UK high street banks are quarantining from crypto
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For years I was mostly just confused that "crypto" was anything at all, and latterly it seemed pretty clearly insane. The pitch to replace governement-back currencies with deflationary tokens clearly a fever dream of some political moron. Then it became very clear that it was just a scam: the dream was the hook. And "tokens" fit the collectables mould, in which assets with only ephemeral value to collectors boom in speculative bubbles.
Two years ago a friend wanted to get into the industry, and I said that soon it'll be a black mark on a CV and everyone will be hiding it.
What is interesting is that amongst professional finance much of this has been apparent the whole time. I've spoken to senior people in UK banking and they've confirmed as much. And as much is clear by reading the FT.
What is interesting is how much "elite tech" has captured the elite and silenced professional finance. The Economist article cited above, for example (and on HN the other day), was absurdly pro-crypto giving the scam-sales-pitch verbatim.
Some documentary is no doubt in the works on this, and I can see an Adam-Curtis style one on "how silicon valley beat the financial elites and captured the political imagination of a generation"
Quite, I tried on and off for years to imagine a single use case for the real world. Always came up dry because the Blockchain Oracle problem is unsolvable.
There is value in being able to anonymously and stably transfer value uncensored.
But which state will stand aside while you realize this dream? Not a one.
Let me know when this comes into existence, because it might be interesting.
For some reason, I can't post so here is my reply to the guy below me:
Current XMRUSD volatility is ~40%
Current USDJPY volatility is ~38%
I believe in due time, when the pump and dumpers are gone, it will become as stable as normal currency pairs.
I AM A billionaire! Well not necessarily yet, I only have 4 dollars and 53 cents, though I think it will hit that net worth level at some point in the future.
the volatility of XMR-USD is currently 38.70%
the volatility of USD-JPY is currently 11.99%
Max Drawdown - XMR-USD -92.96% USD-JPY -20.48%
https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/XMR-USD/JPY...
I was looking at monthly volatility for jpy. 3x the daily vol isn't bad at all.
Great link BTW.
(1) leads to great depressions (mass poverty, famine, etc.); (2) leads to feudalism; and (3) to colonialism, war and poverty.
Political control over the money supply is one of the most stabilising, peaceful and moral inventions of the 20th century.
For human history the poor have been destroyed by deflationary currency which was always better to bury than invest (see, for example, Jesus' story of the talents (coins) where he recommends burying rather than investing -- incomprehensible today, but sane with metal currency).
The trans-A slave trade was a more-or-less direct result of the massive inflation of the discovery of gold in the americas which made labour impossible to pay.
People discovering rocks in the ground is no basis on which to design a world-wide political system; and the origin of a vast amount of evil. Comparatively, central banks targeting 2% inflation is an unalloyed good.
I'm a fan of automated control, but with an algorithmically set inflation rate, I don't see why it would lead to feudalism.
Any value of an interest rate is a political tradeoff: a low rate favours spending, a high rate favours saving. So a low rate promotes expansion and an excess of cash in the system; a high rate promotes contraction and a relative deficit of cash. No value for an interest rate is "correct", it is an ethical decision. And the effect of a given rate will depend on economic variables that are basically unmeasurable (eg., aggregate preference for future consumption at a given rate) and have to be determined by best-guess expert judgement.
What would an algorithm do? Who would create it? Who do you think would create it?
My view is that replacing any aspect of politics (, law, etc.) with "algorithms" has a pretty clear line to feudalism or similar. Political judgement should never be naively deterministic in a chaotic, unmeasurable and unmeasured world.
A deterministic "politics" makes its power structure eternal and immutable. Do we change the alg when the world changes? No, that's just status quo. We mean an alg that never changes regardless of the change to the world. It's mad.
This is why I teeter on "end the fed". You need an independent body not influenced by the politics, yet accountable for their performance in the end. I'm not sure they're currently accountable in a manner that matters.
Edit: when I say inflation in this context, I mean monetary inflation. That can be controlled.
Edit 2: I'm not really sure how the current system is that far from feudalism. They are literally talking about putting the plebs out of work so their (feudal overlords) cash isn't made worthless.
The fed is being the most "economically reasonable" of almost any central bank in the world right now. The UK central is afraid of matching the Fed because property owners would be screwed, and the UK economy is more dependent on real-estate. This is compounded by Brexit (a project of those property owners) which is driving import inflation that the central bank is also ignoring.
So I, as a pro-EU UK renter, am losing out for the benefit of UK property owners wealth and political projects. I'd still vastly prefer that over whatever you might imagine the alternative is.
A similar story can be told in the reverse direction: any rate is a political decision, and the losers have a story about how they're being oppressed.
The bank of england, fed, etc. are at least aware of the consequences of their decisions and have some level of accountability. Neither of which can be said for any automated system which acts completely ignorant of these matters.
This isnt feudalism, this is politics working the best it has in human history. If you imagine you could do better, I'd suggest that hell is much closer than heaven.
This is pretty much universal, even DAI (algorithmic stablecoin backed via deposited Ethereum, etc) has this problem. When DAI trades above the peg, the only answer is create more DAI and sell.
There is RAI where the answer to RAI being above the peg is to just lower the redemption rate.
The obvious answer then would be to introduce an optional dollar that has an interest rate built into it that can be negative. It doesn't have to replace every existing dollar bill, it just has to exist and in case of austerity or a recession the Fed will try to not increase the number of 0% dollars in circulation. This will make regular dollar bills trade above their face value meaning people are less likely to transact with 0% cash and instead electronic payments and the negative interest dollar will continue doing their job.
The money in Wörgl was named emergency money (Notgeld) for a reason. Fight the depression with a higher velocity of money, not more money.
You mean when someone hands somebody else a 20?
https://www.cbp.gov/travel/international-visitors/kbyg/money
If you are willing to break the law to do it via crypto, you are willing to break the law and smuggle it too.
crypto is cryptography for me, a serious and posh discipline of applied mathematics, linguistics, analytics and computer science.
Fintech and swinging for the fences is not a bad thing per se. As long as you aren’t an executive for a scam or something; I have never seen in my career experience being treated as a bad thing. Might perhaps get some added questions to get you, but it is also a unique selling point.
Crypto essentially allows you to make trust less systems with tokens, what those tokens mean or not depends on the situation. Writing that off as purely speculative isn’t necessarily fair. Utility tokens are a thing after all.
On highly technical roles with a highly technical hiring process, sure, it'll be fine. I think, however, lots now are scrambling to decrypto their image.
Do you think “I was an accountant at Enron” is considered positive career experience in that field? Crypto is the equivalent in software engineering.
I think crypto is mostly pointless but I've been working in and out of the sector for nearly 10 years. Why?
1. I have a family to look after and it pays quite well.
2. I get to work on technology which is very interesting and applicable to other domains - consensus alogirithms, security in a highly adversarial environment, peer to peer networking and associated networking alogirthms, the intersection of finance and technology, the intersection of economics and technology.
3. I get to use tools and langauges I enjoy working with.
4. I work with smart, interesting people from a variety of backgrounds.
5. The industry moves fast, so there's always something new to learn.
I get constant inbound from recruiters and no-one cares that I work in crpyto.
It is important to note, that even if from looking from far outside, finance looks like one thing, in reality there is a big divide within finance regarding how "value" is defined. On the other hand, there is a simple notion that value of a thing is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. And on the other hand, there is a bit more complex idea that if you somehow know the value of a cash flow, then if you are able to create the same cashflow in some other way, then the other cash flow must have same value.
The first one is the home of powerpoints, VC capital and crypto. (It's also easy to recognize these professional financiers once you start to discuss whether sweat equity should be valued similarly to cash equity. They are completely appalled with the idea, because reasons.)
The second is home of financial regulation, really fancy maths and modern banking risk management.
The failure modes are different here. The first one, typical failure model is scam. The second, well, you can google LTCM for that.
And what comes to crypto, there is a clear and obvious difference. The first ones see no reason why not investing into crypto, after all, someone is paying 60k for a BTC, its value is thus 60k, what more do you want? The second ones scratch their heads. They see no positive net cash flows anywhere, thus the value must be negative. And this is the reason (in addition to regulation) why banks and professional bankers for the most part keep clear from crypto and struggle seeing value, while VC money is/was pouring in.
Not to mention my $dollars (or even €/£) have not lost a huge amount of value and fluctuated like a rabid dog.
Blockchain doesn’t help at all and most banks keep pretty good records.
That will allow unseen before economic growth for entities going on to the Bitcoin Standard, with proper planning.
After the first pioneers show to the world how it's done, it will become obvious to anyone that Bitcoin is the most advanced money we have as a civilization.
Having said that, it's weird because I definitely have sent money from one of the banks that aren't crypto-friendly to Binance in the past, so who knows how strong these bans really are.
What I presume is happening is that some banks are seeing a significant increase in applications for that protection from crypto transactions. Or are expecting to see such.
It doesn't apply when you withdraw cash as you have no recourse to protection from the bank if you subsequently lose that money. And you might be restricted from using you card at a casino if your bank has seen significant claims from said casino.
One can, of course, argue whether or not such protections should exist. As in, run the retail banking system on a caveat emptor basis. But that's not how it works in the UK and, whilst it doesn't, it's not unreasonable for the bank's to limit their liability.
And yet the state asks you to pay your taxes when you make added-value on crypto.
There are literally people who have taxes on added-value made on crypto due but are unable to pay them because their banks are refusing their money.
Take 10 K EUR out: easy. Take 1 million+ EUR out: it's extremely difficult.
The hypocrisy here is phenomenal: "cryptos are scams" / "cryptos are only for money laundering and drug dealing" / etc.
But then: "don't forget to pay your taxes to the nanny state on your crypto winnings".
And it's really vicious for the state says: "Oh, crypto went up 10000%, you hence have lots of taxes due to the state!" but the bank goes "Oh, you have a 7 digits sum in crypto, you must be a fraudster".
Sneaky bastards.
It's actually quite similar I'd say. The hypocrisy behind that one is strong too.
The City makes the rules, and it doesn't like competition in the only competitive sector they have left (finance), but you can rest assured they will get their cut while making it as difficult as possible for anyone to do so legally.
I really want people to see the inherit hypocrisy of this system, people get riled up about woke-based politics which is decisive and ultimately effective at letting these type of brazen injustices continue unabated.
We can argue endlessly about what kind of tax rate is immoral or necessary to run a modern society but having to pay taxes in a single currency is definitively the most immoral aspect.
After all, a lot of things that you get taxed on are difficult to turn into money without selling the whole thing. Like a house or a family business. If you could give the government an x% share then you would have already gained a lot of freedom.
> There are literally people who have taxes on added-value made on crypto due but are unable to pay them because their banks are refusing their money.
If they have taxes on added-value, it means they sold tokens, so they can take that money out fo the exchange and use it to pay tax
> The hypocrisy here is phenomenal
you can be prosecuted for not declaring your drug earnings, on top of the actual crime of dealing drugs
Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally. — John Maynard Keynes
Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one. ― Charles MacKay
I'm not particularly pro-crypto, but it's an interesting question that we haven't answered very well. It's clear to me that the state shouldn't stop you doing anything risky with your money - that also means stopping people starting businesses. But where do you draw the line? Problem gamblers often funnel every penny they have into betting sites - losing their house in the process. Wall street bets makes it clear that leveraged stocks can cause the same problems. Should we ban them too?
Really? This doesn't seem to match my experience.
The "society" made a profit.
Banks and Megacorps?
Are we all going to just forget 2008 and the simple fact that this technology was created to counter the UK's baiput policy (it's written in the genesis block!) and subsequent inflation tht is due to the rampant increase in money creation PRIMARILY made to bail-out businesses who couldn't or didn't have any savings and were on the verge on bankruptcy at the onset of COVID? The people got crumbs by comparison (extended UI benefits and some never got them at all) and were allowed to enter a roaring hot stock market created by tis glut f Capital pumped into the system and busineses lookign for yield any where they can find it and the minority of this sector (home owners) benefited from the sky high real estate appreciation boom, but it's peak tech-bro to say it was the average person who was the benefactors of any of this (some Industries were completely obliterated and many died in order to return to work despite being deemed essential workers) when it's clear it's the parasitic banking and corporations who are the ones that benefit the most.
I agree that 'crytpo' has been a misused moniker to describe the entirety of cryptocurrencies, but if you have anything but cursory knowledge on any of it and can resist letting yourself be swayed by click bait-headlines you'll realize that it's Bitcoin separated from the rest of crypto.
Those who don't want banks involved in their lives are free to adopt some other form of exchange. This may be considered irony.
People can play Ponzi schemes as they like, banks probably should not be involved.
The beauty of the free market is that people are free to move their custom. And businesses are free to set the limitations necessary for profitable enterprise.
Some banks have decided that the risk to having to support customers who engage in risky behaviour is too high. There are literally dozens of free banks in the UK, and it is incredibly easy to switch provider.
Voting with your feet doesn't work. Moreover, banks or credit card processors shouldn't be the arbiters of what you should be allowed to spend your money on.
I am free to do my business, they are free to not take my business. We are all free.
I also think that people losing money from betting actually know what they are getting into though. The same can not be said for some other transactions.
And people don't tend to ban themselves from gambling sites until after they've made big losses. It'd be the same for crypto.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/01/what-rishi-sunak-as-pm-means...
"White is also sceptical about solutions purporting to show which crypto companies represent a risk for banks and their customers. “It’s hard to individually predict which companies might later become a problem because, if banks knew a project was fraudulent, then people wouldn’t really be putting money into it,” she says."
and this quite validating:
"As financial institutions and the crypto industry continue to grapple over the right amount of regulation, others in the private sector have begun questioning the longevity and relevance of the industry itself after back-to-back scandals. Earlier this month in The Economist, the FTX collapse was described as a ‘catastrophic blow to crypto’s reputation and aspirations’ while a Reuters podcast similarly declared that the incident ‘consigns crypto to fringes of finance’. "
This, ironically, validates the argument for crypto that banks cannot be trusted to let you do what you want with your own money.
Well that's because we put them partially on the hook for when we, Joey Public, fall for scams, we expect and demand that the banks give us back the money we were scammed for.
I mean, I personally haven't, but I've read multiple newspaper articles about it.
I'm pretty sure they could simply add to their terms of service "no refunds for crypto purchases" and that'd be understandable, legal, and enforceable. Advertising this position prominently would make naive crypto "dabblers" second-guess themselves. So, in my opinion the problem you're referring to is not real.
There are no such limits/bans on gambling in general.
It definitely wouldn't work. I'm sure they have similar conditions for "don't read your PIN out on the phone" but people still do and still often get refunded for it.
Do they remember this thing called asking? I will respect the opinion of bankers and investors if they ask me, or I ask them, but ultimately the decision should be mine.
Otherwise it is going to the banking equivalent of Google's customer service. Callous, automated, unreachable.
Cryptocurrencies advocate for a very libertarian point of view: you are the only responsible of your money, and if you get scammed, sucks to be you. Banks on the other hand are much more "social": they are protecting you against scammers, and sometimes against yourself.
I know a case of a person falling to a "Hello we're the FBI we need to get your money for an undercover operation but we'll give it back", wiring tens of thousands to scammers. The bank did everything they could, including "losing" the wire order until that person family and friends managed to bring the victim back to their senses. The same story would have been very different with Bitcoin.
People here on HN are tech savvy, and smart enough to not fall into these scams. But advocating for a system that will leave all the most vulnerable members of our society penniless is quite astounding to me. "Some of you may die, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make".
In Lebanon people are holding up the banks at gunpoint to withdraw their own money.
... which proposed introducing mandatory reimbursement for APP scams which occur over Faster Payments, as well as other measures to improve fraud prevention."
If your bank is signed up to the voluntary Authorised Push Payment Scam Code which launched on 28 May 2019 it has to take a number of steps to protect their customers and reimburse customers who aren’t to blame.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/government-approa...
I think UK could do it.
Official estimates says, depending on the source, that from 1.5% up to 5% of the world's GDP is tied to criminal activities.
The GDP is about 100 trillion.
Cryptos are a complete insignificant drop in the bucket. Even if 100% of cryptos were linked to crime, it's still be absolutely nothing compared to the actual criminal activities ongoing (like drug trafficking) and the percentage of the worldwide GDP they represent.
And Western Union respects sanctions.
That being said, with a large enough fraud campaign, law enforcement really could target Western Union’s users.
.....but making payments to a sanctioned country or a terrorist organisation is very illegal (as I suspect it is in most of the world).
For this reason, any organisation obeying the law will refuse to pay the ransom.
Self-custody is the largest appeal of crypto currencies.
Revolut is not a good bank.
[0]: https://monzo.com/help/payments-getting-started/monzo-crypto... (basically just says yes they are)
[1]: https://monzo.com/help/payments-getting-started/binance-bloc...
[2]: https://www.fca.org.uk/news/news-stories/consumer-warning-bi...
[0] https://reclaimthenet.org/digital-euro-spending-saving-limit...
They are even from an military organization, running psyops.
Public opinion must be managed on open forums and this how they do it.
They have hundreds of accounts that play dialogues on important issues trying to manipulate public opinion.
Get your keys off banks and 3rd parties, thats the whole point of why this started ... Exactly because of crooks like ftx and those peotecting them.
Human factors are part and parcel of crypto. I don't think we can pretend that there exists a world where everyone just behaves properly despite every incentive to defraud people