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Being based around a protocol rather than a single piece of software, it will likely end up that servers intended to grow large will run different software than servers intended to stay small.

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That could well happen, a bit like the difference between say 'gmail' and your own private mail server. The big trick will then be to stop it from becoming siloed again.

I suspect that key to the future of the fediverse is likely to be a more efficient piece of software than mastodon.

I expect very large servers will be commercially operated and running bespoke software. When Tumblr adds ActivityPub support, it will be the largest Fediverse instance by far.

hmmm didn't know Tumblr was planning on doing that. Any more info on this?

They announced it, oddly enough on Twitter. Techcrunch reported it, among others. Flickr is also considering it.

https://techcrunch.com/2022/11/21/tumblr-to-add-support-for-...

https://twitter.com/donmacaskill/status/1594945727255699457

It will probably immediately cause those directly upstream to find some new bottlenecks in their implementation.

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