"In retrospect, we should have recognized that as the US population increases the number of US medical graduates should increase" is an all-timer.
/s
That's never evidence and a well-labeled gateway to our own fallacy. There's a reason serious examination of an issue requires factual evidence in any field, from medicine to law to science, etc.
IME, in areas I lack expertise, the truth is usually intuitive but an unexpected intuition. The only solution, the only source of truth, is evidence.
Do I need to say this on HN? Sadly, it seems like it.
But now I see the name of your throwaway account. It's sad that you can't talk to other people respectfully.
The very sad and dangerous issue is, they don't seem to care or grasp the fallibility of their subjective judgment. Some even turn to ridicule as an argument, which of course is irrelevant and obstructs the search for truth.
Without truth, we are doomed. We only spin our wheels, sometimes excitedly, sometimes frantically, sometimes confidently - but it's all a waste of time and labor. We go nowhere; we gain nothing; we are in the same place tomorrow as today (or we may go backward). We don't even know what problems there are or how to solve them.
(The claim that existing members benefit also needs evidence: Existing members express feeling very overworked, which doesn't corroborate the claim, and most analyses I see say the the money is going to the insurance companies and the hospital owners and managment.)
At least the prediction of surplus of VCs in all other countries except US seems to be working well.
/s
I know how insulting this is, but asking this question implies either the one asking shouldn't participate in discussions of any kind, or is involved in the corruption
That way the funding is scaled to the size of the industry without reevaluating it year to year.
I suppose it would end up in healthcare organizations working to have care classified as non-hospital to avoid the tax.
Somehow productivity among medical professionals - also taking into account increased demand - didn't increase fast enough to get to similar decreases of doctors per capita.
There's also stuff like figuring out that bacterial infections are a big contributing factor in ulcers. Once doctors believed it was true, interventions got a lot more effective.
Meanwhile, there's no cap on law admissions, leading to malignant narcissists who couldn't make it in the humanities doubling down on chasing losses and feeling entitled to grift the vulerable at the barrel of a gun because they made they are too ornery to get good tips if they work customer service and can't figure out a terminal prompt to save their life.