But no regulatory oversight, and no chance for the common folk to prosecute or get their money back if they default.
I am one of the resident crypto apologists here on HN, but there is no way that we should even try to accept what the big exchanges are doing. The whole point of crypto is to have systems that do not depend on "too big to fail" institutions, why are we suddenly trying to find excuses for their BS?
And yet most stable coins have maintained their peg for years now, despite many of them having gone through 2 large bear markets. If 80%-90% down and still pegged doesn't disprove "impossible to do on the downside" I don't know what could.
Clarification: I do think Tether is not fully backed and is likely to depeg some day, but the assertion that it's "impossible to do on the downside" is clearly not true even for Tether. And it's very clearly not impossible to keep a peg if the peg is fully backed, which may be the case for some coins (without naming specifics). DAI, backed by verifiable collateral, has also done extremely well through 2 bear markets.
Which is a good reason to get out. Stablecoins have only two stable points, 1 and 0. When they crash, they go all the way. Look at what happened with the stablecoins that already crashed.
I'm not claiming this is perfect, but it's pretty different.
Just because that weapon hasn't been pointed at some group of US citizens yet doesn't mean it can't in the future.
Up to a point.
I understand your reasoning, and you're correct in this case (assuming your numeraire is USD). However, if your numeraire is something like a GDP-weighted basket of USD, EUR, JPY, and CNH, it's possible for a USD-pegged asset to be less volatile than USD (since your unit of account isn't USD).
Presumably, your USD-pegged asset would drop in relation to the USD in a risk-off scenario and rise in a risk-on scenario, so in that case it would seem that your tracking error would tend to be correlated to the non-USD components of your numeraire basket. So, if macro risk-on/risk-off are the primary drivers of your pegged asset's tracking error, it would seem that your pegged asset would tend to have less volatility than USD if a GDP-weighted basket of major currencies is your unit of account.
The only reasons for these coins to exist are:
1. Avoid proper financial controls and regulations imposed on real currencies and operate illegally. 2. To separate fools from their USD and replace it with USDT or whatever.
The obvious other reason is to use them on the blockchain. You cannot use USD on the blockchain.
Maybe you don't think there's anything of value on the blockchain and that's why you don't see a use for it. I don't want to get into an argument over whether blockchain tech has a use case or a future in this comment chain, but for the sake of understanding what stable coins could be used for just grant the following:
- There is some use for ETH out there that doesn't involve avoiding financial controls and regulations or separating fools from their USD
If you will grant that, then it's easy to see why here would be a use for USDC or similar. ETH price fluctuates. If you need to be able to utilize Ethereum, it's helpful to have value on it. If you don't want that value to fluctuate, you can hold it in USDC and convert to ETH when you want to use it. Plain and simple, this is the first application for stable coins.
If you will not grant that there is a use case for ETH then there's no point in having a discussion about stable coins anyway. That's a separate discussion that needs to be had first.
I do not grant this, because Ethereum has been around for 7 years and no such uses have materialized yet.
Believe it or not, if you want to invest in gold, the only option isn't buying and storing physical gold in your home. That might even be a dangerous idea.
Stocks are certificates which claim partial ownership of a company. But how can owning a piece of paper be like owning a part of a company? What is a company anyway but an abstraction over the concept of group liabilities, assets, contracts, and actions? Or do you think companies only exist to allow people to break laws under another identity?
Thanks for the usual collection of talking points from 2017 that nobody uses in the real world. There is no utility to these blockchain tokens except to scam others.
if you wanna question whether smart contracts are useful or not feel free, I sure do, but drop the smarminess when the answer to your question lies within the first paragraph.
They are a terrible idea whose time came and went around 2017.
It’s more accurate to say that you are “proclaiming”, which is perfectly fine, but doesn’t make for great conversation
Other countries may not even be allowed to transfer from their bank overseas (I think China in most cases). Some countries have local currency that is devaluating, and banks that are less reliable than a mattress. Some countries have restrictions on the way that money can be stored or retrieved that basically mean that money deposited in the bank can not practically be withdrawn.
For some, the stablecoin is simply a more convenient bank that the one in the city, and in many cases they anyways don't have reportable income.
Other reasons exists for a stablecoin besides criminal activity, especially for people that live in poorer states - and these people are harder hit by losing their cash than would be someone who is in crypto for the ride. It is disingenuous to think its all crypto kiddies.
That is not essential to what futures do. The essence of a future, is that it is a trade that is agreed upon today, but which settles in the future. I sell my corn to you at a price we agree on today for delivery in 3 months. That allows producers and consumers of commodities to reduce risk, while speculators can increase their risk.
Also -- weird but interesting -- the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act bans trading futures contracts on onions (and motion picture box office receipts). Not sure if that would apply to onion seed.
By the way, the concept of a "stablecoin" (defined as a currency located in a separate financial system than its home) isn't new - you can buy eurodollar futures which are futures on dollars that are physically located in Europe. Ironically, you can also buy euroeuro futures contracts which are for euros located in the US: the euro- prefix on a currency just means "not delivered inside sovereign borders, although the European eurodollar is by far the most important of these.