Surveillance Footage of Tesla Crash on SF’s Bay Bridge
theintercept.com
theintercept.com
I also don't accept the argument that human are imperfect drivers, so it's OK if Tesla's shit software is placed at the hands of experienced drivers. People are not good at driving, and that's exactly why we don't need to enable our stupidity in a high-speed death box. Even if someone is a good driver, the tendency to relax when you are told that you don't need to be totally poised for action is a great way to delay response time, so I'd expect this to happen 99/100 with the best drivers in the world. In a situation with a relaxed driver, there's no humanly possible response time that's going to prevent this crash from happening.
Tesla ought not proffer software that is anything less than perfect and expect the public to fill in the holes. It's clear that drivers today are less patient, more distracted, and less competent all while embattled with environmental distractions. And as if it isn't hard enough to monitor 360 degrees, now I need to focus on which kind of car is in my area? In some places, it's not even possible to avoid this kind of collision. I can only imagine what would happen on I-40 in Raleigh or I-95. That's truly frightening.
I drive a Tesla and actually really enjoy the car, but I still get phantom braking issues, albeit the car does not fully brake and change lanes. Thank goodness I turned all of those features off. And that leads me to think that Tesla knows they have kinks to iron out. With all the data that they collect, they must have known accidents like this could happen and still put their product out. I want to see criminal charges, fines, and a Congressional investigation leading to legislation.
What's the price of a life, Mr. Musk? Would you put your kids in one of your cars, turn on auto-pilot, and expect them to make it from Point A to Point B each and every time?
Perhaps, have an upper limit for the speed at which these "beta" features are illegal. I don't know why Tesla doesn't support "self driving" feature only at lower speed, where the risk of fatal collisions is lower.
Re the hyperbole of horse and buggy: What if your pacemaker decides to go to 200 beats per minute late at night.
The cult of ship fast and fix it based on feedback is taking us further from ethical behavior.
Even the lunar lander and other NASA software that received mountains of testing/review has had errors. I don't think it's possible (for a human at least) to design perfect error-free software. And that's before considering hardware faults/failures that do happen in the real world.
> Re the hyperbole of horse and buggy: What if your pacemaker decides to go to 200 beats per minute late at night.
I would hate that of course, but I'd rather have the option to get a pacemaker knowing that in rare cases it might kill me. Without the pacemaker option a lot of people would be dead anyway.
> The cult of ship fast and fix it based on feedback is taking us further from ethical behavior.
I couldn't agree with you more on that one.
I feel they shipped a product suitable for a Different reality of roadways. Different requirements. Not what we have today.
Too late for that. Tesla autopilot is responsible for decapitating not 1 but 2 people in separate accidents. Tesla had 3 years to fix the problem after the first decapitation but decided to double down on their flawed (and now fatal) autonomy strategy. Imagine if bridges were built this way.
https://cdllife.com/2019/feds-say-autopilot-was-engaged-in-f...
There would have been multiple ways for the cars further back to prevent a pileup: Drive slower, keep more distance. If you speed, have both hands on the wheel, look at the road, and be ready to brake quickly.
It does sound like there were no severe injuries, so you could argue that people kept enough distance to avoid serious injuries.
if they do, so what? even if 10 people cut in front of you, with a 30 minute drive, how much time are you really losing? 50 seconds?
I'd also argue that the Tesla pulling over into the left lane (merge 1 lane left vs 3 lanes to the right) is the right behavior in a situation that warrants stopping. Try to get to the side of the road so other cars can pass.
Coming to a full stop in the left lane is really last-resort stuff. That is the speed/passing lane (in most jurisdictions, all lands are speed/passing around the Bay Area and especially on the bridges).
In general I am ok with people merging in the gap, but some people are assholes about it by merging too close to me that I have to brake. I don't understand why people merge when they know the person behind in the other lane will have to slow down to let them merge.
Added bonus is that if you witness an incident, the police is very happy when you can send them the video file to prove how it all happened.
Well "unsafe lane change" can be totally legit as well. I for once had to do no think abrupt lane change when I saw some largish object appear seemingly out of nowhere and it was flying towards my front window. Still do not know what it was. Abrupt lane change did not cause any problem in this case but in theory it could have.
Of no fault of their own, the car you hit trying to avoid something means you didn't avoid them. The car you hit did nothing wrong, but you did. Insurance will place you at fault at a minimum of partial fault. You will not be blameless in your example if you do hit someone/something
I am not expecting anything. Just trying to save my life.
I have better solution. Why don't we stop manufacturing cars. No more car crash victims.
Growing up in the Midwest, I remember being taught (not sure if this was official or something I got from my father, older brother, or maybe an uncle) to quickly assess if I believed that I would hit the deer or not.
If I was going to hit the deer, regardless of my actions, I was to accelerate into it.
If I could brake and avoid it, I was to brake.
I've been in that situation a few times. In the case of a collision with a deer, I accelerated into it and only took damage to the front passenger side panel. I do believe that it helped prevent a bad situation from becoming worse.
In the other cases, I was able to avoid a collision by braking.
Later in life, I did swerve once to avoid a large animal that I mistook for a person walking on a very dark, very rural road. My car flipped and slid on it's top ~100 ft. before coming to a stop. Myself and all 3 passengers walked away without incident but I still feel fortunate that we all did these many years later. Swerving is almost always the wrong answer.
Reason given was that braking causes the front end to drop causing the deer to be “pushed” up onto the hood and into your windshield.
No sure if this is true or not.
I don't think that's right. Because safe following distance can only prevent you from slamming into the car in front of you if it breaks hard. If it hits something and stops way before the breaking distance, there's little you can do.
There was something you could have done: leave more space.
That is your opinion, and my local DMV does not specify a distance that long.
It is physically impossible for a car to come to an instantaneous stop for no reason. It would have to e.g. drive into a concrete wall, but if there's a wall across the freeway you should've seen that from afar.
You only really need to have enough distance to be able to notice the car ahead braking and start braking yourself.
Personally speaking, in this scenario, with an enormous stream of one way traffic on one of the few roads leading from San Francisco, I hope circumstances are taken into account.
All Teslas could do this at any moment, is my takeaway.
You’re to maintain distance and speed that would allow you to stop in time without an accident at all times.
Same goes for potholes, if you hit a pothole and bend a rim or something, you can get a fine for driving without maintaining proper speed. Then you can use that fine to sue your local government for having a pothole there.
I don't know where it would be allowed to stop in the middle of a highway lane for no apparent reason, especially after a lane change that did not result in a proper distance to the car behind.
The next thing I remember is hearing an almighty crash, followed by the Commodore crashing into us, followed by another crash as we were pushed into the car in front. A moment later a motor cycle flew by the left hand side. It has evidently been unable to stop and and swerved right to a full frontal but was then off balance. The handle bars then creased the left hand panel of every car. The bike was only slightly damaged, and he drove off.
The police arrived. After a few questions, they determined it was the last car in the chain that wasn't paying enough attention and had pushed everyone else the car in front. They were taken to the station. The rest of us heard nothing more of it. The insurance companies paid out without much of a fight after getting the police report.
But that's about the limit of it as far as I can tell. In Australia, if you going though a intersection with a green light and hit someone who has run the red, your up for dangerous driving. It's not "one person made a mistake". As far as the law is concerned you both weren't paying attention.
If the first crash were the only one, this would never have reached the level of media attention. If the same pileup was caused by a garden variety grandparent, no one would care.
[1] I'd suggest caution in attribution here. The only evidence that FSD was involved is the at-fault driver's statement to the police. I'm not going to say it wasn't operating, but I will say that I've never seen behavior like this from FSD. It's extremely cautious at lane changes, often annoyingly so. And while I've seen the same "phantom braking" everyone has, it's a pulse, not this kind of "bring the vehicle to a stop" behavior. Given the assertiveness of the controls, I'd say it's just as likely that the driver decided to swing into the left lane on their own and then hit the brakes instead of the accelerator by accident (which happens, again, all the time!).
The distance you have between you and the car in front on you is one of the only safety zones you can control on the road. People should cherish it and let it blossom into wide open space.
You often have no control over the left, right and rear. Why would you want to take away that front space as well?
And don't get me started on elephant racing. I frequently wonder the economic and environmental impact of just this singular type of event in central California.
https://www.alamy.com/stock-photo-keep-apart-2-chevrons-moto...
(Obviously we can't tell the speed of the cars in the photo, but if it's the standard speed many drivers are still ignoring it.)
https://www.google.com/maps/@53.3015568,-2.722796,3a,75y,235...
StreetView gives a much better impression of the chevrons; the Alamy photo has an unusual choice of lens. The "M56 B 45.0" [km] milepost is way ahead of the chevron sign.
Oh the money that could earn.
Which is, perhaps, one of many arguments against having so many people on the roads to begin with, but that's what we have.
Yeah you can.
The maximum carrying capacity of a single lane of highway traffic is around 1900 cars per hour (that is from real-world measurements of what human drivers can actually achieve). At 70 mph that is 194 feet per vehicle. Even assuming something like a 20 foot long F250 or something that leaves 174 feet of spacing between vehicles. Which is nearly 9 vehicle lengths and nearly 2 seconds of room. Up until you hit that point you're not impeding any traffic flow by adding more space. Almost nobody in this video is leaving that much room.
What causes traffic congestion and causes that 1900 vehicles per hour number to be that small is the people who are tailgating and when someone brakes everyone behind them has insufficient following distance and has to brake harder and harder until you've got vehicles nearly stopped on the freeway and have formed a traffic compression wave (if you haven't just created an accident and snarled traffic even worse).
Source: I spent several months last year helping someone learn to drive in the Bay Area, and they insisted on leaving the recommended gap between cars as they prepared for their driving test.
And if you don't let yourself feel "aggravation and churn" then people will just merge into and later leave your lane and it just becomes normal driving without any ego involvements.
Source: the past 30 years of driving in Seattle traffic that I've done where I've stopped being a tailgating idiot and opened up more space and stopped caring about people "cutting me off".
[*] not all at the same time...
The rule actually works great where I live (a rural area) but if I wander over towards chicagoland I will be punished with constant cutoffs. Also there's too many cloverleafs over there jeeze.
There's too much traffic. It backs up into the streets, before this bridge + tunnel regularly. The speed is already restricted.
Would you make excuses for a human that did that while conscious and not in any kind of distress?
I'd be less understanding, yes.
But at this point it's presumable that the autopilot was in "distress" (avoiding a perceived issue). And when such a thing comes up, real or false, the drivers behind need to be ready to react. And several of the cars did so quite well actually. The only reason this is a dramatic incident is because of the like 5th or 6th car that hits everyone else hard.
On the other side I do not understand why this 'Autopilot' is not banned from the public roads.
Would the headline be "Michelin causes 8 car crash just after rubber contract with Brazil" ?
The title is completely unfair to Tesla.
It's fair to assume "full self driving" will continue driving, rather than change lanes into an occupied lane, and stop abruptly.
It should have slowed gradually.
It's Tesla's fault.
I’ve been in the situation when Tesla auto breaking saved the car from crush, which was similar situation to this.
He shipped a car which is Not designed for Today.
Hitting the brakes in the tunnel for no reason is a "never to this" kind of move.
"But [...] other scenarios" is not the situation here. There is no escaped pet anaconda slithering across the tunnel floor. There's no Godzilla breathing fire inside the tunnel. It's just a car with no obstructions in front of it, none visible to any other drivers, and it's choosing to hit the brakes.
There is no excuse.
It's at the bottom of a downhill slope. There's a limited view of what's up ahead because the slope starts to incline inside that tunnel. Cars start to speed up. There is typically a massive amount of traffic on the bridge.
Blame Tesla, full throatedly.
While it is true that there is a culture of following to closely, I don't think it applies here. When a car merges into your lane you should not abruptly change your speed to adjust the distance, but slowly increase it. Otherwise you get huge ripple effects and people 1km back will essentially be in stop and go mode.
Everyone beside perhaps the first car that had an incursion into its lane (but arguably failed to reduce speed to avoid an accident with a vehicle braking and signaling their lane) are WAY too close for the speed. Any speed reductions in those lanes would necessitate heavy braking which would cause exactly the ripple effects you’re referring to under normal conditions because there’s no buffer whatsoever to gradually reduce speed/increase distance either.
Drives way too close to other cars (tailgating).
Drives way too fast all time, even in neighborhoods.
Drives way too aggressive.
Drives way too entitled. I’ve seen some crazy stuff from people driving a Tesla. Driving on the shoulder when traffic backs up. Zipping around people to steal parking spots.
In Germany we are taught to keep a lot more gap because the time it takes to break or react will eat up a lot of distance.
The last time I pointed this out I was told: well, I can still steer to the side if that happens.
This is 100% the drivers fault though, it is extremely easy to override Autopilot. Tap the brakes will disable the entire system, press the accelerator will keep lane keeping on but override the speed, and moving the steering wheel will disable lane keeping but keep cruise control on.
Now, I've also heard people say that the phantom braking issue can be really violent and so it's very possible I've just never experienced true phantom braking, but based on how many of the drivers behind the initial wreck slammed into each other it's clear many folks do not pay enough attention or leave enough following distance to be safe.
In this case it looks like the car not only breaks ... but it turned into an occupied lane. Then it stopped. It didn't stop gradually either.
So I don't see how this is correct behavior on part of autopilot.
Most lane keeping/cruise control setups today from other OEMs would also be sufficient in most of the scenarios I enjoy AP though.
What we should be more surprised about is the total failure of our government agencies to be with the times and create proper regulation and specifications of operation and testing.
Autopilots on aircraft don't suddenly nosedive the airplane and try to land on whatever arbitrary terrain is underneath the aircraft.
This is Tesla's fault for designing a product that is not appropriate for current roadways.
That's speculation. Do we know if the car had suddenly lost the ability to continue driving? Was the car pulling to the closest side of the road? If you lose power in a gas powered vehicle, have a flat, or some other failure when you're in the far left lane, what should be done?
From the video, it looks like a lot of people are following way too closely. Far less than the 3-second rule would allow for.
The first vehicle behind that crashed got caught by the sudden lane change.
The second vehicle avoided rear ending them. You can see the weight and suspension settle just before it gets hit from behind.
Three was slowing and trying to avoid the crash (it shifts lanes and makes it past), while the fourth was in a rush to get past three (you can barely see it, that's how close they were following).
While the quick pull to the left side of the road probably initiated things and caused the first vehicle to rear end the Tesla, the pile up is the fault of the fourth car (which can barely be seen behind the pickup that managed to avoid it), and all the others that were clearly following way too closely.
Safely merge right and stop in the shoulder if possible, but in heavy traffic like this put the hazard lights on and slowly stop without changing lanes. Call the police -- do not get out of the car while there are still lanes with moving traffic.
In wealthier-Europe the police would activate electronic "60km/h", "lane closed" and similar signs. It's a long time since I drove in the USA, I can't remember if you have these.
> have a flat
If you must stop quicker pulse the brakes if possible (the flashing lights draw more attention), but again, don't change lanes. Changing lanes caused the problem, which was compounded by the too-close following vehicles. Some of those vehicles also changed lanes dangerously, when they should have stopped in their current lane.
For what it's worth, a vehicle two ahead of me crashed into the central barrier in my final driving lesson.
We don't know if it is 100% the driver's fault.
But we do know with reasonable certainty that AP did not "lock out" a driver or anything. Autopilot is universally override-able.
The feature is named autopilot or full self-driving, it's misnamed. All the marketing and hype puts prospective drivers into the nod and wink mindset that they don't have to drive when they have a self-driving vehicle.
It gives the driver the wrong impression.
Only after experience would you have accumulated the wisdom to treat it a lot more conservatively.
In my opinion if I were to own one of these things I would be Embarrassed and offended at the notion that I spent tens of thousands of dollars on a piece of software in a special vehicle only to have it not do what I expected it to do.
It's an anti-pattern.
This is pretty disingenuous given that I believe Teslas have probably covered by far the most miles with an "advanced driver assistance system".
The Tesla definitely screwed up here, and I'm not sure you could have prevented the initial crash, but the pile up behind it is entirely the other drivers' fault.
...I'm not sure you could have prevented the initial crash, but the pile up behind it is entirely the other drivers' fault.
If other drivers should have seen and avoided the pileup, then it seems reasonable that the Tesla driver should have seen the unexpected braking and overridden it.In both cases, humans failed to react fast enough to something that required active focus and fast, split-second reaction.
On top of that most other manufacturers don't have telemetry about it either and instead rely on dealerships to collect that information.
> The Tesla definitely screwed up here, and I'm not sure you could have prevented the initial crash, but the pile up behind it is entirely the other drivers' fault.
I'm still confused about the whole situation.
Police report mentions FSD v11, which is only for employees so far.
FSD v11 is what makes the freeway "FSD", otherwise it's their old "we go straight in lane, maybe take exit or change lane" code...which wouldn't be FSD.
So either an employee crashed with internal only versions, or the police and owner are just incompetent about what they actually have.
It might be true that Tesla does have the most miles, but I wouldn't say its a sure bet. I'd love to see some actual data on it to know instead of making the assumption.
I actually figured it would have been a bit bigger of a lead for Tesla, but showing that figure about Accords really made me doubt that Tesla leads in all ADAS SAE Level 2 miles traveled.
Also, FWIW "advanced driver assistance system" (ADAS) is definitely a term of art which applies to a ton of technologies. Those technologies include radar-based adaptive cruise control, collision avoidance systems, advanced traction control systems, traffic sign recognition, and other technologies. The first Taurus with adaptive cruise control would be considered an SAE Level 1 autonomous car with its advanced driver assistance system. So even a car with just emergency braking technologies but otherwise an SAE Level 0 would be considered as a car with ADAS on board, even though it might only has the ultra basic cruise control.
I'm not sure that this is true given almost every Honda sold since 2019-ish (and a big proportion for years prior to that) has had ADAS features included and enabled by default, most notably Automated Emergency Braking.
Anecdotally, my wife and I used FSD out in Oregon while on vacation a year ago and had these these "phantom brakes" occur two times on the same stretch of road. It was very sunny day through the gorge to Hood River from Portland and I'm thinking there definitely would have been sharp contrasting shadows from the trees and sunlight.
This was precisely the type of driving I figured would be easy to automate - rather than deal with urban settings, pedestrians, bicycles, etc.
Shame they don’t have LiDAR or some other form of actual distance/range sensing.
Unfortunately, Tesla seems to have something to prove when it comes to LIDAR, and stubbornly refuses to adopt the technology, despite crashes and even deaths that have occurred, and general industry understanding that it's the enabling technology for driverless cars.
Is it legal to create a two-ton machine with admittedly beta-quality software, and a sensor stack that is known to be insufficient; and allow it to autonomous roam around town, crashing into things and killing their drivers? Apparently that is fine in the eyes of the law. Is it unethical? Society seems to be deliberating this one. I hear a lot of "the ends justify the means" style thinking in this area.
Either way, this should embarrass the hell out of Tesla engineers. I used to feel sorry for them, but it's been long enough that they should know better.
This is due to both - buggy software being tested on public roads and people going too fast and driving close behind. The first two collisions couldn't have been avoided because of how abrupt Tesla changed the lane and stopped, thats on Tesla.
BUT... that Tesla could've been a student driver mistaking the brakes for the gas pedal, or a car running out of gas, or somebody passing out, or any number of other plausible circumstances where a car just stops in the left lane for no apparent reason.
273 FSD crashes in 1 year. Over how many miles driven? And how does that rate compare with non FSD vehicles?
Unless ... magic.
I don't expect FSD to be able to find its way to a proper rest stop or off-ramp, but seems like a less dramatic shutdown mode should be possible, e.g. driving a couple of miles at moderate speed until there's a safer pull-off opportunity.
I'm fairly certain this isn't a legal option in the United States. That would be unattended self driving.
It's probably a better solution, it just isn't available.
Cars meant for the rest of the world have separate yellow lights in back and you could flash those. I think they are adding a rapid burst flash for alert with those.
In any case, how would you measure when FSD/AP "saved butts"? Every driver is expected to operate the systems with the same ability and awareness to manually intervene (i.e. save themselves) as if the automation wasn't in place.
I would not know how to measure it, but Karpathy provided a clear example during a talk at CVPR 2021 where the FSD (rightfully) slammed the break as a driver was driving his car literally into a lake.
1. drive straight into a concrete barrier https://youtu.be/Tr-oF7J0cBw?t=13
2. drive straight under a tractor trailer https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BgV-YnHZeE
In this instance
3. Come to a complete halt in a tunnel with busy high speed traffic for no apparent reason.
And the excuse that the driver should have been ready to take over within fractions of a second of the Tesla making a mistake while in FSD is absurd expectations on human reflexes and attention.
> resulting in an eight-vehicle crash
I'm sorry, but this is an 8 vehicle pile up from people following too close (or paying too little attention). At least where I'm from if you run into the back of a car it's your fault. It means you followed too close, failed to react to a situation in front of you.
Should the car have stopped there, no?
But is it that car's fault that others ran into the back of it? No.
> short of mind-reading.
This is called defensive driving and it involves running "what if scenarios" and being prepared for even those. "What if the tesla has a tire blow out and comes in my lane" Is something that can be thought of any brand of car.
The Tesla is 100% at fault here.
It is a neat fact to bring up but that doesn't apply here. The Tesla is still at fault and you would be hard pressed to find any adjuster or courts agreeing with you thanks to this excellent video evidence.
Luckily it's not up the adjuster, it's up the courts.
But that said, it’s fine. People who feel that way should not buy a Tesla or, if they do, don’t use AP. Free market and all that.
I think it’s made extremely clear that you need to be paying attention during FSD/AP. Car may have partial blame for doing something unexpected but driver didn’t do anything to get out of that situation.
I imagine shock and panic would be a reason.
This is an unexpected type of unexpected; how do you develop the proper reaction?