The Metals Company subsidiary lifts over 3000T of nodules to sea surface
investors.metals.co
investors.metals.co
As such the scheme had to be "sufficiently plausible bullshit" to withstand scrutiny, while not necessarily needing to be economically feasible.
(No, I'm not making this up.)
https://daily.jstor.org/was-modern-art-really-a-cia-psy-op/
With similar results.
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/14150.The_Jennifer_Morgu...
https://www.amazon.com/Three-Miles-Down-Harry-Turtledove-ebo...
I cannot for the life of me remember what the story was though -- I don't think it was Arula Ratnakar's "Submergence". Hmmm. Maybe it was "The Little Shepherdess"?
A great investment is a good idea (rare) that also happens to be undervalued (relative to the market) and possess strong financials (ability to fund itself in the current macro climate).
Ahhhh, hence The Jennifer Morgue.
SpaceX's "going to Mars" plans are just a cover for a vehicle that can allow the USA to utterly dominate Low Earth Orbit. Best part is that Elon thinks it's real.
What an amazing book.
My father spent time as a Marine stationed in Iceland to guard parts of SOSUS. They were heavily briefed and trained for encountering Spetsnaz.
I used to drive him to and from the Redwood City shipyard as there wasn't a lot of parking there.
He also gave me 9 or 10 manganese nodules from the "test" mining run, which was the CIA cover story.
They look like fist sized black to gray cauliflower heads.
After the project was declassified he got a Presidential Commendation, which he framed and hung over the kitchen table.
while this is partially true, you're leaving out the part where Clementine ultimately broke the sub, dropped the sub, leaving the US with no sub.
Not trying to cast aspersions on your dad or your memories, but the way you worded it makes it sound like it was successful if you didn't already know the full story. It's crazy to me how close to being successful this operation was, but the one aspect that people were suggesting was the biggest point of failure is exactly where it failed. of course, we have the luxury of hindsight.
1. Surface mining also has environmental consequences which have to be weighed against the costs of deep sea mining. An area impacted by surface mining can recover in just a decade, but it takes intensive environmental restoration efforts on the part of humans (https://news.ucsc.edu/2021/05/mine-remediation.html). If similar techniques could be developed for deep sea applications, it could reduce the impact of deep sea mining.
2. Researchers are developing robots with advanced propulsion systems which could dramatically reduce the disturbance to sea-floor sediment by mimicking the ways that rays move. (https://interestingengineering.com/culture/new-autonomous-su...) Of course, this is still an active area of research, and it would probably take regulation to force deep sea mining companies to adopt these measures.
3. Nodules are much easier to process, reducing the carbon footprint of deep sea mining vs. surface mining by up to 80% for some metals. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095965262...) This study even tries to account for the secondary effects of mining such as the different impacts that surface and deep sea mining have on carbon sequestered in the ecosystem.
4. Surface mining is more harmful to humans than deep sea mining is because it can leach dangerous chemicals into fresh water supplies. (https://www.usgs.gov/special-topics/water-science-school/sci...)
The effects of deep-sea mining on ocean ecology are much less well understood than the effects of surface mining. While I do think there's good reason to be optimistic about the benefits of deep-sea mining, especially if it can displace surface mining, we shouldn't assume we understand what will happen. I hope the industry continuous to be forced by regulators to move forward cautiously and allow time for environmental studies to take place.
edit: These people are trying to build a deep sea miner that doesn't destroy the seafloor: https://impossiblemetals.com/
What will actually happen is both types will be happily used at the same time, so there's little point in weighting one against the other.
Any other rationalization misses the fact that this is an extremely poorly understood environment (especially if we do compare with surface mining). It's never a good idea to tinker with unknown at scale without understanding it first, let alone commercializing it. Mining history is practically written in mistakes like that.
sigh. If only we put this much funding into solving our exploding e-waste crisis which could also help alleviate the problems of rare metals
For example, as more folks move to electric cars, a smart grid would allow chargers to charge less at periods of intense demand.
We've historically focused exclusively on adjusting supply to meet demand - which is clearly very difficult and very expensive (especially if you look at gas peaker plants) - but we instead (or in addition) can adjust aspects of the demand curve to smooth out variability in load. This should be easier and significantly cheaper.
(This has the big advantage of buying time to decarbonize things like concrete, cattle and airplanes.)
Also, your numbers are way, way off. 1 kg of U-235 can produce about 24,000,000 kWh of energy. There's no way you're going to store that in 1 kg of lithium batteries.
You don't mine U235. You mine 99.3% U238 and then leave a third of your U235 in enrichment tailings (or burn it straight in a CANDU).
And storage of a given time duration is indexed by power. 1kW of diurnal storage is enough storage to provide 1kW over daily variation.
Extracting 1kg of Uranium nets you 1kW for a few years.
Extracting 1kg of Lithium nets you enough storage to run 1kW of solar + wind for several times as long.
The solar panel is made of about the same amount of sand as goes into the nuclear power plant. It is less limited by Silver than the control rods are limited by indium, silver and cadmium.
You don't know the difference between energy and power, nor between energy production and energy storage.
That's not "misdirection" of any kind.
Worse still, you were attempting to confuse "power" (actually energy) storage with "power" (actually energy) production. That's not even apples and oranges -- more like apples and poetry.
It's like saying that because a refrigerator can hold 100 kilograms of food, buying a refrigerator is same as actually growing 100 kilograms of food. The two are not comparable in any way.
P.S. the ad hominem means that you lose. Sorry.
We're done.
Nor does having a tantrum over having the lie called out. Instead it just makes you look like a cry-bully.
The constant stream of lies and whining when those lies are called out from nuclear "advocates" would reflect incredibly poorly on the industry if it weren't obvious it was just a tactic to keep fossil fuels relevant for a little longer.
We actually put much more funding into e-waste recycling. Allseas most recent funding round was $150m, and they're the only major player in the deep sea mining space. But Redwood materials, one of many e-waste recycling startups, has raised $700m in their most recent round.
The only critical mineral not yet eliminated for the most commercially viable upcoming option is silver which requires about one ounce per net kilowatt with state of the art processes.
Unless you meant cheap energy will subsidize mining, in which case you are correct and this is a problem.
On 1: The study you have referenced refers to the difficulties of remediating historical abandoned sites, often run under inadequate regulations typically in the 1850's - 1960's. Modern sites are no joke to remediate, but regulators are beginning to pick up on what causes problems to occur and how to ensure these costs are factored into the mining operation. The difficulty of applying effective regulations to international undersea areas is enormous.
On 2: That's great -- lots of things could happen to improve technology in both terrestrial and submarine mining.
On 3: Carbon footprint is not everything when determining the appropriateness of mining. The study cited by the Science article assumes tailings deposition at sea -- mines are not permitted to do this. The article also swans repeatedly over how "high grade" nodules are, but makes no direct reference to their actual grade. The underlying paper suggests a grade of 1.3-1.4 weight percent which is on the bottom end of mid-grade.
On 4: This point can not be concluded without further study. While terrestrial mining has had more historical impacts to humans, this does not allow for comparison on future terrestrial mining vs. a relatively unknown ecosystem impact from aquatic mining. Mining is also not assessed on purely anthropocentric impacts. We've begun to appreciate that systems are interconnected and humans are only one receptor. Enormous caution is required, certainly more than "lower emissions = good".
I'm don't disagree with your points - there's a lot of uncertainty around all of this research. But, from what I can see, regulators are doing the right thing and being very cautious to do environmental studies at each step of the way. Maybe I'm way off about that.
(how much affected by drag net fishing might give a ballpark figure)
https://ceramics.org/ceramic-tech-today/environment/explorin...
In contrast, if we wanted to get the same metals from the land, it would release 0.065 gigatons of CO2.
While there's a good bit of uncertainty in these estimates. Regardless, the impact is dwarfed by the savings from more efficient smelting processes enabled by deep sea nodules, which could save about 1 gigaton of carbon.
[^0]: https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/07/soil-rev...
Meanwhile, I'm not aware of any proposals to sequester carbon in seabed ecosystems.
I'm certainly not qualified to analyze the accuracy of a soil science study or the field as a whole. As someone not in that specialty, the figure that jumps out at me is the 40x difference between the impact from ecosystem damage vs. other impacts. Generally that tells me that the potential for ecosystem impacts to nix the climate benefits of deep sea mining is low - it would require that soil science be so wrong that they missed over 90% of the carbon content of the seabed.
No, surface mining doesn't "suck up and kill seabottom creatures". :)
More sympathetically: yes, surface mining can have habitat loss issues (i.e. land use changes), but the bigger issue erosion and sediment control, the management of which is a major component of any modern mine in a well regulated country. Maybe there are ways to mitigate subsea sediment migration, but they definitely haven't been studied to nearly the same extent as surface issues and mitigations
I say forge ahead and make corrections as we learn more.
I think of it as sifting economic value from seafloor cat litter.
[1] https://metals.co/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/NORI-D-SIA-Scop...
And then I was driving through Phoenix Arizona, looking out at the concrete landscape and concrete riverways, and realized just how right he was.
The parking-lot sprawl is appalling, and should be reversed, but California policies (like those in New York, Boston, etc.) have a lot to do with the growth of the Phoenix-to-Florida area.
The question is what will it take for us all, collectively, to refrain from using whatever is it hand for whatever we happen to desire. Out of respect for what?
Most of the time this kind of self restraint does not really seem conceivable. Instead, in debates like this, we’ll defer to emissions and sequestration data, without ever confronting what what it is that led us to blithely create and deploy machines like this and shrug off the damage.
Evolving to a new species entirely. What you described is one of the most fundamental attributes of homo sapiens.
I'd say the attitudes 50 or 100 years were dramatically more short sighted than today; destructiveness is bit debatable but lets not kid ourselves that the past was some gentle setting. Also take into account the fact that human population has quadrupled in the past 100ish years, and industrialized population growth has been even more dramatic; I don't know if you can say technology has become much more destructive when there are just so much more people partaking in that destruction.
So it might appear you are correct.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aYAw26nSzBA&t=657s
I'm not posting this as a critique of the parent link, just as additional data about this topic.
Summary: In many Indonesian islands, there used to be large deposits of tin. Those have mostly been mined out, and sea floor mining has taken over. There are approved commercial companies that do it, but the video shows poor folks who are doing offshore seafloor mining "illegally" in very unsafe conditions. In either case, the practice rips up the sea bed and causes ecology problems.
* I quote "illegally" because the system largely sounds like it's powered by bribes to get the right certifications.
Look at the scale of this tin mining dredge: https://tt5perak.com/
The last preserved, originally one of hundreds.
BTW your link is to a very late moment in that video.
Alternatively, I'd be curious how many tesla batteries in raw materials that equated to per hour.
Congrats to the team that made this work.
Ultimately, we should be trying to move a lot of our "dirty" industries offworld, to places where no one cares much about keeping pristine and where nothing lives.
But yeah, The Expanse showed what happens when 1 jerk plays around with asteroid orbits...
1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Seabed_Authority
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Metals_Company
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manganese_nodule
(2021-Jun) https://www.wsj.com/articles/environmental-investing-frenzy-...
That's the part I am really curious about if anyone knows.
https://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/f4344afd-acde...
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7N_BtWn6wk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iydMJToa2iU
I’d love to see that again, but it doesn’t seem to have found it’s way to YouTube yet.
Where some nations are more equal than the others...
https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-04-19/gold-rush-...
>Mining firms have found an ally in Lodge, a 62-year-old British lawyer first elected as secretary-general in 2016 after serving at the ISA since it began operations, according to former authority staffers, activists and scientists.
>“I am disturbed by the fact that popular perception of deep seabed mining is increasingly subject to wildly inaccurate and distorted scenarios portrayed by some sections of the media and interest groups,” Lodge said in a 2018 speech to a business group in Hamburg, Germany. “Suggestions that deep seabed mining will inevitably cause large-scale irreversible damage and ecosystem collapse appear to be grossly exaggerated and lack any basis in fact.”
Maybe look into it even a little before spewing bile?
[1] https://metals.co/nori/ [2] https://metals.co/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/NORI-D-SIA-Scop...
It's crazy how as a child in that era, I totally bought into the Glomar Explorer being this amazing thing.
And 45-50 years later, here we are.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/16/podcasts/the-daily/electr...
[1] https://metals.co/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/NORI-D-SIA-Scop...
Couldn't make out what the program is called...was expecting a more win xp looking UI haha