Want a Job? Go to College, and Don’t Major in Architecture
economix.blogs.nytimes.com
economix.blogs.nytimes.com
I offer no firm conclusion about why this is so. Perhaps engineering programs in colleges impart skills that are valued by the job market enough to boost an engineer's earnings over the long term. Or perhaps hiring and promotion procedures in many companies favor the social signal given by possessing a college degree. Or perhaps there is a lurking variable other than IQ that distinguishes persons who seek engineering degrees from persons who do not seek engineering degrees for technical occupations. It would take more data to tease out the causation of this phenomenon reported in the literature on job-candidate testing for employment, but meanwhile I would advise people near and dear to me who have such career aspirations to seek an engineering degree if at all possible, as that appears to offer positive economic returns for a person with a typical lifespan and labor force participation.
I have no comment on the usefulness of degrees in other subjects, which may vary quite a lot.
Also, some engineers only have 2 year degrees, the same as many technicians. But the content of the education is different: very broadly speaking, breaking along theoretical vs. practical lines, with some crossover.
I think one of the reasons is that in a technician role your role and responsibilities are more clearly defined as a tech and project failure is generally blamed on the engineers. Also, there's less clerical overhead and more hands-on work when working as a tech.
They felt the utility engineering personnel had very little comprehension of how the field work was actually done, and complained they got direction that made little or no sense. And they made a lot more than the engineers, though they had to travel the country and work long hours to do so. These guys were licensed and came through a certification program, but had little or no college.
They allowed that the engineers had much better theoretical knowledge, but were so divorced from the realities of the work as to be basically useless in disaster recovery.
Engineers usually work under more controlled conditions, but I know electrical engineers who consider the power line guys insane for the risks they take and wouldn't trade with them.
I think it is funny that some people down voted my own correction for my own comment. People hit the down vote button so fast they don't even think about it.
(someone below said you could edit your comment, and that is true, but it is hard on the phone).
Had another guy like that I worked with 6-7 years ago. No degree, learned everything on the job, then got a CS degree from night school over a couple years so he could be promoted to an actual engineer. Left after his first review, got a job as a sr. engineer at another startup, then was promoted to a director before he turned 30, leading a team of 12. The best engineer I ever worked with.
Now my experience is quite different from a good deal of folks on HN, but I went to a decent school (UCSD) and worked at 4 startups and 1 bigco here in San Diego, in agreggate about 100 engineers over the years.
These days, the average newly licensed architect is more than ten years out of college - i.e. in her mid-thirties. Since in the U.S. a person cannot practice architecture without a license, a person without a license is not recognized as a professional and cannot work for themselves in general (small projects are exempt in most states, and state laws vary).
Matt Arnold's research on architectural licensure may be read here: http://www.scribd.com/doc/51132717/Concerning-Licensure
The high rate of unemployment for current graduates is hardly unusual because the industry is so cyclical. The S&L crisis of the late 1980's sent a large portion of that generation of graduates from the industry creating what is currently a succession gap in many firms due to a lack of mid-forties ownership track candidates to buy out retiring baby boomers.
Incidentally, many of that generation went into the newly emerging field of web-design.
Now Ill be the first to admit there are a lot of things that could be done better through the application of computing but sometimes I feel like everybody is trying to jump into the same boats when we should maybe be taking a broader view of the landscape. Sorry I know this a dreary comment but just my 2 cents.
The most meaningful things I got out of my 4 years as an undergrad and 2 as a grad student were meeting people that could truly help me in my career.
While I was in college I met people that:
1. Helped me land multiple book deals with O'Reilly 2. Got me to conferences I would not usually have been able to go to. 3. Got me a great job doing design/development for the University. 4. Introduced me to the founders of Slashdot--one of whom sat on my thesis committee. 5. Allowed me to make connections with faculty and staff that have led to business contracts and even an adjunct faculty position at MSU.
I would be nowhere if it wasn't for my college degree--but you have to do more than go to class--that's the easy part. Network and meet people, there will never be higher concentration of fucking brilliant and well-connected individuals as there are a major universities.
The concentration is far greater on the internet. You have virtually everyone on the planet within arms reach. It is interesting how we've failed to really utilize the medium.
You and I have now made a connection. I could be the most important connection you ever make. You pobably don't care. (That goes both ways, of course)
Also, I do care about the connections I make here and elsewhere on the web--I'll start:
I'm Jeff Siarto--I live and work in East Lansing, MI and run a small research company with my wife and college friend. I'm also the author of Head First Web Design and I enjoy building RC airplanes and amateur UAVs.
I'm also a leap-year baby.
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2012/01/correcting_for.h...
(I do suspect there is some individual benefit to college, from some mix of beneficial skill increases and socially harmful signalling. But the data in this article doesn't begin to address this question.)
My major where they predicted four jobs for every grad turned out to be four grads for every job.
So by contrarian thinking architecture is probably the best degree you could pursue.
In the victorian times, the technology booming was railways. There was always a market for railways (until the car came along, but that wasn't really for another seventy years), but the real issue was the number which they built. There was passengers, but not enough to support the frantic investment that people were making (it was, after all, the next big thing!). This is where I see the VC backed SaaS startup investment market going. Frankly, there cannot really be a market for every SaaS app we see traipse through here with $10m of backing. The real question is, how long until the failure rate becomes high enough that people panic?
YCombinator has the right idea. Start with a small seed, build a good app and perhaps only once you have something launched, start looking for more investment. A website can generally lead to profitability either by being loss making but really, really popular, or by having revenue from day one. What worries me is the websites that have very little revenue from the beginning, and yet are attracting multi million dollar investments. That cannot last.
As an aside, we're thankful for those rail investments now - the UK not only has a very large railway network, we also have a very large bicycle path network built on ex-railway lines!
Journalism is the 'hot' major they encouraged. Personally I think college career advice is similar to relying on 14 day weather forecasts here in Michigan.
I had no interest in computer science because I had no desire to wear a white coat in a frigid data center and find hanging chads in punchcards. Yet a few years after graduating I bought one of the first IBM PC's and was using Compuserve and coding in dBase within a year.
Most people graduating from college today are going to have four separate careers during their working life. You need to keep the habit of lifetime learning because the world will change in many interesting ways.
http://www.daapspace.daap.uc.edu/~stedmabn/profprac-base/hot...
The 2008 synopsis is here: http://www.areforum.org/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=5...
Keep in mind that this was during the boom, and the average department head made less than $100k a year - that would typically be someone with at least 10-15 years of specialized experience and willing to take on personal liability for architectural designs under their seal until the statute of repose (varies by state from seven years to forever).
If I had a startup that was looking to hire innovative UX/design people right now, ex-Archs would be towards the top of my list.
In the next 5 years, perhaps we will see a great increase in the number of such skilled individuals coming out of colleges across the country. But what's going to happen to them if the current high times of the web industry suddenly takes a turn for the worse? The situation may be similar to what "architecture majors" are facing right now.
This cycle is not new, nor will it cease to occur. People generally follow the trends which means they are typically late to the party.
EDIT: To add another situation. The early 2000s were a great time for the housing market so many builders began ramping up construction projects with the anticipation of sales and no actual sales. The consequence of this is decent housing developments with <150k$ homes that would easily have pushed 200k$ a few years earlier, assuming the builders didn't abandon the projects altogether. Now no one wants to buy (or can't if they've become unemployed or been hit with paycuts/furloughs) and these cheap homes remain on the market.
The thing is, I don't think enrollment has gone back up, in spite of it now seeming "cool" to be involved in a software startup again. I've seen articles on HN and elsewhere on how hard it is to get people involved in CS or other math and science related majors recently.
I guess that's a good thing for me, the middle-aged programmer, as it means less competition for my job, but I'm not sure it's good for any country (I'm in the US) in the long term.
In the US, architects are licensed state by state. All states require at least three years of structured experience and a series of tests to demonstrate minimum competency for licensure - one cannot practice without a license.
Most states require an accredited professional degree of at least five years (Bachelor of Architecture) those which do not typically require additional experience beyond three years depending on degree type.
Architecture is one of those passion fields that you enter knowing full well that the barrier to entry to becoming established is very high. It is also not a meritocratic field (like software). Everyone in my school (Columbia/GSAP) knew that at the end of the program, we were looking at n years of slavery for some big name architect (if lucky) and it was all together hugely competitive. After all, we had the example of our instructors (some of them highly regarded talents) who were mostly "paper architects" and pamphleteers.
Many of us elected not to go that route and branched out to computer graphics, modeling, and some like me ended up being software engineers, instead of spending the next few years drawing bathroom details for some commodity architectural firm, hoping for future glory. (Yes, ego is a big driver for architects, and possibly a job requirement.)
So regarding the current unemployed numbers, I would be curious to know what percentage are electing to remain unemployed due to perfectly reasonable reluctance to do banal work after having spent anywhere from 4 to 7 years pursuing their passion for excellence in design.
For all the jokes about us English majors, we don't seem to be doing that badly
...if you only look at the unemployment numbers. Scroll down and look at the earnings numbers and you will see a very different picture.
I would be very interested to see the standard deviations on these unemployment and earnings numbers. I'd be willing to bet that they are much larger for humanities/liberal arts/journalism majors than for the engineering/computer science/math majors.
A liberal arts degree is very much what you make of it: if you are smart, motivated, and disciplined, you can get an incredible education and emerge with a much sharper mind. On the other hand, if you are lazy, stupid, and/or unmotivated, you can carefully pick classes and profs that require minimal effort to get by, and graduate without developing yourself in any meaningful way. I went through college with both types of people. I knew one guy who chose English as his major because he thought it would be the easiest major. He was right, mostly because he made it true: every semester when it was time to sign up for classes in the next semester, he would build a matrix of all of the books on the reading lists of all of the available classes, and then figure out which combination of classes had the greatest amount of overlap. This saved him a lot of money on books, a lot of time on reading, and probably some effort on writing. At the end of four years he had a degree and a job, and that's all he really cared about. If he had put half as much effort into work as he put into avoiding work, he could have had himself a hell of an education.
A technical degree, on the other hand, doesn't allow for such a wide range of effort inputs: if you put in minimal effort you won't just waste your time, you will fail. I saw this happen as well. More commonly, I saw people realize, "Holy shit, this stuff is serious, I can't just cruise!" and switch majors to something where they could get away with minimal effort.
As Jtsummers pointed out, humanities/liberal arts majors seem to enter into a wider range of employment fields, including (as ghurlman pointed out) software. As yummyfajitas pointed out, ability bias accounts for a large portion of the college wage premium. However, over the last few decades the percent of people going to college has increased dramatically. Some of those new people most likely have suitable levels of ability to attend college, but a lot of them almost certainly do not. Those who do not either fail out or gravitate to programs that will allow them to graduate despite the fact that they are not getting a true college education, like the English major I mentioned above. I think that these people are pulling down the numbers for such majors. If you were somehow able to sort out the "serious" liberal arts graduates from the "slackers," I think that you would find that those individuals who put in the effort to truly benefit fromt their liberal arts educations have unemployment and earnings numbers at least comperable to people with technical degrees.
I couldn't find a source (beyond tons of articles echoing the study), and found several contrarian sources, including http://www.wiredacademic.com/2012/01/unemployment-data-most-...
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is always a great place to look.
Employment status of the civilian population 25 years and over by educational attainment: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t04.htm
According to this (last updated Dec 02, 2011) the not-seasonally adjusted aggregate unemployment for anyone who holds a HS diploma (regardless of higher level education) is 20%.
Edit: I didn't mean to cause any confusion by aggregating the "non-hs-dropout" stats, so let me make it clearer:
Level of Education : Unemployment Rate High School Dropout: 12.7% High School Diploma: 8.4% Some College/AA Deg: 7.4% Bachelors or Higher: 4.2%
That is exactly what I did. In my original response, I wrote aggregate unemployment for anyone who holds a HS diploma (regardless of higher level education) is 20%. I wasn't trying to be misleading, I just thought it was interesting to see that the aggregate for all non-high school dropouts.
Anyway, after looking at the article again, the author claims the unemployment stats come from 2009-2010 US Census and a study done at the Georgetown Center on Education and Workforce, broken down by age group. The BLS scope is obviously much larger and current.
The aggregate unemployment rate for those groups together is 7.4%, not 20%.
I'd like to see this because of how disparate my experience was when applying for jobs as compared to anyone in any other field, I being a recent CS graduate.
Basically, I can apply for 4 jobs and get 3 interviews and 2 offers. I can turn around from unemployed to gainfully working in an easy month. It's crazy, and I feel like there should be some numbers somewhere that show that.
I'd sure like to see such numbers, though.