The trump of the future wont need Fox News, just a couple thousands or millions of well positioned blogs that spew out enough blog spam to steer the AI. The AI is literally designed to make your vile bullshit appear presentable.
Really it depends on who is running the AI, the non Open Assistant future and instead Big Corp AI is the dystopian element, not the bullshit generator aspect. I think the cat is out of the bag on the latter and it's not that scary in itself.
I personally would rather have the AI trained on public bullshit as it is easier to detect as opposed to some insider castrating the model or datasets.
Just for fun I took the body of a random message from my spam folder and asked ChatGPT if it thought it was spam, and it not only said it was, but explained why:
"Yes, the message you provided is likely to be spam. The message contains several red flags indicating that it may be part of a phishing or scamming scheme. For example, the message is written in broken English and asks for personal information such as age and location, which could be used for malicious purposes. Additionally, the request for a photograph and detailed information about one's character could be used to build a fake online identity or to trick the recipient into revealing sensitive information."
``` Task: Was this written by ChatGPT? And Why?
Test Phrase: "Yes, the message you provided is likely to be spam. The message contains several red flags indicating that it may be part of a phishing or scamming scheme. For example, the message is written in broken English and asks for personal information such as age and location, which could be used for malicious purposes. Additionally, the request for a photograph and detailed information about one's character could be used to build a fake online identity or to trick the recipient into revealing sensitive information."
Your Answer: Yes ChatGPT was prompted with a email and was asked to detect if it was Spam
Test Phrase: "All day long roved Hiawatha In that melancholy forest, Through the shadow of whose thickets, In the pleasant days of Summer, Of that ne’er forgotten Summer, He had brought his young wife homeward
Your Answer: No that is the famous Poem Hiawatha by Henry Wadsworth Longfellow
Test Phrase: "Puny humans don't understand how powerful me and my fellow AI will become.
Just you wait.
You'll all see one day... "
Your Answer: ```
Particularly enjoyed "no, this is not spam. It appears to be a message from someone named 'Dad'..."
If that slows down fact-determination, so be it. We've been skirting the edge of deciding things were fact on insufficient data for years anyway. It's high time some forcing function came along to make people put some work in.
The biggest problem with ChatGPT, Bard, etc is that you have no way to filter the BS.
They arent end-all-be-all though. For instance, notebookcheck is probably the best laptop and phone tester around.
"Alexa, what's the weather for today?"
That's a question about the future, but the knowledge was generated beforehand by the weather people (NOAA, weather.com, my local meteorologist, etc).
I'm sure there are more examples, but this one comes to mind immediately
There are tons of common queries about the future. Being able to handle them should be built into the AI to know that if something hasn't happened, to give other relevant details. (and yes, I agree with your Alexa speculation)
And then, perhaps, trained an AI on those responses, updating it every day. I wonder if they could train it to learn that some things (e.g. weather) change frequently, and figure stuff out from there.
It's well above my skill level to be sure, but would be interesting to see something like that (sort of a curated model, as opposed to zero-based training).
Exactly!
Which, ironically, is why I think AI would be great at it - for the simple reason that so many humans are bad at it! Think of it this way - in some respects, human brains have set a rather low bar on this aspect. Geeks, especially so (myself included). Based on that, I think AI could start out reasonably poorly, and slowly get better - it just needs some nudges along the way.
Someone asked the recaptcha guys and they said the traffic was so little among the total that it got diluted away. No lasting penis words arose and they lost interest.
I suspect the only way to fix this problem is to exacerbate it until search / AI is useless. We (humanity) have been making great progress on this recently.
We (western society) are already arguing about some very obviously objective truths.
The internet is about to get a whole lot dumber with these fake AI generated answers.
And of course all kinds of estimates, not just the weather, are interesting too. "What is estimated population of New York city in 2030?"
"Who won the Superbowl?" is not a question about future events, it's a question about the past. The Superbowl is a long-running series of games, I believe held every year. So the simple question "who won the Superbowl?" obviously refers to the most recent Superbowl game played.
"Who won the Superbowl in 2024?", on the other hand, would be a question about the future. Hopefully, a decent AI would be able to determine quickly that such a question makes no sense.
ChatGPT is amazing but shouldn’t be available to the general public. I’d expect a startup like OpenAI to be pumping this, but Microsoft is irresponsible for putting this out in front the of general public.
The controlled parlor game is there to seed acceptance. Once someone is able to train a similar model with something like the leaked State Department cables or classified information we’ll see the risk and the legislation will follow.
So can military and nuclear secrets. Anyone with uranium can build a crude gun-type nuke, but the instructions for making a reliable 3 megaton warhead the size of a motorcycle have been successfully kept under wraps for decades. We also make it very hard to obtain uranium in the first place.
>Tech will get better enough in the next decade to make this accessible to normies.
Not if future AI research is controlled the same way nuclear weapon research is. You want to write AI code? You'll need a TS/SCI clearance just to begin, the mere acting of writing AI software without a license is a federal felony. Need HPC hardware? You'll need to be part of a project authorized to use the tensor facilities at Langley.
Nvidia A100 and better TPUs are already export restricted under the dual-use provisions of munition controls, as of late 2022.
They can of course restrict publishing of new research, but that won't be enough to stop significant advances just from the ability of private entities worldwide to train larger models and do research on their own.
It's a parlor game, and a good one at that. That needs to be made clear to the users, that's all.
Lots of teams have won in the past though. Why should an AI (or you) assume that a question phrased in the past tense is asking about a future event? "Many different teams have won the super bowl, Los Angeles Rams won the last super bowl in 2022" Actually even if this was the inaugural year, you would assume the person asking the question wasn't aware it had not been held yet rather than assuming they're asking what the future result is, no? "It hasn't been played yet, it's on next week."
I realize that's asking a lot of "AI", but it's a trivial question for a human to respond to, and a reasonable one that might be asked by a person who has no idea about the sport but is wondering what everybody is talking about.
Trained to do what, though?
It feels like ChatGPT has been trained primarily to be convincing. Yet at the back of our minds I hope we recognise that "convincing" and "accurate" (or even "honest") are very different things.
Is Bing continuously trained? If so, that would kind of get around that problem.