Peter Hotez on the increase of anti-science aggression on social media
thebulletin.org
thebulletin.org
We know that the official narratives of pandemic response included blatant and even malicious falsehoods designed to create social pressure and nudges for a percieved greater good, and do policymakers and scientists really think that this should come with impunity? Scientists and policymakers were wrong - a lot - and if they want to keep doubling down on antagonizing the people whose trust they have lost, they should probably game it out a bit first.
Because the pandemic pushed a lot of people toward videoconference etc, hardcore medical knowledge is actually more accessible than ever before. People who were really, truly interested in what medical scientists and public health experts thought about COVID-19 could go to youtube channels like the UCSF grand rounds and get the straight dope from doctors at the leading edge of policy and research, talking to an audience of other doctors and getting down into the weeds of cellular biology, DNA base pairs, and statistical significance.
I've never seen any of the 'do your own research' crowds cite any of this work. When they cite something, it's wrapped in 17 layers of confirmation bias. If you complain about fallacies from people who are generally trying to simplify things for an audience that demands simple explanations, and then ignore that fallacious arguments coming from their intellectual or ideological opponents, are you wandering off into fallacy yourself?
How the hell is steve the plumber supposed to be able to independently interpret research papers that require a stats understanding, some calc, some background knowledge in chemistry etc, to actually understand? These papers are written by people who have been steeped in extremely tiny segments of their field for a decade. A layman cannot understand that.
We can't launder poor arguments through complexity/uncertainty boxes like the USC grand rounds videos and say, "well, unless you understand this granular level, you can't disagree with this lateral and aggregate policy one." I wonder if on a basic level the people who argue like that aren't engaged in discovering truth, but actuated by merely avoiding criticism and seeking to align to something symbolic that protects them. This may be the crux of the disagreement.
If I have an ideological position, it is that I believe my opposing team is engaged in the neutralization of discourse because for them to prevail in their power struggles they only need for principled people to do nothing. This is perhaps the divide. There are people aligned to an ideal of truth that originates in religious cultural beliefs, and people aligned to a fear of criticism that originates in a more materialist ideology.
This scope shift from an "appeal to authority" to reframing it as a "deference to authority," in the counter argument doesn't counter my original point, which was that scientists may feel they are under seige because they have been exploited in appeals to authority, and feel blowback from some people who understood that ploy and rejected it. They are orthogonal concepts.
Sure, media defers to experts, they tell stories that include them, but the variations like "this is true because authority says so", "authority said: do this or become a hate figure," and "you are suffering because of these non-believers, just ask these authorities" were disingenuous rhetorical devices employed by media and policymakers with no objection from actual scientists.
Maybe these scientists would feel less threatened if they had less fear of criticism and more intellectual courage.
The difference of course is that anti-vaxxers and other anti-science types were and are literally dying due to their belief in nonsense and conspiracies.
> that is not understandable. It's a dramatic and seemingly emotional overreaction
I think what you mean is "rational" in some platonic sense of the word rational. It is entirely understandable that humans, as sometimes irrational and always emotional creatures could react this way. It is not all history that we're talking about, as your own example demonstrates, merely the "history" and the institutions that provided the history that you grew up with.
> The difference of course is that anti-vaxxers and other anti-science types were and are literally dying due to their belief in nonsense and conspiracies.
Plenty of innocent people died and had their lives ruined or negatively impacted because of the nonsense beliefs and decisions made by the "follow the science" crowd. Which science was being followed when hospitals decided they did not need a stockpile of masks? Which science was being followed when it was decided that schools must be closed? Which science was being followed when it was decreed that masking children would have no negative impact on their development?
A problem: you are falling victim to the very same phenomenon as the "people" you criticize: mistaking your perception of affairs to be an accurate representation of actual affairs.
You do not actually possess knowledge about what is going on in the minds of your outgroup members, you only have belief. If Normies could get their own affairs sorted out, maybe they could demonstrate by example how to think in a logically an epistemically sound manner, but until they do me and my fellow conspiracy theorists (as flawed as they are) will continue being a thorn in your sides.
> If I grew up hating the way history was taught and communicated because of pro-Western biases and whitewashing atrocities and American exceptionalism, and my response is to decide history is bullshit and I'm going to believe instead in some gibberish I found on a blog or a podcast, that is not understandable.
To what degree is this actually happening though? If you cannot question the accuracy of your beliefs, why should the members of your outgroup?
Also, note that "not understandable" has a dependency on your abilities as well.
> The difference of course is that anti-vaxxers and other anti-science types were and are literally dying due to their belief in nonsense and conspiracies.
And taking others with them!
Best put on our thinking caps and figure out what's actually happening if you ask me.
My own naivety is that I believed an education obligates one to have intellectual courage. When actual scientists align with people whose best arguments are to chant slogans like "denialists!", "source!", "pandemic of the unvaccinated!", "misinformation!", "hateful!" they are complicit. The scientists who went along to get along did so at the cost of betraying their fellow citizens who lost their jobs and livelihoods over matters of principle, and indeed some of their lives to the consequences of pandemic policy.
It's quite serious. A scientist or doctor mouthing talking points for attention on twitter is an expression of that betrayal, and worse, a contempt that is difficult to reconcile. I hope people are unnerved enough by it to reflect a bit more deeply.
This is an entirely different category, and SC not mirror science e.g in it's process following scientific processes/principles, despite the dependencies between the fields.
For post talks about what "policymakers and scientists really think" - it doesn't matter what scientists think (in this context), this is about policymakers and science-communicators (who may or may not also be scientists, or have such a background).
TLDR, scientific authority has been "weaponised", and the backlash is as much against the weapon as the wielder. Not a surprise the true wielders are scapegoating "scientists" as the instigators.
Note that appeal to authority isn't a logical fallacy- because scientific arguments are not pure logic. Instead, we use priors (authority) to evaluate the quality of statements. |
I don't agree the pandemic response was filled with malicious falsehoods; the public health officials acted in good faith. I think most people haven't benen public health officials during a global emergency and fail to appreciate the challenges of threading all the needles simultaneously.
such as dubious methods, lack of replication or claims based on surveys or non-academic studies, inappropriate or overreaching conclusions e.g. specificities derived from generalizations, etc.
I think the clearest example is IAT (implicit bias testing), which has dubious foundations, but seems to have taken off as a "scientific" thing, at least in the corporate world. Sometimes accompanied by a motte-and-bailey where the results of the test, and the correct conclusions of the results, are left vague; or what a "bias" is left undefined so you can easily be lead to believe it equates to e.g. racism.
I agree entirely that social science news reporting is crap. I should have been much clearer about that.
There is a spectrum of science.
In the middle there are the hard verifiable objective things. And on the ends are subjective or unprovable theories.
The goal is to increase that middle band over time.
Science, scientific papers, scientists, universities have always been subject to weaponizing in the past. Tell me... Are eggs good for you or not?
Regarding intent and threading needles, I spent the pandemic working in a public health system, after over a decade in health information privacy policy and systems, so I lack this comment's uncertainty about malice. Anyone who worked in health and thought or even said anti-vaxxers were hateful and better off dead was not providing honest service. In healthcare and in particular public health, I'd argue that's not a mere opinion, it's something much darker and more culpable. G-word level questions arise.
If we are dealing in truth, we are dealing in logic, and the last best empirical result is not exempt from that standard unless we actively dispense with it. Science is practiced, it is not litigated, or worse: advocated.
Here's a question - is it "correct" that health officials should lie if they believe it will lead to net positive outcome? Is this still good faith?
To what extend should net population outcomes compete with individual outcomes? e.g. downplaying risks of the vaccine, such that individuals with complications are essentially sacrificed in favor of the larger number of people without.
Remember, the health officials promoting vaccines now lived through the antivax movement that occurred pre-COVID. That movement greatly overhyped vaccine risks in a way that convinced large numbers of people to not get vaccinated. How would you, as a good faith public health official, respond if your opponents are extreme liars with no scientific basis?
We didn't try to take the debate, or even much acknowledge tradeofs. These were written of as "allow grandma to die", but if we accept that the period of 18-24 is crucial for adults to find themselves, then we essentially cut 1/3 of that time, which may have several decades of life impact, to add (maybe) a few more years to grandmas life.
I am not saying it wasn't the right choice. I am saying that anybody who disagreed were not offered a chair at the decision table (or zoom room), but were actively bullied and called science deniers. Needless to say that doesn't make them want to hear our arguments either.
Then there is the entire: no mask, masks maybe, masks are essential but you don't have to wear one that isn't made from simple cloth.
Finally it seemed to me that the WHO was more concerned with making sure China didn't get insulted than to deal with the dicease. Anywhere else it would have been called China flu, and there wouldn't have been a debate over it. Suddenly we had to talk about how this was not Chinas fault and we even had these stupid "hug a Chinese person" campaigns in the beginning.
How many kids are without one of their parents now because of covid? It's a global emergency, there is no option that allows people to pretend nothing is happening.
The two previous zoonotic coronavirus outbreaks, SARS and MERS, had case fatality rates of nearly 10% and over 30% respectively. Before we had reliable clinical data to the contrary, it was reasonable to respond to the very real possibility that COVID had, or very quickly would develop similar lethality.
This risk led to a collaborative effort to sequence the COVID-19 virus and to develop vaccines as quickly as possible. In conjunction with this, there are very large studies evaluating existing drugs using in silico and in vitro efforts to try to find functional bindings. Subsequent to plausible candidates being identified, case studies and then RCTs were conducted on an expedited basis to further qualify candidates.
The result was multiple vaccines that had very high efficacy (the mRNA and a few adenovirus based ones) and several vaccines that exhibited much lower efficacy.
In parallel with this constructive work, there were quite a few charlatans who misconstrued limited clinical evidence or who simply started rumors based on nothing. From this we got people touting inaction, bleach inhalation, hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin and other bogus treatments with no effect on the disease and variable levels of lethality of the treatment.
Your turn now. You said that promising avenues were willfully ignored. Provide some examples.
EUA can only be used when no alternative treatment exists. As such, there was a huge coordinated effort to both discredit potential treatments ("horsey paste ahaha!!") or to just not study them. Any alternative would have meant no EUA, meaning no big vaccine contracts. We choose a path that favored the manufacturers, at the expense of alternative treatments. Treatment avenues were ignored.
0% liability for vaccine manufacturers, yet the public message that it's 100% safe. How is it possible for those two to exist and not cause cognitive dissonance? If it's 100% safe, then the manufacturers don't need any protection, and if they have 0% liability, then they have deemed that there exists a financial risk that they are not comfortable with. Otherwise it would have been "this is 100% safe and we back it by the life of our organization." Avenues to reinforce the public trust were ignored.
Why did the CDC stop tracking breakthrough infections in 2021? Shouldn't this be considered very important information to understand how our tools and the virus are performing? We're choosing to discard data instead of vacuuming it all up. Why? Relevant data was ignored.
In simple terms, I asked you to put up or shut up, and your response was "no u." If you had an actual point, you should have been more than happy to have been asked to expound upon it.
What I remember is Fauci saying that to be fully effective, protective needs to be fitted and fit-tested and that due to limited supplies, PPE supplies with high levels of protection (i.e. N95 and above) should be reserved for medical staff in order to keep hospitals functioning. There were also numerous experimental studies testing how much reuse of N95 masks was viable.
As supplies became more available, he moderated this position and recommended protective equipment for anybody likely to be exposed.
On March 8, 2020, Fauci said "there's no reason to be walking around with a mask," according to Reuters
https://www.newsweek.com/fauci-said-masks-not-really-effecti...
Spare me the excuses about PPE supplies-- even cloth masks would have helped, especially for original SARS-COV-2. Even if he had been concerned about supply issues (the popular excuse you suggest), he could have not lied to the public about effectiveness and asked (not to mention have the President order) for medical grade masks to be reserved for healthcare workers.
For me an example would be the early “masks don’t work” rhetoric, but then simultaneously also telling the public not to buy masks because healthcare workers need them.
The early recode article mocking Silicon Valley for avoiding contact early on and “panicking” because it was “just the flu” and concern was anti-China racism.
Later on the repeated stories pushed by MSM about the lab leak hypothesis being a “conspiracy theory” when it remains if not the most likely source, still a probable one.
Science is about testing a hypothesis, updating, and discussing tradeoffs honestly - often “believe in science” types are not about science at all, but about authority and political partisanship/cognitive bias.
The tragedy is this erodes trust. Then when something important is actually true like the vaccines are very effective and people should take them they lie about that too (zero risks, 100% effective, etc.) vs. being honest about it (very effective, but not 100%, risks are rare and better on net than contracting disease etc.)
The dishonesty makes it easy for more harmful conspiracy to arise because they’ve lost trust of the public (for good reason imo). Most people that think independently outside of consensus will do it poorly.
“Believe in science” was used to defend the (wrong) stuff in my comment, it’s a proxy for believe authority or believe media.
If we want people to understand the value of science we should share the evidence and explain what the hypothesis is with the nuance and uncertainty present rather than patronizingly play 3D-chess because we assume the public is too dumb to know what’s good for them.
Some people and institutions did this, but most did not.
Science as an institution is no stranger to this kind of bullshit either: radical mastectomy and halsted’s “theories” of cancer, skinner and behaviorism (really all of psychology due to the replication crisis), mendel’s peas being ignored for 40yrs, phrenology, etc. When it becomes believe the authority instead of about the evidence bad things happen.
It seems odd that you point fingers at some of their perceived failures without acknowledging how many hundreds of thousands of people owe their lives to these scientists and policymakers.
There is no "appeal to authority" here; Hotez IS one of the worlds leading authorities on both vaccines and anti-science aggression, which is exactly what it is.
Of course, you are free to believe the liars over the people who are actually doing the hard work of figuring out the real science.
But do not pretend that you are doing anyone any good. I'm sure you feel all self-righteous "sticking it to the man" and aggressively countering a leading expert, and partaking of (pseudo-)"knowledge" that is exclusive to you (self-)select insiders. This is a known and scientifically studied part of the attraction of conspiracy and junk science. While you pride yourself to not being a slave to the "authorities", you are merely a slave to the scammers and hucksters.
It is not your belief in some "contrarian" tropes that makes you a free thinker.
What would make you a free thinker is the ability to look at evidence and science and freely adjust your beliefs accordingly.
Those are simply not the same things. The government response was calibrated based on what the scientific consensus was at the time, and whoever followed those guidelines (including vaccination) had a much lower chance of suffering and dying in the last two years. The other "side" was trying to convince people to try hocus-pocus medicine and avoid the only effective strategy for prevention.
The calculator for evaluating truthiness in those people is missing functionality, or at least it's operating on a different set of rules.
To "those people" there are certain lines, which after being crossed, make it impossible to recover any ground.
Do you mean stop criticizing?
Also, what an absurd proposition.
Should we not criticize George W. Bush & the US Government for invading the wrong country in the aftermath of 9/11?
After all, it was an emergency!
At what point does the response change from "it was an emergency!" to... jesus christ you people are incompetent. And you're attempting to censor all the competent people....
Insert some meaningless comparison to firefighters/other heroic profession
Lets not pretend like "scientists" by virtue of their job title are moral paragons or even experts in their fields. Everyone on this website (or like 75%) is a "scientist" to some degree. If you are an educated adult with any sort of scientific background you are fully capable of adjudicating a research paper into the following catagories : utter garbage, a reasonable but unscientific paper, a solid paper, or a questionable but too outside my expertise to grok.
Im no chef but I can tell instant ramen from filet mignon.
The general public is not necessarily capable of this sort of discernment. Which is fine, but we ought not to let people get away with steamrolling people who are more educated and more reasonable by appealing to "science"
"Science" as it is used in popular parlance is a farce.
It's not hard to connect the dots of corporate profits and policy. If readers think eugenics is a barbaric relic of the past, I have a sweet lullaby to whisper in your ear.
I, for example, suggested to a number of non-scientifically trained friends that the scientific consensus about vaccines was pretty strong, that the vaccine studies were well conducted and that they should trust this scientific view of vaccines. Essentially, "trust the science" as opposed to "trust people trying to make political hay by fear-mongering".
You are saying that I am a moron. In fact, I am not.
Your description fit my own actions pretty accurately.
Or, maybe, you could just be less insulting as opposed to going for the highly nuanced position of being less indiscriminately insulting.
Also, it's the classic "Don't meet your heroes", because when the spotlight was pointed at the "scientific community" ( whatever that means.. ), the "plebes" saw a bunch of liars, fraudsters, careerists and also the complete opposite of scientific reasoning. Just like any other field...
In my opinion the main event is the removal of the pristine mask that covered the "scientists" and that's a good thing. However, most of those who "expose the lies" are 10 times worse than the exposed. The only good way forward is to "scientists" go back into doing actual Science and nothing more.
Social media is "just" a multiplier of things due to the networking effect, it can only increase something if the thing is not zero to begin with.
To me it was "The plebs read a bunch of words that they don't understand, running the information through their everyday layman brain and coming to totally wrong conclusions"
This happens all the time. Remember "cell phones will fry your brain"? There is a large subset of the population who will never be able to understand the difference between a microwave oven, microwave communication, radiation, and ionizing radiation.
Which leads to situations where someone from that subset stumbles upon some internal AT&T memo's reads them and comes away with "Holy shit, internally they blatantly talk about building towers that emit radiation over the whole population. Literally building huge microwaves to radiate over massive population centers!"
More often than not, the scientists, engineers, big brains, whatever, have a good grip and the general population is fucking retarded.
There is a huge overlap between '5f panic', anti-vax, panic, and all kinds of other panics. A lot of people who wind up things like the Qanon cult end up there because they had some sort of technological or political anxiety, networked with other people who had similar uncertainties, and were drawn into a radicalization funnel. There is plenty of financial and political capital to be made by fleecing such people.
Flat earth nonsense is another example of the same phenomenon. If you go down that rabbit hole you find a warren of religious fundamentalism, built on the idea that earth ain't flat, space is fake, the Bible explains the stars are tiny lights mounted on a firmament, NASA is a satanic conspiracy, and it's time to take up arms against the forces of evil.
All radical funnels follow the same sort of pattern, which is derived from sales and marketing: goofballs > grifters > true believers > organizers> extremists > martyrs/terrorists. Of course, you can make similar observations about partisan politics, geopolitics and so on; institutions function as funnels for the production of future elites who maintain the status quo through increasingly coercive means. Radicalization funnels differ mainly in terms of transparency, accountability, visibility, and speed of transition.
The "enlightened" should know better since they are.. enlightened. Yet, the "plebs" found out they have exactly the same vices and reprehensible atitudes, plus the usual dismissive attitudes towards everyone "beneath" them.
Many of the "not plebs" do exactly what you described and that's what "changed", the illusion of the benevolent white coat "egg head" was broken. And I think it's a good thing, just by principle. Highly educated people are just as nasty, flawed people as anyone else and if I make a statement, it should be judged by the statement's merits and not by who I am.
The practice of science is something it can be done by everyone, as long as they.. follow the scientific method. Not even scientists follow the scientific method all the time, because they are.. flawed, lazy, greedy, dishonest sometimes. Just like everyone else.
The actual scientific method requires some expertise though in order to determine if any given study is junk science or not.
Someone who hasn't spent their lifetime studying the subject will be at a significant disadvantage, and will generally be completely unable to tell you if a given paper is junk science or not.
And amateur can approximate this knowledge, but what they wind up doing is having read many scientific papers and arguments they have a good "gut feeling" over the skill of a paper, and then they seek out actual expert opinion to fill in the gaps in their knowledge of the procedures and weigh any competing expert opinion, combined with literature searches for review articles. You can also do things like read books / watch video courses of at least undergraduate-level dispassionate introductions to subjects.
And since I don't have a scientific degree this is what I wind up doing all the time and I've practiced it for the past 30 years or so.
I rarely see anyone on the internet who is a scientific novice with that level of analysis. They usually stop with the fact that they've got a reference they can cite to try to win an argument and it stops there. The reality of science is that the evidence is always going to be a mess and a morass of conflicting results. You can tease out the actual truth out of there but it requires assembling evidence which is consistent and not contradictory and discarding results which are probably the result of e.g. experimental error and procedural artifacts and not real science. If you have no process at all to do that, then you're not following the scientific method, you're just making biased arguments with scientific-looking references.
And the scientific method ultimately requires trusting experts.
Period. Full fucking stop.
Nobody can possibly figure out all of science themselves, it is too vast, so actual scientists learn over time who and what to trust more or less. Anyone who rejects that approach entirely isn't doing science and most likely doesn't know what they're talking about.
And I rarely see anyone on the Internet who has gone beyond read opinion blogs and spent the hours necessary to just get exposed to the basics of field. With everything that is accessible on the Internet, nearly everyone has access to an undergraduate level education in just about anything. I rarely see anyone railing against scientists and medical professionals who have bothered to take advantage of the free information that is out there though (e.g. for virology basics I'd recommend sitting through all of: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlLgaHZpZS4 which is just a course on virology).
I fear the whole tech idea "move fast and break things" bled into society, and has caused a lot of irreversible damage.
At my firm, the executive class are extraordinary distrustful of every expert lately from economics,finance, tech, and even science. These are people with multiple high level degrees like mba, phds, and masters! This happened with the last year, which is the surprising part.
Maybe we'll call this the decade of mistruth. What really sucks is soon, we won't be able to tell in forums such as this, who's interests are on the other side of the text generator / click farm. I hope we can come up solutions to have trust again.
I work in tech now. I see orders of magnitude more honest debate in software engineering than in academia. On a tech team a Linus or a Steve Jobs can win, even though they may have some personal imperfections, they deliver major products. Winners in academia tend to be those who are best at working the social and administrative game. Questioning the herd is not a viable career strategy.
He had utter disrespect for the science of the times, and held his own hamstringed ideas above all. Yet he was able to express them. And eventually he would get to play his small part in the advancement of the knowledge of humanity. And this is precisely how science operates. In science one does not HAVE to do anything. Had Galileo instead been determined that e.g. Jupiter is the center of the universe, and spent an equally feverish amount of energy trying to demonstrate such, then we wouldn't know his name today - but his work and ideas would have been no less scientific - but merely wrong.
Just because some legit scientists were dismissed as quacks does not make every quack a scientist.
It really really wasn't. There were already models of the solar system that had the sun as the central element. Often they just weren't as good at predicting the movement of the stars because the prevailing mathematical models were very overfitted to the (bad) data, so it always looked closer. Really it had just been refined very well.
Some things to keep in mind: The scientific method didn't exist, the idea of representing the world as mathematical models to predict things and understand physics was barely there, and the primary purpose of the mathematical models of the solar system was to make astrology better. Nobody really cared about whether the world was helio or geo centric, because the idea of deferring to mathematical models was not considered the gold standard we have today.
The subjective experience defines a plethora of factors which are hard to fit into a general theory. If you live in a high-crime neighbourhood, you'd better trust your anecdotal evidence instead of relying on nation-wide sociological evidence.
You: why are personal anecdotes worthless?
Binary thinking is too transparent. You seem to be using binary thinking to suggest that if anecdotes have any value, they must be treated as having equal value with any other source of data, including rigorously designed and executed studies.
The financial incentives in pharmaceutical research are particularly corrupting due to their size.
The actual "peer review" is when people try to make similar observations to what you did (replication) or when people try to build on your work and fail to. This is why we know the amyloid hypothesis isn't very good even though it regularly passes "peer review" and gets into journals: We can't build on it and things it predicts don't happen
*P = 0.005
(Whether for good reasons, evil reasons, or stupid reasons, the public trust in “public health” has been broken, and the public health institution is naturally going to grieve that loss)
As well as the loss of a lot of lives.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/five-fallacies-of...
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/supersurvivors/20170...
Even here, where I expect at least a semblance of thoughtful discussion on topics that are based on data and evidence, the comments are littered with Twitter-level reactionary nonsense.
That certainly wasn't perfect but it feels like we went from the flintlock musket era of propaganda to automatic weapons around the turn of the century when an increasing fraction of people started getting their news largely from hyper-partisan sources, especially ramping up after 9/11 when things like the warblogs started getting significant traffic numbers and zero editorial restraint.
The biggest reason for concern I have here is that this isn't evenly distributed: it's basically the same people denying climate change, COVID, vaccination, etc. and that means that there isn't a great way for them to come back to a more objective reality without admitting that they were wrong on many issues and, in most cases, rather vicious to people who they used to consider friends. That's a hard pill to swallow and I don't imagine many of them will do it.
Can't wait for the AI propaganda era. The other day on Twitter someone was calling out a protest photo in which a cop's globe had the characteristic six fingers of an AI-hallucinated photo.
We can now manufacture "proof" with photos and audio - and soon video - of anything we want! Isn't this great?
I am anti-rape, but I am not anti-sex.
Here is how I look at it…
If you went through the last three years, and have not come out a least a little more skeptical skeptical of government and our institutions, regardless of intentions; you will want to set the screen down.
Science is messy, communicating is messier, acting as if every bit of mess comes from some negarious agenda or that somehow the mess was avoidable with finite budgets, time, and knowledge is ... completely against the entire history of human behavior.
Your time on this planet is short, generally full of ignorance, confusion, and lying to yourself.
By all means learn from our mistakes and reduce that ignorance and confusion going forward, but if your conclusion is to reject scientific inquiry as the only tool we have to move forward, you are just contributing to the confusion and ignorance.
Science is a method. Science is a method humans use in order to create a repeatable experiment, with repeatable outcomes. That's it.
As our tools improve our measurements, those measurements lead to a greater understanding of the world around us.
That is science. It's why science seems to change, because our tools improve, our measurements improve, and our data gathered becomes more refined.
Science is simply a tool used to garner truths.
Also, it turns out that many of the risks of the vaccine were understated or unknown. That's also not science. And it's especially not science when the "anti-science" people proposed a theory that turned out to be right. Namely, that the risks of the vaccine are not known / being understated.
And yes, a lot of the anti-vax activists also publish a whole bunch of non-scientific bs.
I like vaccines, I got vaccinated, and it pisses me off that the anti-vax people we're right about the risks being unknown / understated. I dunno if I'm still pro-COVID vaccine, but I never thought it was right that people who didn't want the vaccine couldn't enjoy the same rights as those who did. My thoughts were I'm vaccinated, I'm protected, if you want to get COVID without a vaccine, that's your business.
"The science" as presented popularly regarding the COVID vaccines was that the risks were low and it less risky for anyone of any age group to get vaccinated rather than risk COVID, that turned out to be false. For some age groups, especially young people its less risky to get COVID, especially omicron, than to get vaccinated. The messaging still hasn't really changed in this regard.
Either way no matter the risk of COVID, the lockdowns, and vaccine passes, and mask mandates were ridiculous and very unscientific.
You will recall that the skepticism about RNA in COVID vaccines was not a sudden break in public health discourse, but was preceded by many years of 'vaccines cause autism!!' arguments and the like, and that a decline in public confidence about vaccine had led to the re-emergence of measles outbreaks in recent years, reversing the long-term trend of declining hospitalization and mortality for well-understood diseases.
I was in favor of using face masks. Most of the comments were by other scientists against using face masks.
Two days later the Surgeon General of the US turns around and openly on YouTube asks for the general population to use face masks. Until this days some people are still using face masks.
Appealing to authority is exactly the opposite of what science stands for.
Science denial is a self inflicted wound.
Is that supposed to be a bad thing?
But when this fight increasingly becomes partisan and/or self-interested it becomes hard to discern what is merely propaganda using the "hoax" and "conspiracy theory" bludgeon, and what is the noble fight. Nowhere is this clearer than regarding the "lab leak" theory (that a Wuhan lab leak is the ultimate covid-19 source, something which if true likely would make continued Gain of Function research nigh impossible).
Leading scientists like Peter Daszak even Hotez himself that have been at the forefront of talking down this verily possible hypothesis have been proven to have serious conflicts of interest in the matter. [0] [1]
Anti-science sentiments is a problem, but for Hotez to come complaining about it in such a context becomes problematic itself to say the least.
[0] https://www.bmj.com/content/375/bmj.n2414 [1] https://usrtk.org/covid-19-origins/critic-of-congressional-p...
Weird, there must be another scientist with the same name.
https://theintercept.com/2021/09/09/covid-origins-gain-of-fu...
The why is interesting, but can only be speculation: could be political seeing that everything is so polarized nowadays: when the "lab leak" was first vented it was seen as a republican (Trumpian) notion that could lead to intensified clashes with China. But reading the correspondence brought to light by the Intercept and RightToKnow it seems that major fear from scientists was that lawmakers might shut down GoF research if a "lab leak" was found credible - something most of the big names in virology are heavily invested in, viewed as a necessary tool in future pandemic control.
Science is dynamic and ever-changing. It does not stay still. The reality is during the COVID crisis "scientists" who touted only one side of the public risk debate were given the podium and everyone else was shut out. The public won't forget about this.
The other side being 'it's just a cold/flu', 'only the unfit will die', 'statistics are fake', 'muh Chinese bioweapon' etc.
Edit: you know it's true. 'touting' suggests bad faith, and ignoring the existence of bad faith discourse in the opposite direction is facile.
As we can see in this thread, unfortunately many (presumably) educated people will end up victims as well.
Now we have a population and climate crisis.
If idiots want to end themselves by not vaccinating maybe we should stop fighting them?
As Bill Gates said, "to get zero GHG's one of those has to go to zero".
I am still 99% immune against the Cov,
and I am 100% immune against vaccine side effects.
Who is the idiot now?
> But others are real people tuning into Fox News every night who totally fall into the rabbit hole because they seem to worship these contrarians. The other piece to this is a lot of Nazi imagery and fantasies, a lot of antisemitism, because they know I’m a Jewish scientist. And that’s yet another dimension to all of this.
Watching Scientific Materialists trying to unravel metaphysical causality is a sight to behold.
Causality is kind of "culturally sub-perceptual" (depending to some degree on one's geographical location and cultural/metaphysical training), I like thinking of it like the water in this classic parable:
"There are these two young fish swimming along and they happen to meet an older fish swimming the other way, who nods at them and says “Morning, boys. How’s the water?” And the two young fish swim on for a bit, and then eventually one of them looks over at the other and goes “What the hell is water?"
Some critics of Hotez are antisemites. Therefore according to the principles of guilt by association, critics of scientism are generally antisemites. It follows that it is all hatespeech worthy of censorship.
https://jonathanturley.org/2021/08/04/baylor-professor-calls...
>Baylor Professor Calls for Prosecution of Criticism of Fauci and Other Scientists as Hate Crime
>Yet, what is healthy debate to some is criminal dissent to others. Dr. Peter Hotez, a professor of pediatrics and molecular virology at Baylor College of Medicine is calling for federal hate-crime protections to be extended to cover criticism of Dr. Anthony Fauci and other scientists.
Here are some reasons
- Purposeful public misleading of the populus regarding vaccine side effects
- Shaming and censoring of serious, critical voices
- Self-censoring of scientist communities by avoiding publishing of truths that oppose a particular narrative (we have seen evidence of this in the concurrent thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34724174)
- Scientists self-censoring for fear of political repercussions
- Heavy public discouragement and shaming of critical thinking that goes against what certain approved "scientists" say
Over the past year alone I have come across several examples for each of these. The bottom line is the public has been, and still is being misled.
You have been fooled regarding science.
Edit: I forgot the classic silent downvoting of course! Best example for what I just said. Constant attempts to silently suppress differing views. Thanks for proving my point.
If the downvoters were scientifically well versed they would at least attempt to make a fool out of me by countering my arguments with better ones, but alas ;)
You are not entitled to a response just because you are angry about something.
On the other hand, considering that the downvoters are unable to vocalize their angry reaction to me, I simply consider my argument/observation reinforced.
It certainly illustrates my wider point: When it comes to critics, most people opt to censor (yes, downvoting is a form of censoring) rather than engage, then wonder why the notion that there is something sinister going on is becoming more rather than less accepted.
(I know at least one scientist who no longer dares post about their work on social media, because it's immunology. Not even anything to do with COVID, just immunology as a field!)
Science is just a rigorous process for the investigation of natural phenomena. I have no problem with that, for the record.