Emergency declared and curfew imposed following North Carolina power grid attack
thepilot.com
thepilot.com
Where I live, these seemingly critical infrastructure outposts, are protected by nothing more than high chicken-wire fences. Cyber Squirrel is the best and longest-lived exemplification of the sensitivity and scale of this vulnerability: https://cybersquirrel1.com/
This being my favourite:
14.01.2015
Eagle
Geraldton, WA, Australia
Sheep's head dropped by eagle blamed for power outageUkraine has shown how important electric substation part supply chains are.
"Why build one, when you could build two for twice the price?"
I'd assume this isn't standard procedure, but agree that it should be, considering the increasing importance of power supply to society and in the current terror-paranoia state of the world.
Terrorism and security has always been a great motivator for gov capital. Although it typically goes to Washington consultants rather than spending it on critical parts.
The report, which cost taxpayers $x million, recommended the purchase of spare parts costing $y thousand, which would reduce the downtime of power transmission, due to the failure of these parts, to hours rather than days or possibly weeks.
Actions based on this report are due to be debated following the election, due to be held in 8 months' time.
Going the other way, decentralizing the grid, putting solar and batteries on as many homes as possible, is already happening. There's already financial incentive. Utilities are adding _disincentives_ every chance they get, because they see it as reducing their customer base, rather than adding resiliency. But, customers and regulators are pushing back, and the situation in most places isn't terrible. And as a result, it's scaling up as fast as the market can scale it.
Neither of these things will solve the problem completely, but I think we'll meet in the middle. Over the coming years, an interconnected grid will become decreasingly relevant for larger and larger fractions of the population. And outages, and even the very concept of outages, will approach quaint-memory status.
Initially and particularly, this will benefit folks out in the boonies with lots of land for panels, who are usually on the losing end of the response time for outage restoration in the first place.
Ideally, this allows for each individual unit (household, apartment complex, commercial building) to bear the costs of the "reserve assets" at the same time as being able to take advantage of them down to that granular level - as long as their battery is able to hold out and their solar able to recharge it.
And the reserve assets being smaller, fit better into a manufacturing scenario as there should be a more consistent, less surge-style, demand.
> The supply chain for grid components is even tighter now than it was earlier this year, Robinson said. The lead time for large-scale transformers is 90 weeks on average and the lead time for distribution transformers is six to nine months, she said.
* https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insight...
> “I deal with a number of different clients on the utility side and about a year ago we started to see lead times from transformer manufacturers creep up. Before the pandemic, you could get a large transformer ordered in less than a year. Today that is rare. A relatively large manufacturer in the US was at about 38 months. That used to be 38 weeks if you were to compare,” Templeton said.
[…]
> It is still relatively easy to get a 10 MVA transformer from a supplier utilities know and are used to dealing with, but a 1000 MVA transformer might not be available from a reliable source, Templeton said.
* https://www.tdworld.com/utility-business/article/21243198/tr...
Expansion of factories:
* https://electrek.co/2022/10/12/hitachi-energy-power-transfor...
Wouldn't Beta be slightly more effective? /s
The pursuit of which can, ironically, result in the opposite, as those with existing privilege flail against its erosion by claiming it is doing otherwise, thus fomenting dissatisfaction amongst some of those who would actually be better off.
The subjectivity of any position within the spectrum above provides the impossibility. The long-horizon of any such decisions cannot be seen with any clarity, which this proverb captures nicely:
A farmer and his son had a beloved horse who helped the family earn a living. One day, the horse ran away and their neighbours exclaimed, “Your horse ran away, what terrible luck!” The farmer replied, “Maybe so, maybe not.”
A few days later, the horse returned home, leading a few wild horses back to the farm as well. The neighbours shouted out, “Your horse has returned, and brought several horses home with him. What great luck!” The farmer replied, “Maybe so, maybe not.”
Later that week, the farmer’s son was trying to break one of the horses and she threw him to the ground, breaking his leg. The neighbours cried, “Your son broke his leg, what terrible luck!” The farmer replied, “Maybe so, maybe not.”
A few weeks later, soldiers from the national army marched through town, recruiting all boys for the army. They did not take the farmer’s son, because he had a broken leg. The neighbours shouted, “Your boy is spared, what tremendous luck!” To which the farmer replied, “Maybe so, maybe not. We’ll see.”I mean, I'm glad they're not doing any of this, but I'm puzzled.
If you're subtle but effective, you look evil, and you're so clean and effective that for the most part people aren't scare of you. You don't even really want people to be scared of you.
That's the point. These sort of oppression attacks are mostly effective if you can keep them up. Power out for a day or two is annoying, but power out for half of the week every week for months is effective oppression. People tend to bond over trouble and oppression.
By comparison, suicide attacks on some significant or vulnerable place sends the sort of message that resonates for years. Oppression only is really effective if you can keep it up until you fully control the situation and develop some hegemony.
Total war doesn't mean you're required to use everything and sacrifice everything, just that you're internally willing to, which is obviously hard to determine in the moment as an external observer. It does seem like we're close enough to use the term in the moment.
Or intelligent people have a level of self-preservation that doesn't allow for the execution of ideas. The ideas of what and how to cause mass disorder are fairly easy if you have enough knowledge, the desire to execute is whats usually missing.
This is not a "we're the good guys, and they're the bad guys" propaganda thing. It just defines a very different mode of combat. Nice try, but a terrorist is a subversion of a secret agent, not a soldier.
I too have wondered why terrorists don't do these simple things, but I have concluded they are simply technologically ignorant and not very bright.
Here is a short video showing someone doing almost exactly this: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=X_2lZqyCmls
Point being the initial path creates a plasma channel that then bridges the gap and lets current flow.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gOT8jx4jEzM
Is the arc dissipating because an automatic system is killing power to the lines? Is there going to be damage elsewhere in the system from events like 3 and 2 in the video there?
I find it hard to believe VHS tape wouldn't just vaporize instantly without disrupting anything. A steel bike frame however...
Above 33kV ... you get a lot of "bang" from basically any thing that touches across the conducting wires... unwound VHS tape, mylar, string, fishing wire, ... unless it's less conductive than air ... you're in for a bad time.
But maybe drug-seekers are more crafty than I give them credit for. They're probably amongst the most motivated of humanity to reach their end-goal, so maybe it's not as good an example.
"If you want a problem solved, tell a meth-head there's a score in it for them if they succeed"
While I have nothing (for now) to directly add to transmission network down time, I can at least add another Western Australian bird story to yours . . .
[1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-08/zebra-finch-makes-nes...
The linked video rivals anything David Attenborough voiced.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zelenograd#/media/File:Zelenog...
Ahem. Just kidding, OFC...
This very well could be domestic terrorism and for now it would be prudent to treat it as such.
Anyway, the press seems to be loathe to use that term when white conservatives are involved, and it happened in North Carolina.
"Economic anxiety" has been used for a while by news organizations unwilling to say "racism" or "bigotry".
There are so many ways to describe the world. This is being described as a “[premeditated] attack”. Is there some ulterior motive I’m missing?
Sorry to seem to ranty over this, but it seems like an extremely forced meme at this point. I’m usually arguing for the importance of words, but on this specific criticism, genuinely, I beg the question, who effing cares?
I think a lot of the desire for specificity in terminology that you’re seeing demanded is stemming from a desire for people to see organizations step in that truly have the resources, investigative experience, and political will to accomplish progress in this arena — for example certain offices of the FBI.
Political will results in the opposite.
So I believe we are in agreement, once terms are fully understood on all sides.
It’s important to me that we not dilute the meaning of important phrases by assuming they add up to no more than the sum of their discrete elements — it coarsens discussion and incites unnecessary rhetoric.
Please do not be confused by the word "political" within the phrase "political will". A brief crash-course: "political" does not equal "partisan", it equals "of or concerning to the sphere of politics". You are conflating political with partisan -- this exact error is the root of a vast percentage of the needless rhetoric and policy misapprehensions that so confuse our current national conversation.
To be plain: I would like the most effective LEO working under the absolute-least-partisan-influence possible. That is to say: effective law enforcement agents who cut through the bullshit on all sides.
Given your misunderstanding of the above, while assuming you're responding in good faith (and not intentionally confusing the issue), I must conclude that your vocabulary in this particular arena does not quite match your passion.
I would urge you in the future, when confronted with a definition that differs from that you intuit, to ensure that you truly grok what's being said, rather than assuming naivety/partisan pearl-clutching.
Again, it's important to have a shared basis from which compromise can be achieved -- it is perhaps the most fundamental requirement of society.
If I've learned anything being terminally online it's that it's always better to wait until some basic evidence comes out rather than to speculate and get into flame wars over it.
A decent write up of the legal issues here: https://www.aclu.org/other/how-usa-patriot-act-redefines-dom...
Quote: The definition of domestic terrorism is broad enough to encompass the activities of several prominent activist campaigns and organizations. Greenpeace, Operation Rescue, Vieques Island and WTO protesters and the Environmental Liberation Front have all recently engaged in activities that could subject them to being investigated as engaging in domestic terrorism.
Edit: you're literally correct that there isn't specific domestic terrorism statute but there are numerous terrorism task forces, antiterrorism programs and escalations of other charges based the category terrorist.
A simpler example of how this works: make a throwaway Twitter account or two, and start posting about how Trump, Biden, or both are committing treason. Die a little inside as you notice the subsequent discussions are mirror images of each other and contain about the same logical and rhetorical fallacies.
That sounds to me like something we would call terrorism if it happened internationally will now also be called terrorism if it happens domestically.
There is a rising alt-right extremist movement that is attempting to demonize LGBTQ and drag as pedophiles and groomers.
Their methods are only getting more extreme [1].
They have very clear goals that are absolutely fall under the definition of terrorisms: They are attempting to terrorize a specific subset of civilian population into going back into the closet, under the threat of violence.
They are organized, and they are motivated. That's why it's important to call it terrorism - because there are networks of extremists that continue on their mission even if the specific individuals can be identified that commit individual crimes. There is a movement behind them to continue on the mission.
[0] https://twitter.com/Esqueer_/status/1599464591196491777?cxt=...
[1] https://www.vice.com/en/article/epzv9a/libsoftiktok-trans-ch...
I mean, you understand the types of people being discussed here, right? (that posted openly about this on fb, mind you).
Proud Boys confronted/harrassed/intimidated people at a drag show in a city not far east from there just recently and then some people (probably some the same people) put some effort into preventing this drag show from happening prior to this situation.
https://twitter.com/PotrzebieSystem/status/15995193382805463...
Is your claim that the Moore County sheriff was ... in on it?
That is not an outlandish perspective, over and over, there are instances of the police not lifting a finger to protect trans or drag events while groups like Patriot Front or Proud Boys harass and intimidate them with shows of force/violence.
Is that not obvious? Did you pay attention AT ALL during Jan 6?
In any "not very large city," this should always be considered as a possibility.
For the average folks with horrid (or biased) memories, do you really no remember post-911? We screamed "terrorists" over and over and how American interests would not be scared off by terror tactics.
Theyre suppressing expression. They have openly fascist intents. Theyre successfully shutting down other shows due to fears of violence.
In what world do you think this increasingly frequent type of targetted violence should not be talked about? Or just when its barely related to a social issue you have opinions about...?
For many Americans, the word "terrorist" conjures an image of, e.g. a Muslim foreigner.
Data and experience suggests that the above is very not likely, and also, that domestic terrorism is likely more of an issue.
In other words, you get clarity, which reduces fear at best, and helps people more accurately threat model at worst.
The slow-play around reporting of possible attackers and motives is trying to stop the social contagion.
It's a strange way to write "parents attended school board meetings".
HN needs to take a hardline stance against anyone engaged in this “narrative control” garbage we’ve seen in this thread. There is 0 substance provided and it is entirely politically motivated.
What if I have a significant other and we intend on having kids next year? Or in 5 years? We don't wish to move to a new district. What if we have nieces, nephews, cousins, or family that teach in the district but are too afraid to speak out for fear of reprisal? What if we have grand children, or volunteer with children in the district?
What if I am simply being taxed to pay for public servants who know preach topics I find morally reprehensible?
What if I simply recognize that "the children are our future" and so have a both legitimate self-interest and extrinsic-interest in seeing my version of what is right and wrong being promulgated?
Just please stop - this is obvious-as-all-hell political flame-bait.
https://news.yahoo.com/judge-rules-loudoun-county-teen-13141...
This was a non-event?
Background: https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/591331-dhs-warn...
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/domestic-violent-extremists-plo...
Removal of bolts leads to towers’ collapse : https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna6228355
This thread, as an example, shows OSINT being used to backup claims of possible motive - https://twitter.com/notcapnamerica/status/159948643252742144...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore_County_substation_attack
And so he caused 1.2 million of damage to Electricity infrastructure. Tell me again why I'm the rambling conspiracy theorists for suspecting NZ is the target of disinformation trying to undermine trust in and the functioning of society..
I guess what im saying is I feel like disinfo is a misnomer compared to what i see it as. Demoralization.
And honestly when people do become a product of manufactured value by propagandists, we dont usually treat them with dignity. Usually I see agression and equally bad faith arguments made in favor of the "truth". Which only further feeds the us vs them mentality in those individuals.
That level of discourse over a land dispute juat goes to show that our leaders arent really thinking of any of their actions long term consequences.
That's all extremely demoralizing to me, but I have the luxary of discussing my ideas here and seeing alternative viewpoints daily. That allows me to get a more level understanding of the objective world.
The spaces online availible to the layman however are nowhere near as welcoming to challenging of personal status quo.
And since ive already written this much i might as well make it a manifesto...
The main avenues of extremeism and propaganda were built by us hackers, we made communication efficient to our own detriment. The speed of the awfulness in our world can reach us faster than we can react is immense and that truth has been weaponized to put so many in their own digital versions of platos cave.
We need to paint a new place in the world, a goodly home for us all. I feel like matrix and the fediverse are part of that, atleast a v1 poc version of it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comit%C3%A9_R%C3%A9gional_d%27...
Like beating up the America's Cup, or chopping down the tree on One-Tree Hill (which we still haven't renamed).
Secretary Jennifer Granholm - @SecGranholm - 1h
I've been in contact w/ @DukeEnergy about the vandalism causing power outages for customers in Moore County, NC
and the @DOE_CESER team is working w/ federal partners.
Law enforcement is investigating this serious incident and Duke is working around the clock to restore service.
And the division of labor, economic sprcialization, and technological advancement has created way more weak links.
There were no nuclear bombs or dependencies on large scale agribusiness, satellite comms, the Internet. or in this case electrification to sustain society.
To be clear I'm not predicting collapse because the grid has some vulnerability, I'm just saying if you wanted to collapse society, it would almost certainly involve (again, extremely modest, scalable, and boringly effective) sabotage like this.
Edit: dead-wringer => dead-ringer
Makes me wonder if a coordinated multi-location strike is coming sometime in the future. Scary stuff.
though there is no confirmation that they are behind it, only that they are glad that it happened.
Also, we shouldn't mince words here, this is a terrorist attack on civilian infrastructure for political ends. If this had been done by islamists, we'd call it as such. Instead we play the "gosh well she technically didn't say she did it" and "gosh how can we tell what the motivations might be" games... like, we have a group openly claiming responsibility for the attack here and people want to play the "how can we really know anything?" crap. C'mon.
Hopefully they will be able to find the people behind this attack though. And if it turns out to be the person above I hope they will be stuck down with both terror and hate crime.
That being said, I also wouldn't give too much faith to the police. Police as an institution have been historically LGBTQ-unfriendly, and have perpetrated anti-LGBTQ violence on an institutional level in the past.
For many people, myself included, who grew up in the country, the power going out is not a big deal, and was a pretty regular occurrence. I say this not to downplay it, but because it's easy to see how someone could see the power go out while something they didn't approve of was happening, and feel happy about it, without really considering how big of a deal the outage is for people in the city.
I could be wrong of course, but the most single explanation is that this person just saw it as karma, not that they somehow knew something
I guess I'd cross off "detective" as fall back career
Most crimes that make the news have a few dozen nutjobs calling in claiming responsibility. People will go to great lengths to get attention. And we're already talking about social media posts here...
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/emily-rainey-fort-bragg-captain...
After reading that article, I do think they qualify for the epithet "nutter".
This doesn't mean she had any foreknowledge of the recent events, of course, but her comment doesn't read as an off-the-cuff casual reaction either. She's surely aware of the impression it would create thanks to her training and real-world experience with political activism.
I’ll wait for some actual investigation before jumping to conclusions.
It's not that difficult to know which bits to target for the greatest fallover effect.
Internally, the military had some reporting on “Significant Activities,” major protests and bombings and infrastructure attacks and such.
I’ve always wondered is there anything open-source of that nature - tracking “activities” like these?
Well...yes. Of course it is.
If for no other reason than there are a lot of angry people who would love to spread misery around and they've now been given an idea of how to do it and places like 8chan and kiwifarms provides the encouragement and planning infrastructure.
So yes, I'd be extremely surprised if this kind of destruction doesn't escalate and become much more wide spread. What's gonna stop it?
There are a number of potential suspects, but my feeling is that if there are no arrests in 72 hours you can expect a bunch of copycat attacks. Substations are very poorly secured, and targeting them to cause power outages and provoke crises and riots in cities is a central plank of accelerationist guerrilla war fantasies. 'How it would go down' scenarios that hand-wave the details are widespread, and how-to instructions with varying degrees of specificity are eagerly circulated smaller extremist forums. These range from 'fun and profit' type onesheets that would would get a careless individual caught to quite professional ones suitable for (and probably derived from) military educational materials.
BTW it's 'ringer'.
https://twitter.com/Esqueer_/status/1599464591196491777?cxt=...
We used to speak of substitute players when a team needed to fill a spot with randoms, what is elsewhere called "ringer", nothing about cheating. There is an Old Norse word or something that is translated "fighter" . I don't remember its spelling and could not find the entry immediately. W would become lost in Norse, I guesd (Odin, Vatenfal). So I maintain the hunch that it is identical to wrestling because that's Ringen in German and wringen in Dutch. Again, allusion to the ring in which they fight is petty. Wrestling has a rich tradition but not endowed with literacy. This could easily lead to confusion next to war. Corrolary, a drug ring is not circular, since border running involves bands of war, though they could do a round call.
Dead Ringer (disambiguation) : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_Ringer_(disambiguation)
Wringer (disambiguation) : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wringer_(disambiguation)
There's hardly any worse "source" for etymology than that kind of jargon.
> "ringer" was a late nineteenth-century term for a duplicate, usually with implications of dishonesty, ...
Is that it?
> Hope this helps
Not in the slightest, no. If anything it confirms my bias that editors are gullible.
Which, to get back onto topic, would mean to think that the motivation was not exactly what is reported here, but something come a long way.
Care to provide attribution links for that claim?
etymology:'Dead Ringer'
etymology:'Wringer'
Hope this helps. it would seem pointless on my part to continue dialog with you.
Hope this helps.I think it has more to say about how civil the countries and groups the US has attacked are, at least when it comes to hurting US innocents in return.
Legit too scared to even write the concept down in the event someone got the idea to even try.
https://www.marketplace.org/2022/11/14/a-shortage-of-electri...
Do you have a source for this?
Oh, and those lead times are still getting longer.
I do ask for you to reflect back on covid.
Remember when trying to make a vaccine was 5-10 years, but when an entire country/world makes something a priority and become hyper focused and motivated they'll 10x output.
The problem is when regardless of input you can't speed up the output. Think of a pregnancy, adding more pregnant women doesn't speed up the process, and consuming more inputs doesn't speed up the progress.
The electrical grid is nearly a "living entity". It isn't exactly like even if all the replacements magically appeared the problem is solved by a long shot.
What's hard is when the outage is also on the generation side; "rebooting" from a full outage (black start) can be a complex dance between starting generators, connecting substations, and energizing loads, since generation has to be matched to consumption at all times, and nearly all generators need power themselves to run (on a full black start, small diesel generators, started by even smaller batteries, are the initial point).
https://www.wrde.com/news/elkton-car-fire-causes-50-000-in-d...
So maybe Motel 6 won't be leaving the light on for you as the core infrastructure problems are just getting started.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304851104579359...
April Sniper Attack Knocked Out Substation, Raises Concern for Country's Power Grid
By Rebecca Smith - February 5, 2014 : https://archive.ph/qILZ5
And : https://archive.ph/HCNOz
Edit to add below;
OK! Some questions, looking at the News aerial video shot of one of the switch yard and transformer,
it looked to me, judging from the size of the primary input insulators to be about 110kv to 220kv input.
Why shoot up two sub-stations? - Is the area a ring-feed, if so did the perpetrator/s have that knowledge?https://securethegrid.com/2022/02/28/60-minutes-how-secure-i...
This incident is probably the result of white suprematists, malicious teenagers, and/or crazy people.
Also, I think transformers need armor around oil fins or designs that don't require liquid cooling.
On the +GDP side of this, the war makers and reconstruction companies get to replace the broken windows.
I think this is it, but on mobile and can’t find a mirror w/o paywall: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405270230402010457943...
- Guys selling silencers or full-auto gun parts make easy money and get overconfident
- angry guy who's had enough goes around shooting his mouth off about it being time to 'Do something' and makes a new friend who wants to help but turns out to be an FBI agent
- wannabe guerrilla gets tired of never doing anything besides plinking in the woods and goes on a shooting spree instead (not being flippant; I know of one guy who picked a date, planned for months to shoot up a school, then said 'fuck it' a week early and shot up a supermarket instead because he was too excited to wait)
In some countries people get hit with severe charges for incitement or distributing extremist propaganda or possessing instructional materials (the UK in particular, because they have given their police vast powers to deal with terrorism going back to the 1970s). In the US distributing such material is protected by the first amendment but is a good way to get put on a list and maybe have men in suits show up at your home for some friendly conversation about who much you wouldn't like federal prison.
But although many hotheads signal their intentions loudly enough to get caught in advance, there's not that much you can do about determined actors who are smart enough to think about keeping their digital footprint small and their mouths shut.
Why? People (and news reports) have been highlighting the lack of security around critical infrastructure like this for years. Now that folks are deciding to attack these targets, hopefully more budget and time goes into actually securing them vs just throwing up some fences around them.
Granted, there could also be the power industries version of "security theater" but I'm going to err on the side of optimism.
Water treatment, electrical generation, electrical distribution, hospitals, medicine production, medicine storage, ISPs, cell phone towers, intercontinental internet cables, cargo rail, oil pipelines, petroleum refining, snow/ice removal...
With increasing economies of scale and centralization, it is also possible that some large number of critical services might no longer be as distributed and resilient as they were 50 years ago. How many factories does Kraft/Tyson use to produce cereals or butcher meat?
Literally this is all that happens. The only people who can be happy are those who sell security-ware.
Someone could get in a car and go and on a rampage running over multiple people downtown, and the response from people will be to put guardrails on every street and have people wear helmets outside, or even better, not be outside in anything other than a car, where the right alternative is to make a society where such happenings are rare and unthinkable not because of guardrails but because people are taken care of on a material level so they're less likely to turn into maniacs.
If you are really concerned, bury a propane tank plumbed to a generator.
Edit to add: * (SANTA) Some Anonymous Naughty Terrorist Alliance(Fragen Sie mich noch einmal, ob ich Französisch spreche, und ich werde Sie auf weniger unterhaltsame Weise an die Wand stellen.)
Dude I don’t look at people history and last time I break into a system I was 16 years old.
So yeah, I’m harmless and was mostly trying to have a more entertaining hangover.
Have a nice day :)
Édith : TSSCI? Actually I would take context on that.
Je veux supprimer mon compte :-)