FTX pre-mortem overview
sambf.substack.com
sambf.substack.com
He simply doesn't have even a passing relationship with the truth. It just seems that at some point in the years of idiot VCs handing him money and servicing him orally, he started to actually believe he can just make up reality.
Yep, I believe he truly believes his own BS. Like probably the rest of the crypto scene.
And, like, well, increasingly huge portions of the whole damn country and world these days? It's a make-your-own-self-serving-facts world.
But yeah, I think he truly thinks he's some kind of a victim here, of some kind of a takedown of a solvent FTX that wasnt' doing anything different from most everyone else in the space (that might very well be true?!? it's a space built on BS and playing fast and loose). And probably truly feels bad for those who got screwed by it. He just doesn't see how it's anything he's responsible for. Isn't this the way all those people getting rich got rich, isn't this just how it's done? Isn't that "disruption"? He may not be wrong.
What is with his parents. Is he locked in his room playing video games. Do they have any idea what he is doing. I think he has a brother close to his age. How can these people stand by and let a family member make such idiotic choices.
This is why the Silicon Valley people advising Zuckerberg have opted to keep him from having to testify in a federal trial on multiple occasions. Being truthful is not something these kids can do well and anyway the truth is far too dangerous for "tech" companies.
papadakis-v-bankman-fried
https://ia804701.us.archive.org/19/items/gov.uscourts.cand.4...
onusz-v-west-realm-shires-inc
https://ia601405.us.archive.org/28/items/gov.uscourts.deb.18...
podalsky-v-bankman-fried (consolidated with garrison)
https://ia801506.us.archive.org/17/items/gov.uscourts.flsd.6...
jessup-v-bankman-fried
https://ia801501.us.archive.org/10/items/gov.uscourts.cand.4...
hawkins-v-bankman-fried
https://ia804706.us.archive.org/28/items/gov.uscourts.cand.4...
blockfi-inc-v-emergent-fidelity-technologies-ltd
https://ia601405.us.archive.org/17/items/gov.uscourts.njb.10...
pierce-v-bankman-fried
https://ia904701.us.archive.org/20/items/gov.uscourts.cand.4...
kavuri-v-bankman-fried
https://ia904708.us.archive.org/34/items/gov.uscourts.flsd.6...
lam-v-bankman-fried
https://ia801500.us.archive.org/2/items/gov.uscourts.cand.40...
garrison-v-bankman-fried
https://ia601500.us.archive.org/8/items/gov.uscourts.flsd.62...
I think he was kind of an idiot, in an environment where lots of people were getting rich behaving in unethical and illegal ways, and getting away with it, while convincing themselves they weren't doing anything wrong. That whole "scene" created it's own version of reality in which they could do whatever they want and make up their own facts and deserved only victory... which sounds kind of familiar for the USA and much of the world in general these days.
He has no objective capability anymore to be self aware, and it's made worse with prescription drugs.
When the feds come knocking on your door asking about several billion dollars going missing, and you let yourself do the talking via blogs and interviews versus your team of lawyers, you have absolutely lost your mind. Certainly don't add adderral or alcohol, or anything to the mix. Go into a small dark room and smoke some weed you junkie crook. Keep quiet, your inner circle already ratted on you. Have some respect for the $250 million your parents scourged up to bail your stupid ass out, reprehensible fuck.
If he just shut his mouth it would be difficult to judge his thoughts. However his-Adderall fueled posts betray him.
Doesn't look good when yet again here he expresses wishes to reboot the fraud. It's a pretty clear signal as soon as this guy gets out, if he is in fact a criminal, that he will do as he says.
If they had done that, there would be no issues. If users leave, you just give them back what they owned and no one loses money.
Pragmatically (but not legally) the complaint is he lost the money. His world crashing around him revolves around that. So he has the wrong, but understandable viewpoint that the legal complaint is that he lost the money.
Ask Martin Shkreli. He never lost any investors money, but still got 7 years in prison because he lied about what he was doing with their funds and used profits from some investments to cover losses from others.
If FTX had 100bn in the bank, he would’ve kept going until the whole 100 was gone trying to chase the losses.
This is why if you ever find yourself in any kind of serious legal matter, take your lawyer's advice and stop talking. It doesn't matter how smart you think you are. Prosecutors will use your words against you.
[1]: https://www.sec.gov/litigation/complaints/2022/comp-pr2022-2...
But I disagree with your advice to "stop talking". We need everyone to keep talking. We need to change the justice system. It needs to be more transparent, more honest, better at quickly getting to the truth.
I don't necessarily know what the solutions are, but I am going through a court case Pro Se right now and have seen first hand what a cess pool it has become, and it makes me sad for our country, and we need to start fixing it.
Keep talking SBF.
I've served on a jury, I agree the modern model for justice is broken, but the problem is not an absence of truth, it's much more fundamental.
'Nearly all'.
Amazing.
Doesn't seem far fetched honestly. He really reminds me people who took one too many adderall doses and suddenly think everything is a great idea.
Shockingly this list doesn’t include misappropriating customer funds
> If FTX had been given a few weeks to raise the necessary liquidity, I believe it would have been able to make customers substantially whole
It sounds like he's saying "if we just had time to find new bag holders, our customers wouldn't be screwed!"
First amendment means he can speak about it and it would castrate news companies if third party entities could not profit from reporting on crime.
The problem is even a smart person dressed as a clown will be recognized as a clown. At some point you can claim not to be wearing clown clothes until you are blue in the face but no matter how dumb the person is you're talking to they won't believe it. He must hope he can convince 1 in 12 people he is not a clown.
> FTX US remains fully solvent and should be able to return all customers’ funds. FTX International has many billions of dollars of assets, and I am dedicating nearly all of my personal assets to customers.
The impression I get from them isn't "oh this is a really unlucky guy" though, it is "oh this guy is quite a skilled manipulator".
I also liked when he did a Good Morning America interview and looked like a schoolkid who was caught cheating and tried really hard to look like they're sorry: https://twitter.com/sracka_omacka/status/1602469299113066496
He’s high as fuck on Adderral right now. The Adderral high can make you feel like the dumbest shit you are doing is the most brilliant thing in the world.
It feels like he's trying to salvage his reputation with people like us, or at least some of the web3-adjacent people who hang out on forums like this; this stuff won't convince lawyers or a jury or people who analyze for fraud. But it might convince people who were/are crypto enthusiasts and looking to see legitimacy restored and reputations untarnished.
It's a bit sad.
Last week right after he pleaded not guilty, he filed an objection in the FTX bankruptcy case arguing that the Robinhood shares he purchased with money borrowed from Alameda are his personal assets. Of course as we know Alameda was "borrowing" from FTX (without FTX telling customers).
If one accepts that Alameda's cash was comprised in part of FTX's cash then it appears SBF wants to pay for his legal defense with shares he and Zixiao Wang bought using money from FTX customer deposits.
https://ia601406.us.archive.org/2/items/gov.uscourts.deb.188...
What are the chances he changes his plea between now and October. Eventually he will have to apologise. Maybe he'll do so from prison when he is finally denied 24/7 internet access.
I don't know if you were referring to the following part of the article, but, in case others are missing the context:
>>Nearly all of my assets were and still are utilizable to backstop FTX customers. I have, for instance, offered to contribute nearly all of my personal shares in Robinhood to customers–or 100%, if the Chapter 11 team would honor my D&O legal expense indemnification.
So here he's claiming that he wanted the Robinhood shares to be available to FTX creditors, even as he's previously made a motion to claim them as his own.
And his claim to the bankruptcy court was that he needed them to pay for his criminal defense, not to have them available to voluntarily backstop FTX US liabilities. (Also, the idea that the proceeds of the property acquired through the dubious backdoor self-dealing FTX international -> Alameda -> SBF loan should go to backstop FTX US customers is... interesting.)
But I'm not. At least not yet.
Something seems phishy to me. I think SBF might be telling the truth. Or he could be lying. I don't know.
I'm 50/50 on this one though.
FTX.us was a good product. It was snappy and it worked. Until the lawyers took over. SBF says it was fully solvent and I have not seen any proof that it wasn't.
The sheer quantity of "he's guilty" comments on all of social media reads like a well organized PR hit job (similar to this: https://twitter.com/breckyunits/status/1613178467818024962/p...).
The one lesson I think everyone can take away from this is: as much as you can, #buildInPublic.
Re your tweet - are you one of those people who believe a covid vaccine caused that player to collapse? You realise athletes have seemingly randomly or spontaneously collapsed many times before Covid 19 was even discovered - often when they weren't even hit, as Hamlin was.
No. That would be stupid.
I believe there's a chance that it did. At first, 1%. Now, given that they haven't released his vaccine status yet, and as my Tweet shows have paid for an expensive PR campaign to slander anyone who questions whether there has been a cause (a campaign that has clearly had an effect on you), I have updated my probabilities to believe with 20% certainty the vaccine caused his heart attack. What odds do you give it?
That being said, I am 80% confident it was not caused by vaccine. Why not just release his vaccinated status?
You might learn something about how to think from this site: https://www.rootclaim.com/
[1] Though it was created independently of SBF/FTX and only purchased by them. (Note: not to be confused with Ledger hardware wallets.)
[2] https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/11/sam-bankman-frie...
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_...
Did they consider having some hedges that weren't correlated?
Though if recruiter-spam on LinkedIn is a measure of anything, those legs are a bit shorter than they were 6 months ago.
So, I’m trying to say that the US dominates this planet in many ways…
And then SBF shows up and says there is a separate country called The Bahamas. It is a different country, with other company registration and other laws. Therefore, It is all different.
I’m sorry, but I don’t take this.