The CEO job is to choose the best prediction of the future from those available to them, and make sure the company executes on it. So yes, that's the bar.
As the markets clearly priced in during the pandemic, this was the best prediction of the future. As measured not just by the CEO, but the response of consumers and the public markets. You would be hard-pressed, without the benefit of today's hindsight, to make a reasonable argument for why this wasn't the right decision to make based on the data in front of you.
I think it's reasonable to argue that Apple's CEO made the better decision, as opposed to the "obvious" one.