People with a particular drive are the ones who find a way.
There are smart people out there but a lot of them get into boring jobs because they are easy. They don’t particularly like difficult exploration.
Will some opportunities have been missed? Yes, but that’s life. Nature isn’t about maximizing everything.
Lots of people who graduated with me followed the same path for the same reason
If one does not try something, should one expect there to be evidence of how well it works?
> People with a particular drive are the ones who find a way.
Tautological thinking can be useful, but it is a double edged sword.
> There are smart people out there but a lot of them get into boring jobs because they are easy. They don’t particularly like difficult exploration.
Agreed, perhaps there is a lack of instruction in how to think in an exploratory manner. Maybe we are too short term results oriented.
> Will some opportunities have been missed? Yes, but that’s life.
a) Confident delusional beliefs about free will aside, it is at least plausible that the state of affairs at any given snapshot in time is a consequence of our actions that preceded it.
b) People in relatively comfortable positions often are more comfortable with the current state of affairs than those who are not in a comfortable position.
> Nature isn’t about maximizing everything.
It also isn't (or doesn't have to be) about having no interest in optimizing the environment in a manner that benefits all people, but it seems this is the local maxima we're stuck at, for now.
The market is imperfect (as we see it's attracting outsized talent to selling crass ads) and on the other hand, central planning/state enterprises (Soviet-style) also has shortcomings which are even worse --though they do well in developing talent for where it's needed (however they are bad at figuring out 'needs') and suffers from gross mismanagement in operations.
So, given the above, it would seem there is a place for a middle-ground somewhere, I just don't see the magic in UBI necessary to achieve that.
One option is what kind of exists in certain underattracted/underserved areas where the government underwrites someone's education in return for service. So there are grants one can receive in exchange for service commitment after graduation. Obviously you can't "play around" and try to figure out if you like something and then something else... You have to know what you want.
Fundamentally, we seem to be unable to consider whether our approach is wrong, never mind where we're going to get the money.
And as for me: I do not believe this to be an accident, and I do not believe it to be only those dirty Republicans / religious people: I think western culture itself is a fucking disaster that needs to be rewritten from the ground up.
There's no evidence either way. You're citing lack of evidence on something that's barely been tested, much less had enough time in the wild to have its effects studied.