Programmer would be the last job to go but it's possible that the number of programmer jobs would start decreasing in the mean time.
Nope. Experience has shown that tasks that require peak intellectual abilities in humans are actually very easy for computers to do. Computers were outperforming humans at calculation 80 years ago, and have been crushing grandmasters at chess since the 90s.
Meanwhile, controlling a robot to move efficiently, or reliably distinguishing everyday objects like cats and dogs, is still extremely challenging for current AIs, which require more data than any human could see in a thousand lifetimes to perform at a remotely adequate level.
It's "menial" jobs that will be the last to go. Because those rely on innate abilities grown over hundreds of millions of years of evolution. A task like programming that was only invented three generations ago is trivial by comparison.
Perhaps I’m misunderstanding your statement.
If sensor data were the problem, computers could easily outperform humans since we have sensors that generate much more detailed data than the human senses: High-resolution cameras, multi-spectral and thermal imaging, x-rays, radar, etc.
The actual difference is that when shown a picture and told "this is a cat", humans already know what to look for. Even if a human has never seen a cat before, they will not, for example, examine the background of the photo, or the floor the cat is lying on. They will also instinctively derive analogies from similar animals they already know, and deduce lots of correct information about that "cat" without needing to be told explicitly.
Yes exactly. You’ll look for 4 legs, a tail, pointy ears and graceful movement. All of that is data you’ve registered by your (primarily one) senses (sensors). You’re receiving more data, and processing it faster, than a program.
Humans are fundamentally pattern matchers, and we’re great at it. What you call concept I call pattern.
I believe you vastly underestimate the amount of information the human brain processes continuously. Computers outperform humans by performing extremely narrow, focused computations at a high rate of speed. Despite years and years of research, I don't believe humans have even scratched the surface of understanding the human brain. In fact, I don't believe humans are capable of fully understanding it, since it was created by Someone so much greater than them.