If you consider a box of gas that just recently was in the improbable state where all gas molecules were concentrated in one corner of the box, and the current situation is such that you can trace back from the current trajectory of the molecules the prior improbable state with high confidence, then yes, entropy is obviously increasing. On the scale of the universe, this can be taken as an analogy to the low-entropy state right after the big bang and the current higher-entropy state.
However, I don't see how this explains an arrow of time in terms of breaking eggs and the human brain's perception of time.