Gasoline made of carbon sucked from the air (2018)
nationalgeographic.com
nationalgeographic.com
There's also Prometheus Fuels which is a YC company doing the same thing: https://www.prometheusfuels.com/
The science is sound, but whether the process is economically viable remains to be seen.
And like you said, it’s recognized as being a very stable store of carbon for a very long time.
The trick is getting feedstock nearby so you aren’t pumping tons of CO2 into the air to acquire, move and process it.
Also works as a backup of last resort for power systems through power to gas/x.
Yep. The current mode of operation to simply trim the output of solar and wind in case of oversupply is an utter waste when the power could be used in power-to-gas plants.
You could also keep ICE engines in use without worrying about their carbon footprint. Excess renewable power turns into fuel to be used in cars, boats, trains (diesel electric freight cars), and airplanes.
Using this tech for off peak leveling on the grid might not be cost effective, but it can certainly be used to support the existing infrastructure we have to allow for a more graceful transitional period.
I have never seen an estimate on that, or a plant design detailed enough for extrapolating it. Do you know how those plants are built?
Hydrogen will be made from renewables by 2030.
Sucking fuel out of the air anywhere you like has to be more viable than sailing out to sea and building a huge rig to drill underwater for pockets of gunk that you then have to refine. Imagine an airport that creates its own fuel instead of needing constant resupply.
Pretty sure it absolutely isn't.
yes, it's not a certainty. but solar power was once seen as only useful in space where you couldn't run a diesel engine. Then it got more efficient, and cheaper, and now it is cheapest form of energy per MW on Earth
It's not that it is "not a certainty". It actually seems very unlikely that this could work.
> and now it is cheapest form of energy per MW on Earth
Thanks to fossil fuels, that have been used at pretty much every step of the process of building and transporting the solar panels. And then it only works with good weather. Not that solar is completely bad, but it does not look like it will be the replacement for fossil fuels.
It is not enough to be cheap as a marginal source of energy in a world with cheap fossil fuels. At some point it would need to work on its own...
Discussion of economics: https://terraformindustries.wordpress.com/2023/01/09/terrafo...
Seems like the natural gas angle may be better due to higher efficiencies of existing equipment (power plants) that burns natural gas. Maybe the same can be done with gasoline?
And of course you can't reasonably run a plane on natural gas AFAIK.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-155 , up to 2 hours flight, flew in 1980-s. Not much, but at least a proof of concept.
Interesting, this is a seemingly proven? way of levelling the temporal playing field.
If the future costs of processing and burning oil could be accurately calculated. It could be the case that synthetic fuel is already cost competitive. A tax could attempt to represent that discrepancy.
Like a sugar tax or a tobacco tax, for which there are real personal, societal, and ultimately economic costs beyond the sticker price - these costs are accumulated and deferred, so it's hard to intuitively judge for the individual. Taxes against these poor choices help make the cost more intuitive, hypothetically they could even be proportional and immediate if those funds were used to treat those issues though e.g health care spending.
Another option is emissions trading, where a fixed amount of CO2 certificates are issued over some timespan (with the amount calculated to fit some emissions goal). The price is then determined by the market.
Of course this should also lead to high CO2 prices, which will be unpopular, but with proper protections against future changes to the system in place, politicians might be able to absolve themselves of responsibility and more or less put the blame on the market. I think that might make this more politically achievable (especially since possibly the effects on consumer prices might only appear a while after the relevant political decisions are already made).
British Columbia generally uses the Carbon Tax revenue to offset other government revenues (eg: lowering income taxes; a Conservative candidate campaigned on this federally in 2017 [1]), while the federal policy provides a flat rebate to taxpayers. They both attempt to be "neutral" in one way or another. I'm not sure which is better.
That said, the Carbon Tax is a bit of a wedge issue (federally) in Canada, as different regions are more suburban and car-dependent than others as well as other provinces historically have produced oil. Your lifestyle and outlook to climate change policy often influences your feelings on the topic.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Conservative_Party_of_Can...
Feels like if we didn’t have to invent new batteries but instead just turned excess solar and wind into carbon neutral gas “batteries” that would be a win.
A barrel of oil is about 1,700 kWh. If we have an optimistic cost (https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2022/utility-scale_battery_...) of $300 per kWH capacity that is $510,000. Divide by say 5000 cycles that you can get out of a battery: it costs $102 in what is capital depreciation/wear to store one barrel of oil.
Of course projections show that reducing to 1/3 of that...eventually.
They just released an interesting white paper detailing a lot of good progress:
https://terraformindustries.wordpress.com/2023/01/09/terrafo...
I think it’s interesting because they’re focusing on the cheapest and easily manufactured technologies instead of efficiency.
Because the US builds most of its residential housing out of wood it means that the Sun does most of the heavy lifting when it comes to "creating" the building materials out of which most of the US residential houses are built. The biggest cost related to energy when it comes to the US residential market is the opportunity cost of not having those trees back in the forrest still producing oxygen, plus the loss of forrest habitat as a result of ever-expending suburbias.
Meanwhile, in Europe most of the residential houses are built using cement, concrete and even bricks, all of these activities very energy intensive, you can't rely on the Sun's goodwill as the Americans do. Granted, you don't incur the opportunity costs of having to cut down trees/forests, but I have a gut feeling that the energy (and pollution) costs of building a house based on cement/concrete/bricks are a lot bigger than the opportunity costs you gain from not cutting down some trees in order to build the same house.
There's also a discussion to be made about costs related to house insulation and the loss of energy, where, I agree, European houses perform much better compared to the US houses made of wood.
All in all I think we need to "rediscover" economists like Georgescu-Roegen [1], people who had built almost all of their intellectual careers talking about this sort of stuff.
The typical European brick & mortar home is much sturdier than your typical US wooden frame construction. Houses aged 100 or more years are no rarity. The US median age of 37 years or so is still relatively young on, e.g., the German market.
Interestingly, though, European wood-based construction companies (wooden houses are usually prefab here) distinguish themselves with their energy efficient wall construction techniques. A brick-and-mortar company can achieve the same level of efficiency by choosing the best available bricks but they will typically offer cheaper bricks with add-on insulation. It's definitely not the case that new wooden construction is less energy efficient - but of course that comes with a price.
Eh, there are plenty of old houses where people have been living for more than a couple of centuries; most of the new houses are people deciding to build new cities and suburbs in new places rather than churn on existing stock (not that there isn't some churn on existing stock).
Also, 100 years old isn't really that impressive. I've got a 100 year old house; it was build in the 1920s. Aside from a stone foundation rather than a cinderblock foundation and a few oddities (like a patch on the chimney where the kitchen stove used to vent), it's a boringly basic, familiarly modern house. It's even got original sheetrock (albeit with instructions printed on the back telling the installers how to use it).
Hell, the Empire State Building is almost 100 years old.
Building longevity is mostly a question of changing demands. Old buildings in major cities can’t compete with skyscrapers.
You've overlooked the cost of shipping the wood from the Americas.
Wood construction isn't used as much in Europe because it's much more expensive. Apart from a few pockets of environmentally important old growth forest, centuries of industry and warfare depleted European forest.
The UK set up the Forestry Commission after WW1 depleted forest cover to just 5%: https://www.thegazette.co.uk/all-notices/content/103379
On the other hand, places like Estonia, Norway, and Romania have museums of traditional wooden construction including all-wood "stave churches". Europe was an extremely non-homogenous place until the late 20th century.
Boswell&Johnson found almost no trees in the 1700s: https://www.electricscotland.com/history/journey/jour3.htm
Also, technically, all hydrocarbons are made from Carbon sucked from the air.
"Diamond dissolution and the production of methane and other carbon-bearing species in hydrothermal diamond-anvil cells" https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00167...
Imagine being able to sell Formula 1 this fuel so the whole industry can claim to be green and try and try to re-attract young crowds who are turned away by un-greenness?
The fuel could cost 100x as much, and it still wouldn't be a big issue.
I loled. They could use ground unicorn for fuel, and I still wouldn't be interested.
The EU price is also only that high since about a year ago, two years ago it was about $23 per ton. Even if they were profitable at about $80 per ton, there was little time to scale up production.
That is not competitive, that is using government moopoly on violence to artificially raise the price of alternative product...
Competition would be done with out government force
And the best way we currently have to price in those externalities is artificially rising the price of the offending product, to give alternatives a better chance to compete.
A less dramatic summary is the government is partially factoring in the negative externalities of carbon, through taxation or minimum pricing.
You call that violence, whilst downplaying the very real harm (actual death and destruction) caused by excess carbon in the atmosphere.
1. The level of taxation is not connected at all to the cost of the externality. You know the externality exist so then you level that as the justification.
2. The taxation being collected is not being used to curb the harm of the externality, instead it is being used as a punishment for those that need or choose to use something the government has determined to be "bad"
If you want to ride in on an ethical horse of attempting to recover externality costs then the regulation needs to be done in such away that it both ties the amount of taxation to the actual cost of the externality, and any money collected from that taxation is used solely for the mitigation of harm caused by that externality
Some basic economics 101 reading can set you straight here.
It's a legitimate function of government to craft regulation when there are negative externalities distorting markets.
Sometimes government regulation makes markets more free. Crazy, I know, but please let it sink in.
If it helps: you can think of producers that rely on negative externalities as freeloading evil socialists who redistribute other people's wealth (without consent) to themselves.
here they are saying "Well we need the price set to X to be competitive" that has nothing to do with calculating the cost of the externality, which may be lower (or higher) the taxation needed to bring this product to be price comparable
Here in Ireland, tax on petrol is around €1/litre (VAT + excise duty + "carbon tax", but it all goes to the same place). A 20c extra subsidy would not quite be noise, but it's less than the price fluctuates from quarter to quarter anyway.
Trouble is, we've raised the scale on all those things to the point it's hard to compete with small local carbon-fuel plants. Small will always struggle to complete with huge.
"Sustainable Aviation Fuel"/SAF has already dropped to just over twice as expensive as traditional fuel (or less depending on the current price of oil)
Afaik, no bio-fuel scheme, including ethanol from sugar cane in Brazil, is carbon negative. I might be wrong or out of date, but my last dive into this resulted in an understanding that we'd be better off just using turning the carbons required to grow the things we would eventually turn back into energy and using it.
Agriculture as it currently stands globally is a carbon source from an LCA perspective, and that includes biofuels.
And yes, none is neutral either.
> my last dive into this resulted in an understanding that we'd be better off just using turning the carbons required to grow the things
But this is a huge jump, without subsidizing evidence, and known to be false.
Just because the fuel emits carbon, it doesn't mean it emits as much carbon as natural gas. Only corn ethanol fails at this and emits more than the original fuel.
TLDR: Moving heavy stuff around burns a lot of fuel. If you have to move things from place to place, its just not worth it.
What is the most efficient plant that can sequestrate the carbon at the same rate?
While I do think there is a need to develop DAC and e-fuels technologies, everything about Carbon Engineering feels like this is an effort by fossil fuel interests to give the impression of an easy solution that doesn't require too much change.
This is a red herring distracting you from the fact that oil is subsidized when it should be taxed.
Our economy is based on oil. What you are proposing is an immediate economic collapse of whatever country decides to go that way.
Economic change largely means “less profit for corporations” and “more bailout for corps.” The poor are still poor just more poor-er…
Which usually translates to: “harder hits for consumers” as under capitalism, the profit is protected more than the people.
A good direction, imho, may be to edict (from gov) a directional change with a temporal bound, and financial hit for failing to meet that goal. So: “implement X by date or get fined and shut down.”
… ignoring that most nations have allowed corporations inroads to government halls making it virtually impossible to make any real changes that will help the people.
We’re screwed without drastic changes, it’s our fault, and it’s only going to get worse before it gets better.
(Of course, the oxygen in the carbon dioxide ends up in new water molecules in a later step of photosynthesis, and that water either immediately or eventually finds itself in another photosynthesis reaction, so that carbon dioxide oxygen finds itself released into air sooner or later, but still.)
The geologic carbon and kerogen cycle looks to be be:
plankton + plants -> sedimentary rocks -> kerogen -> "liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons [via] catagenesis"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fossil_fuelHowever, relatively recently there has also been the discoveries of extraterrestrial sources of kerogen, including in meteorites, Martian samples and planetary nebulae:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kerogen#Extra-terrestrial
It's not clear to me how much to attribute to how much terrestrial kerogen could be present during our planetary formation vs that which is continuously replenished during the carbon cycle.
Anyone know of studies of the relative contributions?
In any case, maybe it's just a pipe dream but it would be really convenient if our needs for energy storage (that's how I see this) could be met with something that incentivizes cleaning up the environment. I don't see why it matters that oil companies are involved if they have the resources and power to do this. The fact that they obviously need to be reined in is as far as I can tell entirely orthogonal.
Entropy and energy.
- Entropy: dispersing is easy, collecting is hard.
- Energy: burning releases energy, putting it back together requires energy.
You can get 12 g of carbon for 22.4 L of CO2. 1 L (liquid) of gasoline weighs about 750 g. So to get 1 L of gasoline you will need to process at least 63 L of CO2, and since there are about 400 ppm of CO2 in air (that is, 400 / 1e6 = 0.0004), you will need to process 158,000 L of air for one L of gasoline. Assuming 100% efficiency. A box fan can do 70,000 L of air in a minute, so 26.6 L of gasoline/hr (7.0 gal/hr). At a price of $4/gal, this is $28/hr, if electricity is free, you have 100% efficiency, and you can sell the gasoline for retail prices without transporting it. Obviously, you'll need to scale this up. But how long does this take to recoup your capital investment in the equipment and R&D? And would it be more profitable just to buy some KO/AAPL/BERK/QQQ stock? Or buy some real-estate, or whatever other investment possibilities there are?
But is electricity really free? And for how long, in what location? What are the transport costs from that location? If you can only profitably produce 8 hours of the day (e.g. night, as hypothesized), it takes three times as long to pay back your investment. Multiply that by at least 2, since I think 100% efficiency is unlikely (I think 50% is unlikely, too, but I'll be generous).
There is also the problem of how do you ensure that you aren't "polluting" the area around your intake with CO2-free air.