Mass extinction by 2100 – one-quarter of Earth’s species will die
studyfinds.org
studyfinds.org
It can NEVER be done, it's not a question of computing power: it's sheer academic and scientific ignorance: it's IMPOSSIBLE to predict such a complex system.
If the Sun eg has a cycle which causes a significant cooling and warming: can they predict that? Obviously not. And yet such an event can change global warming/cooling direction completely.
The naivety of these scientists who model future events of horrible.
And then politicians and the masses belive them.
Go and look eg at their COVID predictions to see how wrong they were.
Funny how they aren't being that loud now when their "great supercomputer models" can be seen to be BS.
The point is that such large scale models CANNOT be made, it's physical impossible.
And no, you can NOT just take an "average" because a complex system can move in such a unpredictable way all of the sudden that the "average" would also completely change in an extreme fasion (if such a system can even be said to have an "average").
“By running many simulations over three main scenarios of climate until 2050 and 2100 — the so-called Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), we show that there will be up to 34% more co-extinctions overall by 2100 than are predicted from direct effects alone,” Dr. Strona says.
Nothing that you wrote makes those simulations correct.
>>.. interlink with other factors to predict a pattern of coextinctions..
How do they know these links are correct? They do not, and can not.
>> By running many simulations ...
So they themselves admit that they don't know which simulation is correct, or in other words, they silently admit they have no idea. So if they compute 1000 different scenarios then:
a) How do they know any of those is correct?
b) If you have 1k scenarios to choose from how do you know which one is correct?
You cannot.
>> ... over three main scenarios ...
How do they know there will be only 3? Cannot know that. Nothing guarantuess that these 3 will happen, uncompultable.
>> we show that there will be up to 34% more co-extinctions..
Imagine being so naive you actualy state it to a 1% accuracy lmao.
You can't even predict a double pendulum after a second or two: nature is trillions of double pendulums in a chain: you must be delusional to think you can predict that!