It's becoming increasingly clear Tesla is just another car company
businessinsider.com
businessinsider.com
Independent of all that, you're confusing EVs with "just cars". This is a separate market segment, like the difference between microwaves (EVs) and gas ovens ("just cars").
And even if you consider it "just a car company" it is outrunning the other companies in efficiency. Tesla makes each car several times faster than conventional cars. Tesla fixes most recalls by software update. Tesla direct sales model skips the dealer overhead. Tesla chargers make gas stations obsolete. Tesla chargers cost 10x less to install than other chargers. Countries worldwide are passing end-of-life legislation to outlaw "just cars". Tesla doesn't have billions of dollars of "legacy factories" as debt burden. Tesla and BYD are the only two EV companies making a profit on each car sold. Legacy car companies are selling their cars at a loss per car.
Given the rate of automation I expect that Tesla will have a "lights out" fully automated factory within a few years.
A Tesla was driven off a 250 foot drop off a cliff last week onto rocks. The two parents are alive in hospital and the two children have minimal injury. My Hyundai Accent has a driver-side door dent because I "hip-checked" it closed. I can't imagine walking away from a 250 foot drop in my car.
Devices which have huge batteries in them have synergies with battery manufacture and their supply chain dependency motivates co-ownership, sure. But a 400MwH battery stack in inter-modal containers on poured concrete plinths with frequency supply logic is not like a car. The NHTSA doesn't regulate voltage frequency in the public utility electricity market.
Panasonic or somebody like them co-own the battery smarts as I understand it.
Tesla as a company made some incredible innovations in manufacturing. So did Carl Borgward, but his name only lives on in Borg-Warner automatic clutches. Teslas giant stamping machines, and battery in the monocoque are interesting, as is the BMS and the motors. That's discrete patents which could be licenced.
Self driving is bullshit oversold right now. Glass only cockpit has been proven to be less functional than real buttons and levers.
If you watch "Ford vs Ferrari" you get told about tractor manufacturers. Maybe more Volvo trucks will exist than Volvo cars or even polestar.
Tesla could live on as a division of VAG and we'd be fine as a global car driving economy.
If Boeing acquire space/x I'd be more worried about what happens next frankly.
Musk is a trained monkey. He's past end of life as an asset to a worldwide car manufacturing enterprise and if they can work out how to put him under the same deal Brittney Spears got, somebody will.
Hyundai, BYD and MG (china) are already eating Tesla's lunch. When VAG get the ID.4 into mass production it will be a 25+ year story. Tesla has great margins right now but the $30,000 car kills that, and 400km range $30,000 cars will sell at volume.
edit: Link to one of the articles: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/8/1/musks-antics-turn...
It'd be nice to only need to pay for say 200 miles range with the base but easily rent the additional 400 miles of capacity for a long trip. That way, the unnecessary capacity isn't always weighing the car down, and the battery for it is more likely used for an actual long trip.