Tech's Elite Hates Labor
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A high performing Google engineer may make 500k+ in total comp, Sundar Pichai makes $100M+ in many years. That's 200x as much ... and the baseline is already super high.
You see startup founders who exit with generational wealth (tens or hundreds of millions). They are also frequently able to cash out along the way, or borrow against their success. Meanwhile while their first engineering hire, the person who probably wrote half the damn code for years, gets < 1% of the equity and none of the glory.
It's not bad enough that this is true. The Bezos and Musks and Kalanicks of the world believe that this is correct. They truly think they do something in their 24 hours of daily human life that makes them hundreds or thousands of times more valuable than even the absolute best "labor" in their industry.
The other industries known for highly paid labor (finance, law, and medicine in the US) do not distribute rewards this way. Yes the people at the stop are still pulling in massive pay but there's a much stronger distribution of profits throughout the labor pyramid. I don't envy the culture of those industries, but I do sometimes wonder what tech would be like if we leaned a little more that way.
So whatever decisions - in this example - Sundar makes, it only carries so much weight.
And, you also get fired if you're a $500k engineer and you suck at your job. So I'm not sure what's so much different about Sundar - except that if he sucks at his job he has a way better golden parachute.
In what way is this a tricky decision?
The bigger decision was deciding to buy NEXT instead of Be Inc. That decision brought Steve Jobs back to the company and acquired a modern operating system to replace Mac OS Classic.
Amelio was fired for his decision even though it was the right one to save the company. That’s the truly hard part about being a CEO.
Tim Cook's operational experience helped them increase their market cap dramatically once he took over, so I'm not sure you can discount the value of him as CEO.
A bad CEO can definitely drive a company into the ground, so in many cases I think the pay can make sense. Spending the money does not assure a good pick though...
You know, same thing they've surely been doing with VR behind the scenes for years and years. If/when they finally release a product, it won't be because the CEO just suddenly decided to make a big bet, but because they'd made a ton of small bets and waited for one of them to look worth betting big on.
I think Apple'd be easy-mode for a CEO, actually. Tons of capital behind you to undo all but the gravest "whoopsie", and no direct competitors credibly doing anything like the same thing you are (others making devices, sure, but nobody even really trying to attack your niches—not really). It's why they can fuck up a few times in a row and it hardly even matters, as long as they come back to their senses within a few years.
No, it is not. His job is to maximize profit, and his personal goal is to earn as much as possible. To say that the CEOs goal is to make money so employees have salaries is a very strange statement.
> If Google's revenue is at risk, the stock plunges and Sundar is out of a job.
Google revenue is not at risk, but many engineers are already out of a job. Sundar job is only at risk if the board is not happy with him.
> it seems like a remarkably fair arrangement.
No, it is not. That the people that earn more money is not the ones that produce the most but the ones that protect the rich is far from fair.
I mean to play devil's advocate, these people have created organizations that employ hundreds of thousands of people in highly paid tech positions. These 500K Google jobs wouldn't even exist if it wasn't for Larry Page / Sergey Brin. Moreover, their organizations also generate useful products that improve society, AND make a profit while doing so. I think one could definitely make the argument that these people are hundreds of times more valuable to our economy than the average worker. The reason our system is set up like this is because there's a strong incentive to create new companies that generate even more useful products, employment opportunities, and returns on investment. It's really not such a bad thing IMO.
Citation extremely needed. Do you think without some billionaires around everybody else would be sitting on their hands all day?
Most of us are fungible.
You might—might—out-compete them in some niche they're overlooking, just picking up their crumbs, but you'd need stupid-high amounts of capital to take a real shot at them, high enough that there'd be no hope of a break-even exit if things don't go perfectly.
I'd call that a moat.
Other businesses get started and are very successful, somewhat often. Are all those successful business people just not going after Bezos because he's so much better at business than them that they cannot hope to succeed, or is it because the market is transformed by the existence of Amazon such that trying to take Amazon on is a bad use of capital?
They absolutely do. Their market share means that you must sell on them or lose a massive amount of sales. To sell on them you must agree to their anticompetitive price controls - must give them a cut, can't sell cheaper elsewhere. To get good product placement you have to agree to cominglinging and allow your legitimate product to be mixed with counterfeits.
I remember one job where I did literally nothing for the first 2 weeks because maintenance didn’t connect the Internet in my cube and my manager couldn’t find the external drive with the training videos on it. There’s no law of nature which says all the Googlers couldn’t be working there.
Stop believing in fairy tales, they were just the lucky winners in a winner-take-all market. Those 500k people would sill be employed by say a company called Poogle, founded by Parry Lage and Bergey Srin.
It's like all common sense and statistics goes out of the window when people discuss the Forbes 400, it takes people meeting them to realize they are just dudes winging it like anybody else.
And the true test is the subtraction, if Brin/Page were never born we'd still have something like Google, much like we'd know relativity if Einstein was never born or the 3 principles if Newton was never born.
Humanity advances as a whole, while individual humans play dice and games to get to be the one guy (or girl although it's mostly guys) who get the privilege to be the person signing off the advancement. But in the end there is nothing special about the person doing the signing off, much like there is nothing special about the person who wins the lottery among the many who play.
These so called tech icons were at the right place at right time and nothing else. I refuse to believe that these individuals are somehow 200x smarter or deserve 200x more than the people who are working for them. The reason they have intergenerational wealth while you & I still have to worry about mortgage is because our f'd-up system allows these "titans" to steal the profit we the workers generate.
It's not a bad thing to generate useful products to improve society but it's definitely a bad thing when labor doesn't get their share.
What has Google done since Page and Brin left? Other than trying to suck what they already built dry for max profit?
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You are equating early technical founders with the MBAs who later took over the big tech. They are not equal. The former builds things and creates new paradigm. The latter's purpose is to suck things dry for profit. Including the employees and the users. The former is scarce. The latter is plenty and it is imposed on the organizations, the tech sector and inevitably the end users by totally un-attached, profiteering, destructive investors.
Why the religious talk? This sort of talk only happens in SF.
Google is a product/service which serves customers to propel their convenience and quality of life. There is nothing more to it.
Also Google just happened to be the winner in a winner-take-all market which was made of 10s of search engines.
So it's true, MBAs might care about profits, but all the above is very clear to them, founders instead are blinded by these sort of mythological figures who build a cult-like following around them, whereas in reality it's just survivorship bias.
Something being exploited in SF does not invalidate it. The last 20 years' of tech progress did create new paradigms. From search to social to Open Source. The last one even became a culture in which we are living today. People are so used to its paradigm that they think its 'normal' and not something different. The world of 90s was a totally different world, including how people worked.
> Google is a product/service which serves customers to propel their convenience and quality of life. There is nothing more to it.
It also made accessing knowledge and anything much easier compared to before. There is no comparison of the search after Google and before, like how it was with Altavista, Yahoo et al. There is even less comparison of the world before search and after.
> founders instead are blinded by these sort of mythological figures who build a cult-like following around them, whereas in reality it's just survivorship bias.
Many technical founders, or rather, 'non-MBAified' people just want to build things. Make something happen. And those things change how we do things. People mythologizing successful, actual founders does not make it any less valid.
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The world today is totally different from how it was in 1990s. Thanks to technology and people who build things with that technology. "MBAification" of things is not a problem only in technology - it always afflicted all the other sectors too. Some people build things and change the way we do stuff, others come to milk it at the cost of destroying it.
I feel the opposite, if anything the rate of innovation is slowing down, and besides this sort of religious type words should not be used in the context of business.
And if were to be used it should be reserved for something that really changes human life in a pivotal manner in the same way as the invention of fire or the wheel did back in the days.
I don't know what it could be that can be compared to fire and the wheel but Google and opensource isn't it.
Of course it is. The sector has been 'MBAified' after the first decade and a half. Its about extracting maximum value by providing the minimum. It happens to every sector - look at computer games. First decade is full of innovation and firsts. Then big corporations take over and consolidate the sector. Now its about milking what already existed by rehashing them.
> religious type words
They are not religious words. They are accurate words. Knowing the difference in between the attitudes in society and tech life are important in deciding what direction to go. Identifying destructive 'MBAification' (or whatever you may want to call it) of things as opposed to 'building' things and telling them apart is critical.
> I don't know what it could be that can be compared to fire and the wheel but Google and opensource isn't it
Wheel is exaggerated. People used other means before the wheel.
However Open Source is a major change in most attitudes. It even changed the hierarchical, feudal work relationships and organization that corporations inherited from early Victorian corporations. But that's a long topic that involves history and social sciences.
Innovators of the past would call Brin and Page 'MBAs type' like you do, or better yet they'd call them not imaginative or risk taking enough given that MBAs didn't exist back then. It recursively goes like this the more you go back into the past.
In the end it's all about risk. You think MBAs are risk averse. People like Edison and Rockefeller would think Silicon Valley entrepreneurs are risk averse.
Guys like the Montgolfier brothers and Christopher Coloumbus would laugh at Edison and Rockefeller for being risk averse and they themselves would be subject to the same ridicule from the guy who invented fire and the wheel.
This is coherent with the idea that the rate of innovation is slowing down because of less risks being taken.
The only difference between my stance and yours is that you only analyze the last 10 years and identify a bogeyman in the MBAs, and hail founders as the great pioneers, whereas in reality it's a phenomenon which traces its roots way back into the past.
As kids say: 'fuck around. Find out'
I don't think MBAs were the first figures who refused to 'fuck around' and I don't think Silicon Valley founders are the kings of the 'fuck around' either, that title belongs to our early ancestors
The rate of risk and innovation will never be as great as the time that we invented the wheel and fire. As I said it has been slowing down ever since, mostly because people 'fuck around' less and less. Not just MBAs but everybody.
They objectively wouldnt. The science and engineering history of late 19th century is filled with people like Brin and Page getting 'MBAified' out of their inventions. Tesla and Westinghouse is a good example of such stories.
> Christopher Coloumbus
A genocidal profiteer is the last person who you would want to invoke as an example of such people. He didnt invent or innovate anything, he didnt want to change anything, he didnt bring about any new paradigm.
> because of less risks being taken
Equating innovation with taking risks is a faulty concept to start with. You can bet that the 'person' who invented the fire or the weel didnt take any risks. To start with, those were not invented by singular people 'taking risks' but invented by entire species (likely more than one) by adopting them gradually through observation from nature and learning from each other. Likewise agriculture. If anything, risk-taking was not something that early human ancestors or their close relatives would risk themselves.
> The only difference between my stance and yours is that you only analyze the last 10 years and identify a bogeyman in the MBAs
Sorry, but its otherwise. Thinking that fire or wheel were invented by singular people shows the lack of insight into science of history, leaving aside the history of this species.
Back then people were making human sacrifices and starting wars because 'the Gods told them to do so'.
Innovation happens when risks are taken (eg. Montgolfier brothers, Wright Brothers, the guy who discovered testosterone by self injected blood taken from the testicular veins of horses...) and given that risk and confidence are a state of mind much less a business practice, you cannot conflate it just to science and technology but said risk and confidence will be visible all around society. So wars, genocides, violence and genearlly stuff considered bad.
The rate of innovation has been slowing down due to the diminishing in the standard deviation of human behavior. Or as kids say: 'Less fucking around, means less finding out'
Standard deviation of human behavior goes both ways, people rejoice that we eliminated the negatives but we have also eliminated the positives. No Einsteins without Hitlers, no Archimedes without Alexanders etc.
So even if the guy who personally discovered fire or the wheel didn't take risks personally (I doubt it) he operated in an environment where the standard deviation of human behavior was much larger. For sure there were people jumping off trees with wooden wings, wars, genocides, much more violence. And that is statistically enough to make sure that at least one unit in the sample stumbles into something great like fire or the wheel.
Not relevant. All of those were established behavior patterns at the time. Not 'risk taking'.
> Innovation happens when risks are taken
For every such example you can pull out from history, there are dozens of innovations resulting from incremental improvement and learning from others and the nature.
> The rate of innovation has been slowing down due to the diminishing in the standard deviation of human behavior.
There has never been more deviants in human history than now. In human history, sticking with the social norms, known behavior patterns and keeping the existing social group and its framework safe were critical to survival. From traditions to laws everything were based on those. With your logic, it should be the most innovative period in history whereas the past should be the least innovative. Yet you are saying the opposite.
Innovation as you see it has been slowing down because science and technology have been privatized through patents towards the end of 19th century by big money entering the field and consolidating it. Exacerbated by the 'state secrets' concept. Before that, virtually everything was Open Source during the scientific revolution.
> So even if the guy who personally discovered fire
There was no such singular guy.
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In any case, thanks for the discussion.
What's the incentive for other necessary people to work at these companies?
Assuming that they are necessary and sufficient for making new businesses that hire lots of people, aren't we disincentivizing them by paying so handsomely for their first such business. If we realigned the incentives, we could have 200 google equivalents made by Sergey and brinn, not just the one
Crashing Twitter into the ground will never come close to diminishing what he has helped achieve with SpaceX, putting his money where his mouth was to the point of almost going broke, and, to a lesser extent, Tesla where, despite not being a founder, he was the biggest investor at the beginning.
I always hear this argument about the supposed great impact on the world, society etc.
But I am a citizen of the world and think this guy is a scam because he actually hasn't done nothing for me but he keeps pushing his name into my face. Kinda like the POTUS except the POTUS is forced to do media and speeches whereas this guy injects himself into every situation or debate out of his own will to shill his products.
For a regular individual who is not concerned about climate change or has a deep desire to life off the grid (but still wants internet) mr. Musk is like the Kardashians with the trash entertainment unfolding on twitter instead of E!
The artists criticizing Mr. Musk make a good point about what's really happening.
I also knew that in a major exit, I would be more resentful of the relative difference between my rewards and that of this other guy than I would have been pleased with my windfall. I had once had serious respect for the cofounders, but their greediness and willingness to perpetuate these systems of inequity permanently diminished my opinion of them.
Yet, I have to concede that the cofounders were correct in their assessment that they could lowball the engineers with little impact on their prospects for success. They were able to exploit their way to a second major windfall, far larger than the first.
Also, "superior technologies" is a loaded term, because it is in fact very subjective.
The problem is that in this particular case, the only things this person seemed exceptional at were being friends with the CEO and being unpleasant to work with.
One detail in my story is that I found out a lot about the personal lives of the founders and their friends. They all came from obscene wealth to begin with. The founders father was on the board of a major tech company in the Bay that bought the first startup and financially backed the second.
The nepotism I've seen in my career disenchanted me long, long ago.
Of course the next step would be leveraging this thought to propose a mechanism to convince them to expand their notion of "in-group" to include, i dunno, everyone who works for them? Everyone who was integral in their success? Every living being with whom they share a planet? So that the altruistic instinct could be expanded to be helpful to many many more.
... no particular ideas atm, but commenting in case it helps someone else reach an actionable insight :)
Doubtful, especially for the higher multiples (although they can certainly cause orders of magnitude more financial damage than ordinary employees).
In 1977, the late Peter F. Drucker, arguably the most famous management thinker, suggested the pay ratio between CEOs and employees be a maximum of 25-to-1. Yet the CEO-to-employee pay ratio has increased from 20-to-1 in 1996 to 202-to-1 in 2018. [0]
"The average S&P 500 company’s CEO-to-worker pay ratio was 324-to-1 in 2021." For NuSkin Enterprises, the ratio is 22,092:1, for Amazon, it is 6,474:1 ... pretty amazing chart. [1]
And this is why the tax system should recognize and tax excessive pay ratios. These are nothing but the financial result of abusive relationships between the executives and the workers, and the other taxpayers who pay more than their share of the burden. It is also easily measured to tax fairly (which of course corporations will hate, since it is hard to game). But of course, all the tech bros will cry that we need no govt so why should we be taxed? (Not incidentally, the same tech elites and wannabes as the article properly exposed as abusers.)
[0] https://www.corporate-rebels.com/blog/ideal-ceo-to-employee-...
Have they got that much better, while everyone else hasn't ?
The extra value we all add is being skimmed off the top, and worse we are being treated with contempt.
Moreover, we're not even "supposed" to look at value-created, aside from setting a maximum feasible pay level. At least, that's what we're always told when looking at employees farther down the org chart—"deserve has nothing to do with it".
I, for one, am deeply skeptical that the set of people who could run companies well is anywhere near as small as the comp suggests. I just think those at the top aren't interested in seeing that comp reduced. Sure, there's the board—but so-and-so on this board is a top officer with another company and wants to see top management pay rates stay high and need sky-high examples to compare themselves to when negotiating pay, and besides, they want their kids and nephews and so on to be able to pull those fat paychecks, too. And anyway, you want the CEO to appreciate you so that they use company resources (Other People's Money) to "appreciate" the other companies you have stakes in....
Its almost the same as if you just take your salary and bet everything on 13 at the roulette. Small chance of huge payout, high chance of failure.
The early engineer has a pay check from the start.
Again if you want your shot at generational wealth just bet all at the roulette. Or convince someone that they should gamble their money on you.
OTOH, the bootstrapped founders have my respect. They had their houses as collateral for their company's operating loan. They also succeeded at a much higher rate than the VC backed founders I've known.
That's a poor heuristic and it is why so many people continue to fail upward.
What happens? They spunk their money on kids who are playing League of Legends during meetings.
I've not often been in an investor meeting where the investors asked smart questions. They send people who aren't equipped to think about what they're shown. They think DD means making sure your accounts can't be stolen by the boss.
4.5% interest with 6.5% inflation is lower than anything we've had in the period of 1.5% - 2% inflation.
Basically, if you borrow at 4.5% today with the assumption that it is effectively a negative real rate, you will be pretty disappointed in a year.
Getting VC funding is a significant filter.
A far better filter is "do you have enough revenue that you can afford to hire employees." Self-funded entrepreneurs pass that filter, whereas VC funded ones usually don't.
The article is about employees so we don't care about the entrepreneurs that fail before they hire anybody.
What about the other people who are more deeply exploited by your employers, the factory workers in poorer countries, the $2/hour workers in Kenya "tortured" by having to tag obscene material to make ChatGPT less toxic? What about all the people downstream in space and time who pay the costs of all the environmental debt incurred by your luxurious and convenient upper caste first-world lifestyles, lifestyles made "efficient" by waste, consumption and the ability to outsource life's chores to bottom workers, enabling you to put all your time into higher rate-of-return tech work?
Anyway this debate about being 1000x more valuable is pointless. It does not matter what any individual thinks about their worth. We've all agreed(#) on this system(the worst, except for all others) ostensibly because of the benefits to the rest of society. The internal allocation of profits within a company is irrelevant.
# The old Marxist limitations about lacking capital or means of production don't count in tech/software. It takes nothing to sieze the means of production(just grab it from the cloud) or raise capital.
It takes time.
I’m not being cynical. I’d really like to see alternative governance structures to produce and sell software. Co-ops are an example.
A burger flipper makes $10 in an hour. An engineer designing a burger flipping robot makes $100. Their department's engineering manager makes $1,000. The CTO makes $10,000.
The hardest worker here is the burger flipper. They work 16 hour days just to afford rent, and it's hard manual labor.
The engineer makes 10 times as much because each line of code they write produces more value than an entire day of manual burger flipping.
Their department manager makes 10 times as much because they solve problems impacting entire teams of engineers that are more important and more difficult than coding problems.
The CTO makes 10 times that because their policies affect many engineering departments throughout a large organization and have multibillion-dollar consequences. It doesn't matter if they work 1000 times harder than a burger flipper, they probably work less than the burger flipper. But their work is 1000 times more important, so it's worth 1000 times more.
To the extent this is a problem, it's a problem of corporate governance. Unfortunately, I'm not sure that problem is fixable, since its root cause is a shift in corporate ownership from individual stockholders to mutual funds (because mutual funds is how most people now invest their retirement savings in 401ks or the equivalent). The effect of this on individual corporations is to make their time horizon for stock price growth much shorter, because unlike individual retirement investors, most of whom adopt a buy and hold strategy and don't trade very often, mutual funds trade stocks all the time based on short term performance.
Yes, that's correct. The movement of stock ownership to mutual funds largely took place in the few decades after WW II.
> presumably it's also possible for things to be different in the future
Yes, but the changes that would have to take place are quite drastic. I don't think disallowing mutual funds is an option. But the only other mechanism of control (aside from market forces--see below) would be to drastically change the regulations concerning corporate governance, and it's not even clear that that would do more than exchange one problem for another, since regulatory capture is a thing.
The only other way to change the incentives facing corporate governance structures is to change the market, either on the producer side or the consumer side. On the consumer side, consumers would have to stop buying goods and services from companies that overpay their CEOs and underpay their workers. Unfortunately that would mean consumers choosing to take a huge economic hit, since those same companies provide huge economic value to consumers. (And in some cases, such as Google and Facebook, consumers don't even have the option of not paying, since the services are free; they would have to stop using the services altogether even though they're free, which is probably even harder to make happen than getting consumers to stop paying for something.)
On the producer side, new companies that are structured differently in terms of governance (for example as worker cooperatives) would need to enter the market and out-compete the existing companies. Sooner or later that might well happen, but it could be quite a long time.
> regulatory capture
Regulatory capture just is the capitalist class organizing to shape the structures of society to their continued advantage. It is class struggle. The only solution is to struggle back.
I don't think this is a useful way to view it. I would say the potential for change is in people shifting to a more long-term viewpoint instead of always chasing short-term gain and satisfaction.
> Regulatory capture just is the capitalist class organizing to shape the structures of society to their continued advantage.
If you don't think of yourself as a capitalist, you are dooming yourself to always be on the losing side of interactions with those that do. Particularly if they are predators.
Regulatory capture is just one way that predators use the system to their own advantage at the expense of everybody else. But not all capitalists are predators. The immense wealth our society has was built by people who were both capitalists and cooperators: wealth building is positive sum, the aggregation of win-win interactions over time. But sustaining wealth building requires taking a longer term view in order to preserve the social institutions and social trust that are necessary for it to happen. Unfortunately, the current trend is in the opposite direction.
That is simply untrue. Sure, some capitalists have good PR, touting their non-capitalist efforts in ways that intentionally confuse them with capitalism for the purpose of increasing PR value. The increase in PR value is just a more oblique means of wealth extraction. The actual act of being capitalist, i.e., extracting excess value from labor by leveraging capital (piles of money, factories, infrastructure, etc)... that is inherently predatory in nature. Capitalists use the fact that they own stuff, and the fact that workers need food, shelter and healthcare, to grift the maximum amount of value for the minimum amount of public good, PR notwithstanding. It's codified into the cornerstone concept of shareholder value. Capitalism itself is distinct from any charity or other social good that a capitalist or company might engage in, and all capitalism exploits labor. Not every act a capitalist does is predatory, but every capitalist is a predator.
Sorry, you are simply misrepresenting the facts and the economics at this point.
> whereas when managers make mistakes, the responsibility is diffused to their subordinates.
No it’s not. They will roast their subordinates but unless the org is completely dysfunctional they are responsible for the ultimate deliverables.
The higher up you move, the more responsible for outcomes that are less and less in your control. You even gain legal liability as you enter the “officer of the company” levels.
Then you should reply to the parent comment and not mine.
> No it’s not. They will roast their subordinates but unless the org is completely dysfunctional they are responsible for the ultimate deliverables.
Please. If you’ve never seen incompetent managers bumbling along making their staff into scapegoats, etc., then you don’t have a lot of experience.
Nothing changes at the higher levels either. Projects are cancelled and teams fired etc, not the executive in charge. The time execs get fired is when they do deliver and there is some kind of liability.
It’s been even more aggressive in the startups I’ve been at since.
This is true in theory if everyone has perfect knowledge. In practice I've never seen it play out. A large part of management is framing (i.e. playing off imperfect knowledge). It happens before and after success or failure is decided. Smart managers commit, but frame their responsibilities or outcomes in favorable terms. They find ways to de-risk. They publicly share risky deliverables with other teams or increase scope to push decision making up the ladder. They commit to only what their team can slam dunk. They make sure to only lead rockstar teams (this is huge). They cherry pick metrics to make failure look reasonable and success look incredible. They leave before major failures are realized or hand failures off before they sour. Remember: In large human systems, feedback cycles can easily take years.
It's a game and there's lots of clever ways to play. But the only way to lose is to publicly accept loss. When you do, it's very honorable and moving. But I've never seen the hit to perceived competency offset by perceived integrity. Because at the end of the day, companies make money. There's no company metric for honor. It's politics, whether we choose to see it or not doesn't really matter. For an extreme example, take a look at the presidency. Incumbent presidents lose in election year recessions. Period. Never mind most economic crises are a decade or so in the making.
People in aggregate are much simpler than we like to think. And so leadership is much more sleight of hand than our nobler ideals would have us believe.
I think that's the sort of thinking some forms of schooling drill into our heads: harder problems = greater reward/value.
That's not really how it is. We get rewarded for the value we supposedly generate by solving some problem or at least some portion of that value is rewarded to us. So if there are some low hanging fruits that generate a ton of value, then that's how you will be rewarded. I'm sure Ph.D.s solve far harder problems than me all day long but societally we don't tend to value many of those problems or their solutions.
And that's the sort of thinking other forms of schooling drill into our heads: value generated ~= value compensated.
That's not really how it is. We get rewarded for the position we are at in the class hierarchy. If you're "in charge of" someone, you have to be making more money than them.
Is that how it should be? No. It's very much not. But it's largely how it is.
As someone who has done both in small and medium companies, I find people problems to almost always be harder. Most coding problems outside cutting edge companies tend to at least have solutions. People and leadership often doesn't have a right answer.
And yes, a key coders mistake can be large. But a management mistake 'build feature X over Y' or 'implement policy B' can just as easily cost the company dearly and put small companies out of business.
Either corporations are insane immoral pathological paperclip/profit maximizers, in which case any manager would be replaced with a cheaper version or even a algorithm, or they're not and managers aren't worth what they're being paid.
If the CEO or upper management is so fungible, why aren't they being replaced with staff who will work just as hard and effectively for a tenth of the price?
Not that all managers are incompetent. Some are indeed inspired and or excellent. However these are rare. Just as there are many average engineers who aren’t very productive, so there are many managers who aren’t very capable and are just in their position because they were in the right place at the right time.
People can get really lucky once, but Musk has an overall track record that can't be attributed to just getting lucky or being in the right place at the right time;
I can't think of anyone else - except perhaps Steve Jobs, who managed to go from one huge idea to another and execute well more often than not, at several companies and industries.
The force multiplier works in both directions.
More realistically, the pay is about control and class. An incompetent CTO who always makss everything worse is just not in the same social class as a programmer, let alone a burger flipper, and will typically still earn 100x as much while making everything 100x worse.
^ I've worked with one of them.
Do not conflate an economic system chosen for its ability to allocate resources efficiently (whether it does is another question) with a moral value system that assigns value to individual humans or what share of resources or power they deserve.
This too is misunderstanding the value equation. The cost of replacement has to be part of this too. Engineering salaries are bid up in the market relative to other professions not because their work is more "important" than teaching or administration or whatever, but because engineers are hard to hire. Literally every software group, even now, has open spots where they'd like to put someone. There are never enough people.
And... is that true at the top of the hierarchy? Have you ever even heard of a company with a VP req sitting open for months for lack of candidates? That just doesn't happen. Senior positions seem to be drowning in competition[1]. And yet, their salaries aren't showing the result of that competition between candidates. Boards aren't going out to find a "better deal" on their CEO. Maybe they should, but they don't.
And I think it's worth asking why that is.
[1] In fact I think with the exception of a very small list of genuine innovators, even tech CEOs are mostly just replacement level players shepherding already-tuned organizations. You could dump Jassy or Nadella out on the street tomorrow and Amazon and Microsoft would be just fine with whoever stepped in.
This is very rarely true.
Not true at all. Partners & MD take a much larger share of the pie compared to execs at tech companies.
This is different than tech where exec : professional staff can be 1:x,000 or more.
(Source: was a consulting MD.)
For law, finance and medicine there is lot more personal liability to reach for big rewards unlike coders sitting in office and implementing business requirements they received from management which in their view is clueless.
This is wrong. Lawyers get paid worse than FAANG SWEs unless they make partnership, which is the equivalent to becoming a co-owner or working as a lower level exec at a big tech company.
Doctors at big hospitals in the bay make worse money than Google SWEs last time I was chatting with my friend’s wife who was a Doctor at Stanford medicine. The super highly paid doctors are the ones who found or cofound practices.
Finance can pay a little higher, but that’s only because the teams are usually smaller and you have more direct impact. You might pull down 1M/year at Renaissance or whatever, but the partners are still pulling in nearly 100x that.
> It's not bad enough that this is true. The Bezos and Musks and Kalanicks of the world believe that this is correct.
This is the same across nearly all businesses. The owners get to decide how much to pay for operating costs. It’s not a coop.
In tech, people work in teams where each person is a tiny cog in a (relatively) big machine. We still don't agree how to objectively quantify a person's work output. (Eg: do 10x programmers exist?) When a product becomes successful, there's no objective way to distribute the windfall, so the default capitalist rule applies (whoever invested money and/or has access to the best lawyers gets most of it).
Even hospital CEOs and partners at law firms are making 3-15x what their doctors and attorneys are making. Not 100-200x. The magnitude of the gap is way higher in tech.
But the person at the top also has a much greater risk because pay is tied to stock performance. The top lawyer in a firm gets paid well, and probably some of that is tied to firm performance. But the base salary is a much greater percent of total comp in that case.
The right measure of risk isn't money, it's freedom. Work as CEO of Google or Roche for a month and you don't have to work any more. You don't risk shit, you can only win or win bigger.
This is what I don't understand. There are plenty of people who can run a business, so why is it that we pay so much for them? There's a massive queue of candidates who will all do a decent job (you won't know), so why are they paid astronomical sums? There's no way you can be sure a guy is not going to mess things up, and paying him a lot of money won't motivate him more, he's only got a 24h day. He can't go and be CEO elsewhere because he doesn't know other businesses that well, only a few places could logically use him. On top of that a huge proportion of the stock price is not in his hands.
The CEO and CFO of publicly traded companies get paid pretty handsomely in exchange for taking on a significant amount of risk by signing off on the financial statements.
It’s also possible that simply by listening to your executives/board, an intelligent engineer could do about as well as Sataya or Ballmer or Sundar.
They do make such decisions, but neither that nor their net worth makes them better than anyone else... yet too many of them act as if it does.
What they really are is nothing more than people who've won a rigged game.
Startups often use this argument in reverse ("we're a small company, we can't pay you as much") while paying their founders far, far more than 200X what they pay early engineers. I'm including equity grants in this calculation because you are, as well.
Did you mean to say you just want to be paid modestly?
Really, "by definition"? You can't think of a possible universe where a CEO draws on all their skill to make a crucial decision, that most other possible people in that role probably wouldn't have made, that saves a company billions of dollars, and that this is 100x more valuable than what you or I have contributed or are likely capable of ever contributing? That's a lack of imagination, to say the least.
You are 10x more valuable to your company than a cleaner, so you get 10x the pay. Why? Because your skills are more scarce than a cleaner, and because you can have a bigger impact on the company's profitability by writing code than cleaning toilets.
The CEO is 100x more valuable to your company than you are, so they get 100x your pay. Why? Because their skills are even more scarce than yours, and they can have an even bigger impact than writing code. That's it.
We know that CEO pay has increased vastly out of proportion to any other related changes in our economic system over the last several decades. We also know that the makeup of boards (who choose CEOs, and determine how much they will be paid) is significantly slanted toward CEOs of other corporations. There is a clear financial interest there both to choose people who will be favorable to you, and to raise their compensation, so that when they are on a board they will be more likely to choose you, and when that board is considering your compensation, they can look at the "average CEO compensation" and see that it's high...because you've kept it there.
Furthermore, I would posit that most CEOs do not actually have skills that managers and leaders at other levels don't have. What they have is the accident of birth, and a habit of authority. If you replaced most CEOs with any reasonably thoughtful and educated person, you wouldn't see much change overall in the average performance of businesses. (You might see an increase, actually, given the number of CEOs who govern primarily based on their own egos, rather than what would help the business.)
Now, even with a non-flawed methodology, I don't doubt that we'd still find that CEO pay has gone up a lot more than other job types. But that should be true for knowledge work in general, especially high-demand + low-supply roles. There has been large structural changes in the economic system that causes this. Mainly, China has come online, meaning the non-knowledge workers in wealthy countries must compete with a billion extra people, which depresses their compensation in the labor market, which increases the ratio of a CEO's pay divided by the pay of non-CEOs.
A non-market based explanation is highly suspect and should not be the default explanation. You are basically claiming that shareholders are willingly giving away their own money for no good reason. Why would shareholders do this? They are not running a charity. The simplest and least nefarious explanation is the most likely: Shareholders believe the CEOs are worth that much in the context of current (2023, not the 1970s) supply and demand dynamics in the labor market for highly niche highly impactful CEO positions. If I own an asset worth $2 trillion, I do not care about paying $100 million for someone to not ruin it.
> If you replaced most CEOs with any reasonably thoughtful and educated person, you wouldn't see much change overall in the average performance of businesses.
At least recognize this is a speculative claim made without evidence. More of a hunch. A hunch that I disagree with.
All that bullshit about statistical illusions doesn't change the fact that the median worker in America has barely seen any real wage growth for 50 years, and all that extra wealth went straight to the wealthiest people in the country. Many of those are the CEOs we're discussing.
Income and wealth inequality of this level are genuinely harmful to the economy and to the political system, and every bit of effort you put into justifying them, rather than admitting that it is wrong and harmful, is effort being put into actively making the world a worse place.
I appreciate that you brought moral certainty into this discussion, but that doesn't make your understanding of reality or factual premise correct, even if your moral conclusion may be correct by accident.
> doesn't change the fact that the median worker in America has barely seen any real wage growth for 50 years, and all that extra wealth went straight to the wealthiest people in the country.
Fist in the air != explanation. Depressed wage growth has little to do with managerial compensation. If you want an explanation based in fact rather than anger, you have to look at the labor market economics of the situation, which you aren't.
On one hand you say pay is based on value brought to the company, on the other hand you say it's based on scarcity.
If it's value then how come the same engineer, bringing the same value, would receive different pay based on the country they live in?
Clearly that's not it.
So maybe it's scarcity? That drives up pay, but it's not enough by itself.
Markets forces are a factor, but they're not the only factor, or even the most important factor, in compensation.
No, the CEO is not 100x more valuable than the engineer. The decisions taken don't matter if you can't build well. Building well doesn't matter if you don't build the right thing. They're dependent on each other. Neither has impact by themselves.
Also disagreed on 'scarcity' of CEO skills. There's a scarcity of CEOs because there's only 1 per company, but the "skills" are pretty common imo. Any C level exec or director level person has the skills to do the job.
These things aren't separate unless you're using a colloquial definition of "value" which would be inappropriate. If water was more scarce, it would be more valuable and the market would price it more than $0.005/L or whatever it is. My wording implied these things are linked: "it's about how much value you bring to the table in the context of labor market supply and demand." Which, I admit, wasn't the most precise or clear way to word that.
Things hold $ value for two reasons: (1) the thing has perceived utility (we need water to survive, this is the demand side), and (2) the thing is scarce (this is the supply side).
The CEO ticks both boxes. There is high demand for a competent CEO because a bad one will cause Apple's market cap to go down by billions, and a good one the opposite. There is short supply (scarcity) because less people can run Apple well than can write code well. You may disagree personally, but the market, that is the people in charge of hiring the CEO, doesn't. And the market is what sets the price of labor.
There's steps of difference between hiring someone good (Steve Jobs is worth a hundred million dollars a year if you can get him to run Apple, because he will improve Apple's market cap by more than a hundred million dollars), hiring someone average (worth negative if it means rivals eat market share and market cap declines), and hiring someone who will commit fraud and ruin the company (worth negative 2.43 trillion). The large asymmetric possibility of downside from a mediocre to bad CEO skews the expected value calculations.
> You get 50% when it's just an idea with a 99.9% chance of failure, and below 0.1% when it's a rocket ship. So we have to apply that to your question too, and apply "market for lemons" thinking.
Apples and oranges. You're comparing different markets. CEO compensation is in the context of labor markets. It should be compared with other labor market activity such as the compensation of software engineers or surgeons. But here you're talking about capital markets.
On the other hand, you can also say that the board should be paid 100x because they somehow picked the right CEO.
But why stop there? Shouldn't the CEO's parents get a bonus for the upbringing of such a brilliant person? Or should the CEO's teachers get paid as well? The possibilities are endless... why attribute success to one single person?
PS: I'm not seriously saying this is what we should do. I'm just trying to illustrate how the concept of fairness looks a bit funny if you think hard about it.
I don't disagree, but this same critique can be applied to anyone, yet it disproportionately gets applied to CEOs. How can a SWE justify their $300k compensation? After all, the fact they hold that job can all be explained by circumstance, parenting, genes, being born in the right country, etc.
I do care about how much I'm being paid.
Fairness is in the eye of the beholder.
To me there's nothing fair about the economic whip. Nothing fair about starving or freezing to death if you don't work. Nothing fair about having to sacrificing my time and my life to afford to feed my family, have a roof over our heads.
There's nothing fair about someone's who orders others around never having to work another day in their life while the people who actually do the work having to make endless sacrifice to make their bosses rich, and usually be spat upon for it, while those who made their fabulous wealth by exploiting others are lauded endlessly as if they were the benefactors of mankind.
You can have highly paid CEOs that treat their employees well, and you can have low paid CEO's who are brutal towards their employees.
How on Earth do you think people survived before the dawn of capitalism?
Hint: you can do it today, head out onto a homestead, build your own house, get your own food, pool your own water.
The economic whip just allows you to do what your good at, I can do what I'm good at, and the guy who is good at growing food and feeding us is good at what they're good at. This isn't worse.
Google employees complaining about Tech CEO salaries is the 1% complaining about the 0.01% of the world.
For whatever it's worth, market comp for Engineer #1 equity is significantly above 1%. Depends on a lot of things (number of founders, how many founders are already technical, whether hire is pre or post PMF, prior experience, etc.) but by and large <1% is not going to be competitive at this level.
People have a hard time with big numbers. See richest people in the world or how much money Apple makes. It's staggering when you turn it into visualizations or $/second or something. And even then, it's hard for our minds to comprehend something so completely foreign.
Either they did not negotiate for a better package with compensation and equity early on OR sadly, they joined too late. If they wanted a lot more equity (and therefore risk but also potential for a high return like Musk or Bezos or whatever), then they would have needed to join super early, or better yet, have been a co-founder to a Musk or a Bezos or whatever.
But they weren't, so no, they don't get anywhere near the sharing in the big reward, just a small or tiny slice.
Writing the damn code is not a big deal. Knowing what to write is.
The Hollywood guilds should be held up as a model for high skilled labor. It’s also something tech and (and especially the gaming industry) can learn from.
The WGA, for example, allows the lowest-rung writers of tv shows to make $70-80k/year as a minimum floor for 6-8 months of work, twice that if it’s the full year, and guarantees you healthcare for when you’re unemployed between shows/gigs. That helps push up the wage ladder for everyone else, too— many established, but not famous, writers on regular shows that have decent size followings but are not phenomenons are able to earn $400/500k year base salaries this way, and provide a ladder to a really fortunate life for them and their families. And it likely comes as no surprise that very successful workers (celebrities, but also writers and directors that you may not have even heard of) can easily make 10-100x that— it clearly hasn’t affected the top of the ladder’s pay. It’s not unheard of for 20 year olds to make millions right out of college on their first movie, either— https://www.forbes.com/sites/dbloom/2022/01/28/apple-tv-plus...
There’s many different guilds, from writing, to acting, to production, to lighting, to animation/vfx, to crew, to assistants, but they all more or less provide a baseline coverage to their members. IATSE, which is the guild that represents assistants and crew, went on strike last year and secured a minimum $25/hr wage and mandatory breaks last year. The guilds explicitly foster creativity, because it allows even entry-level members to jump from company to company and project to project without worrying about day-to-day logistics.
Imagine the boon to taking risks on smaller companies and projects if software engineers could easily transfer from large companies to smaller projects and teams they were interested in, without worrying about who was processing payroll or transferring retirement benefits or healthcare?
Genuinely, what will happen with writers when scripts will be a dime a dozen, because people are going to use these new technologies?
Thinking about these scenarios is the POINT of a union, making sure writers stay relevant for the long-term future. Failing to address them makes for a lot of broken dreams and missed opportunities.
Being nowhere close to this, it’s difficult to say. Maybe the creative field gets reduced to the guy who can put the right prompt into a script, voice-acting and moving-image combined model?
An experienced writer could (and does) make an entire first draft of a script for a tv show in less than a day. Before your first job out of college you likely have 10+ scripts for movies or shows written for a portfolio. 99% of scripts written already will never see the light of day— and that includes the ones that get bought!
Hollywood does have genuine shortcomings, but I can guarantee you one is not the lack of scripts, nor even the lack of good scripts.
Do we prevent the lose of income to people by forming a collective bargaining group (guild, union, co-op—whatever you’d like) to prevent the job loss and maintain income? Do we tax the owners of businesses who are using large amounts of automation so that the profits are shared with larger society? Do we let the market figure out it out?
It’s an incredibly difficult and complicated question and I don’t have a good answer. But I do personally believe that the people who will be hit hardest will be average people: ourselves and our neighbors and we should consider how we want to react to that fact sooner rather than later.
2. That's great advice for buggy horses who want to win the game of musical chairs, but when the number of jobs for SWEs will drop to ~200,000 in the country, what are the other million going to be doing?
Didn't say they were. Was only addressing the comment about SWEs.
> when the number of jobs for SWEs will drop to ~200,000 in the country, what are the other million going to be doing
What they did after the dotcom crash - become the upper 15-20%, shift to another job in tech (project management, devops, etc) or switch entirely to another job like car sales, accounting, or greeting customers at Walmart.
Sarcasm aside, the volume of scripts has never been the problem in Hollywood. Everybody and their mother has a screenplay. 99% of screenplays that are actually purchased aren't worth making. There are plenty of people who make a good living, outearning the average SV FAANG programmer, just churning out 1 or 2 C-movie scripts a year that they might spend a week or two writing.
And even the screenplays that get made aren't very good. One of my former clients made his fortune making D-movie action films, some of which you may have seen on cable or streaming. The entire portion of the screenplay dedicated to the gunfight at the end of one of his recent films was: "They have an epic fucking gunfight. Explosions everywhere. It's FUCKING AWESOME." (If you look up the screenplay for the movie adaptation of SWAT, the minutes-long fight at the beginning of the film is similarly scripted. By the way, that movie made $200m+.)
One of the largest groups of non-union employees making movies are the VFX artists. Odd coincidence that they're paid much less and have worse working conditions.
The hourly rate is fine. The min/max hours is fine.
The union exclusivity clause is bullshit. They won’t even allow you to use your own company’s employees to record temporary VO. It’s all or nothing.
Expo hall unions are even worse. I have to wait 30 minutes and pay someone $50 so they can plug my surge protector into a floor outlet? Thanks but no thanks.
Working in games I have had to work with different unions on several occasions. Each experience is absolutely dreadful. I’ll pass.
Edit: downvote my opinion if you think it’s bad. that’s cool. Doesn’t change that every experience I have ever had working with unions was absolutely awful.
The flip side (for me, personally) is that I believe that the conference hall would charge me the same fee with the same restrictions, pocketing a large majority of it. It’s no different than going to a stadium and spending $60 on two beers and a hotdog while the person behind the counter makes a fraction of the sale but cleans the space, warms and hauls the food, handles the sale, and puts it together and gives it to me.
So again, there is pain with the teamsters in a convention space (specifically in this context), I fully agree. But if I’m going to have to pay too much for a service I’d rather it went to working class families with stable jobs in the area I’m visiting and doing business in.
Given that “the market” seems to have settled on LC as the only measure of skill I don’t think it’s far fetched to imagine that a guild system could be better.
That’s not true and I suspect you know it.
However, just because you’re in the guild does not mean you have a job. Productions still have to hire and choose to work with you. Generally, if you don’t get work within sometime between 1-2 years you lose membership.
If you’re not “skilled enough” for the minimum floor pay, then the studio or show has no obligation to hire you. Don’t see why that model can’t work for tech?
(edited to add: Obviously the UFCW is not the type of prestige guild the WGA is. Unionizing probably isn't always the best solution, but some amount of work in tech -- QA for example (https://www.theverge.com/2022/12/2/23489932/activision-blizz...) -- could be unionized under that type of system, while other employees become members of more powerful guilds that command higher salaries.)
Tech doesn’t need to copy Hollywood exactly (nor should it), but there’s a lot that can be learned from it.
For Hollywood, I think this is a necessary "evil" because the market rate for creative jobs is likely close to working making $0 for 80 hour work weeks. However, this isn't the same for tech.
You still need to be hired by a production, who chooses to work with you and sets your rate.
The guild just provides a guarantee of pay floor, hours, conditions, healthcare, etc across and transcending individual companies.
So the guilds could theoretically let in as many people as they wanted without diluting supply and demand, because membership does not mean actively working.
The Guild system is unique because its as much as a credentialing system as a union, which is why I think it works.
So much of tech in the past few decades have been about hacking regulation. Why is it when it comes to labor power, it's suddenly an impossibility?
> However, this isn't the same for tech.
Video games are notoriously underpaid and overworked, due to it being a body pit for the passionate. But that's a specific tech niche, sure.
Georgia didn't mop up any non-union filming work. The state decided to hand out a lot of tax credits for filming in Georgia, and that's the only reason studios film there.
Not suggesting that "big tech" doesn't have advantages, but overall, there's an entire world of software development outside of those companies where developers can contract, compete from other countries, and companies are free to hire all sorts of contract labor free of control. You don't even need a college education to do most of the work in our industry.
You don’t in entertainment either, I can assure you that unless you’re working at an agency or a studio salaryman, no one will ask. But those are more corporate than creative jobs, anyways.
And at least from person experience, a lot of Hollywood TV writers rooms are still remote or hybrid (they found it works better!)
Yes, I was addressing that in the "Even the parts that can are essentially protected by that network that can't, they are so intertwined." part of my comment.
There's a word for that, it's called privilege. Unionization is a lose-lose solution. You should also realize that whenever highly skilled workers are the critical bottleneck in a profitable industry they'll rack up high compensation as a matter of course, even in the most highly competitive, merit-based environment. That's why archaic and even medieval institutions such as guilds only make things worse by hobbling the industry.
I could not think of any industry less “hobbled” than Hollywood. They have a sign worshipping itself sprawling across some of the most expensive hillside real estate in the country.
Regardless, as another commentator pointed out— VFX artists are the largest group of non-union workers in Hollywood. They’re also the most overworked and lowest paid— I’m talking about near minimum wage working on a movie with as a high a budget as Marvel. Oftentimes entry-level assistants to assistants to cameramen make more than them.
Know your worth, and charge for it.
AIUI if you run the numbers, the content industry is worth a lot and Hollywood is a big chunk of that, but the tech sector still wins handily.
VFX is a highly visible industry, that people want to be in even with the cost of low pay or bad work conditions. It's quite comparable to videogame development, which is one of the worst sectors to be in "tech".
[1] - https://businessreview.berkeley.edu/award-shows-a-thing-of-t...
Hollywood puts out maybe 2-4 "blockbuster" high-marketing-budget movies that are decent or better per year, sure, but the US film industry overall, and the smaller-splash side of Hollywood, produces probably 3-4x that many (and that's just the US—there are usually a bunch of decent-or-better foreign productions per year, too)
Nonetheless, Netflix is as much claimed by Hollywood as it is Tech. Apple too is thought as Hollywood-adjacent, as aside from Apple TV they’re also historically responsible for Pixar. Important to realize that working in tech does not mean every successful company is purely a tech company.
The ratio of nepotism hires and who-you-knowism in that industry is insane. There's a reason you have multi-generation families all "in the business".
Met plenty of people in NYC in the industry, and they are either nepotism hires or surrounded by them.
Labor organizations exist to turn disparate sources of a supply (labor) into a more monolithic source that can control some or all of the access to that supply, driving up the price, which is good the members. They may have controls in place to try to prevent nepotism or other bad hiring practices, but at the end of the day that can be a difficult problem to detect and prevent.
The guilds do still have objective criteria to get in, and pay scales so that regardless of if you’re a director’s child or not, you’re getting the same pay as everyone else with your title.
Yes, nepotism in Hollywood is a well-known issue, but it’s also an issue in pretty much every industry that’s been around for multiple generations. I imagine we will see the same thing happen in tech— just as it has in healthcare, politics, sports, law, finance, and all manner of highly desirable skilled professions
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-Tech_Employee_Antitrust_L...
It went far and wide, and they knew what they were doing:
https://web.archive.org/web/20200304045453/https://pando.com...
I wouldn’t really say it’s a cloak of victimhood as much as a disillusionment of those that aren’t acknowledging they’re labor is being exploited combined with the fact that attempting to organize can be met with a loss of work.
Could it be an issue of scale? The Facebook cafeteria workers were able to organize, and that was about 500 workers. Engineers are in the tens of thousands at these big tech companies and without substantial laborer support from the beginning, any potential organizer is taking a huge risk by attempting to organize.
The excuses really are endless in this business.
Sounds like they had a great need to organize, and they were able to— I’m trying to extract patterns that could be applied to other organizations. Do you have any insights on that, or would you simply like to dunk on the out of touch techies that have it oh-so-good?
> In re: High-Tech Employee Antitrust Litigation (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California 11-cv-2509 [10]) is a class-action lawsuit on behalf of over 64,000 employees of Adobe, Apple Inc., Google, Intel, Intuit, Pixar and Lucasfilm (the last two are subsidiaries of Disney) against their employer ...
I used to think we (high tech labor) didn't need unions (you can actually find comments of mine here on HN several years ago arguing that.) Then this crazy and illegal scheme came to light. Now I think that we need something, maybe not a union per se, but something, to "flex [our] considerable latent power", eh?
The thing that really grosses me out about the "no-poaching" collusion is that Apple, at least, famously has more money than Scrooge MacDuck yet still actively and stridently worked to rip off their own people.
The doctor cartel does the same thing but in the other direction, keeping doctor's salaries in the U.S. inflated relative to where they would naturally be under a normal supply/demand curve: https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2017/10/25/doctors-sal...
(not to mention how much U.S. software developers benefit from an overly restrictive immigration policy which limits programmer supply)
Expressing for 2.5 years that we’re able to work from anywhere, then immediately saying “well actually come back in for a day… or 2… now come back in everyday” is a misuse of power because the workers have no say in the conversation, the only option is to express your discontent and leave.
Abuse doesn’t have to mean they’re hitting us, but it can mean a misuse of power which is one of the main points of the article.
The claim is that they're treated better than nearly everyone else. Not that it's some sort of platonic ideal of employee employer relations
When that's all you've got, arbitrary layoffs to boost market cap are the side effects.
> The tech industry is desperate to somehow frame a period of time where it took advantage of low interest rates to recklessly overhire and overinvest as something that created entitled workers. What they don’t want to discuss is the truth that the only people that have ever acted entitled are the already-wealthy ghouls who cry about how workers don’t do enough for their paychecks.
Additionally, it’s a straw man argument to say that everyone who is being let go currently at a time of record profits is just being a lay about. It’s easy to say until it happens to you, and it shouldn’t. People—our neighbors and fellow humans—deserve better treatment than to be cast aside to make the stock price rise again.
Some people have been hard at work on products that were never great, but the direction they took came from leadership. That’s as much a strawman argument, but it belabors the point that making broad judgements on a group is the wrong way to go about taking a position.
You always look at the person being paid less than you or working in "relatively" worse conditions and think oh at least I'm not doing that job. All amenities that these companies "treat their workers" with are not out of goodness of there hearts but they are all designed to keep the worker in the office longer and work longer hours. The cost of those amenities are a fraction of profits these workers make for the company.
You have seen how little it takes these companies to layoff employees. "Our profits dipped 5% this year? well too bad you gotta go even if you worked 20 years for this company".
Also don't be under any illusion that the golden era of a high paid dev job is going to last forever. As the supply for skilled tech increases and the automation evolves, the average tech workers are going to be as expendable as any other profession, they already are in fact. In fact the sole reasons these companies promote "teach your kids to code" is not because they care about our kids development, but it's because they want a steady supply of tech workers in future at low cost. The more tech workers there are, the less they have to pay.
In the end, the fact that these companies are making ungodly amounts of profits should be seen as a huge red alert. This is nothing but exploitation of labor no matter which field you are working on. Exploitation doesn't have to be working in poor conditions. If a worker is getting paid only a fraction of value they are producing then it qualifies as exploitation and should be looked with scrutiny.
This is a reasonable ask. It's easily addressable - build a notice period into the offers (for example, if you've been with the company more than a year, you get at least 4 weeks notice).
The problem with any sort of exclusive guild is that it becomes more difficult to break into, which is bad for a growing industry.
The idea behind organized workforce is to balance the power dynamic between employer and employees. It's harder for employer to ignore the demands of an organized workforce than individual employees.
In other countries the notice periods are written in law. But then again, do we really want to wait(& trust) for the govt which is heavily lobbied by FAANG to legislate this? Isn't it more efficient to organize and demand your terms from the employer.
It's the same. If companies hear loud and clear from both their employees and from people they want to hire, they will do it if they want to compete.
Heck, any smart company might do it voluntarily to make it harder for their employees to be poached by other companies that only offer a fire-at-will employment (the legal default).
A few posts on Medium/Substack might catalyze this change.
Yes definitely they will.."today". Companies don't need to do anything special if supply overtakes demand. We feel we are special today only because IT is still relatively a new field and the demand still outweighs supply.
But the rate at which universities across the world are churning out CS grads and the increasing focus on automation, supply will definitely overtake demand. And when that happens we will end up in the same predicament as other professions. At that point, companies don't have to cave in to the demands from their employees or the people they want to hire.
It’s one of the reasons we see layoffs during a time of record profits. It’s easy to turn humans out to boost the profit margin and the stock value.
But is that the end goal? for the union to have power? sometimes it does seem like that is in fact the goal.
I thought the goal was for people to make a good living and have good working conditions - most SV/hi-tech types have those things already, so why should they care that the union doesn't exist or doesn't have power?
I work in the tech industry, I never worried for one second that Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk gets paid more than me.
The end goal is to balance the power dynamic between capital owners and the labor. As of today especially in US, the labor has little to none bargaining power and capital owners have infinite power to even influence govt.
The only reason we had relatively higher salaries than other fields "till now" is because of lower supply/demand ratio and it's still a relatively new profession than others. This ratio will eventually balance out and when it happens we will be left with no bargaining power.
>> I work in the tech industry, I never worried for one second that Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk gets paid more than me.
We're definitely not getting our fair share of the value we produce and that's just theft to me.
The words "middle class" use this slight of hand. Anyone who is not literally burger flipping can be called "middle class" simply by pointing at the people below them. Politicians regularly use it [1]. The proportion doesn't matter if people don't ask. If people knew the proportions, that'd be bad. So please also never talk about your salary with anyone but your closest partner, and never ask how much your executive makes.
The two classes that are important are capital-owning and worker. Even the best paid workers are disposable (see this thread, or Google layoffs) and will never be close to accumulating the wealth someone with generational wealth has. The difference is simply too big. No laying off the avocado toast will fix this. The mobility between those two classes is non-existent, aside from freak accidents.
That is such a naive perspective of the world. These are businesses and their goal is to make as much money as possible. That means they strive to be as efficient as possible. I don't know where the expectation that they should function as charities or job programs came from.
Personally I think it comes from many of these people being young (under about 33-35), and having worked almost their entire careers in a booming economy where things always went up in a straight line; you would need to have about 15 years working as an adult to have lived thru the last big down cycle in 2008.
The idea that a company can produce a product without caring about the quality of how the product is produced is laughable in any Econ 101 classroom. Additionally there are plenty of models of businesses in the US and Europe where the labor force is included in business decisions.
Your idea that the people making a living from building a product want to destroy it and their own livings, are some how not aligned with the customers—who want a good product and will return if it is good—is completely without logic or knowledge of market economics.
The heirs who own the majority of most of the FAANG stock created none of the wealth, did none of the work. These rich kids of Instagram never worked, never will - nor did their parents, nor did their parents.
So your argument is the workers creating the wealth should fork over the amount of surplus labor value to these heirs, that is being expropriated.
What about these parasitical heirs you are arguing for? The ones who live off the dividend check wealth created by those who work? "I can't even begin to comprehend your POV". If the worker creating wealth keeping it is an entitled attitude, what is the attitude of these parasitical heirs who do not work?
Look here, kids, go ask those graybeards you laugh at behind their backs what it was like during the dotcom bust.
In my opinion there are a few reasons for this. As the industry has matured, it has moved out of the earlier phase where to a certain extent everyone was a bit of a pioneer. As the industry expanded, it mainstreamed especially amongst employees of bigtech which are now basically blue-chips like the GE and GM of old and now employ all kinds of people.
One consequence of this, I think, is that it is increasingly the case that the employees of a business and the leaders of that business don't really understand each other. Without moralizing either side, it is the case that there is a lot of misapprehension regarding what makes the other side tick.
I'm not sure what the solution to this is, but absent one we may see conflict in the form of both labor organization (from the workers) as well as more selective hiring (from the bosses).
The gap between the average white collar worker and the average blue collar worker seems to have grown as fast if not faster, especially after 08.
Meanwhile, the difference between a tech worker and a struggling teacher is that one is 50 missed paychecks away from insolvency, and the other is 2 missed paychecks away from insolvency. It's not even comparable.
I remember.
Maybe something to do with the change in the type of people wanting to work in tech - it used to be geeks and now it is a high status job and attracts status/money seekers. Great discussion on “The cult of conformity in Silicon Valley” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ia7IKW0yuG0 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34668098
2000’s
- “the Dark Ages you and I went to school in the early and mid 2000s”
- “it's probably hard for us to explain to a current college kid how uncool Tech was”
- “I was a Yale 05 graduate and in my graduating year Yale graduated 10 CS majors in a class of 1200 kids”
- “status seeking thing that a gunner should want to go after:” Finance, Consulting, Law, or Medicine (not startups, not tech)
2020’s
- “now things have changed you know fast forward um a little less than 20 years and Tech is now attracting conformists”
- “college kids today obsess with getting jobs at Facebook and Google. They study how they interview just as much as people study how to interview how to get into Goldman Sachs”
- “they want the status they want the money that used to be associated with these Finance or professional jobs: bam, they're all now associated with big Tech”
- “at first you see the explosion of CS majors in school and I think you would think to yourself oh man that means that there are a lot more people who are interested in building but that's not actually the case like it's it's it's uh it's deceiving the numbers are deceiving. I remember going to a class and talking to a bunch of kids who are kind of interested in in Tech and startups and so forth and I remember saying to them ‘hey like how many of y'all are studying CS and and write code’ and 90 of the people raise their hands and then I remember asking oh that's amazing like ‘what percentage of you would want to be writing code as part of your job in a startup or a company’ and like 90 of those hands went down”Engineer concerns are treated with begrudging compromise & so often unsubtle adversarialism. Small groups of engineers must usually drive change they want, on an ad-hoc basis, and rarely is there a forum for the business to understand larger bigger picture internal-stength/weakness of thr product/architectures.
The gulf beteeen the top & the rest of the org has seemed so very big, for so long. Rarely do orgs even try to foster a healthy relationship with their craftwork, with what powers them. That they would not really value the craftfolk either, as well as not really building strong orgs that understand the labor (output), is not surprising to me. It's why I keep hoping we see more companies ran by techies. Having a company that values being close to the machine in a real-way, that groks that there's this huge invisible world it's created & which wants to organizationally understand & better the systems, holistically, is a huge potential advantage for an org, but one that seems so rarely built into the genes. Understanding seems built on organizational scuttlebutt & heresay- in large part by many tech-agnostic & tech-apathetics going up the org chain- to suss out truth with, even though the code & it's constraints is the overwhelming shaper of many orgs available paths.
I think it's a massive opportunity for the discipline of software engineering as a whole for engineers to start stepping up a bit more to position ourselves less as the misunderstood computer monks and more as the experts in making smart tradeoffs around what's good for the business, product, users, software itself, etc etc. In many companies, the most influential engineers + engineering leaders operate like this as it is.
Usually, layoffs happen in weak economies. But the economy is strong, unemployment is low. These layoffs are partly about power and ideology - sacrificing business interests.
It's a rare opportunity for people hiring - how often do large companies shed their best people. Better workplaces and new startups should be moving quickly. And it's a great opportunity for the job-seekers to find places that value them and want to do new, innovative things.
It requires you to believe in people as valuable, in cooperative not adversarial relationships, in the potential of human innovation, which can come from anywhere. Just like SV before the new reactionary power grab.
Less often than they shed under-performers. Hiring during mass layoffs is difficult because it’s a market of lemons situations. You have to sift through the majority that got let go because their manager identified them as performing below average to find the ones that were laid off because some failing departments were shut down.
For over a decade it was an absolute survival related imperative for these companies to hire as many people as possible, and to keep them from going to their competition. Google was so afraid of competition in the ads space that they bought entire companies for hundreds millions, and paid the former employees of these companies huge salaries for years ... just for the purposes of shutting them down -- including my former employer (see Page #39 of https://www.justice.gov/opa/press-release/file/1563746/downl...)
They were willing to let compensation rates skyrocket. To hire like crazy with very little in the way of concrete performance results in terms of shipping more product or increasing revenues. Because they were mortally afraid that someone would compete with them and their ad revenue firehose would stop increasing in pressure each quarter.
So what's changed? Why are they suddenly willing to unleash talent into the market where it can be eaten up by competition?
Isn't Google worried that among the people it lays off (or fails to hire) there's someone who will finally conjure up a company that finally effectively takes marketshare from AdWords or Ad Exchange or whatever?
I don't know the final piece to this puzzle is. Maybe people here have some ideas. (In particular anybody who is still in the ad-tech space who can speak to current trends)
These companies all hired like crazy because they thought COVID might have been a cultural inflection point, and when it turned out not to be, they cut costs.
My point is there is no strategy outside of “make line go up”.
From my experience working at FAANG, most of the developers working at these companies are the same skill as anywhere else, they just managed to pass the interview by studying and prepping for it slightly more than the other guy
The really useful people at Google were the SREs.
In any case, its beside the point. The distribution of quality of the talent doesn't so much matter as the fact that Google & others wanted to hoard it all.
The fun thing about starting your own company, is you find out how much you're really worth!
It is true that some I know who quit a high paying job to do a startup had a very rude reality check on how good they actually were. I know one who would always be ushered in to see the CEO to make the sale. On his own, he couldn't even get an audience with an underling. He eventually begged to get his old job back.
> most people do start-ups for passion
A dry cleaners is not a passion project.
Hint: if someone describe themselves as "{some single language} Developer", they should always be concerned. Doubly so if they came out of a cookie cutter bootcamp.
I'm not so sure the possibility should be dismissed so easily. It's hardly a secret that CEOs gather periodically gather at various retreats. Is it really talking conspiracy theories to recognize they actually do talk business with each other and at least informally coordinate their actions? They don't all need to be at the same location just to get a few massages.
Back in the aughts there were so many posts and thought-pieces written by both founders and VCs about attracting and supporting developers. Lots of founders talking up how their engineers make a real difference. By the first half of the '10s that stuff disappeared, and by the 2nd half you started seeing lots of resentment going both ways.
Capital thinks devs are capturing too much upside; labor thinks capital is capturing too much upside. From capital's point of view, the engineer circa 2023 is doing the same work their engineers did circa 2008 so why are they entitled to 2.5x the comp? And of course the engineer is wondering why the value they're creating is worth 10x what it was back in 2008 but their pay is only up 2.5x?
You might argue that I would be speaking differently if I were the one laid off, but I actually would have welcomed it, since it would be nice to take a break for a few months. I am certainly privileged to be able to do that (although it comes from working very hard for 10+ years and saving >50% of my income so I do take some credit).
I feel worst for people on visas that might get kicked out of the US because of this. But I don't think it's the job of corporations to atone for the sins of the government. We should make immigration easier and not tied to your employer (and health insurance as well).
If the company is explicitly paying you to build something to be patented, they should own it.
Making it yourself means not accepting their paycheck for the work and covering the associated expenses of your own time and filings. Then you own it and can license it to whoever.
If there’s some alternative way of doing this that still incentivizes the company to hire you in the first place, it’s probably worth negotiating up front. Patents aren’t very different from any other work for hire scenario in that the people paying for the work will own the result.
If you hire someone to renovate your house and make a ton of money selling it, does the contractor deserve a cut? If so, did he charge you less for that cut knowing it was a flip?
This is why patent trolls are so dangerous, they don't have any actual assets, so they're not in any actual danger when suing.
It's one thing to have someone who makes more money than you can imagine swinging their dick into politics and being generally out of touch. It's a lot harder to make excuses when you see people who are more numerous and only make 2-10x what you make doing it.
As for modern France and their propensity for rioting over minor labor disputes, who wants that either? Sure a narrow slice of the population gets early retirement but the youth unemployment rate is 20% and it is increasingly hard there to get onto a career ladder that would afford you an early retirement.
It's all well and good to credit the end of child labor in the US to unions, even though it was the progressive movement generally that ended child labor and not unions, but whatever. That said, the American union movement was a powerful force FOR segregation and actually caused a real drop in wages for black workers in northern cities in the 1910s and 1920s, so I think it's important to be honest about the whole history.
well, that's the only way to deliver the message, so yeah, I want that.
In France, I can go to lunch and not think about work. Here, I have to explain that "no, I won't eat lunch during this meaningless meeting to save time" every time I've invited to a meeting during lunch.
Some parts of the old elites ended up kind of on top at the end anyway, however in a drastically different situation - citizens had rights and power at the top came from below, not above (divine right was no longer a thing). So massive difference regardless of the title of the person on top.
Voluntarily is a massive stretch. Even more so when you consider that many that returned after the Restauration tried to get "their" lands and titles back - so it was only the threat of violence that made them abandon everything and run.
The Vendée uprising like many such uprisings was sparked by the Levy Decree(levée en masse) which was a response to the Girondins stirring up a stupid war for "national unity".
All it takes is a handful of big investors demanding it. It doesn't take very many people to agree that the tech workers are getting uppity and need to be taught a lesson about their replacability, if it is the right people. Nor does it really take a conspiracy, because as the author points out, many of those people are quite open about it.
They whine. On the bird site, and to business media. Definitely very alpha.
It smacks of impotence. If they had the power, why couldn't they just fix the situation instead of whining about it? I bet they would, if they could, but they can't.
And they're humans, just like us. Not as special as we've been told.
Founders also don't hate labor. They love money. If they can hire good enough developers by paying them 0.5% equity, they will do that. If the market demands that they pay developers 500k/year and hire thousands of them during a bull run, they will do that. If they think paying a "superstar" CEO $200M/year creates even more value, they will do it. If they can get away with paying that same guy nothing, that's also exactly what they will do. If they can improve the company's long-term profitability by laying off thousands of developers during a downturn, they will also do that.
Labor for the most part doesn't hate anybody either. We love money. If a company hires me right after college, trains me, helps me build my resume, and another company comes around with a promotion and a 30% higher comp offer, I would take that offer. If the company has fallen on hard times and isn't able to pay me as much as another company, I would give a few months notice and then jump ship.
I find it hard to take these sort of conspiracy theories seriously. No one is purposely conducting layoffs in order to "put labor in their place." No one is purposely trying to underpay startup employees because they hate them. Everyone is trying to enrich themselves as much as possible. Partly by collaborating with their complements in order to create something of value. And partly by paying their complements as little as they can get away with. This is literally how every single free market works.
If you think your startup isn't paying employees enough, don't work for that startup. If you think all startups are paying developers too much relative to support engineers, try building a career for yourself as a developer instead. If you think all startups are too generous with its founders relative to employees, try building a career for yourself as a founder instead. If you're able to succeed as a developer/founder, great! If you're not able to succeed as a developer/founder, maybe you have a better appreciation for why they get paid whatever they do. You don't owe them anything, they don't owe you anything, nobody hates anyone, everyone's just trying to make the most money they can for themselves.
Marx would agree. People who don't know better tend to think that labor vs capital is an aesthetic or moral conflict rather than a material one. The mechanics of capitalism force the owners to exploit the workers as much as possible, or else they will be driven out of business. That doesn't necessarily make the owners bad or hateful people, though it does select for people who are able to convince themselves that they are doing the right thing in spite of the evidence.
It stands to reason if the financing method of a nation moves from a hard money system where you either turn a profit in a hard asset by increasing efficiency, to one where politically connected parties benefit and are first in line at the spigot of federal reserve funding which they then employ however they see fit mostly freed from the rigor of market discipline, the people in the game that will succeed will be those closest to the feeding trough and those at the back will eat the inevitable inflation that occurs. It doesn't matter if you're a moron and your competition is a genius when you are gulping down first, second and third order fresh fiat from the fed firehose constantly, while they're stuck with getting it from you or your peers.
All that said, enterprises aren't charities and of course they're going to see a limited supply pool of talented labour with actual leverage and bargaining power as "entitled", but they're still going to have to compete for them because that's one of the few remaining market forces still on the side of that quite rare labour pool. The vast majority of labour get no such choice and just have to suck it up. In light of all that people in this industry should keep in mind that between a tech worker of today and a food service worker of just over fifty years ago, the tech worker has less purchasing power. They're not nearly as coddled and overpaid as the parties in front of them filtering newly created money down the chain would have us believe.
We get paid extremely well! FFS have any of you guys taken a moment to talk to folks outside the industry?
Tech workers can be oppressed even if other laborers are more oppressed; believe this is where the idea of class solidarity originates.
Tech workers are in the same class as all other laborers; not capitalists.
> Illustrating this grotesque point further, Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft saw their collective valuations rise by $800bn after announcing steep job cuts
So the market felt very strongly that the layoffs were a good business decision. Is that because Wall Street is mean, too? Or isn't that somewhat objective evidence that the layoffs were good for the companies?
A very interesting article could have been written in its place.
At least where I'm standing, fundimental profit incentive is morally bad. Yes they are by definition "nasty people". Our fundimental responsibility is to improve ourselves and the world around us. It can occasionally align with profit incentive (we have a culture where money can be a powerful tool), but considering it "normal" or "ok" seems problematic.
If you want to talk about incentives, how about what we can do to change them?
I see profit-seeking behavior when I watch a squirrel hoard nuts, or a dog snap at a scrap of meat on the ground. I see the entire biosphere as a profit-seeking process, and I don't want to set my morality against the very biosphere that created everything I value, and my very ability to value.
Competition doesn't have to be unbound. All things in nature find satiation. We can be satisfiers not optimizers.
Nature's balance is found as each organism struggles with all its might and ability to expand, but not by any organism voluntarily refraining from maximizing its production.
This is both right and wrong. What makes an organism? You are a multicellular system of cooperating cells. If this statement was true, you couldn't exist. The truth is that the most powerful adaptation to increase your organisms ability to compete is to in fact build a bigger organism. Your body is a product of that strong evolutionary trend.
Bacterial mats, multicellular organisms, forests, fields of grass, mamals, families, civilizations. All of these things are escalations in survivability due to every part of them choosing to "voluntarily refraining from maximizing its production." in favor of behavior that improves the status quo for others.
We call portion of organisms that revert to this competitive mentality "cancer" and eventually it does win. That doesn't make it morally right, just the last parts of a body to die after it kills the rest in shortsightedness.
Cooperation is definitely a popular strategy for survival, and our instinct for altruism benefits the survival of human families and small groups. Consider though, that in each of your examples, the collective entities formed then grow to the greatest extent, limited only by resource constraints and competition from other entities.
Megalomania: "In Psychology: delusions of power or self-importance, esp. resulting from mental illness; a passion for grandiose schemes. More generally: lust for power, a desire to control."
They have different rationalizations and explanations for different events, but many/most ideas come down to more power for themselves, and believing that only they can accomplish anything - not their employees, government, democracy, anything or anyone else.
1. Employ a large number of tech workers and upskill them with state of the art practices.
2. Throw lots of money at them, so they can build nest-eggs
3. Test their capacity for - and self-confidence in - working long hours
4. Unload them onto a hot market; unemployment is at a 50-year low
My hope is that a million lifestyle LLCs will bloom from this fertile soil. I got laid off, and registered my first LLC while interviewing. I bet I'm not the only one
They just don't want to see, pay or think about the little people - my jet is 2 years old, thats like keeping the same phone for 3 months, I am busy speccing out the gold toilet seat on my new one, please don't bother me.
During most of 2017 you couldn't throw a rock without hitting a journalist writing a major article about how tech workers were organizing, shaking off their chains, etc. Major foundations were going hat in hand to anyone who even mentioned workplace organizing, begging them to take their money. (I got turned down by one such foundation because I asked for a ~$80k budget; they told me my proposal would be accepted if I found a way to make it ten times bigger).
The part of this effort that I witnessed was met with a mix of derision and complete indifference. Programmers and designers were eager to cheerlead their colleagues in food service unionizing, but didn't want to make the slightest effort to safeguard their own status as the most pampered workforce in the country. Arguments that the gravy train could not last, and that they were creating the tools to automate away their own very lucrative future, fell on deaf ears. I am a highly apathetic guy, and yet even I was astonished by the level of apathy.
Now the good times are ending, a future of limitless high-wage programming jobs seems less secure, and people are justifiably mad. But fairness demands some of the victims of the current round of layoffs also go look in the mirror.
(* 'organize' here means use the pretty robust framework of US labor law to achieve some shared goal. Many people take it as a synonym for 'unionize', but there is no requirement that concerted workplace action result in a traditional union. You might just organize to secure a specific goal, like a board seat for employees, specific rules for doing layoffs, or equal treatment of H1-B colleagues.)
Big yup. I think the author's point is valid, but I think you're observation is completely true and valid too. I do remember that time around 2017. Lots of talk about tech unionization, but no action because like you said, they didn't want to endanger their comfy jobs. I live in Seattle, and many tech workers here talk about equality, labor rights (only for the Starbucks employee), but the moment something would endanger their job, benefits, or property values they wouldn't hesitate to vote against what they claim to value.
There. Fixed the headline for you. You might also note the oligarchs, and the aristocracy before them, have always loathed the common man and thought themselves superior. Our supposed meritocracy have just made matters worse.
Rather than investing in a factory that employs people to churn out widgets...
Tech is investing in a factory (software/platform) that churns out digital widgets...
I did not see these people jumping out when a coding boot camp guy got paid 200K/year two years ago while people with 20 year experience in other industries only get 100K .
Company has a positive revenue does not mean they don’t have to optimize their cost structure. They have to pay off people just like they need to hire like crazy when the market is good.
But as I see it at present, it's the high end white collar work that is the most at risk being made redundant to AI since robots and mobile power solutions aren't robust enough to eliminate blue collar work quite yet.
I know someone will say why this isn't going to happen but for many in middle and upper management good enough will suffice if it means eliminating expensive white collar workers. That day is coming.
Our hands, eyes, and legs may end up being the expensive parts to replace—not our creativity, not our raw intelligence—so, related niches may be the ones in which human labor thrives the longest. Perhaps Amazon will be able to slash its office workforce to a small fraction of its current size, before it can do the same with its warehouses. Go figure.
Time to go lift some weights so I can still land a job in my 50s, I guess....
See Moravec's Paradox [1].
I think a less extreme form of this dynamic is coming for most of us in the next decade or two. And an exactly as extreme form coming for some of us.
Pair that with what we have seen "distrust in institutions" can do to people. I have grave fear our future.
AI is still quite far off from a notion of "common sense", if we _did_ have that it would actually solve a very large host of open problems in robotics that prevent it from being taking lots of blue collar jobs (at least my former coworkers at a Toyota's robotics R&D lab thought so).
As automation improves the leverage on top talent increases and the premium for incrementally better skills improves. I'm arguably a worse programmer than my uncle was 30 years ago but earn far more (inflation adjusted) because I can leverage things like AWS, open source libraries, and various SAAS offerings.
> I foolishly believed that these people were in the minority - that they were not indicative of the larger tech industry - and I was completely wrong.
Humans don't change, just circumstances.
Of course a whole lot of business leaders would gleefully set up company towns and have Pinkertons wage amphibious assaults (true story) on strikers and make employees work 6-day 60-hour workweeks with no overtime and all kinds of abusive, crazy shit like that, if they thought it'd make them more money and if the circumstances allowed it.
We're just a few norms, laws, market conditions, and labor contracts away from exactly the same place labor was a century or so ago. We are not doing as well as we are because capitalists got nicer.
Amazon warehouse workers of today have it nearly just as bad as workers a decade ago.
It reminds me of that scene from Mike Judge's Silicon Valley satire where Gavin Belson, the big-tech CEO, sees protestors out the office window and says he misses the days when big business owners like him could have those protestors shot on sight[1].
Imagine calling investment bankers as typical "labor"
It clearly is not, so asking why it "must" seems a bit odd.
> The only rationale I see is jealousy
Others might call it justice or fairness, but that's basically it. People's feeling of personal security and self-worth.
The same basic force is behind most wars, revolutions, and other forms of inter-personal violence. That begins to answer the question, really.
IMHO, they seem to be following the reactionary culture that dominates the US now - the worship of power, the contempt for humanity, for humans, and for the future.
My real answer is that 40 years of low interest rates, have shifted all power to capital (not capital as a group of human beings. to literal capital) and now the workers are mad at a system setup to screw them and scapegoating the people on the other side of that system who really aren't the ones who set this up either.
But in a way, didn't it do exactly that? Lots of tech workers have the audacity to complain about having to show up to the office, like it's some form of oppression. Or act like getting laid off is something really cruel, while getting months worth of severance.
1. HR needs to justify real estate costs or HR will be cut back
2. HR wants to fire some people who refuse to go back because if they're not in the office then HR will be cut back
3. HR doesn't like the people that WFH because they are bucking the pay bands and if HR doesn't enforce the arbitrary salary bands then there won't be budget for hiring and HR will be cut back
Expect to see a huge downward salary trend in the web front end/back end sector. That stuff is a solved problem. Expect salaries for new hires to drop below $100K and old hires being gradually pushed out.
I hate labor activists who want to tell me how to run my company and antagonize workers to see themselves in some sort of power struggle with management.
We are all working for the same mission - make as much money as possible. I don’t need hostile people around.
> I hate labor activists who want to tell me how to run my company and antagonize workers to see themselves in some sort of power struggle with management
If you're actually doing everything you can to make them productive and happy, then you won't have labor activists because they won't have anyone to rally. And if you mean activists at other companies, they shouldn't affect you either, because you're already doing what they are asking for elsewhere, right?
> We are all working for the same mission - make as much money as possible.
They want to make as much money as they can for themselves which is diametrically opposed to your goal of making as much money for yourself. That's why it's looked at as hostile.
The only way to be a good employer of labor is if your goal is to provide a great wage and benefits to your employees and then keep what is left over. Your goal can not be to make as money money as possible, because then you have to keep it away from your workers.