (it is somewhere in between).
I don't know what they're looking at, but I suspect there will be some fallout as we find out how many complicated investment vehicles were wrapped up and set on top of cryptocurrencies.
There are jobs out there, just not in the 100x P/E companies. Infrastructure, green energy, construction, and labor are still hiring like crazy.
I'm putting my money where my big mouth is and loading up on stocks, we'll see how it goes
Agreed. The job market was growing remarkably since 2012, especially in tech.
> And this is a serious one. It is starting to look a bit worse than 2008-2009 slowdown
Not sure if I agree with you there... at least not yet.
Snark aside, yes, that's true to some degree. It's also stifling to not be able to get stuff done.
I'm being a bit snarky. I've known people who mostly liked working for a national lab but, like academia, it's not really a panacea.
Not to minimize the effects of getting laid off early in your career, but almost everyone will likely be fine.
All of my peers made it through, so will the class of 2023.
Just keep pushing.
I joined a small local company, they had a codebase dating back to the 90s and they’d succeeded in becoming the dominant solution in a niche space. It was a far cry from the nifty places I read about on hacker news.
It wasn’t flashy, weird proprietary tooling, ancient version of .NET, little to no version control, no testing infrastructure, but man I learned so much. I was fresh out of school, everything was a learning experience!
I think it’s easy to forget that these stable, smaller, more “humble” options exist out there and they’re not necessarily slashing massive proportions of their staff.
There's also the dirty secret that there are lots of hard problems out there, and you probably have a better chance of working on one of those hard problems than you would at Google, where you'd come up against people with decades of experience and lots more credentials than you. We should be warning grads that getting into Google could mean you getting paged to keep Gmail running at 4am in the morning, rather than figuring out a sweet graph analysis problem.
I worry that the grasping for status for some is actually a cover for, "I don't know what to do but I would like others to validate me."
this is some bizarre loss aversion fallacy going on. Please, don't give me a top 0.00001% best job in the history of mankind because there's a 15% chance I might lose it. What!?
The issue right now is 'education and housing' costs which at least in part have something to do with our much longer than planned life expectancy and built up housing equity among those people, who vote and are very well organized as well as having deep ties into the system. I don't know what the answer is but I don't see anyone with great answers. Maybe 'decentralized' workforces will help out a bit, because affordability is reasonable in many places and frankly the supposed 'cool spots' just are not that cool.
I would argue that the biggest challenge graduates in 2023 face is a battle inside themselves between their expectations, their delusions of grandeur, and the reality of the world. I didn't work properly for a "tech company" for more than 2 years after I finished school, and I started in a lower level role than I was qualified for, but the entire time I was learning things, working with people I respected and admired, and was paid decently for my time and efforts. The domain knowledge I gained from outside of "tech" at various points in my career has been incredibly valuable during all the times I worked in tech, because most of the "tech" companies make their money selling products to non-tech companies. Knowing your customer and their domain is actually crucial.
If you're willing to work as a software developer at a health insurance company maintaining eligibility processing and claims processing systems, or at a manufacturing company writing automation tooling to help process engineers convert prototypes into mass producible widgets, or working on plugins for the unwieldy "enterprise" software used in the back office at a global trucking and logistics company, you'll never want for work, and you'll learn a lot and earn a decent wage compared to the market you find yourself in. No, it's not $300k TC right out of school with free lunches and trendy swag packages, but it's also not purgatory and destitution.
Realistically, I think social media has created a completely unhinged set of expectations amongst people, in general, and especially young people. Everyone has to pay their dues, and what you learn along the way and the relationships you build will set up the rest of your career.
It boggles me that this is acceptable and the norm for new grads. This, from the article, should be the norm:
"The job prospects in Big Tech are so grim that career counselors at even the most elite universities are urging students to consider positions at smaller companies and in less sought-after sectors, such as manufacturing or government."
Normally the market distributes demand in a continuous and predictable fashion so it's easier to plan for the future. This includes demand for toilet paper, eggs, and tech jobs.
When the market is manipulated excessively, the results are hard to predict as the feedback is delayed and noisy. Like steering a huge ship with siri voice commands and an antagonistic crew.
So when averaged over a long period of time, the steering does kinda-sorta align to a desired path, but like a fishtailing car, it causes a lot of collateral damage and is never really in control.
E.g. demand for tech jobs was pulled forward causing long term planning (multi year degrees) to fail since supply is now being dumped onto a market with no demand. (and the previous excess demand just creating bloated orgs and salaries).
This disrupts career paths b/c it delays the the ability to compound wealth/network/skills/etc...
This has further negative effects b/c the difference between two individuals compounding at the same rate but with a different X axis start time is also an exponential function. (https://www.desmos.com/calculator/88s8c2uus2)
This increasing inequality drives up the prices of assets that are used to absorb excess wealth like stocks and real estate (considered a 'necessity' for life scripts like starting-a-family)
Newcomers are forced into either starting over in some overlooked blue ocean leveraging new innovation, forced into negative expected return but high volatility strategies like robinhood/wallstreetbets, or forced into new life scripts that don't rely on clinging to a wealth sponge. *
* Crypto has elements of all of these including new kinds of wealth sponges that are completely useless (unlike a house) so for many it seems like the only path to an acceptable future.
Seems like a chicken-egg issue.
many (most?) of us who have been at one of the prominent high-tech companies for a long time didn’t start there. it was a non-linear path with some non-glamorous work along the way.
I realize you can't make TikToks about that but it's reality.