> 30% - 40% of the population disabled?
That assumes likelihood of getting long covid doesn't drop after successive infections.
That assumes likelihood of getting long covid doesn't drop after successive infections.
It's not looking good. December 2022 study [1][2]:
"The risk of hospitalization, organ damage, and death rises markedly with repeat COVID-19 infection. Assistant professor of medicine Amy Barczak shared a Nature study that used data from the Veteran’s Administration to assess the cumulative risk of post-infection effects in people with one, two, and three or more SARS-CoV-2 infections, as compared to noninfected controls. The data show a consistent pattern of increased likelihood of hospitalization, cardiovascular effects, clotting and other blood disorders, diabetes, fatigue, gastrointestinal distress, kidney damage, mental health effects such as depression, musculoskeletal damage, neurological deficits, and pulmonary damage with each episode. Prior infection does not change the course of disease in subsequent infections, just the risk of severe complications."
[1] https://www.harvardmagazine.com/2022/12/covid-reinfection
Our analyses should not be interpreted as an assessment of severity of a second infection versus that of a first infection, nor should they be interpreted as an examination of the risks of adverse health outcomes after a second infection compared to risks incurred after a first infection.
I am not aware of any study that supports the claim that reinfections are worse.
Respiratory infections generally increase your risk for various pathologies, but so does staying indoors in fear, not getting exercise and avoiding social contact.
I find it a lot more fruitful to elaborate why the data doesnt support those conclusions. This way we dont risk slipping down this slope and instead actually help each other fix our errors.
These stats were true prior to covid and the pandemic.
People widely underestimate how common disability already is.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abq1841
and that covid causes immunological dysfuction even 8 months later
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.12.17.22283625v...
See Figure 2 (end of the paper). Preprint, but pretty straightforward census of hospital staff.
And, it seems like related CF viruses (Epstein-barr) may reactivate. Having a lot of covid spike protein in your body is not good for you.